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OKST

Oklahoma State 47 at Kansas 7

KU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · KU
modelKU aheadOKST aheadconfidence bandkey playKU scoreOKST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:35 · Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 113Home team on offense−39.1Pregame prior−26.3Score differential−27.4Garbage-time factor−11.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 1:00: Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +1.4 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:04: Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +2.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:22: Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 55 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +2.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:58: Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 13:14: Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK) — OKST win probability +1.0 pts (now 99%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KU made the numbers' call on 9 of 12OKST made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 13:50KU 4th & 4 at KU 37, tied
    Close callPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:29OKST 4th & 1 at KU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    89.3%−0.1
    77% to make
    Punt
    88.8%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:36OKST 4th & 2 at KU 2, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    87.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:43KU 4th & 8 at KU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:09OKST 4th & 19 at OKST 45, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.4%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:06KU 4th & 16 at KU 4, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:16KU 4th & 8 at KU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:40KU 4th & 1 at KU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.1%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:14KU 4th & 9 at KU 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:38KU 4th & 2 at KU 30, down 24
    Close callPunted · 7.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:12OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−<0.1
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.8%
    average punt
  12. Q2 4:48KU 4th & 6 at KU 46, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:35KU 4th & 1 at KU 34, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.2%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:12OKST 4th & 2 at KU 5, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.5%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:18KU 4th & 20 at KU 20, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.7%
    average punt
  16. Q3 3:14OKST 4th & 9 at KU 9, up 41
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q3 0:00KU 4th & 10 at KU 49, down 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 13:58OKST 4th & 14 at OKST 15, up 44
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  19. Q4 10:26OKST 4th & 8 at KU 35, up 37
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:17KU 4th & 8 at OKST 42, down 37
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  21. Q4 0:59OKST 4th & 7 at KU 7, up 37
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1OKST made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 1:00OKST Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:04OKST Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:22OKST Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:58OKST Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:14OKST Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:04KU Touchdown, down 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:058% → 8%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
7.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 2 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
8.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 4
OWN 37
0
8.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 4
OWN 37
0
8.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the OKSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 4:0592% → 90%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+11
8.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 11 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+30
8.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 30 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-1
8.4%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 29Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 11
OPP 29
+10
8.5%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 10 yds to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 19
0
8.5%
Shane Illingworth run for no gain to the Kans 19Similar
Q1 12:29
4TH & 1
OPP 19
+2
8.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
8.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the Kans 10Similar
Q1 11:49
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
8.8%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Chuba HubbardSimilar
Q1 11:43
3RD & 3
OPP 10
+6
8.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the Kans 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
9.0%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
9.1%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
9.4%
LD Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 9:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+19
9.6%
Alex Hale 19 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4010% → 10%
Q1 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
9.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 8:58
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
9.9%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 27Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-4
10.1%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 8
OWN 23
0
10.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:2090% → 89%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+16
10.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 16 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
10.3%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
10.4%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-9
10.6%
Shane Illingworth sacked by Nick Channel for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 45Similar
Q1 6:09
4TH & 19
OWN 45
0
11.2%
Tom Hutton punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5511% → 11%
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
10.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 9Similar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-5
11.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 16
OWN 4
-2
11.1%
KANSAS Penalty, False Start (Malik Clark) to the Kans 2Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 18
OWN 2
+2
11.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 16
OWN 4
+7
11.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for 7 yds to the Kans 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
11.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 3:38
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
11.5%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 6 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q1 3:27
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+3
11.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:09
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-10
11.6%
Illingworth, Shane pass complete to Hubbard, Chuba for no gain to the KANSAS17, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Schneider, Ry) 10 yards to the KANSAS27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 20
OPP 27
+19
11.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to LD Brown for 19 yds to the Kans 8Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+1
11.7%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
11.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the Kans 3Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
12.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
10.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:2311% → 11%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+5
