Try the model
PITT

Pittsburgh 17 at Clemson 52

CLEM
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:36 · Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.0+22.50−22.5−45.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 148Pregame prior+20.3Home team on offense+24.6Score differential+16.6Garbage-time factor+5.1Blowout margin+0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:55: Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 0:05: Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.2 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 9:11: Alex Kessman 23 yd FG GOOD — CLEM win probability +1.3 pts (now 98%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 14:24: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — CLEM win probability +2.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:52: Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 11PITT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11
  1. Q1 13:50PITT 4th & 18 at PITT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:04CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:56PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.3%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:26CLEM 4th & 8 at PITT 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    58% to make
    Punt
    92.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:03PITT 4th & 5 at PITT 30, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:32PITT 4th & 15 at PITT 40, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:04CLEM 4th & 19 at CLEM 12, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.2
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:11PITT 4th & 3 at CLEM 5, down 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.9%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:58PITT 4th & 3 at PITT 32, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.4%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:32CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 37, up 35
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:24CLEM 4th & 11 at CLEM 24, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:03CLEM 4th & 4 at PITT 24, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%−<0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.9
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:28PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 7:11CLEM 4th & 5 at CLEM 35, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 4:36PITT 4th & 7 at midfield, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:48CLEM 4th & 4 at PITT 9, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−<0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:23PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 45, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:17CLEM 4th & 3 at CLEM 20, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:07PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 30, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:42CLEM 4th & 7 at CLEM 42, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:12PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 11, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:34CLEM 4th & 8 at CLEM 43, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 7 of 7PITT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:36CLEM Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:35CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:55CLEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 0:05CLEM Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:59CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:13PITT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:24PITT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    2.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    2.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:52CLEM Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:48CLEM Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:055% → 5%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.9%
DJ Turner run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 14:40
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-11
94.8%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Trenton Simpson for a loss of 11 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 13:50
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
94.7%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:4395% → 95%
Q1 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
94.7%
Travis Etienne run for 7 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 13:11
3RD & 3
OWN 45
0
94.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q1 13:04
4TH & 3
OWN 45
0
94.5%
Will Spiers punt for 41 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:236% → 6%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
94.5%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 4
OWN 20
0
94.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 20
-8
94.4%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Malcolm Greene return for 8 yds to the Pitt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 4TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:5495% → 95%
Q1 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
94.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 1 yd to the Pitt 15Similar
Q1 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+10
94.4%
Travis Etienne run for 10 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 5 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:266% → 6%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.4%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 11:03
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Tre TiptonSimilar
Q1 10:56
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
94.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 6FG
6 plays · 52 yds · 1:2294% → 94%
Q1 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+18
94.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 18 yds to the Clem 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+32
94.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to E.J. Williams for 32 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
94.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Pitt 29Similar
Q1 9:38
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
94.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
94.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
94.2%
B.T. Potter 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.1%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Andrew Booth Jr. return for no gain to the Clem 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 8TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:3394% → 95%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
94.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+12
94.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 12 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
94.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 5 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+43
95.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 43 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9INT
4 plays · 11 yds · 0:225% → 5%
Q1 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q1 7:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
94.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.8%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Mario Goodrich return for 5 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 10TD
6 plays · 35 yds · 2:0895% → 96%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+17
95.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 17 yds to the Pitt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
95.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, Substitution Infraction (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 23Similar
Q1 6:28
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+2
95.1%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Pitt 21Similar
Q1 5:52
2ND & 13
OPP 21
+12
95.1%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q1 5:19
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+7
95.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST down PITTSBURGH Penalty, Personal Foul (Brandon Hill) to the Pitt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.0%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:414% → 4%
Q1 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
95.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
95.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd to the Pitt 32Similar
Q1 3:38
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
95.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
95.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 12TD
8 plays · 82 yds · 2:5796% → 98%
Q1 3:02
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
96.1%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Matt Bockhorst) to the Clem 13Similar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 15
OWN 13
+19
96.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 19 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+26
96.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 26 yds to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
