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Baylor 21 at West Virginia 27

WVU
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Milan Puskar Stadium
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Win probability · WVU
modelWVU aheadBAY aheadconfidence bandkey playWVU scoreBAY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:37 · Issac Power punt for 50 yds , Bryce Ford-Wheaton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 27 Bryce Ford-Wheaton fumbled, recovered by Bayl Will Williams
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remainingDefense timeouts
+24.0+12.00−12.0−24.0Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 161Home team on offense+12.4Garbage-time factor+3.7Score differential+3.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.0Time remaining+2.1Defense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 1:19: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 34 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +50.9 pts (now 61%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK) — WVU win probability +22.1 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +41.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. KEY PLAY · OT2 0:00: Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the Bayl 17 — WVU win probability +24.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TD — WVU win probability +19.1 pts (now 84%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WVU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10BAY made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 11:46WVU 4th & 6 at BAY 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    48.4%−0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    48.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:37BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 31, down 7
    Close callPunted · 47.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:21BAY 4th & 20 at WVU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.6
    10% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    44.5%−1.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:07WVU 4th & 1 at BAY 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    55.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.3%−0.9
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:23WVU 4th & 10 at BAY 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:36BAY 4th & 18 at BAY 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.3%
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:55BAY 4th & 7 at WVU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    41.6%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:05WVU 4th & 7 at WVU 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:22BAY 4th & 10 at BAY 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%−2.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:43WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.9%−1.0
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:56BAY 4th & 5 at BAY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:25WVU 4th & 2 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%−0.4
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:33BAY 4th & 13 at BAY 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−3.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.4%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:16WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.6%−2.8
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:43BAY 4th & 17 at BAY 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−4.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:12WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 39, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−1.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:19BAY 4th & 14 at BAY 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−4.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:00WVU 4th & 3 at BAY 41, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.8 ptsPunted · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    82.5%−3.7
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    83.4%−2.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:37BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 22, down 7
    Close callPunted · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%−0.9
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:30BAY 4th & 1 at WVU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.9%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    14.6%−3.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    2.9%−15.0
    average punt
  21. Q4 1:55WVU 4th & 3 at WVU 18, up 7
    Close callPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1BAY made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:51WVU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:44BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 1:19BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.8%−3.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1TD
18 plays · 70 yds · 5:3951% → 55%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
50.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q1 14:16
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+14
50.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 14 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
50.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 8 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+2
50.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Bayl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
51.1%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
51.1%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 47Similar
Q1 12:57
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+1
51.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd to the Bayl 46Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 14
OPP 46
+8
51.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Ali Jennings for 8 yds to the Bayl 38Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 6
OPP 38
+6
51.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 6 yds Sam James fumbled, recovered by WVirg Sam James for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
51.7%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+5
51.8%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 3
OPP 25
+10
51.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 10 yds to the Bayl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
52.1%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:50
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+5
52.2%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (William Bradley-King) to the Bayl 10Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
52.3%
Jarret Doege run for 6 yds to the Bayl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
52.4%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the Bayl 1Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.5%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:4846% → 45%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
54.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 4 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 6
OWN 27
-5
54.0%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (Jake Burton) to the Bayl 22Similar
Q1 7:55
2ND & 11
OWN 22
-5
54.4%
John Lovett run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 17Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 16
OWN 17
+14
55.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q1 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 31
0
55.2%
Issac Power punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:0955% → 56%
Q1 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
55.3%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 3
OWN 30
-11
55.7%
Jarret Doege sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 19 Jarret Doege fumbled, recovered by Bayl William Bradley-King , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4MISSED FG
5 plays · -10 yds · 1:4446% → 43%
Q1 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
53.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Ineligible Downfield on Pass (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 15
OPP 24
-8
54.3%
John Lovett run for a loss of 8 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q1 5:07
2ND & 23
OPP 32
0
54.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 23
OPP 32
+3
55.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 3 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q1 4:21
4TH & 20
OPP 29
+47
56.6%
John Mayers 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 3:5257% → 58%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+13
56.5%
Alec Sinkfield run for 13 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
57.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 1 yd to the WVirg 43Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
50
-3
57.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Zach Frazier) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 3:30
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+10
57.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 2:22
3RD & 2
50
+1
57.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Bayl 49Similar
Q1 2:07
4TH & 1
OPP 49
+1
57.2%
Jarret Doege run for 1 yd to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
58.4%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:46
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+6
58.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 6 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q1 0:58
3RD & 4
OPP 42
-6
58.6%
Jarret Doege sacked by Raleigh Texada for a loss of 6 yards to the Bayl 48 Jarret Doege fumbled, forced by Raleigh Texada, recovered by WVirgSimilar
Q1 0:23
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
57.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Griffin Speaks at the Bayl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -8 yds · 1:2542% → 40%
Q1 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-7