10.6%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 5 yds to the Kans 14Similar
Q1 0:24
2ND & 5
OWN 14
+5
10.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Kans 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
10.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+4
10.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 6
OWN 23
-2
10.7%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 21Similar
Q2 14:16
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
10.7%
Kyle Thompson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 8TD
1 play · 66 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
7.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 2:169% → 9%
Q2 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+8
8.5%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 2
OWN 30
+1
8.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 1
OWN 31
0
8.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 31Similar
Q2 12:40
4TH & 1
OWN 31
+3
8.6%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
8.7%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Ben Miles for 1 yd to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 11:25
2ND & 9
OWN 35
0
8.7%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 9
OWN 35
0
8.7%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:14
4TH & 9
OWN 35
0
8.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 85 yds · 1:5192% → 95%
Q2 11:13
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
7.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Hunter Woodard) to the OKSt 10Similar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+7
7.6%
LD Brown run for 7 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
7.6%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to LD Brown for 3 yds to the OKSt 20Similar
Q2 10:09
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+10
7.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the OKSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
7.5%
LD Brown run for 15 yds to the OKSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+55
5.4%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 55 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:326% → 6%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
6.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
6.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 23Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+7
6.6%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 7 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 7:38
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
6.4%
Kyle Thompson punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2094% → 94%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
5.6%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+5
5.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 23Similar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 5
OWN 23
+2
5.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 3
OWN 25
0
5.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:127% → 7%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
6.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+1
6.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 46Similar
Q2 4:56
3RD & 6
OWN 46
0
6.7%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:48
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
6.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 2:4295% → 97%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
5.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 15Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+11
5.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 11 yds to the OKSt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
5.1%
Shane Illingworth run for 4 yds to the OKSt 30Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+12
5.1%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+14
5.0%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the Kans 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
4.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 3 yds to the Kans 41Similar
Q2 2:55
2ND & 7
OPP 41
+8
4.9%
LD Brown run for 8 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
4.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds to the Kans 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
4.7%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+9
4.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 9 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q2 1:58
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+12
2.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 15INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 1:093% → 3%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
3.1%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Kans 36Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+5
2.8%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 5 yds to the Kans 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
2.3%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Takulve Williams for 4 yds to the Kans 45Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+10
2.3%
Kendrick, Miles pass incomplete to Parchment, Andrew, PENALTY OKLAST holding (Holmes, Christian) 10 yards to the OKLAST45, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KANSAS.Similar
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
2.6%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q2 0:29
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+9
2.5%
Miles Kendrick pass intercepted Devin Harper return for a loss of 9 yards to the OKSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
2.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 1:4197% → 99%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
3.0%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 3 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q3 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+28
3.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 28 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
2.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 13:54
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+11
2.4%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
2.4%
Shane Illingworth run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+6
2.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
1.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:251% → 1%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.3%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 2 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
1.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 5 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q3 12:09
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
1.1%
Miles Kendrick run for 2 yds to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 11:35
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
1.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for no gain to the Kans 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:1999% → 99%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.2%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Braydon JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+10
1.1%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 10 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:56
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
1.1%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+7
1.1%
Dezmon Jackson run for 7 yds to the Kans 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
1.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 9:33
2ND & 6
OPP 9
-8
1.0%
Shane Illingworth sacked by DaJon Terry for a loss of 8 yards to the Kans 17Similar
Q3 8:51
3RD & 14
OPP 17
+12
1.0%
Dezmon Jackson run for 12 yds to the Kans 5Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 2
OPP 5
+22
1.3%
Alex Hale 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:351% → 1%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
0.7%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 7:26
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-2
0.7%
Miles Kendrick run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 31Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 9
OWN 31
-11
