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KSU

Kansas State 38 at Oklahoma 35

OU
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Norman, OK)
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Win probability · OU
modelOU aheadKSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOU scoreKSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:34 · TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+46.0+23.00−23.0−46.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 5:00: Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +6.1 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:36: Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +7.3 pts (now 9%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:28: Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +9.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:17: Deuce Vaughn run for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK) — KSU win probability +28.2 pts (now 45%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:32: Blake Lynch 50 yd FG GOOD — KSU win probability +25.6 pts (now 71%) (top driver: KSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 6 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00KSU 4th & 2 at KSU 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:58KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:47OU 4th & 4 at KSU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    93.6%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    93.7%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 35, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:47KSU 4th & 1 at KSU 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00KSU 4th & 5 at KSU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:31OU 4th & 1 at KSU 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−1.7
    28% to make
    Punt
    93.0%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:25KSU 4th & 6 at KSU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00KSU 4th & 1 at OU 6, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.4%
    69% to convert
    Field goal
    4.7%−1.7
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:28OU 4th & 12 at OU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.3%−1.9
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:17OU 4th & 21 at OU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−10.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:32KSU 4th & 4 at OU 32, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.1%−3.7
    51% to make
    Punt
    36.6%−9.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:32OU 4th & 7 at OU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.3%
    average punt
  14. Q4 1:42KSU 4th & 3 at KSU 34, up 3
    Close callPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5KSU made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 5:29OU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:50OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:10KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:44OU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:35OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:00KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:46OU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:36KSU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 12:28KSU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.2%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 8:17KSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.1%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OUDrive 1INT
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
95.9%
Charleston Rambo run for 21 yds to the Okla 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
95.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the Okla 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+6
95.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 6 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 47
+8
95.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 8 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
95.9%
Spencer Rattler run for 5 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-4
95.9%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Elijah Sullivan return for 4 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
95.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+6
95.9%
Deuce Vaughn run for 6 yds to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 41
0
95.9%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the KanSt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 41
0
95.9%
Ty Zentner punt for 42 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 3TD
13 plays · 83 yds · 4:3795% → 95%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
94.9%
Seth McGowan run for 2 yds to the Okla 19Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 8
OWN 19
+23
94.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 23 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-1
95.0%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 41Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+2
94.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 2 yds to the Okla 43Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+5
94.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, Defensive offside (Wyatt Hubert) to the Okla 48Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+13
95.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 13 yds to the KanSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
95.0%
KANSAS ST Penalty, personal foul (Wyatt Hubert) to the KanSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
95.0%
Spencer Rattler run for 1 yd to the KanSt 23Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+8
95.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to T.J. Pledger for 8 yds to the KanSt 15Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+4
95.0%
T.J. Pledger run for 4 yds to the KanSt 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OPP 11
0
95.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for no gain to the KanSt 11Similar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.7%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 11 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:316% → 6%
Q1 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Wykeen GillSimilar
Q1 5:29
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
94.5%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 5 yards to the KanSt 22 Deuce Vaughn fumbled, recovered by KanSt Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q1 5:29
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
94.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q1 3:58
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
94.4%
Jack Blumer punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Marvin Mims at the Okla 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 5TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:5794% → 96%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-8
94.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 28 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Okla 18Similar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+20
94.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 20 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
94.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 13 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
94.6%
Rambo, C. pass incomplete to Rattler, S. (Sullivan, E.), PENALTY OU ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the OU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+6
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 6 yds to the KanSt 48Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OWN 0
0
94.4%
Rattler, S. pass complete to Mims, Marvin for 32 yards to the KS16 (Elder, Ross), PENALTY OU ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, PENALTY KS face mask off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-2
94.6%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Kirmari Gainous for a loss of 2 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 11
50
-4
94.4%
T.J. Pledger run for 6 yds to the OKLAHOMA 44 OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Austin Stogner) to the Okla 46Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+11
94.4%
Seth McGowan run for 11 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q1 3:47
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+11