57.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills and Jared Bartlett for a loss of 7 yards to the Bayl 10Similar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 17
OWN 10
+3
58.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 3 yds to the Bayl 13Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 14
OWN 13
-4
59.1%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 9Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 18
OWN 9
0
59.9%
Issac Power punt for 34 yds, downed at the Bayl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
60.5%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted Terrel Bernard return for no gain to the Bayl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:1642% → 41%
Q2 13:11
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
57.8%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
57.3%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+21
57.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 21 yds to the WVirg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
56.5%
Charlie Brewer run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 11:42
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
57.1%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q2 11:27
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+5
58.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 5 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+48
59.0%
John Mayers 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 9INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:1361% → 61%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
60.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 14 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
62.0%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 10:02
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
61.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for no gain to the WVirg 43Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 11
OWN 43
-28
61.2%
Jarret Doege pass intercepted JT Woods return for 28 yds to the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10TD
7 plays · 30 yds · 2:3742% → 51%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-10
57.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khalil Keith) to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 20
OPP 40
+12
59.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Dreshun Miller) to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
57.7%
Gerry Bohanon run for 1 yd to the WVirg 27Similar
Q2 8:01
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+18
58.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 18 yds to the WVirg 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
58.3%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
58.5%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the WVirg 7Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
48.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 3:2554% → 54%
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
54.2%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 13
OWN 20
+14
54.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 14 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
54.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 12 yds to the WVirg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
56.6%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-15
55.3%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Bryce Ford-Wheaton) to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 27
OWN 29
+1
54.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 26
OWN 30
+19
53.0%
Leddie Brown run for 19 yds to the WVirg 49Similar
Q2 3:14
4TH & 7
OWN 49
-5
54.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 44Similar
Q2 3:05
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
54.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 45 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for no gain to the Bayl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:3849% → 47%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-1
51.3%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 11 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-6 Yards) to the Bayl 5Similar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 11
OWN 5
+7
51.4%
John Lovett run for 7 yds to the Bayl 12Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 4
OWN 12
+9
51.2%
John Lovett run for 9 yds to the Bayl 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
50.9%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 25 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Bayl 15Similar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 16
OWN 15
+4
51.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 19Similar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 12
OWN 19
0
50.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+2
51.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
52.9%
Issac Power punt for 53 yds, downed at the WVirg 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:2754% → 53%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
54.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the WVirg 28Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
54.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 8
OWN 28
+5
52.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
52.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:3550% → 54%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
49.9%
Charlie Brewer run for 15 yds to the Bayl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
47.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 8 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OPP 47
-4
45.9%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 0:13
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+10
48.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Dreshun Miller) to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
46.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Josh FleeksSimilar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+7
47.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 7 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+51
46.3%
Noah Rauschenberg 51 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Dante StillsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 1:5449% → 48%
Q3 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
51.1%
Charlie Brewer run for 15 yds to the Bayl 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-1
50.4%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 33Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 11
OWN 33
-10
51.1%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Darius Stills for a loss of 10 yards to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 21
OWN 23
+16
52.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Tyquan Thornton for 16 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q3 12:56
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
52.0%
Issac Power punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3155% → 52%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
54.6%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Chase Behrndt) to the WVirg 10Similar
Q3 12:48
1ST & 15
OWN 10
+3
54.7%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 13Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 12
OWN 13
+2
54.5%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 15Similar
Q3 11:45
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+8
52.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 8 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
52.4%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 1:3851% → 47%
Q3 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
48.9%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 45Similar
Q3 10:29
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
49.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 49
-8
48.7%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Akheem Mesidor for a loss of 8 yards to the Bayl 41Similar
Q3 9:33
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
53.4%
Issac Power punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:1355% → 53%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
55.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-5
54.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Brandon Yates) to the WVirg 17Similar
Q3 9:19
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+3
54.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 20Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+3
53.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 3 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 9
OWN 23
+5
52.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 36 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 5 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 1:2651% → 46%
Q3 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
48.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q3 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
49.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 2 yds to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 48
-5
49.6%
BAYLOR Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-4
52.0%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Jeffery Pooler Jr. for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 39Similar
Q3 6:43
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
54.2%
Issac Power punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 72 yds · 4:4256% → 80%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
55.8%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the WVirg 37Similar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 1
OWN 37
+25
58.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for 25 yds to the Bayl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
60.1%
Alec Sinkfield run for no gain to the Bayl 38Similar
Q3 4:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-5