0.6%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Trace Ford for a loss of 11 yards to the Kans 20Similar
Q3 6:18
4TH & 20
OWN 20
0
0.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 33 yds , Dillon Stoner returns for no gain to the OKSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21FG
11 plays · 44 yds · 2:5799% → 99%
Q3 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+18
0.7%
Dezmon Jackson run for 18 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
0.7%
Dezmon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+14
0.6%
Ethan Bullock pass complete to Dee Anderson for 14 yds to the Kans 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
0.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Kans 18Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+6
0.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Kans 12Similar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 2
OPP 12
+3
0.6%
Dezmon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Kans 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
0.5%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 10Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
0.5%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the Kans 4Similar
Q3 3:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.5%
Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q3 3:18
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
0.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 9Similar
Q3 3:14
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+27
0.8%
Alex Hale 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:100% → 0%
Q3 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
0.4%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 10 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
0.4%
Velton Gardner run for 9 yds to the Kans 44Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+5
0.4%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Velton Gardner for 5 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
0.4%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 48Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 11
OWN 48
+4
0.4%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 4 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q3 0:02
3RD & 7
OPP 48
-3
0.3%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Devin Harper for a loss of 3 yards to the Kans 49Similar
Q3 0:00
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
0.3%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Brennan Presley at the OKSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:57100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
0.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 14 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
Q4 14:21
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+1
0.4%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 15Similar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 14
OWN 15
0
0.4%
Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Tay MartinSimilar
Q4 13:58
4TH & 14
OWN 15
0
0.4%
Tom Hutton punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24TD
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:440% → 0%
Q4 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
0.3%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 13:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+30
0.2%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 30 yds to the OKSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
0.3%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 18Similar
Q4 12:18
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+17
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 17 yds to the OKSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.3%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 40 yds · 1:31100% → 100%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
0.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+34
0.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 34 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
0.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 8
OPP 35
0
0.2%
Ethan Bullock pass incomplete to Dee AndersonSimilar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
0.2%
Ethan Bullock pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:26
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
0.3%
Tom Hutton punt for 33 yds, downed at the Kans 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 4:070% → 0%
Q4 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+12
0.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 12 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+10
0.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 10 yds to the Kans 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:27
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+15
0.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 15 yds to the Kans 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
0.2%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 46Similar
Q4 8:43
2ND & 3
OWN 46
-1
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 45Similar
Q4 8:13
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+11
0.1%
Miles Kendrick pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 11 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q4 7:37
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+2
0.2%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q4 6:38
3RD & 4
OPP 38
-4
0.1%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 4 yards to the OKSt 42Similar
Q4 6:17
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
0.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 27FG
16 plays · 51 yds · 5:01100% → 100%
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
0.2%
Dominic Richardson run for 1 yd to the OKSt 43Similar
Q4 5:14
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+5
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the OKSt 48Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+15
0.1%
Ethan Bullock pass complete to Rashod Owens for 15 yds to the Kans 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
0.1%
Micah Cooper run for 4 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q4 4:09
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+2
0.1%
Micah Cooper run for 2 yds to the Kans 31Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+5
0.1%
Micah Cooper run for 5 yds to the Kans 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.1%
Ethan Bullock pass complete to Rashod Owens for 4 yds to the Kans 22Similar
Q4 3:22
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 6 yds to the Kans 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 5 yds to the Kans 9Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+7
0.1%
Bullock, Ethan pass incomplete, PENALTY KANSAS pass interference (Mayberry, Duece) 7 yards to the KANSAS2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 3Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for 2 yds to the Kans 1Similar
Q4 1:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
0.1%
Dominic Richardson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 1:02
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
-5
0.1%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Kans 7Similar
Q4 0:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
0.1%
Alex Hale 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:480% → 0%
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
0.1%
Miles Kendrick pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 0:11
2ND & 10
OWN 33
-5
0.1%
Miles Kendrick sacked by Tyren Irby for a loss of 5 yards to the Kans 28 Miles Kendrick fumbled, recovered by Kans Earl Bostick Jr. , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 28
+7
0.1%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for 7 yds to the Kans 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:04
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 66 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)
-2.9
TD · Q2 9:22
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 55 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)
-2.2
TD · Q2 1:58
Chuba Hubbard run for 12 yds for a TD, (Alex Hale KICK)
-1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com