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 11 yds to the KanSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
95.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 32 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
94.9%
Joshua Youngblood run for 3 yds to the KanSt 23Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
94.9%
Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
94.9%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the KanSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
94.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 6 yds to the KanSt 37Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+2
94.8%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 39
-5
94.8%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 34Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 7
OWN 34
+6
94.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 6 yds to the KanSt 40Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 40
-5
94.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Christian Duffie) to the KanSt 35Similar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 6
OWN 35
-2
95.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 42 yds , Marvin Mims returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 7INT
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
95.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the Okla 22Similar
Q2 10:39
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+9
95.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 9 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
95.2%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Justin Gardner return for no gain to the KanSt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 4:375% → 8%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
94.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 1 yd to the KanSt 36Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+2
94.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Tyler Burns for 2 yds to the KanSt 38Similar
Q2 9:47
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+6
94.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for 6 yds to the KanSt 44Similar
Q2 9:47
4TH & 1
OWN 44
+5
94.6%
Skylar Thompson run for 5 yds to the KanSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
94.5%
Tyler Burns run for 3 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+17
94.4%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Samuel Wheeler for 17 yds to the Okla 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-8
94.3%
Phillip Brooks run for a loss of 8 yards to the Okla 39Similar
Q2 9:47
2ND & 18
OPP 39
0
94.7%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Malik KnowlesSimilar
Q2 5:10
3RD & 18
OPP 39
+39
92.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Chabastin Taylor for 39 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 9TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:2692% → 95%
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.3%
Seth McGowan run for 12 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
92.6%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the Okla 42Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+13
92.8%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 13 yds to the KanSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
92.9%
T.J. Pledger run for 6 yds to the KanSt 39Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 39
+6
92.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 6 yds to the KanSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
93.0%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 4 yds to the KanSt 29Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
93.0%
Seth McGowan run for 8 yds to the KanSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
93.0%
Seth McGowan run for 7 yds to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+5
93.0%
T.J. Pledger run for 5 yds to the KanSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:44
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
95.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 9 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 0:44
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
94.3%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KanSt 14Similar
Q2 0:44
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+1
94.3%
Tyler Burns run for 1 yd to the KanSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
94.2%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 6 yds to the KanSt 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
93.9%
Keyon Mozee run for 2 yds to the KanSt 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-3
94.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Wykeen Gill for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
94.4%
Jack Blumer punt for 33 yds, downed at the Okla 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 12DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 3:1595% → 93%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
94.5%
T.J. Pledger run for a loss of 3 yards to the Okla 34Similar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+12
94.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to T.J. Pledger for 12 yds to the Okla 46Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 1
OWN 46
+2
94.5%
T.J. Pledger run for 2 yds to the Okla 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
94.7%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Wyatt Hubert for a loss of 5 yards to the Okla 43 Spencer Rattler fumbled, recovered by Okla Spencer Rattler , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+5
94.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 5 yds to the Okla 48Similar
Q3 12:46
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+9
94.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 9 yds to the KanSt 43Similar
Q3 9:31
4TH & 1
OPP 43
0
93.4%
Spencer Rattler run for no gain to the KanSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-7
92.8%
Skylar Thompson sacked by DaShaun White for a loss of 7 yards to the KanSt 36Similar
Q3 9:25
2ND & 17
OWN 36
0
93.6%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Tre BrownSimilar
Q3 9:25
3RD & 17
OWN 36
+11
93.7%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 11 yds to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 9:25
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
93.0%
Ty Zentner punt for 40 yds, downed at the Okla 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:5094% → 99%
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+29
93.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Austin Stogner for 29 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+20
94.0%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the KanSt 47 for a 1ST down KANSAS ST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+13
94.1%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Wease for 13 yds to the KanSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
94.1%
Seth McGowan run for 4 yds to the KanSt 21Similar
Q3 6:35
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+21
98.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Jeremiah Hall for 21 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 15TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:352% → 9%
Q3 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+77
97.9%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 77 yds to the Okla 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.4%
Skylar Thompson run for no gain to the Okla 1Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
91.3%
Skylar Thompson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:1494% → 99%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.0%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds to the Okla 30Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+13
94.1%
Rattler, S. pass incomplete to Mims, Marvin (Jones II, Will), PENALTY KS pass interference (Jones II, Will) 13 yards to the OU43, 1ST DOWN OU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Marvin Mims for 1 yd to the Okla 44Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
94.5%
Spencer Rattler pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+51
94.9%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 51 yds to the KanSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.0%
Seth McGowan run for 5 yds for a TD, (Gabe Brkic KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:102% → 9%
Q3 2:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.2%