59.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Sam James) to the Bayl 43Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 15
OPP 43
+8
57.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q3 3:54
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+11
59.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 11 yds to the Bayl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
61.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+7
61.3%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & 3
OPP 17
+7
59.3%
Leddie Brown run for 7 yds to the Bayl 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
61.1%
BAYLOR Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (5 Yards) to the Bayl 5Similar
Q3 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
61.2%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. BanksSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
79.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the Bayl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 21INT
9 plays · 28 yds · 2:3328% → 27%
Q3 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
71.8%
BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive Holding (Khalil Keith) to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 1:21
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+1
73.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 1 yd to the Bayl 26Similar
Q3 0:49
2ND & 19
OWN 26
+18
74.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 18 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 0:30
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+5
70.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 5 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
69.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q3 0:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
71.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+10
70.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 10 yds to the WVirg 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
69.8%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the WVirg 37Similar
Q4 13:59
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-11
72.8%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted Dreshun Miller return for 11 yds to the WVirg 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2882% → 82%
Q4 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
81.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q4 13:26
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
82.3%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q4 13:00
3RD & 2
OWN 40
-1
82.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 39 Leddie Brown fumbled, forced by Jalen Pitre, recovered by WVirg Leddie BrownSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 3
OWN 39
+3
81.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for 3 yds to the Bayl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:2622% → 19%
Q4 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
78.4%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Tony Fields II for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 21Similar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
79.2%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:26
3RD & 14
OWN 21
0
80.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Tyquan ThorntonSimilar
Q4 11:19
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
81.1%
Issac Power punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:1085% → 84%
Q4 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+11
84.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Banks for 11 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
86.2%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 49Similar
Q4 10:01
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+9
84.7%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the Bayl 42Similar
Q4 9:55
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+1
85.3%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the Bayl 41Similar
Q4 9:00
4TH & 3
OPP 41
0
84.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 25FUMBLE
4 plays · 8 yds · 1:1621% → 16%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
79.5%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 15Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+7
80.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to John Lovett for 7 yds to the Bayl 22Similar
Q4 7:49
3RD & 2
OWN 22
0
80.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:37
4TH & 2
OWN 22
+50
84.5%
Issac Power punt for 50 yds , Bryce Ford-Wheaton returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 27 Bryce Ford-Wheaton fumbled, recovered by Bayl Will WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 26 yds · 2:4625% → 22%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
74.8%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Trestan EbnerSimilar
Q4 7:25
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+12
75.7%
Brewer, Charlie pass incomplete to Thornton, Tyquan, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Miller, Dreshun) 12 yards to the WESTVIR15, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BAYLOR.Similar
Q4 7:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+4
75.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 4 yds to the WVirg 11Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 6
OPP 11
+1
75.7%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the WVirg 10Similar
Q4 5:57
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+4
78.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 4 yds to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 5:30
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+3
80.0%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the WVirg 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.2%
John Lovett run for no gain to the WVirg 3Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
76.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
78.4%
Gerry Bohanon run for 2 yds to the WVirg 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 27PUNT
11 plays · 17 yds · 2:0691% → 94%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
90.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (Ryan Miller) to the WVirg 6Similar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 5
OWN 6
+1
91.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 7Similar
Q4 3:17
2ND & 4
OWN 7
-3
90.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brandon Yates) to the WVirg 4Similar
Q4 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+7
91.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 7 yds to the WVirg 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-3
92.7%
Jarret Doege run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 8Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 13
OWN 8
+4
93.1%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 12Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 9
OWN 12
+6
94.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 6 yds to the WVirg 18Similar
Q4 1:55
4TH & 3
OWN 18
0
94.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 28TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:329% → 61%
Q4 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
91.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+15
91.9%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Tony Fields II) to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+10
89.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 10 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
38.7%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 34 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 29END OF 4TH QUARTER
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:3662% → 57%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
61.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 3 yds to the WVirg 43Similar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 7
OWN 43
-5
63.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (Michael Brown) to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 12
OWN 38
0
58.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 12
OWN 38
+6
56.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 30TD
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 82%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
64.5%
Jarret Doege pass incompleteSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 9 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+10
59.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 10 yds to the Bayl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
81.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 6 yds for a TD (Evan Staley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 31TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
40.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 32Uncategorized
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
40.5%
Charlie Brewer pass intercepted, touchback. Tykee Smith return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 33TD
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 84%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
64.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
64.7%
BAYLOR Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jalen Pitre) to the Bayl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
64.7%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the Bayl 7Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+4
64.7%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the Bayl 3Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
83.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:19
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 34 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-50.9
TD · OT 0:00
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 25 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
-41
KEY PLAY · OT2 0:00
Jarret Doege pass complete to Mike O'Laughlin for 8 yds to the Bayl 17
+24.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com