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KU

Kansas 14 at Baylor 47

BAY
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · McLane Stadium
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Win probability · BAY
modelBAY aheadKU aheadconfidence bandkey playBAY scoreKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDSAFETYTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:07 · Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+38.0+19.00−19.0−38.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 121Pregame prior+17.7Home team on offense+23.5Score differential+14.9Garbage-time factor+4.7Blowout margin+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:29: Pooka Williams Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD BAYLOR Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Jacob Borcila KICK) — KU win probability +1.8 pts (now 14%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 8:07: John Mayers 47 yd FG GOOD — KU win probability +2.2 pts (now 19%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:13: Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 18 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +4.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:07: John Lovett run for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK) — BAY win probability +4.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: BAY has the ball).
  5. SAFETY · Q4 12:50: Jalon Daniels sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETY — BAY win probability +0.9 pts (now 100%) (top driver: KU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 6KU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:29BAY 4th & 12 at BAY 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.9%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42KU 4th & 1 at BAY 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    15.6%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    15.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:24KU 4th & 13 at BAY 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 16.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    16.2%
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00BAY 4th & 1 at KU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.0%−0.4
    64% to make
    Punt
    80.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:07BAY 4th & 15 at KU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.7%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.6%
    56% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:07KU 4th & 7 at KU 28, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.1%−0.5
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:13KU 4th & 9 at KU 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:17BAY 4th & 2 at BAY 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.9%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:19KU 4th & 11 at BAY 34, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 14.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.6%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    15.3%
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−1.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00KU 4th & 11 at KU 22, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:07KU 4th & 8 at KU 38, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:07BAY 4th & 8 at BAY 25, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:27KU 4th & 9 at KU 33, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00BAY 4th & 28 at KU 35, up 24
    Close callPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.9%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:50KU 4th & 1 at KU 43, down 33
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:54KU 4th & 6 at KU 40, down 33
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BAY made the numbers' call on 4 of 4KU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:29KU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:24BAY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:13BAY Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:07BAY Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:03KU Touchdown, down 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:00BAY Touchdown, up 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KUDrive 1TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:3112% → 14%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
88.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 2 yds to the Kans 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+10
88.0%
Velton Gardner run for 10 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
88.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Kans 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 34
-4
88.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+19
88.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 4 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Tj Franklin) to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+23
88.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Stephon Robinson Jr. for 23 yds to the Bayl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+7
88.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the Bayl 21Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 3
OPP 21
+21
86.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 21 yds for a TD BAYLOR Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
86.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q1 11:29
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
86.4%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 33Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-10
86.4%
Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Sims,Ben for 12 yards to the BU45, PENALTY BU holding (Phillips,Casey) 10 yards to the BU23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:29
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
86.3%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to John Lovett BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:29
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
86.2%
Issac Power punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
85.2%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 46Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
85.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 10
OWN 46
+9
85.3%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 9 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
85.3%
Daniel Hishaw Jr. run for no gain to the Bayl 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 4TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:3885% → 86%
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
84.8%
John Lovett run for 19 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
84.9%
John Lovett run for 11 yds to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-1
85.1%
John Lovett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 26Similar
Q1 8:02
2ND & 11
OPP 26
+1
85.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Kans 25Similar
Q1 8:02
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+9
84.9%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 9 yds to the Kans 16Similar
Q1 8:02
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+5
84.8%
Ebner,Trestan rush for 4 yards to the KU12 (Prunty, Karon), PENALTY KU substitution infraction (Johnson,Kyron) 5 yards to the KU11, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
85.1%
Trestan Ebner run for 10 yds to the Kans 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
85.6%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 5PUNT
11 plays · 39 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
84.8%
Velton Gardner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
84.7%
Velton Gardner run for no gain to the Kans 30Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+13
84.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 13 yds to the Kans 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
84.4%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Kans 49Similar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
84.4%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 4 yards to the Kans 48 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by Kans Jalon Daniels , return for 5 yds to the Kans 48Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 5
OWN 48
+19
84.5%
Jalon Daniels run for 4 yds to the BAYLOR 48 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, personal foul (Christian Morgan) to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
84.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Velton GardnerSimilar
Q1 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
84.2%
Jalon Daniels run for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 39 Jalon Daniels fumbled, recovered by Kans Jalon Daniels , return for no gain to the Bayl 39Similar
