Try the model
TTU

Texas Tech 21 at Kansas State 31

KSU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · KSU
modelKSU aheadTTU aheadconfidence bandkey playKSU scoreTTU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:49 · Trey Wolff 33 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+27.0+13.50−13.5−27.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 37Home team on offense+1.8Garbage-time factor−0.1Pregame prior+3.2Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:25: Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +10.9 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:05: Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +8.8 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 2:14: Xavier White run for 49 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +18.5 pts (now 41%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 11:11: Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK) — TTU win probability +29.4 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 10:00: Harry Trotter run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +35.2 pts (now 75%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 10 at TTU 28, tied
    Close callWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.2%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    53.9%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:08TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:56TTU 4th & 3 at KSU 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.2%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    42.9%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:49TTU 4th & 13 at KSU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−0.7
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    37.8%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:49TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:44TTU 4th & 5 at KSU 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    24.2%
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−3.9
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:18KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TTU 4th & 1 at TTU 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 3:34KSU 4th & 7 at TTU 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.3%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.0%
    88% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−8.7
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 4 at KSU 46, up 3
    Close callPunted · 64.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 6:22KSU 4th & 10 at KSU 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−4.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:32TTU 4th & 13 at TTU 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−1.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:00TTU 4th & 5 at KSU 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.6%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.2%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4TTU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:56KSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:25KSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 8:05TTU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 2:14TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 11:11TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:00KSU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.1%−0.6
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:07KSU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KSUDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 50 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 9 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 3 yds to the KanSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
54.0%
Harry Trotter run for 6 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+4
54.0%
Jacardia Wright run for 4 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
54.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 13 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
54.0%
Jacardia Wright run for 12 yds to the TexTc 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
54.0%
TEAM run for no gain to the TexTc 28 TEAM fumbled, recovered by KanSt Skylar ThompsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 28
0
54.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+3
54.0%
Jack Blumer run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
54.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 10 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
54.2%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
54.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:08
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+3
54.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 3 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q1 11:08
4TH & 7
OWN 38
+4
54.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Seth Porter blocked by Seth Porter Brock Monty return for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 3TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:5455% → 58%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+9
55.3%
Jacardia Wright run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 20 for a 1ST down TEXAS TECH Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Jacob Morgenstern) to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
55.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 12Similar
Q1 9:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
55.3%
Skylar Thompson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
57.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 12 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4MISSED FG
16 plays · 50 yds · 6:0743% → 40%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
56.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+1
56.3%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the TexTc 40Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+6
56.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 6 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
56.3%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
56.5%
Bowman, Alan pass incomplete to Price, Myles (Parker, AJ), PENALTY KS roughing passer (Duke, Khalid) 15 yards to the KS39, 1ST DOWN TTU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
56.2%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 42Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+6
56.4%
Henry Colombi run for 6 yds to the KanSt 36Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+4
56.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 4 yds to the KanSt 32Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+8
56.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Loic Fouonji for 8 yds to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
55.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 7 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+5
55.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
55.8%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-2
55.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 14Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 12
OPP 14
-1
56.3%
Henry Colombi sacked by Kirmari Gainous for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 2:49
4TH & 13
OPP 15
+33
59.6%
Trey Wolff 33 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 2:4960% → 61%
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
59.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+7
59.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 7 yds to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
60.0%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q1 2:49
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+2
59.9%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 0:28
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-4
61.1%
Skylar Thompson sacked by Brandon Bouyer-Randle for a loss of 4 yards to the KanSt 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 31
0
60.6%
Ty Zentner punt for 37 yds, downed at the TexTc 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
60.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the TexTc 36Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+9
60.7%
Henry Colombi run for 9 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
60.2%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the TexTc 41Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 14
OWN 41
+7
61.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to John Holcomb for 7 yds to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
60.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to John HolcombSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
61.4%
Austin McNamara punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 7TD
16 plays · 97 yds · 6:4963% → 75%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 3
-1
62.7%
Harry Trotter run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 2Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+2
62.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Harry Trotter for 2 yds to the KanSt 4Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+12
62.1%
Skylar Thompson run for 12 yds to the KanSt 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
62.9%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+8
63.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the KanSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
63.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik Knowles, broken up by DaMarcus FieldsSimilar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+14
63.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 14 yds to the KanSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
64.7%
Mozee, Keyon rush for 3 yards to the KS46 (McPhearson, Z.), PENALTY KS holding (Leveston, K.) 10 yards to the KS33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 20
OWN 0
+15
63.4%
Thompson, S. pass incomplete to Mozee, Keyon, QB hurry by Jeffers, Riko, PENALTY TTU roughing passer (Jeffers, Riko) 15 yards to the KS48, 1ST DOWN KS, NO PLAY, PENALTY TTU pass interference declined.Similar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
64.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 8 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+6
65.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Harry Trotter for 6 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
65.1%
Harry Trotter run for no gain to the TexTc 38Similar
Q2 9:37
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
65.0%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Chabastin TaylorSimilar
Q2 9:37
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+20
64.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for 20 yds to the TexTc 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
75.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 18 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8MISSED FG
14 plays · 58 yds · 3:4126% → 25%
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
74.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-1
73.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+23
73.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 23 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
72.5%
Tahj Brooks run for no gain to the KanSt 47Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+14
75.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 14 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
72.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the KanSt 27Similar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+3
72.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the KanSt 24Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
