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WVU

West Virginia 13 at Oklahoma State 27

OKST
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Boone Pickens Stadium
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Win probability · OKST
modelOKST aheadWVU aheadconfidence bandkey playOKST scoreWVU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:41 · Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Home team on offense+15.7Pregame prior+3.1Score differential+2.2Garbage-time factor+9.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.2Blowout margin−1.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:43: LD Brown 66 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick) — OKST win probability +5.7 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:07: Tyren Irby 56 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Hale Kick) — OKST win probability +7.5 pts (now 74%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:02: Alex Hale 40 Yd Field Goal — OKST win probability +5.0 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OKST has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:48: Winston Wright Jr. 70 Yd pass from Jarret Doege (Evan Staley Kick) — WVU win probability +7.7 pts (now 27%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 9:01: Evan Staley 30 Yd Field Goal — WVU win probability +6.4 pts (now 19%) (top driver: WVU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OKST made the numbers' call on 3 of 7WVU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:49WVU 4th & 8 at WVU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:57OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 67.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:24WVU 4th & 18 at OKST 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.7%−0.4
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:44OKST 4th & 2 at WVU 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:47WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.8%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:24WVU 4th & 3 at OKST 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    21.7%−0.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−4.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:02OKST 4th & 5 at WVU 23, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.5%−<0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    74.8%−4.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:52OKST 4th & 9 at OKST 29, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.4%−0.7
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:59WVU 4th & 9 at WVU 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:15OKST 4th & 1 at OKST 34, up 13
    Close callPunted · 83.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.3%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:42WVU 4th & 19 at WVU 47, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−1.8
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:24OKST 4th & 6 at OKST 38, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:03WVU 4th & 16 at WVU 14, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−2.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:37WVU 4th & 10 at OKST 10, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.9
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.2%
    88% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−5.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:41OKST 4th & 3 at OKST 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:01WVU 4th & 4 at OKST 13, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%−0.2
    85% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−6.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OKST made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WVU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 13:43OKST Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 11:07OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:48WVU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:17OKST Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.2%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WVUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 2:0136% → 36%
Q1 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
64.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 21Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+13
64.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Bryce Ford-Wheaton for 13 yds to the WVirg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
63.9%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 13:34
2ND & 8
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the WVirg 36Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 8
OWN 36
0
63.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q1 12:49
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
64.0%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 17 yds · 1:4464% → 64%
Q1 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
63.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Dillon StonerSimilar
Q1 12:35
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
63.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 10 yds to the OKSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.9%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q1 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+3
63.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Braydon Johnson for 3 yds to the OKSt 38Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+4
63.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 4 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
Q1 10:57
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
63.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 46 yds , Alec Sinkfield returns for no gain to the WVirg 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 3:2636% → 37%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+14
63.7%
Leddie Brown run for 14 yds to the WVirg 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
63.6%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to James, Sam, PENALTY OKLAST offside (Ford, Trace) 5 yards to the WESTVIR31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:26
1ST & 5
OWN 31
+18
63.4%
Leddie Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+2
63.2%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 49Similar
Q1 9:29
2ND & 8
OPP 49
+6
63.0%
Leddie Brown run for 6 yds to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 8:58
3RD & 2
OPP 43
+3
62.8%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
62.8%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 10
OPP 40
-3
63.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 43Similar
Q1 7:30
4TH & 13
OPP 43
-5
63.4%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 7:24
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
63.5%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:3263% → 64%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