Q1 5:24
3RD & 16
OPP 39
+3
84.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 3 yds to the Bayl 36Similar
Q1 5:24
4TH & 13
OPP 36
0
85.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 6FG
23 plays · 60 yds · 7:5483% → 81%
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
83.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:01
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+7
83.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 7 yds to the Bayl 17Similar
Q1 1:01
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+6
83.0%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Yusuf Terry for 6 yds to the Bayl 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
83.5%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Bayl 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+6
83.0%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the Bayl 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 30
-5
82.9%
BAYLOR Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+15
82.6%
Brewer,Charlie pass incomplete to Atkinson,Jared (Prunty, Karon), PENALTY KU pass interference (Prunty, Karon) 15 yards to the BU40, 1ST DOWN BU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
83.6%
John Lovett run for 5 yds to the Bayl 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
83.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 4 yds to the Bayl 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
83.6%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Kans 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
84.0%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
83.9%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+14
83.3%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 14 yds to the Kans 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
84.2%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+5
84.2%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 5 yds to the Kans 27Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
83.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 1 yd to the Kans 26Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+1
83.5%
Charlie Brewer run for 1 yd to the Kans 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
84.2%
Ebner,Trestan rush for 7 yards to the KU18 (Sampson,Caleb;Betts,Nate), PENALTY BU holding (Moore,Jason) 10 yards to the KU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 35
-4
83.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for 6 yds to the Kans 29 BAYLOR Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 24
OPP 39
+7
83.7%
Gerry Bohanon pass complete to Josh Fleeks for 7 yds to the Kans 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 17
OPP 32
+2
83.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 2 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 30
0
83.4%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. Sneed, broken up by Karon PruntySimilar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 15
OPP 30
+47
81.2%
John Mayers 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Stephon Robinson Jr.Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.7%
Jalon Daniels run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
82.1%
Jalon Daniels run for no gain to the Kans 28Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
82.6%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 8TD
7 plays · 67 yds · 2:2582% → 87%
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
81.6%
Charlie Brewer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
81.5%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 37Similar
Q2 6:38
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
81.4%
Charlie Brewer run for 7 yds to the Bayl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
82.6%
Trestan Ebner run for 2 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q2 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+8
82.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Ben Sims for 8 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:38
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
82.9%
Trestan Ebner run for 13 yds to the Kans 33 for a 1ST down KANSAS Penalty, substitution infraction (15 Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
87.1%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 18 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
85.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 4 yds to the Kans 20Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+18
86.0%
Velton Gardner run for 18 yds to the Kans 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
85.3%
Velton Gardner run for 2 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q2 4:13
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
85.2%
Velton Gardner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 39Similar
Q2 4:13
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
85.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Jamahl Horne, broken up by Jt WoodsSimilar
Q2 4:13
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
86.5%
Kyle Thompson punt for 50 yds , Trestan Ebner returns for no gain to the Bayl 39 KANSAS Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Bayl 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:4587% → 85%
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+11
86.5%
John Lovett run for 11 yds to the Bayl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
86.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 4 yds to the Bayl 31Similar
Q2 2:02
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
86.7%
John Lovett run for 4 yds to the Bayl 35Similar
Q2 2:02
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
86.5%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to R.J. SneedSimilar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
85.0%
Issac Power punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:5015% → 14%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
85.5%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Takulve Williams for 5 yds to the Kans 33Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+7
85.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Lawrence Arnold for 7 yds to the Kans 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
84.8%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (TEAM) to the Kans 35Similar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
85.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Takulve Williams, broken up by Ashton LoganSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+32
85.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 17 yds to the BAYLOR 48 for a 1ST down BAYLOR Penalty, roughing passer (Terrel Bernard) to the Bayl 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
83.1%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
83.2%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Takulve Williams, broken up by Jalen PitreSimilar
Q2 1:09
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-1
84.2%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for a loss of 1 yard to the Bayl 34Similar
Q2 0:19
4TH & 11
OPP 34
-5
86.4%
Jalon Daniels sacked by William Bradley-King and Terrel Bernard for a loss of 5 yards to the Bayl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · -17 yds · 0:0087% → 87%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-15
87.2%
Brewer,Charlie pass complete to Ebner,Trestan for 24 yards to the KU37, fumble forced by Potter,Gavin, fumble by Ebner,Trestan recovered by BU Lovett,John at KU35, PENALTY BU illegal block (Phillips,Casey) 15 yards to the BU24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 25
OWN 24
-2
86.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 13
+8
91.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Pooka Williams Jr. for 8 yds to the Kans 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+8
92.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 8 yds to the Kans 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-7
91.7%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 7 yards to the Kans 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 22
0
92.2%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 15TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 3:3193% → 97%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
92.6%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+3
92.6%
John Lovett run for 3 yds to the Bayl 44Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
92.3%
Charlie Brewer run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
50
+16
92.7%
Charlie Brewer run for 16 yds to the Kans 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
92.7%
John Lovett run for 1 yd to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
92.7%
