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TEX

Texas 63 at Texas Tech 56

TTU
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Jones AT&T Stadium
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Win probability · TTU
modelTTU aheadTEX aheadconfidence bandkey playTTU scoreTEX score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 5:58 · Trey Wolff 46 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 127Pregame prior−20.0Home team on offense−11.9Score differential−5.9Garbage-time factor−5.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.1Time remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 0:44: T.J. Vasher 29 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +20.6 pts (now 40%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 0:00: SaRodorick Thompson 10 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +33.1 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 6:12: T.J. Vasher 18 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick) — TTU win probability +24.2 pts (now 92%) (top driver: TTU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 0:40: Joshua Moore 18 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Brennan Eagles for Two-Point Conversion) — TEX win probability +52.7 pts (now 64%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 12 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK) — TEX win probability +18.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: TEX has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TTU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TEX made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 4:24TEX 4th & 6 at TTU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%
    64% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−0.9
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:50TTU 4th & 7 at TTU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:44TTU 4th & 8 at TTU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:37TEX 4th & 10 at TEX 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:11TEX 4th & 7 at TEX 28, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.7%−0.7
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.4%
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:08TEX 4th & 6 at TEX 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.3%−0.8
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:21TTU 4th & 6 at TTU 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.2%−1.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:58TTU 4th & 10 at TEX 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.2%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.9%
    60% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−4.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:37TEX 4th & 21 at TEX 32, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−4.8
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:23TEX 4th & 1 at TTU 21, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    45.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    41.5%−4.2
    74% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−17.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:47TEX 4th & 9 at TTU 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.8%−1.5
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.2%
    89% to make
    Punt
    27.4%−14.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:23TTU 4th & 10 at TTU 25, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−4.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.3%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:12TEX 4th & 26 at TEX 19, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.2%−1.6
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:00TTU 4th & 5 at TTU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.6%−4.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TTU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8TEX made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 9:11TEX Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:00TTU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:41TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:11TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:48TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:44TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:08TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:08TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 12:21TEX Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 0:44TTU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 0:00TTU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 6:12TTU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 3:13TTU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.9%−0.6
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 2:39TEX Touchdown, down 9 before the try
    Numbers favored go for two by 1.4 ptsKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.0%−1.4
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.4%
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 0:40TEX Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    19.5%−5.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    25.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEXDrive 1TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 5:1591% → 90%
Q1 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
9.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the Texas 30Similar
Q1 14:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+12
9.2%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the Texas 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
9.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 4 yds to the Texas 46Similar
Q1 13:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+8
9.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 8 yds to the TexTc 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
9.6%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the TexTc 46Similar
Q1 12:15
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+5
9.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the TexTc 41Similar
Q1 12:00
3RD & 5
OPP 41
+11
10.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 11 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+9
10.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 9 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q1 11:18
2ND & 1
OPP 21
+9
10.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 9 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
10.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 10:20
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
10.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for no gain to the TexTc 9Similar
Q1 9:25
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+5
11.0%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the TexTc 4Similar
Q1 9:21
4TH & 2
OPP 4
+2
11.1%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (2 Yards) to the TexTc 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.2%
Sam Ehlinger 2 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:4511% → 13%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
10.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+22
10.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 22 yds to the Texas 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+18
11.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 18 yds to the Texas 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+12
11.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 12 yds to the Texas 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
11.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the Texas 13Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+13
12.8%
KeSean Carter 13 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 3FG
10 plays · 32 yds · 2:2188% → 87%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
12.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 5 yds to the Texas 47Similar
Q1 6:25
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+11
12.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brennan Eagles for 11 yds to the TexTc 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