63.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 11Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-1
63.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 10Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+32
62.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 32 yds to the OKSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+10
63.9%
Chuba Hubbard run for 10 yds to the WVirg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
64.2%
Shane Illingworth run for 1 yd to the WVirg 47Similar
Q1 5:11
2ND & 9
OPP 47
-5
64.2%
Shane Illingworth sacked by VanDarius Cowan for a loss of 5 yards to the OKSt 48Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 14
OWN 48
+12
63.0%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 12 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q1 3:44
4TH & 2
OPP 40
0
63.5%
Tom Hutton punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 3:4837% → 37%
Q1 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+2
63.0%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 7Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 8
OWN 7
+13
63.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 13 yds to the WVirg 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
62.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 4 yds to the WVirg 24Similar
Q1 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-1
62.2%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the WVirg 23Similar
Q1 1:28
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+9
62.6%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Reese Smith for 9 yds to the WVirg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
61.8%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 3 yds to the WVirg 35Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+3
61.5%
Jarret Doege run for 3 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 33
0
62.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
62.7%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 76 yds · 0:5163% → 68%
Q2 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
63.0%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Jelani Woods for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 14:17
2ND & 12
OWN 22
+12
62.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tavares Martin for 12 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+66
68.4%
LD Brown 66 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 7FUMBLE RETURN TD
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:3632% → 26%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.8%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 20Similar
Q2 13:26
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
68.0%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+19
68.2%
Leddie Brown run for 19 yds to the WVirg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-15
67.2%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Leddie Brown) to the WVirg 26Similar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
67.9%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Alec SinkfieldSimilar
Q2 12:32
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+41
68.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 41 yds to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
65.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 10 yds to the OKSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-5
65.5%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (James Gmiter) to the OKSt 28Similar
Q2 11:27
1ST & 15
OPP 28
0
66.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 15
OPP 28
0
66.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q2 11:07
3RD & 15
OPP 28
+56
74.1%
Tyren Irby 56 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 8FUMBLE
12 plays · 46 yds · 3:3826% → 26%
Q2 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
74.4%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 22Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+14
74.9%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 14 yds to the WVirg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+18
74.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Alec Sinkfield for 18 yds to the OKSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
74.2%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 1 yard to the OKSt 47Similar
Q2 9:08
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
75.0%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam James, broken up by Rodarius WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:03
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+18
75.4%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 18 yds to the OKSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
72.3%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to T.J. SimmonsSimilar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+5
72.8%
Leddie Brown run for 5 yds to the OKSt 24Similar
Q2 8:02
3RD & 5
OPP 24
+2
73.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 2 yds to the OKSt 22Similar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 3
OPP 22
-7
74.3%
Graeson Malashevich run for a loss of 7 yards to the OKSt 29 Graeson Malashevich fumbled, recovered by OKStSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 9FG
7 plays · 48 yds · 2:1777% → 83%
Q2 7:19
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+31
76.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 16 yds to the WVirg 45 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Personal Foul (Nicktroy Fortune) to the WVirg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
77.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 34Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+6
77.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
77.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q2 5:42
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
77.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 2 yds to the WVirg 23Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 5
OPP 23
0
77.5%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan Wallace, broken up by Nicktroy FortuneSimilar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 5
OPP 23
+40
82.5%
Alex Hale 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 10TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0719% → 27%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
81.1%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 29Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
80.7%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 30Similar
Q2 3:48
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+70
73.0%
Winston Wright Jr. 70 Yd pass from Jarret Doege (Evan Staley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 1:4273% → 75%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
72.5%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 21Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 21
0
73.0%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Tylan WallaceSimilar