KANSAS ST Penalty, false start (Noah Johnson) to the KanSt 20Similar
Q3 2:46
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Phillip BrooksSimilar
Q3 2:46
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+78
98.3%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Justin Gardner for 78 yds to the Okla 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
91.0%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 18FUMBLE
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0096% → 97%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.2%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Charleston Rambo for 17 yds to the Okla 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-11
96.6%
Seth McGowan run for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 38 Seth McGowan fumbled, forced by Jahron McPherson, recovered by KanSt Drew WileySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 19TD
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:478% → 17%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-15
92.1%
KANSAS ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jahron McPherson) to the KanSt 47Similar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
92.4%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Jaden DavisSimilar
Q3 1:15
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
92.6%
Malik Knowles run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 7
50
+35
92.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 35 yds to the Okla 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+6
92.1%
Jacardia Wright run for 6 yds to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 9
0
92.1%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for no gain to the Okla 9Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+3
92.5%
Skylar Thompson run for 3 yds to the Okla 6Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 6
+2
92.8%
Skylar Thompson run for 2 yds to the Okla 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
82.9%
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 20PUNT
13 plays · 33 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
89.9%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston RamboSimilar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
89.7%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-5
89.1%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, false start (T.J. Pledger) to the Okla 7Similar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+25
88.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Theo Howard for 25 yds to the Okla 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
90.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 1 yd to the Okla 33Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+14
89.8%
Seth McGowan run for 14 yds to the Okla 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
91.2%
McGowan, Seth rush for no gain to the OU47 (Trussell, S.;47), PENALTY OU holding (Hayes, Marquis) 10 yards to the OU37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 20
OWN 37
+3
90.1%
T.J. Pledger run for 3 yds to the Okla 40Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+10
90.4%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to T.J. Pledger for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 12:28
3RD & 7
50
0
90.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo WeaseSimilar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 7
50
-5
89.7%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 45Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 12
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Reeves Mundschau punt blocked by AJ Parker blocked by AJ ParkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 21TD
2 plays · 38 yds · 0:1017% → 45%
Q4 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
83.0%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Chabastin Taylor, broken up by Perrion WinfreySimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+38
54.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 62%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
65.5%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Okla 20Similar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
65.2%
Spencer Rattler run for 7 yds to the Okla 27Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+10
65.6%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Drake Stoops for 10 yds to the Okla 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
67.2%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to T.J. PledgerSimilar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
66.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Austin StognerSimilar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 0
0
62.6%
PENALTY OU holding off-setting, PENALTY KS holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-11
64.2%
Spencer Rattler sacked by Bronson Massie for a loss of 11 yards to the Okla 26Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 21
OWN 26
0
61.7%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Phillip Brooks at the KanSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 23FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 2:0046% → 71%
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+23
53.6%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Phillip Brooks for 23 yds to the Okla 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
50.7%
Deuce Vaughn run for 2 yds to the Okla 36Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-5
50.9%
KANSAS ST Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass (Briley Moore) to the Okla 41Similar
Q4 6:32
2ND & 13
OPP 41
0
52.8%
Skylar Thompson pass incomplete to Deuce VaughnSimilar
Q4 6:32
3RD & 13
OPP 41
+9
54.8%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 9 yds to the Okla 32Similar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+50
29.2%
Blake Lynch 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 35%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.3%
Spencer Rattler pass complete to Brayden Willis for 3 yds to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
39.8%
T.J. Pledger run for no gain to the Okla 28Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-10
36.8%
OKLAHOMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Tyrese Robinson) to the Okla 18Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+10
36.3%
Rattler, S. sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OU11 (Duke, Khalid), PENALTY KS holding 10 yards to the OU28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
36.8%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Theo Wease, broken up by AJ ParkerSimilar
Q4 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
34.8%
Reeves Mundschau punt for 45 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:0777% → 86%
Q4 2:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
23.2%
Deuce Vaughn run for a loss of 3 yards to the KanSt 24Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 13
OWN 24
-5
24.0%
Thompson, S. pass complete to Wheeler, Sammy for 8 yards to the KS32 (Turner-Yell, D.), PENALTY KS ineligible downfield on pass (Wheeler, Sammy) 5 yards to the KS19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 18
OWN 19
+7
24.0%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Briley Moore for 7 yds to the KanSt 26Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+8
15.5%
Skylar Thompson pass complete to Deuce Vaughn for 8 yds to the KanSt 34Similar
Q4 1:42
4TH & 3
OWN 34
+41
14.4%
Jack Blumer punt for 41 yds , Marvin Mims returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Okla 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OUDrive 26INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q4 0:49
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
19.6%
Spencer Rattler pass incomplete to Charleston Rambo, broken up by Ekow Boye-DoeSimilar
Q4 0:49
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
18.9%
Spencer Rattler pass intercepted Jahron McPherson return for no gain to the Okla 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KSUDrive 27END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
4.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Okla 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:17
Deuce Vaughn run for 38 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
-28.2
FG · Q4 4:32
Blake Lynch 50 yd FG GOOD
-25.6
TD · Q4 12:28
Skylar Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Blake Lynch KICK)
-9.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com