12.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 7 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 35
+5
12.4%
Roschon Johnson run for 5 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+4
12.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 4:57
2ND & 6
OPP 26
0
12.6%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the TexTc 26Similar
Q1 4:29
3RD & 6
OPP 26
0
12.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q1 4:24
4TH & 6
OPP 26
+43
12.9%
Cameron Dicker 43 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2013% → 13%
Q1 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
12.8%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 28Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
12.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q1 3:59
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
12.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to John HolcombSimilar
Q1 3:50
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
12.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 42 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 5TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:4987% → 89%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
13.3%
Bijan Robinson run for 4 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+5
13.4%
Bijan Robinson run for 5 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
13.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:08
1ST & 10
50
+6
13.2%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Marcus Washington for 6 yds to the TexTc 44Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+14
13.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 14 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
13.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexTc 31Similar
Q1 0:41
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+31
11.5%
Joshua Moore 31 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:2612% → 12%
Q1 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
11.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Chadarius Townsend for 2 yds to the TexTc 27Similar
Q1 0:01
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
11.9%
Chadarius Townsend run for no gain to the TexTc 27Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
11.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q2 14:44
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
11.6%
Austin McNamara punt for 41 yds, fair catch by D'Shawn Jamison at the Texas 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5988% → 87%
Q2 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
12.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
12.3%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the Texas 32Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
12.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q2 13:37
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
13.0%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 17 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 8TD
4 plays · 49 yds · 0:5913% → 17%
Q2 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
12.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 16 yds to the Texas 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
13.2%
Price, Myles pass incomplete to Cleveland, Trey, PENALTY TEXAS pass interference 15 yards to the TEXAS18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-4
13.3%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 22Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 14
OPP 22
+22
17.4%
KeSean Carter 22 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 9INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-22
17.1%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Chris Brown return for 22 yds to the Texas 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 10TD
11 plays · 51 yds · 3:4385% → 88%
Q2 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
15.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 5 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q2 11:07
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+3
15.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 3 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q2 11:05
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-5
15.3%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 48Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+11
15.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Cade Brewer for 11 yds to the TexTc 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
15.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Al'Vonte Woodard for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+2
15.3%
Keaontay Ingram run for 2 yds to the TexTc 29Similar
Q2 8:55
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+4
16.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the TexTc 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
15.8%
Roschon Johnson run for no gain to the TexTc 25Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+24
15.6%
Sam Ehlinger run for 24 yds to the TexTc 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
11.8%
Roschon Johnson 1 Yd Run (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:0113% → 22%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.5%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
12.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Ja'Lynn Polk for 6 yds to the TexTc 31Similar
Q2 7:04
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
12.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 5 yds to the TexTc 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
13.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Xavier White for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q2 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
13.3%
Xavier White run for 6 yds to the TexTc 45Similar
Q2 6:06
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+8
13.4%
Xavier White run for 8 yds to the Texas 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
13.9%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+3
13.8%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 3 yds to the Texas 44Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+18
13.9%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 18 yds to the Texas 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
14.7%
Myles Price run for 7 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+19
21.6%
Erik Ezukanma 19 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:0281% → 80%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.7%
Bijan Robinson run for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
18.6%
Bijan Robinson run for no gain to the Texas 28Similar
Q2 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
19.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q2 3:11
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
20.5%
Ryan Bujcevski punt blocked by Jacob Morgenstern blocked by Jacob Morgenstern Joshua Moore run for a loss of 11 yards to the Texas 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 13INT
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:2523% → 22%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
22.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 6 yards to the Texas 23 TEAM fumbled, recovered by TexTc Alan BowmanSimilar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 16
OPP 23
-71
21.7%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Chris Adimora return for 71 yds to the TexTc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 14TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:5583% → 88%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
16.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 5 yds to the TexTc 14Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+6
16.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 6 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
16.7%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 6Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
16.7%
