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TULN

Tulane 66 at Southern Miss 24

USM
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · M. M. Roberts Stadium
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Win probability · USM
modelUSM aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUSM scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:03 · Griffin Fleming punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 40 , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 15 yds to the SoMis 40
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+58.5+29.30−29.3−58.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 174Home team on offense−54.6Score differential−43.0Garbage-time factor−19.6Pregame prior−0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−6.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−8.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:57: Jack Abraham pass complete to Naricuss Driver for 61 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK) — USM win probability +6.6 pts (now 56%) (top driver: USM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:14: Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.2 pts (now 57%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Cameron Carroll run for 30 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +10.2 pts (now 70%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:36: Cameron Carroll run for 52 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +12.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:49: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 42 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 8 (Merek Glover KICK) SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined — TULN win probability +10.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
USM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 11:26TULN 4th & 4 at TULN 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:58USM 4th & 3 at USM 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:47TULN 4th & 1 at USM 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    50.7%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    50.7%−0.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:57TULN 4th & 10 at USM 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    46.5%−0.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    46.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:47USM 4th & 9 at USM 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.1%−0.5
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:36TULN 4th & 7 at TULN 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:14USM 4th & 4 at USM 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.5%−0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:41TULN 4th & 6 at USM 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.1%−0.3
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    68% to make
    Punt
    49.2%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:22USM 4th & 11 at USM 13, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−2.8
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:31USM 4th & 1 at TULN 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−2.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−2.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:18USM 4th & 7 at TULN 32, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.2%−<0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    18.2%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:51TULN 4th & 8 at USM 31, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.6%
    54% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:51USM 4th & 13 at USM 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−1.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 4:03USM 4th & 21 at USM 2, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00USM 4th & 21 at USM 14, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:53TULN 4th & 2 at USM 35, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.9%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.2
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:03USM 4th & 19 at USM 16, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
USM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 11:26USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:31USM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 6:58TULN Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 14:01TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 12:57USM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 6:14TULN Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:41TULN Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 14:36TULN Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 4:49TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 1:57TULN Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:03TULN Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:03TULN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USMDrive 1TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3444% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
43.9%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 10 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+36
43.9%
Dee Baker run for 36 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
43.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+3
43.9%
Don Ragsdale run for 3 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 26
+9
43.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 9 yds to the Tulan 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
43.9%
Don Ragsdale run for 2 yds to the Tulan 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 15
-2
43.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 17Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
43.9%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Jaylon Monroe) to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+15
43.9%
ABRAHAM, Jack pass incomplete to ROBINSON, A., PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Monroe,J.) 15 yards to the TULANE2, 1ST DOWN USM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
46.7%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
46.0%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
45.9%
Keon Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 4
OWN 46
0
45.9%
Keon Howard pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 4
OWN 46
0
46.1%
Ryan Wright punt for 42 yds, downed at the SoMis 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 3TD
1 play · 88 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
48.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 88 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 5INT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.5%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+11
48.5%
Demarcus Jones run for 11 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
48.6%
Jack Abraham run for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 35Similar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+5
48.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 5 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+22
48.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Antoine Robinson for 22 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
48.9%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:31
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
48.9%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-52
48.7%
Jack Abraham pass intercepted Kevaris Hall return for 52 yds to the SoMis 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6TD
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:4150% → 52%
Q1 7:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
50.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 5 yds to the SoMis 3Similar
Q1 7:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
50.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 1 yd to the SoMis 2Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
48.2%
Tyjae Spears run for 2 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 49%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
49.3%
Dee Baker run for 3 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+3
49.7%
Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 41Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+1
49.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Kevin Perkins for 1 yd to the SoMis 42Similar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
49.0%
Griffin Fleming punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:4650% → 55%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
50.4%