96.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 25 yds to the Pitt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
96.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 7 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 1:03
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+6
96.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 6 yds to the Pitt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
96.6%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 3 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
Q1 0:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.7%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
97.7%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+18
97.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 18 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-8
97.7%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Tyler Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 18
OWN 37
+3
98.0%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q2 13:39
3RD & 15
OWN 40
0
98.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q2 13:32
4TH & 15
OWN 40
0
98.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:1798% → 98%
Q2 13:21
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
98.0%
Travis Etienne run for 4 yds to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 6
OWN 25
0
98.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q2 12:50
3RD & 6
OWN 25
-13
98.1%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Patrick Jones II for a loss of 13 yards to the Clem 12Similar
Q2 12:04
4TH & 19
OWN 12
+10
98.0%
Will Spiers punt for 40 yds , DJ Turner returns for 10 yds to the Clem 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15FG
8 plays · 47 yds · 2:252% → 2%
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
97.9%
Jordan Addison run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 11:32
2ND & 8
OPP 40
0
97.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 8
OPP 40
+18
97.9%
Kenny Pickett run for 18 yds to the Clem 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+10
95.8%
Pickett, Kenny pass incomplete to Addison, Jordan, PENALTY CLEMSON holding (Williams, LeAnthony) 10 yards to the CLEMSON12, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN PITTSBURGH.Similar
Q2 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
95.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 6 yds to the Clem 6Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 4
OPP 6
-10
94.9%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Baylon Spector for a loss of 10 yards to the Clem 16Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 14
OPP 16
+11
96.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 11 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q2 9:11
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+23
97.9%
Alex Kessman 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 16TD
8 plays · 76 yds · 1:0298% → 99%
Q2 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+70
98.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 70 yds to the Pitt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
98.5%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Ajou, Ajou, PENALTY CLEMSON ineligible downfield on pass (Trotter, Mason) 5 yards to the PITTSBURGH10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
98.4%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds to the Pitt 8Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
98.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Davis AllenSimilar
Q2 8:10
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+7
98.6%
Lawrence, Trevor pass incomplete to Rodgers, Amari, PENALTY PITTSBURGH pass interference (Hamlin, Damar) 7 yards to the PITTSBURGH2, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN CLEMSON.Similar
Q2 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Chez Mellusi run for 2 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:421% → 1%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
98.9%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
99.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 5 yds to the Pitt 32 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
99.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 1:5399% → 99%
Q2 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
98.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 3 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q2 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+3
99.0%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+8
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Darien Rencher for 8 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Will SwinneySimilar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Ajou AjouSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+7
99.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Darien Rencher for 7 yds to the Clem 37Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 3
OWN 37
0
99.0%
Will Spiers punt for 38 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:091% → 1%
Q2 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jaylon Barden for 7 yds to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jaylon BardenSimilar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+12
99.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds to the Pitt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
99.5%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Xavier Thomas for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 34 Kenny Pickett fumbled, forced by Xavier Thomas, recovered by Pitt Carson Van Lynn , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+1
99.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 1 yd to the Pitt 35Similar
Q2 2:05
3RD & 19
OWN 35
+29
99.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 29 yds to the Clem 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jaylon BardenSimilar
Q2 1:41
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
99.5%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q2 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+6
99.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
99.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 7 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+18
99.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 18 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:3699% → 99%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the Clem 18Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 17
OWN 18
0
99.3%
Lawrence, Trevor pass complete to Powell, Cornell for 27 yards to the CLEMSON45, PENALTY CLEMSON illegal touching (Powell, Cornell) 0 yards to the CLEMSON18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:37
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+6
99.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q2 0:24
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+13
99.3%
Will Spiers punt for 39 yds , DJ Turner returns for 13 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21END OF HALF
2 plays · 20 yds · 0:101% → 1%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
50
+5
99.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+15
99.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 15 yds to the Clem 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
99.4%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 19 Trevor Lawrence fumbled, forced by Rashad Weaver, recovered by Pitt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:175% → 3%
Q3 14:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
94.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 15 yds to the Clem 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 24MISSED FG
15 plays · 51 yds · 5:0798% → 98%
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.7%
Lawrence, Trevor rush for 9 yards to the CLEMSON34, PENALTY CLEMSON holding 10 yards to the CLEMSON15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+12
97.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 12 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+1
97.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 1 yd to the Clem 28Similar
Q3 13:06
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+5
97.7%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, Defensive Offside (Patrick Jones II) to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 13:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
97.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 6 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
97.9%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q3 12:05
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 12 yds to the Pitt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q3 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+13
98.0%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 13 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:58
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-15
98.0%
CLEMSON Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Amari Rodgers) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:47
1ST & 30
50
+9
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence run for 9 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 21