TEXAS TECH Penalty, Defensive Offside (3 Yards) to the TexTc 3Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
12.4%
Brenden Schooler 3 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:5213% → 13%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
13.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q2 0:01
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-8
13.3%
Xavier White run for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 22 Alan Bowman fumbled, recovered by TexTc Xavier WhiteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 16FUMBLE RETURN TD
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:4714% → 22%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
14.0%
Alan Bowman pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
14.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for 5 yds to the TexTc 30Similar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
13.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 14:08
4TH & 5
OPP 30
0
21.5%
Xavier Martin 0 Yd Fumble Return (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:3278% → 77%
Q3 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
21.9%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the Texas 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
21.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 4 yds to the Texas 41Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 6
OWN 41
0
20.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Tarik BlackSimilar
Q3 13:16
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
21.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Cade BrewerSimilar
Q3 13:08
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
22.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Adrian Frye at the TexTc 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 18PUNT TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:2923% → 13%
Q3 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
23.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 4 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
23.4%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 6
OWN 23
0
22.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 6
OWN 23
+2
13.2%
Jahdae Barron 2 Yd Return of Blocked Punt (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 19MISSED FG
15 plays · 47 yds · 5:5714% → 14%
Q3 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
14.2%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Myles Price for 8 yds to the TexTc 33Similar
Q3 11:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
14.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
14.6%
Thompson, SaRodorick rush for no gain to the TEXASTECH35, PENALTY TEXAS personal foul (Sweat, T'Vondre) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TEXASTECH.Similar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
50
+5
15.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Texas 45Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
16.2%
Bowman, Alan pass complete to Price, Myles for 25 yards to the TEXAS20, PENALTY TEXASTECH illegal touching (Price, Myles) 0 yards to the TEXAS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:45
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
16.0%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 6 yds to the Texas 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
16.5%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 42Similar
Q3 8:45
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+8
16.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 8 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 8:15
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+6
16.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Travis Koontz for 6 yds to the Texas 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
17.7%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 9 yds to the Texas 19Similar
Q3 7:36
2ND & 1
OPP 15
-6
17.8%
Chadarius Townsend run for 4 yds to the Texas 15 TEXAS TECH Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 25Similar
Q3 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+1
18.0%
Chadarius Townsend run for 1 yd to the Texas 24Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 6
OPP 24
-4
16.9%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 10
OPP 28
+46
14.4%
Trey Wolff 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 4 yds · 2:2185% → 84%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
14.7%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Texas 23Similar
Q3 5:20
1ST & 15
OWN 23
+11
14.8%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Bijan Robinson for 11 yds to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+9
14.0%
Roschon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-9
13.1%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 44 TEXAS Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Texas 34Similar
Q3 4:30
1ST & 19
OWN 34
-2
14.6%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Texas 32Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & 21
OWN 32
0
14.9%
Joshua Moore pass incomplete to Sam EhlingerSimilar
Q3 3:49
3RD & 21
OWN 32
0
15.6%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q3 3:37
4TH & 21
OWN 32
0
16.1%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Adrian Frye at the TexTc 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 2:0616% → 40%
Q3 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
15.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 35Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-8
15.6%
Alan Bowman pass complete to SaRodorick Thompson for a loss of 8 yards to the TexTc 27Similar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+22
14.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to T.J. Vasher for 22 yds to the TexTc 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
17.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 4 yds to the TEXASTECH 47 for a 1ST down TEXAS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Texas 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
19.3%
Alan Bowman pass complete to KeSean Carter for 3 yds to the Texas 29Similar
Q3 0:44
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
39.9%
T.J. Vasher 29 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 22INT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:2671% → 69%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.4%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 3 yds to the Texas 28Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
29.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brennan EaglesSimilar
Q3 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-24
31.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass intercepted Alex Hogan return for 24 yds to the Texas 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 23TD
1 play · 10 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q3 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
64.2%
SaRodorick Thompson 10 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 24FG
13 plays · 64 yds · 3:5839% → 51%
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+26
61.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 26 yds to the TexTc 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+7
56.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Marcus Washington for 7 yds to the TexTc 40Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 3
OPP 40
+10
57.1%
Keaontay Ingram run for 10 yds to the TexTc 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
55.7%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Marcus WashingtonSimilar
Q4 13:04
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+6
56.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 6 yds to the TexTc 24Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+3
58.8%
Roschon Johnson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 21Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
61.6%
Roschon Johnson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
57.3%
Roschon Johnson run for 12 yds to the TexTc 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-3
57.9%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexTc 10Similar