Carroll,C. rush right for loss of 12 yards to the TULANE11, out-of-bounds, PENALTY TULANE holding 7 yards to the TULANE16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 17
OWN 16
0
50.5%
Keon Howard pass complete to Amare Jones for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 17
OWN 16
+4
50.6%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 13
OWN 20
+10
51.0%
Pratt,M. sacked for loss of 5 yards to the TULANE15 (LATHAM, S.), PENALTY USM player disqualification (LATHAM, S.) 10 yards to the TULANE30, 1ST DOWN TULANE, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+23
50.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 23 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
49.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SoMis 45Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
49.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the SoMis 42Similar
Q1 4:47
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
49.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 4 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q1 4:47
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
49.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the SoMis 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
49.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+3
49.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 3 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+12
51.5%
Tyjae Spears run for 12 yds to the SoMis 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
50.4%
Tyjae Spears run for 6 yds to the SoMis 15Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+15
44.8%
Tyjae Spears run for 15 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0448% → 56%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 13 yds to the SoMis 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
48.9%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 39Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+61
55.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Naricuss Driver for 61 yds for a TD (Briggs Bourgeois KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 26 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
53.7%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+23
53.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Amare Jones for 23 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
52.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
52.4%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
53.2%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:57
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
54.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 17 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 29 yds · 2:4556% → 56%
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
55.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Dee Baker for 5 yds to the SoMis 25Similar
Q2 11:32
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
55.3%
Kevin Perkins run for 4 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
55.8%
Jack Abraham run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+10
57.0%
Don Ragsdale run for 10 yds to the SoMis 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
57.1%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jason BrownleeSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+1
56.8%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 49 SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+4
55.8%
Jack Abraham run for 4 yds to the SoMis 29Similar
Q2 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 49
0
57.2%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:47
4TH & 9
OWN 49
0
56.0%
Griffin Fleming punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
56.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the Tulan 18Similar
Q2 8:36
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+2
56.9%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulan 20Similar
Q2 8:36
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
57.6%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:36
4TH & 7
OWN 20
0
58.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds , Natrone Brooks returns for no gain to the SoMis 35 Natrone Brooks fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by TulanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:0046% → 57%
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
54.0%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 10
OPP 35
-3
54.2%
Huderson,S. rush up middle for 13 yards to the USM22 (HEMBY, Ky'el;SYKES, Tahj), PENALTY TULANE holding 3 yards to the USM32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:14
2ND & 13
OPP 32
+16
55.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 16 yds to the SoMis 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
42.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q2 6:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
49.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q2 6:14
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+6
49.5%
Don Ragsdale run for 6 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q2 6:14
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
49.0%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:14
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
48.0%
Griffin Fleming punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:3555% → 59%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
44.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+1
44.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+4
44.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Amare Jones for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
50
+10
43.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 10 yds to the SoMis 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
43.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 9 yds to the SoMis 31Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+3
42.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
42.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts, broken up by Swayze BozemanSimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+9
43.1%
Amare Jones run for 9 yds to the SoMis 19Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 1
OPP 19
-5
43.6%
TULANE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 24Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
43.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:41
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
41.0%
Merek Glover 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -1 yds · 0:1943% → 43%
Q2 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-7
43.0%
Jack Abraham sacked by Jeffery Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 7Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 17
OWN 7
+5
43.0%
Dee Baker run for 5 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 12
OWN 12
+1
43.5%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 1 yd to the SoMis 13Similar
Q2 1:22
4TH & 11
OWN 13
0
43.1%
Griffin Fleming punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
3 plays · 52 yds · 0:2558% → 70%
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+15
41.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 15 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
39.9%
Michael Pratt run for 7 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+30
29.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 30 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 18END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
32.7%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Jason Brownlee, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
32.6%
Frank Gore Jr. run for 7 yds to the SoMis 32Similar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
32.8%
Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19TD
3 plays · 65 yds · 0:1968% → 81%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
31.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 13 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
19.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 52 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 20FG
12 plays · 52 yds · 4:1321% → 24%
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+19
21.4%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 19 yds to the SoMis 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
21.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 18 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
23.6%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Demarcus JonesSimilar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
23.5%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+5
23.0%
TULANE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Tulan 42Similar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+4