OPP 41
+19
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 19 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q3 9:26
3RD & 2
OPP 22
-2
98.1%
Trevor Lawrence run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 24Similar
Q3 9:03
4TH & 4
OPP 24
+41
98.0%
B.T. Potter 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:322% → 2%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
97.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 3 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q3 8:40
2ND & 7
OWN 27
0
97.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
Q3 8:28
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
97.8%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0798% → 98%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
97.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 33Similar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+2
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 2 yds to the Clem 35Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
98.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q3 7:11
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Will Spiers punt for 40 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 27PUNT
6 plays · 25 yds · 2:272% → 2%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
97.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for 22 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
97.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 9 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 6:11
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-10
97.7%
Davis, A.J. rush for 2 yards to the CLEMSON42, PENALTY PITTSBURGH holding (Hargrove, Bryce) 10 yards to the PITTSBURGH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 11
OWN 46
+2
97.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the Pitt 48Similar
Q3 5:10
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+2
97.8%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:36
4TH & 7
50
0
98.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 28TD
9 plays · 89 yds · 3:3798% → 100%
Q3 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+6
97.8%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Davis Allen for 6 yds to the Clem 17Similar
Q3 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 17
+6
97.8%
Travis Etienne run for 6 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
98.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Travis EtienneSimilar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+12
98.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 12 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:04
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
98.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
50
+8
98.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 8 yds to the Pitt 42Similar
Q3 2:01
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-3
98.8%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 1:32
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+7
98.9%
Trevor Lawrence run for 7 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 29INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:510% → 0%
Q3 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Mario Goodrich return for no gain to the Pitt 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 30TD
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:56100% → 100%
Q4 14:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 13:52
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to E.J. Williams for 1 yd to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 9
OPP 40
+14
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 14 yds to the Pitt 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+9
99.9%
Chez Mellusi run for 9 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 1
OPP 17
0
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Pitt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q4 11:58
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-1
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Chez Mellusi for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 16Similar
Q4 11:22
3RD & 11
OPP 16
+7
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Cornell Powell for 7 yds to the Pitt 9Similar
Q4 10:48
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Chez Mellusi for 9 yds for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 31PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:420% → 0%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
99.9%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Regan Upshaw for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 9:49
2ND & 16
OWN 35
+10
99.9%
A.J. Davis run for 10 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to DJ TurnerSimilar
Q4 9:23
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Will Swinney at the Clem 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:01100% → 100%
Q4 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for 6 yds to the Clem 19Similar
Q4 9:01
2ND & 4
OWN 19
0
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:51
3RD & 4
OWN 19
+1
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 1 yd to the Clem 20Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
99.9%
Will Spiers punt for 49 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 33PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:590% → 0%
Q4 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-8
99.9%
Kenny Pickett sacked by LaVonta Bentley for a loss of 8 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 18
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 5 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Kenny Pickett run for 2 yds to the Pitt 30 PITTSBURGH Penalty, Illegal Forward Pass (Kenny Pickett) to the Pitt 30Similar
Q4 7:07
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
99.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds, downed at the Clem 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 34PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 2:14100% → 100%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for 4 yds to the Clem 31Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+3
99.9%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Kobe Pace for 5 yds to the Clem 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
99.9%
Kobe Pace run for 3 yds to the Clem 42Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incomplete to Hampton EarleSimilar
Q4 4:54
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:42
4TH & 7
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Will Spiers punt for 50 yds, downed at the Pitt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 35PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:110% → 0%
Q4 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
100.0%
Carter, Daniel rush for 2 yards to the PITTSBURGH10, PENALTY PITTSBURGH illegal formation 4 yards to the PITTSBURGH4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 14
OWN 4
0
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:59
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+2
100.0%
Daniel Carter run for 2 yds to the Pitt 6Similar
Q4 3:31
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+5
100.0%
Joey Yellen pass complete to John Vardzel for 5 yds to the Pitt 11Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 7
OWN 11
0
100.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Will Brown at the Clem 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 36PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:26100% → 100%
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
99.9%
Hunter Helms pass complete to J.C. Chalk for 4 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
99.9%
Hunter Helms pass incomplete to J.C. ChalkSimilar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-2
99.9%
Hunter Helms pass complete to Josh Jackson for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 43Similar
Q4 1:34
4TH & 8
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Aidan Swanson punt for 8 yds, downed at the Pitt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 37FUMBLE
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:320% → 0%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
100.0%
Davis Beville pass complete to Kyi Wright for 16 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
99.9%
Davis Beville pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+64
100.0%
Daniel Carter run for no gain to the Pitt 1 Daniel Carter fumbled, forced by LaVonta Bentley, recovered by Clem Kane Patterson , return for 64 yds to the Pitt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 38Uncategorized
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:30100% → 100%
Q4 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
100.0%
Darien Rencher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 2Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
100.0%
Darien Rencher run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:24
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+2
FG · Q2 9:11
Alex Kessman 23 yd FG GOOD
+1.3
TD · Q1 0:05
Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD (B.T. Potter KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com