Q4 11:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
58.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 1 yd to the TexTc 9Similar
Q4 10:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
61.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Joshua MooreSimilar
Q4 10:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+26
49.4%
Cameron Dicker 26 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:2055% → 52%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
54.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
Q4 10:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
54.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Dalton RigdonSimilar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
53.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 10:23
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
52.2%
Austin McNamara punt for 47 yds, downed at the Texas 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 26FUMBLE
5 plays · -21 yds · 1:3948% → 40%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
52.2%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Schooler, Brenden for 16 yards to the TEXAS44, PENALTY TEXAS holding 10 yards to the TEXAS18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:57
1ST & 20
OWN 18
0
53.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:29
2ND & 20
OWN 18
-3
53.9%
Roschon Johnson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Texas 15Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & 23
OWN 15
-8
56.6%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Tyree Wilson for a loss of 8 yards to the Texas 7Similar
Q4 8:25
4TH & 31
OWN 7
0
59.8%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 49 yds , Adrian Frye returns for no gain to the TexTc 44 Adrian Frye fumbled, recovered by TexTc Adrian FryeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 27TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:3863% → 92%
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
62.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 2 yds to the TexTc 46Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+6
63.1%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Travis Koontz for 6 yds to the Texas 48Similar
Q4 7:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
63.6%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 5 yds to the Texas 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
65.0%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 12 yds to the Texas 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
67.4%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 13 yds to the Texas 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
91.6%
T.J. Vasher 18 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · -16 yds · 1:1812% → 8%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
88.3%
Sam Ehlinger run for 1 yd to the Texas 36Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+7
88.9%
Sam Ehlinger run for 7 yds to the Texas 43Similar
Q4 5:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-15
87.9%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Washington, Marcus for 1 yard to the TEXAS44, PENALTY TEXAS personal foul 15 yards to the TEXAS28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 17
OWN 28
-9
91.7%
Sam Ehlinger sacked by Eli Howard for a loss of 9 yards to the Texas 19Similar
Q4 4:12
4TH & 26
OWN 19
0
91.9%
Ryan Bujcevski punt for 59 yds , Adrian Frye returns for no gain to the TexTc 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 29TD
2 plays · 78 yds · 0:2793% → 98%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
93.4%
SaRodorick Thompson run for 3 yds to the TexTc 25Similar
Q4 3:13
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+75
98.1%
SaRodorick Thompson 75 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 30TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 0:213% → 14%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+27
97.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 27 yds to the TexTc 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
96.3%
Sam Ehlinger pass incomplete to Brenden SchoolerSimilar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+20
96.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Kai Money for 20 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:39
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.6%
Brennan Eagles 12 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Cameron Dicker Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 31TD
10 plays · 42 yds · 1:2010% → 64%
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
90.2%
Sam Ehlinger run for 3 yds to the TexTc 39Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+12
89.9%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 12 yds to the TexTc 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
87.1%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Keaontay Ingram for 4 yds to the TexTc 23Similar
Q4 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
87.4%
Sam Ehlinger run for 5 yds to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 0:57
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+10
88.5%
Sam Ehlinger run for 10 yds to the TexTc 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
87.6%
Ehlinger, Sam pass complete to Schooler, Brenden for 3 yards to the TEXASTECH5, PENALTY TEXAS ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the TEXASTECH13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
-5
88.6%
TEXAS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the TexTc 18Similar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 0
OPP 18
+18
35.9%
Joshua Moore 18 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Brennan Eagles for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 32PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:4055% → 55%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
55.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
54.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Erik Ezukanma for 13 yds to the TexTc 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
58.2%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to T.J. VasherSimilar
Q4 0:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
57.7%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Erik EzukanmaSimilar
Q4 0:09
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+5
55.5%
Alan Bowman pass complete to Dalton Rigdon for 5 yds to the TexTc 43Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
54.7%
Austin McNamara punt for 56 yds, downed at the Texas 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEXDrive 33TD
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0060% → 78%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
40.5%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Brenden Schooler for 1 yd to the TexTc 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+12
40.5%
Keaontay Ingram run for 12 yds to the TexTc 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
22.0%
Sam Ehlinger pass complete to Joshua Moore for 12 yds for a TD (Cameron Dicker KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TTUDrive 34Uncategorized
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0028% → 16%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-4
28.1%
SaRodorick Thompson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Texas 29Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 29
0
20.9%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to Travis KoontzSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 14
OPP 29
0
18.5%
Alan Bowman pass incomplete to SaRodorick ThompsonSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 14
OPP 29
0
15.7%
Alan Bowman pass intercepted Caden Sterns return for no gain to the Texas 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:40
Joshua Moore 18 Yd pass from Sam Ehlinger (Sam Ehlinger Pass to Brennan Eagles for Two-Point Conversion)
-52.7
TD · Q3 0:00
SaRodorick Thompson 10 Yd Run (Trey Wolff Kick)
+33.1
TD · Q4 6:12
T.J. Vasher 18 Yd pass from Alan Bowman (Trey Wolff Kick)
+24.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com