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GASO

Georgia Southern 27 at Army 28

ARMY
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Michie Stadium
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Win probability · ARMY
modelARMY aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playARMY scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFUMBLETDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 4:57 · Alex Raynor 28 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+17.0+8.50−8.5−17.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 58Home team on offense−13.5Pregame prior+4.1Score differential−6.6Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:24: Shai Werts pass complete to Cam Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +11.0 pts (now 62%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:22: Braheam Murphy run for 12 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) Landon Salyers kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28 Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 28 Anthony Beck II punt blocked by Cole Mabry for a 1ST down blocked by Cole Mabry for a 1ST down for a 1ST down Kemonte Yow run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST down Anthony Beck II punt blocked by Cole Mabry blocked by Cole Mabry TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the GeoSo 2 (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — GASO win probability +5.2 pts (now 73%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 6:18: Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD — ARMY win probability +23.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 4:17: Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 39 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor PAT BLOCKED) — GASO win probability +17.0 pts (now 67%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:16: Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) — ARMY win probability +26.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARMY made the numbers' call on 7 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:03ARMY 4th & 8 at ARMY 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:22GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:45ARMY 4th & 1 at GASO 1, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.3%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    41.9%−6.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:16ARMY 4th & 9 at ARMY 37, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:57GASO 4th & 6 at ARMY 11, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.5%
    87% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−7.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:57ARMY 4th & 1 at ARMY 29, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.1%−1.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:53ARMY 4th & 3 at GASO 17, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.4
    80% to make
    Punt
    28.2%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 8:22GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.6%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:06ARMY 4th & 1 at midfield, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    39.6%−4.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25GASO 4th & 2 at ARMY 45, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    35.5%−3.6
    25% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−4.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 2:27ARMY 4th & 5 at ARMY 49, up 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:19ARMY 4th & 24 at midfield, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−8.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:55GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:45ARMY Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:24GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:18ARMY Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:17GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:16ARMY Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.7%−1.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
57.1%
Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
57.1%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
57.1%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Army 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
57.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q1 13:03
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+2
57.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q1 13:03
3RD & 5
OWN 39
-3
57.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 36Similar
Q1 13:03
4TH & 8
OWN 36
0
57.1%
Zach Harding punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
57.3%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
57.3%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
57.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 15
OWN 20
+68
57.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 58 yds, downed at the ARMY 22 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Army 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4FUMBLE
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
57.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 13Similar
Q1 9:40
2ND & 9
OWN 13
-5
57.4%
Tyhier Tyler sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 8Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 14
OWN 8
-4
57.1%
ARMY Penalty, delay of game (-4 Yards) to the Army 4Similar
Q1 9:40
3RD & 18
OWN 4
-3
57.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the Army 1 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Rashad Byrd ARMY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:4544% → 47%
Q1 7:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
56.2%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
53.2%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FUMBLE TD
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
51.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards Tyhier Tyler fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Derrick Canteen , return for 22 yds (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 7TD
18 plays · 75 yds · 8:0052% → 52%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
51.5%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the Army 30Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
51.8%
Sandon McCoy run for 4 yds to the Army 34Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
51.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
51.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
52.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-10
52.3%
Tyler, Tyhier rush for 3 yards to the GS41 (TEAM), PENALTY ARMY holding (McCleery, Luke) 10 yards to the ARMY46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+5
51.8%
Adkins, Anthony rush for 1 yard to the ARMY47 (Ellis, Justin), PENALTY GS OF (Ellis, Justin) 5 yards to the GS49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+17
52.3%
Tyhier Tyler run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
52.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+10
52.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
52.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+9
52.5%
Brandon Walters run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+3
52.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
52.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
47.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
47.1%
Cade Barnard run for no gain to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q2 13:45
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.9%
Sandon McCoy run for 1 yd for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 4:1449% → 62%
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
50.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+10
50.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 10 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 13:38
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+24
50.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
49.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 3
OPP 46
+16
48.8%
Logan Wright run for 16 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
48.8%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 13:38
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+4
48.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 4 yds to the Army 24Similar
Q2 9:24
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+24
37.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Cam Brown for 24 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
40.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+2
41.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 42Similar
Q2 9:16
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-5
41.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 5 yards to the Army 37Similar
Q2 9:16
4TH & 9
OWN 37
+6
39.5%
Zach Harding punt for 45 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 6 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 65 yds · 2:2063% → 65%
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+61
37.3%
Gerald Green run for 46 yds to the ARMY 30 for a 1ST down ARMY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Marquel Broughton) to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