73.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the KanSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
72.6%
Henry Colombi pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:21
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
72.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 17Similar
Q2 3:21
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
73.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+35
75.1%
Trey Wolff 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:2679% → 80%
Q2 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
79.3%
Harry Trotter run for 5 yds to the KanSt 25Similar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+3
79.3%
Harry Trotter run for 3 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q2 0:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
80.4%
Harry Trotter run for 1 yd to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
79.6%
Jack Blumer punt for 43 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 10END OF HALF
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q2 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+17
78.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 17 yds to the TexTc 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
20 plays · 88 yds · 6:5521% → 34%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
78.7%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 16Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 16
0
78.7%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Travis Koontz, broken up by Jaylen PickleSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 16
+7
78.9%
Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the TexTc 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
78.5%
Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+3
77.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
77.9%
Myles Price run for 5 yds to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
77.1%
Henry Colombi run for no gain to the TexTc 38Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+4
77.6%
Henry Colombi pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+19
78.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 19 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+11
76.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 11 yds to the KanSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+5
75.1%
Colombi, Henry pass incomplete to Ezukanma, Erik, PENALTY KS offside defense (Hughes, Justin) 5 yards to the KS23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 23
+4
75.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 4 yds to the KanSt 19Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+4
75.1%
Xavier White run for 4 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
75.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 5 yds to the KanSt 10Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
0
75.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to KeSean Carter, broken up by Wyatt HubertSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+6
76.1%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the KanSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
75.1%
Xavier White run for 1 yd to the KanSt 3Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
75.1%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Erik Ezukanma, broken up by Ekow Boye-DoeSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
66.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 12FG
12 plays · 55 yds · 4:2675% → 80%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
74.6%
Will Howard pass complete to Malik Knowles for 7 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+12
76.4%
Harry Trotter run for 12 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
76.8%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
76.6%
Will Howard run for 2 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+8
75.7%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
76.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+22
77.1%
Deuce Vaughn run for 22 yds to the TexTc 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
77.2%
Will Howard run for no gain to the TexTc 13Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
77.2%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the TexTc 10Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 7
OPP 10
0
76.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q3 3:34
4TH & 7
OPP 10
+28
80.0%
Blake Lynch 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13TD
5 plays · 84 yds · 1:1421% → 41%
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+28
79.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 28 yds to the TexTc 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
77.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to KeSean CarterSimilar
Q3 3:28
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+7
78.0%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 7 yds to the KanSt 49Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+49
59.5%
Xavier White run for 49 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:0964% → 65%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
64.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 9 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 1
OWN 37
-1
66.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 2:09
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+4
64.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
66.2%
Harry Trotter run for 2 yds to the KanSt 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+4
66.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 4 yds to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
66.3%
Will Howard run for no gain to the KanSt 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 46
+5
64.5%
Ty Zentner punt for 33 yds , Adrian Frye returns for 5 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 2:2135% → 71%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
65.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 14 yds to the TexTc 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+21
63.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 21 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
60.4%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 4
OPP 33
-1
58.3%
Xavier White run for a loss of 1 yard to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+19
60.8%
Xavier White run for 19 yds to the KanSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
58.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 2 yds to the KanSt 13Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
28.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1139% → 75%
Q4 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
39.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 5 yds to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 11:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+66
40.1%
Will Howard pass complete to Briley Moore for 66 yds to the TexTc 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
75.3%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 17INT
12 plays · 47 yds · 0:0034% → 39%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
66.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-5
64.4%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, false start (Weston Wright) to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+6
66.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 6 yds to the TexTc 32Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+6
66.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 6 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
64.4%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 4 yds to the TexTc 42Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
61.8%
Xavier White run for 10 yds to the KanSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
60.8%
Xavier White run for 7 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+8
60.2%
Xavier White run for 8 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
59.1%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 5 yds to the KanSt 28Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
58.6%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Travis Koontz, broken up by Cody FletcherSimilar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 5
OPP 28
0
60.6%
Henry Colombi pass intercepted, touchback. Jahron McPherson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0072% → 69%
Q4 6:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.4%
Deuce Vaughn run for no gain to the KanSt 20Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
72.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Landry WeberSimilar
Q4 6:22
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
70.1%
Will Howard pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 6:22
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
69.0%
Jack Blumer punt for 37 yds, downed at the TexTc 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0036% → 30%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
63.7%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 5:32
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+3
64.9%
Xavier White run for 3 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 5:32
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
64.7%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 3
50
-10
64.2%
Colombi, Henry rush for 5 yards to the KS45, PENALTY TTU holding (Carde, Ethan) 10 yards to the TTU40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & 13
OWN 40
0
70.1%
Austin McNamara punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 20TD
9 plays · 88 yds · 1:3578% → 96%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
77.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 3 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+3
77.8%
Will Howard run for 3 yds to the KanSt 18Similar
Q4 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+7
82.9%
Will Howard pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 7 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
84.6%
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q4 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
87.3%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 30Similar
Q4 2:07
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
95.5%
Will Howard pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 70 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
96.8%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for 5 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
96.5%
Henry Colombi run for 7 yds to the TexTc 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
96.5%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Travis Koontz for 15 yds to the TexTc 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
96.4%
Henry Colombi run for 5 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+2
95.9%
Henry Colombi pass complete to KeSean Carter for 2 yds to the KanSt 45Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-2
96.3%
Henry Colombi pass complete to Xavier White for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 47Similar
Q4 2:00
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
96.4%
Henry Colombi pass incomplete to Loic FouonjiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 22END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
96.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the KanSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 10:00
Harry Trotter run for 4 yds for a TD (Blake Lynch KICK)
+35.2
TD · Q4 11:11
Henry Colombi pass complete to Myles Price for 13 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)
-29.4
TD · Q3 2:14
Xavier White run for 49 yds for a TD (Trey Wolff KICK)
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com