Q2 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+7
72.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tavares Martin for 7 yds to the OKSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
73.9%
LD Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 31Similar
Q2 2:05
2ND & 7
OWN 31
-6
74.0%
LD Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the OKSt 25Similar
Q2 2:00
3RD & 13
OWN 25
+4
73.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the OKSt 29Similar
Q2 1:52
4TH & 9
OWN 29
0
75.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4923% → 22%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
76.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sean Ryan for 5 yds to the WVirg 36Similar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+4
76.0%
Alec Sinkfield run for 4 yds to the WVirg 40Similar
Q2 1:27
3RD & 1
OWN 40
-5
75.0%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the WVirg 35Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-3
77.3%
Alec Sinkfield run for a loss of 3 yards to the WVirg 32Similar
Q2 0:59
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 13FG
9 plays · 40 yds · 0:5077% → 83%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
76.6%
Shane Illingworth pass incomplete to Jelani WoodsSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+15
76.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 33 for a 1ST down WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Dante Stills) to the OKSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
77.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 6 yds to the WVirg 46Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+8
77.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 8 yds to the WVirg 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+7
77.6%
Chuba Hubbard run for 7 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
78.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 4 yds to the WVirg 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
79.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+44
83.1%
Alex Hale 44 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
80.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the WVirg 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:3982% → 82%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
81.7%
LD Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23Similar
Q3 14:19
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+11
81.9%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Dillon Stoner for 11 yds to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
82.6%
LD Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
82.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 16PUNT
13 plays · 29 yds · 5:2419% → 15%
Q3 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
80.8%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the WVirg 22Similar
Q3 12:36
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+3
81.2%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 25Similar
Q3 12:01
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+3
81.9%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the WVirg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
81.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q3 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+1
82.0%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the WVirg 29Similar
Q3 11:07
3RD & 9
OWN 29
+15
83.6%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Wright Jr., Winston (McCalister, Tanner), PENALTY OKLAST roughing passer (Bundage, Calvin) 15 yards to the WESTVIR44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
82.0%
Leddie Brown run for 9 yds to the OKSt 47Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
81.3%
Leddie Brown run for 3 yds to the OKSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
81.9%
Leddie Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 6
OPP 40
0
81.8%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 40Similar
Q3 8:36
3RD & 6
OPP 40
-15
82.7%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Smith, Reese, PENALTY WESTVIR illegal block 15 yards to the WESTVIR45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:25
3RD & 21
OWN 45
+2
84.8%
Leddie Brown run for 2 yds to the WVirg 47Similar
Q3 7:42
4TH & 19
OWN 47
0
85.2%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 41 yds, downed at the OKSt 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 3:1186% → 88%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
85.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the OKSt 17Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+1
86.3%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 18Similar
Q3 6:22
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+16
86.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for 16 yds to the OKSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
87.8%
Chuba Hubbard run for no gain to the OKSt 34Similar
Q3 5:12
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+3
88.0%
Chuba Hubbard run for 3 yds to the OKSt 37Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+1
88.4%
Shane Illingworth run for 1 yd to the OKSt 38Similar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
88.0%
Tom Hutton punt for 62 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 18Uncategorized
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:1414% → 13%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
86.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
86.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-6
87.0%
Jarret Doege sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 6 yards to the WVirg 14Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
87.3%
Tyler Sumpter punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dillon Stoner at the OKSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 19INT
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:2590% → 90%
Q3 3:14
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
89.7%
LD Brown run for 13 yds to the WVirg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:49
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-22
90.3%
Shane Illingworth pass intercepted Tony Fields II return for 22 yds to the OKSt 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 32 yds · 2:0513% → 15%
Q3 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
86.7%
Leddie Brown run for no gain to the OKSt 42Similar
Q3 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+15
87.4%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Ford-Wheaton, Bryce, PENALTY OKLAST pass interference (Bernard-Converse, Jarrick) 15 yards to the OKLAST27, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q3 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
86.2%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 19 yds to the OKSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
86.4%