35.8%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the Army 14Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 9
OPP 14
-4
35.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 18Similar
Q2 7:17
3RD & 13
OPP 18
+7
36.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 7 yds to the Army 11Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 6
OPP 11
+28
35.3%
Alex Raynor 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 11FUMBLE
14 plays · 74 yds · 3:5936% → 34%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
35.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 23Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+5
35.6%
Braheam Murphy run for 5 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+1
36.1%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 1 yd to the Army 29Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 1
OWN 29
+3
35.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
36.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+8
36.7%
A.J. Howard run for 8 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
37.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
37.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 4:57
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
37.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
37.9%
Tyhier Tyler run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-3
38.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 13
OPP 35
+25
34.0%
Tyhier Tyler pass complete to Chris Cameron for 25 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
34.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6 Tyhier Tyler fumbled, forced by Jalen Jackson, recovered by GeoSo Jalen JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 6
0
30.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the GeoSo 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 13TD
13 plays · 52 yds · 6:3133% → 27%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
33.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the Army 49Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+1
33.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
50
+9
32.6%
Tyhier Tyler run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
33.1%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 38
-1
33.2%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+5
32.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, OF (C.J. Wright) to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 3
OPP 34
+10
33.1%
Tyhier Tyler run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-12
33.8%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 21 ARMY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Tyrell Robinson) to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 22
OPP 36
+5
32.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 17
OPP 31
+14
32.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+5
32.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
27.3%
Braheam Murphy run for 12 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK) Landon Salyers kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28 Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 28 Anthony Beck II punt blocked by Cole Mabry for a 1ST down blocked by Cole Mabry for a 1ST down for a 1ST down Kemonte Yow run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST down Anthony Beck II punt blocked by Cole Mabry blocked by Cole Mabry TEAM run for a loss of 15 yards to the GeoSo 2 (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0062% → 61%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 8:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
37.2%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q3 8:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
38.3%
Shai Werts sacked by Andre Carter II for 0 yards to the GeoSo 30 Shai Werts fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 8:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+15
39.5%
TEAM punt blocked by Fabrice Voyne blocked by Fabrice Voyne Kemonte Yow return for 15 yds to the GeoSo 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 15TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q3 6:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.3%
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 2:0146% → 67%
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
54.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+27
52.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 27 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
50.2%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the Army 39Similar
Q3 4:17
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+39
33.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 39 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 17TD
20 plays · 71 yds · 10:5041% → 70%
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
40.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the Army 35Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+3
42.7%
Tyhier Tyler run for 3 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
42.6%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
43.3%
Tyrell Robinson run for 4 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+3
43.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q3 4:06
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+2
43.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:06
4TH & 1
50
+4
42.0%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
43.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for no gain to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
43.5%
Tyhier Tyler run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+10
42.6%
Tyrell Robinson run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
45.7%
Tyrell Robinson run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+4
45.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+3
43.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
45.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+5
45.8%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, OF (Gavin Adcock) to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
45.8%
Tyhier Tyler run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
45.8%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+4
43.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
70.2%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 4:5139% → 41%
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
61.1%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
58.2%
Justin Tomlin run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
59.7%
Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.4%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+7
58.2%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
57.0%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
56.3%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the Army 49Similar
Q4 8:16
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+4
55.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 2
OPP 45
0
56.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for no gain to the Army 45Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 2
OPP 45
+1
58.9%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the Army 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:5271% → 72%
Q4 3:19
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
71.4%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q4 3:19
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+4
71.5%
Jakobi Buchanan run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 4
50
-1
74.4%
Tyhier Tyler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 49Similar
Q4 2:27
4TH & 5
OWN 49
0
71.9%
Zach Harding punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20INT
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
70.4%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Darion Anderson for 19 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
69.3%
Justin Tomlin pass intercepted Andre Carter II return for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:4877% → 76%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-2
77.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 12
OPP 38
-8
76.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the GeoSo 46 ARMY Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 1:19
3RD & 20
OPP 46
-4
77.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 1:19
4TH & 24
50
0
75.6%
Zach Harding punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 44 yds · 0:1729% → 41%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+16
71.4%
Justin Tomlin run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
67.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+30
68.3%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Malik Murray for 30 yds to the Army 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
57.0%
Justin Tomlin sacked by Nolan Cockrill and Arik Smith for a loss of 2 yards to the Army 32Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 12
OPP 32
0
59.2%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+40.8
TD · Q4 8:16
Jakobi Buchanan run for 2 yds for a TD (Quinn Maretzki KICK)
+26.8
TD · Q3 6:18
Sandon McCoy run for 2 yds for a TD
+23.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com