23.5%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Jason Brownlee for 4 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q3 14:31
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+3
23.4%
Kevin Perkins run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
24.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 3 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 14:31
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
24.3%
Don Ragsdale run for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 14:31
3RD & 7
OPP 32
0
23.5%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Grayson Gunter, broken up by Darius HodgesSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 7
OPP 32
+49
23.6%
Briggs Bourgeois 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21MISSED FG
8 plays · 44 yds · 2:2779% → 82%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
20.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 11 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
20.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 8 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+23
19.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 23 yds to the SoMis 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
19.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
19.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the SoMis 30Similar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-3
19.4%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 31 Amare Jones fumbled, forced by Hayes Maples, recovered by Tulan Trey TuggleSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 8
OPP 31
+48
18.3%
Merek Glover 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
20.1%
Kevin Perkins run for 2 yds to the SoMis 33Similar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+14
19.9%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 14 yds to the SoMis 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
21.8%
Jack Abraham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
-3
21.5%
Don Ragsdale run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 44Similar
Q3 7:51
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
20.0%
Jack Abraham pass incomplete to Grayson GunterSimilar
Q3 7:51
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
19.9%
Griffin Fleming punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:1584% → 96%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
16.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
16.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
15.7%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+13
14.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 13 yds to the SoMis 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
4.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 42 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 8 (Merek Glover KICK) SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · -11 yds · 0:407% → 6%
Q3 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+1
6.6%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Naricuss Driver for 1 yd to the SoMis 14Similar
Q3 4:03
2ND & 9
OWN 14
-1
5.8%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Antoine Robinson for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 13Similar
Q3 4:03
3RD & 10
OWN 13
-8
5.8%
Jack Abraham sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 5Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 18
OWN 5
-3
5.7%
SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, delay of game (-3 Yards) to the SoMis 2Similar
Q3 4:03
4TH & 21
OWN 2
0
5.7%
Griffin Fleming punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the SoMis 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 25TD
2 plays · 47 yds · 0:1597% → 98%
Q3 2:12
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
3.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+47
2.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 47 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -11 yds · 1:571% → 1%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.2%
Kevin Perkins run for no gain to the SoMis 25Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-4
1.1%
Jack Abraham sacked by Patrick Johnson and Jeffery Johnson for a loss of 4 yards to the SoMis 21Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 14
OWN 21
-7
1.1%
Jack Abraham sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the SoMis 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
0.9%
Griffin Fleming punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amare Jones at the Tulan 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27TD
13 plays · 59 yds · 6:5099% → 100%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
0.8%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
0.8%
Amare Jones run for no gain to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+11
0.8%
Amare Jones run for 11 yds to the SoMis 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.8%
Amare Jones run for 5 yds to the SoMis 38Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+4
0.7%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the SoMis 34Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-1
0.6%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the SoMis 35Similar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+17
0.9%
Michael Pratt run for 17 yds to the SoMis 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the SoMis 17Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
0.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the SoMis 12Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+6
0.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the SoMis 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
0.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the SoMis 2Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
0.6%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the SoMis 1Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.2%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
0.2%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Frank Gore Jr. for 2 yds to the SoMis 27Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-3
0.2%
Frank Gore Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the SoMis 24Similar
Q4 8:03
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-8
0.2%
Jack Abraham sacked by Adonis Friloux for a loss of 8 yards to the SoMis 16Similar
Q4 8:03
4TH & 19
OWN 16
+15
0.2%
Griffin Fleming punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the SoMis 40 , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 15 yds to the SoMis 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29TD
6 plays · 40 yds · 3:02100% → 100%
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
0.2%
Ygenio Booker run for 4 yds to the SoMis 36Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+6
0.2%
Ygenio Booker run for 6 yds to the SoMis 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
0.2%
Ygenio Booker run for 8 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 6:05
2ND & 2
OPP 22
0
0.2%
Ygenio Booker run for no gain to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 6:05
3RD & 2
OPP 22
+3
0.2%
Ygenio Booker run for 3 yds to the SoMis 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
0.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USMDrive 30Uncategorized
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
0.1%
Dee Baker run for a loss of 5 yards to the SoMis 20Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+2
0.1%
Dee Baker run for 2 yds to the SoMis 22Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+15
0.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 15 yds to the SoMis 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+9
0.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for 9 yds to the SoMis 46Similar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 1
OWN 46
-2
0.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Demarcus Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the SoMis 44Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+12
0.1%
Jack Abraham pass complete to Cole Cavallo for 12 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:36
Cameron Carroll run for 52 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-12.6
TD · Q2 6:14
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 16 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q3 4:49
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 42 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the SoMis 8 (Merek Glover KICK) SOUTHERN MISS Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declined
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com