Leddie Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 7Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
87.8%
Leddie Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the OKSt 10Similar
Q3 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
89.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Reese SmithSimilar
Q3 0:37
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+26
85.2%
Evan Staley 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:4985% → 86%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
85.4%
Chuba Hubbard run for a loss of 2 yards to the OKSt 23 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, forced by Dylan Tonkery, recovered by OKSt Josh SillsSimilar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+2
85.9%
LD Brown run for 2 yds to the OKSt 25Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.8%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 7 yds to the OKSt 32Similar
Q4 13:41
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
85.7%
Tom Hutton punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Alec Sinkfield at the WVirg 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 22FG
13 plays · 57 yds · 4:2914% → 19%
Q4 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-5
86.2%
Jarret Doege sacked by Amen Ogbongbemiga for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 12:58
2ND & 15
OWN 25
+6
87.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Leddie Brown for 6 yds to the WVirg 31Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+15
87.8%
Doege, Jarret pass incomplete to Simmons, T.J., PENALTY OKLAST face mask (Harvell-Peel, Kolby) 15 yards to the WESTVIR46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN WESTVIR.Similar
Q4 12:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.1%
Jarret Doege run for no gain to the WVirg 46Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
85.7%
Alec Sinkfield run for 15 yds to the OKSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
84.7%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 4 yds to the OKSt 35Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
83.9%
Alec Sinkfield run for 2 yds to the OKSt 33Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+14
86.3%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Sam James for 14 yds to the OKSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:48
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
85.5%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Bryce Ford-WheatonSimilar
Q4 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 19
-5
85.7%
WEST VIRGINIA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the OKSt 24Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 15
OPP 24
+11
87.1%
Jarret Doege pass complete to Winston Wright Jr. for 11 yds to the OKSt 13Similar
Q4 9:05
3RD & 4
OPP 13
0
87.6%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Sam JamesSimilar
Q4 9:01
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
81.2%
Evan Staley 30 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OKSTDrive 23TD
20 plays · 80 yds · 7:3088% → 99%
Q4 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
87.5%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the OKSt 21 Chuba Hubbard fumbled, forced by Scottie Young, recovered by OKSt Teven JenkinsSimilar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+11
87.4%
Illingworth, Shane pass incomplete to Wallace, Tylan, PENALTY WESTVIR pass interference (Fortune, Nicktroy) 11 yards to the OKLAST32, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OKLAST.Similar
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
88.5%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the OKSt 36Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+3
89.3%
Shane Illingworth run for 3 yds to the OKSt 39Similar
Q4 6:59
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+4
90.3%
LD Brown run for 4 yds to the OKSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
90.9%
LD Brown run for 1 yd to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
91.4%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tavares Martin for no gain to the OKSt 44Similar
Q4 5:35
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+14
91.3%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 14 yds to the WVirg 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
92.5%
Dezmon Jackson run for 4 yds to the WVirg 38Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+5
92.7%
Shane Illingworth pass complete to Tylan Wallace for 5 yds to the WVirg 33Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+2
94.3%
Dezmon Jackson run for 2 yds to the WVirg 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
94.7%
Chuba Hubbard run for 5 yds to the WVirg 26Similar
Q4 2:43
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+1
95.2%
Chuba Hubbard run for 1 yd to the WVirg 25Similar
Q4 2:04
3RD & 4
OPP 25
-5
95.2%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, False Start (Tavares Martin) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 1:57
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+18
95.7%
LD Brown run for 18 yds to the WVirg 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-11
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the WVirg 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by OKSt Shane IllingworthSimilar
Q4 1:17
2ND & 21
OPP 23
+23
98.7%
Chuba Hubbard 23 Yd Run (Alex Hale Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WVUDrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
9 plays · 0 yds · 0:592% → 2%
Q4 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.6%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Offside Defense (Trace Ford) to the WVirg 30Similar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Winston Wright Jr.Similar
Q4 1:08
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+9
97.5%
Jarret Doege pass complete to T.J. Simmons for 9 yds to the WVirg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
97.5%
Doege, Jarret pass complete to James, Sam for 6 yards to the WESTVIR45, PENALTY WESTVIR ineligible downfield on pass (Mays, Briason) 5 yards to the WESTVIR34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:00
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+5
97.7%
OKLAHOMA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Calvin Bundage) to the WVirg 39Similar
Q4 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
97.5%
Jarret Doege sacked by Cameron Murray for a loss of 5 yards to the WVirg 34Similar
Q4 0:26
2ND & 15
OWN 34
0
97.7%
Jarret Doege pass incomplete to Leddie Brown, broken up by Trace FordSimilar
Q4 0:18
3RD & 15
OWN 34
-9
97.8%
Jarret Doege sacked by Calvin Bundage for a loss of 9 yards to the WVirg 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 3:48
Winston Wright Jr. 70 Yd pass from Jarret Doege (Evan Staley Kick)
-7.7
TD · Q2 11:07
Tyren Irby 56 Yd Fumble Return (Alex Hale Kick)
+7.5
FG · Q4 9:01
Evan Staley 30 Yd Field Goal
-6.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com