Charlie Brewer pass incomplete to Gavin HolmesSimilar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+16
92.4%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 16 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+10
92.7%
John Lovett run for 10 yds to the Kans 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
97.4%
John Lovett run for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 16PUNT
8 plays · 13 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
97.1%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 28Similar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
97.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Takulve Williams for 8 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
97.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew Parchment, broken up by William Bradley-KingSimilar
Q3 9:07
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
97.0%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 6
OWN 40
-5
97.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Chris Hughes) to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 9:07
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+3
97.1%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 3 yds to the Kans 38Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 8
OWN 38
0
97.1%
Kyle Thompson punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trestan Ebner at the Bayl 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
97.8%
John Lovett run for no gain to the Bayl 23Similar
Q3 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+6
97.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Jared Atkinson for 6 yds to the Bayl 29Similar
Q3 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 29
-4
97.8%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Josh Fleeks for a loss of 4 yards to the Bayl 25Similar
Q3 6:07
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Issac Power punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Kwamie Lassiter II at the Kans 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
97.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the Kans 35Similar
Q3 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 35
-1
97.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 34Similar
Q3 4:27
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-1
97.9%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Tj Franklin for a loss of 1 yard to the Kans 33Similar
Q3 4:27
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
98.0%
Kyle Thompson punt for 32 yds, downed at the Bayl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:3399% → 98%
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
98.5%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to R.J. Sneed for 13 yds to the Bayl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
98.6%
John Lovett run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 8
50
-2
98.6%
John Lovett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Bayl 48Similar
Q3 2:33
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+35
98.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 35 yds to the Kans 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:33
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
98.6%
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Gavin Holmes for 1 yd to the Kans 16Similar
Q3 2:33
2ND & 9
OPP 16
0
98.6%
Trestan Ebner run for no gain to the Kans 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 16
-6
98.8%
Charlie Brewer sacked by Kenny Logan Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the Kans 35 Charlie Brewer fumbled, recovered by Bayl John Lovett , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 2 yards to the Kans 35Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 28
OPP 35
0
98.3%
Issac Power punt for 34 yds, downed at the Kans 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 20SF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:481% → 0%
Q4 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
98.9%
Velton Gardner run for 1 yd to the Kans 2Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 2
-2
99.8%
Jalon Daniels sacked by Terrel Bernard for a loss of 2 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 21TD
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:470% → 0%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
99.9%
Velton Gardner run for 3 yds to the Kans 37Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Mason Fairchild, broken up by Jackson ShuppSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+6
99.9%
Jalon Daniels run for 6 yds to the Kans 43Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 1
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Takulve Williams for 3 yds to the Kans 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 8 yds to the Bayl 46Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 2
OPP 46
+1
99.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the Bayl 45Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+13
99.8%
Velton Gardner run for 13 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Andrew ParchmentSimilar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the Bayl 27Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+7
99.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Andrew Parchment for 7 yds to the Bayl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Jacobi Lott) to the Bayl 25Similar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 15
OPP 25
-10
99.8%
Daniels, Jalon sacked for loss of 1 yard to the BU26 (Utley,Brayden;Landry,Josh), PENALTY KU holding (Gilbertson,J.) 10 yards to the BU35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 25
OPP 35
+19
99.8%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 19 yds to the Bayl 16Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+16
99.8%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 16 yds for a TD (Jacob Borcila KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BAYDrive 23TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:03100% → 100%
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-9
99.8%
Josh Fleeks run for a loss of 9 yards to the Bayl 29Similar
Q4 7:03
2ND & 19
OWN 29
+10
99.7%
Craig Williams run for 10 yds to the Bayl 39Similar
Q4 7:03
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+10
99.8%
Gerry Bohanon run for 10 yds to the Bayl 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.8%
Craig Williams run for no gain to the Bayl 49Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+23
99.8%
Craig Williams run for 23 yds to the Kans 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
99.8%
Craig Williams run for 2 yds to the Kans 26Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+26
100.0%
Craig Williams run for 26 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KUDrive 24END OF GAME
17 plays · 69 yds · 1:060% → 0%
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Velton Gardner run for 5 yds to the Kans 30Similar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Velton Gardner run for 6 yds to the Kans 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q4 4:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
100.0%
Velton Gardner run for 4 yds to the Kans 40Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Takulve WilliamsSimilar
Q4 2:54
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+13
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Kwamie Lassiter II for 13 yds to the Bayl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
100.0%
KANSAS Penalty, false start (Malik Clark) to the Kans 48Similar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+11
100.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the Bayl 41Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to Kwamie Lassiter IISimilar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+9
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Takulve Williams for 9 yds to the Bayl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
100.0%
Pooka Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the Bayl 26Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+8
100.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 8 yds to the Bayl 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
100.0%
Jalon Daniels run for 11 yds to the Bayl 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass incomplete to TEAM, broken up by Trystan SlinkerSimilar
Q4 2:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
100.0%
Jalon Daniels pass complete to Takulve Williams for 1 yd to the Bayl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:07
John Lovett run for 7 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
+4.7
TD · Q2 4:13
Charlie Brewer pass complete to Trestan Ebner for 18 yds for a TD (John Mayers KICK)
+4.2
FG · Q2 8:07
John Mayers 47 yd FG GOOD
-2.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com