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LOU

Louisville 27 at Boston College 34

BC
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+9.4BC 96.8%Dennis Grosel pass complete to JehlaniGalloway for 21 yds for a TD, (AaronBoumerhi KICK)AWAY 20 - HOME 34 · Q4 4:36
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:36 · Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Home team on offense+27.7Garbage-time factor+14.1Pregame prior−0.3Score differential+11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.7Blowout margin−1.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:45: Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +11.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 12:38: David Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +13.4 pts (now 73%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 13:40: Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +10.1 pts (now 93%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 7:45: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +12.6 pts (now 28%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:16: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 69 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +13.4 pts (now 17%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:26LOU 4th & 19 at BC 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    45.0%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:16BC 4th & 1 at LOU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    53.5%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    53.5%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:11BC 4th & 1 at LOU 20, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    57.3%−1.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    54.2%−4.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 6:47BC 4th & 6 at LOU 6, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.8%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    60.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    55.6%−4.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:30BC 4th & 10 at LOU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.4
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    52.0%−5.5
    average punt
  6. Q3 6:23LOU 4th & 6 at BC 6, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−10.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:37BC 4th & 3 at BC 39, up 7
    Close callPunted · 75.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:25LOU 4th & 11 at BC 46, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−1.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    26.7%−2.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:34LOU 4th & 5 at BC 49, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 3:12BC 4th & 7 at BC 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.6%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 4LOU made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:47BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:45LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 12:38BC Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:40BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 7:45LOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    12.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:36BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:16LOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.9%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 27 yds · 2:2754% → 54%
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
45.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 15 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+21
45.6%
Hassan Hall run for 21 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-4
45.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 21Similar
Q1 14:53
2ND & 14
OPP 21
0
45.6%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the BC 21Similar
Q1 14:53
3RD & 14
OPP 21
0
45.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:53
4TH & 14
OPP 21
-5
45.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 26Similar
Q1 12:26
4TH & 19
OPP 26
+44
46.1%
James Turner 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2FUMBLE
12 plays · 67 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
46.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+8
46.2%
David Bailey run for 8 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
46.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 3
OPP 49
0
46.3%
Pat Garwo III run for no gain to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 3
OPP 49
+3
46.2%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
46.3%
Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+9
46.3%
Zay Flowers run for 9 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+17
46.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:21
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
46.4%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
Q1 12:21
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+6
46.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 6 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q1 12:21
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+3
46.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the Lvile 4 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, forced by C.J. Avery, recovered by Lvile Russ YeastSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 44 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+18
46.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Lvile 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
46.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+6
46.6%
Hassan Hall run for 6 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+4
46.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
46.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
46.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 13 yds Tutu Atwell fumbled, recovered by BC Deon JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
7 plays · 48 yds · 3:2948% → 52%
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
47.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 7 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q1 4:16
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+2
47.9%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 4:16
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
47.7%
David Bailey run for no gain to the Lvile 39Similar
Q1 4:16
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+4
47.1%
Phil Jurkovec run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+21
48.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 21 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
48.3%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the Lvile 8Similar
Q1 0:47
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+8
52.4%
David Bailey run for 8 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5FUMBLE
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:4250% → 51%
Q1 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
50.5%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q1 0:42
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+6
50.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 34
+3
50.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
50.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 44
-8
49.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 8 yards to the Lvile 36 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Lvile Malik CunninghamSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+24
51.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 24 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
49.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
-4
49.2%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 44 Hassan Hall fumbled, forced by Jahmin Muse, recovered by BC Cam HorsleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 5:2453% → 61%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+27
53.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 27 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
54.0%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 27
+2
54.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 2 yds to the Lvile 25Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 6
OPP 25
+5
53.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 5 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 1
OPP 20
+1
52.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 1 yd to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
54.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 17
0
54.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 8
OPP 17
+9
53.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 9 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
54.0%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
54.0%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the Lvile 6Similar
Q2 12:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
53.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ Lewis, broken up by Kei'Trel ClarkSimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
60.7%
Aaron Boumerhi 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 2:5640% → 55%
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
59.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+19
59.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 19 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
58.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+18
57.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 18 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+6
55.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 6 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 4
OPP 22
+20
55.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 20 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
44.6%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8FG
9 plays · 60 yds · 3:0952% → 56%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+46
52.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 46 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
55.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+12
55.4%
David Bailey run for 12 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
55.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 14Similar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-7
55.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 7 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+11
54.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 11 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
54.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
56.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9END OF HALF
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
55.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
54.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
55.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10TD
7 plays · 68 yds · 2:1756% → 73%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+14
56.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 14 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
58.5%
David Bailey run for 12 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+17
59.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+21
59.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Spencer Witter for 21 yds to the Lvile 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
59.8%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
73.2%
David Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:0930% → 34%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
70.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 12 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
69.9%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+6
68.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Hassan Hall for 6 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
68.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
68.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+9
69.4%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+7
68.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 3
OPP 36
+27
67.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 27 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
66.4%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
66.4%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Defensive holding (Jahmin Muse) to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
66.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 2Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
66.4%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the BC 6Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
67.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q3 6:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
66.1%
James Turner 24 yd FG GOOD BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, roughing the kicker ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:4673% → 72%
Q3 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
73.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis Levy, broken up by Marlon CharacterSimilar
Q3 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
72.7%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q3 5:37
3RD & 3
OWN 39
0
73.3%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q3 5:37
4TH & 3
OWN 39
0
71.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 41 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+14
68.2%
Jalen Mitchell run for 14 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
67.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
66.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+23
67.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 23 yds to the BC 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
63.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
64.1%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 46Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 11
OPP 46
0
66.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Josh DeBerrySimilar
Q3 5:25
4TH & 11
OPP 46
0
68.8%
Ryan Harwell punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 14TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 3:4675% → 93%
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
74.8%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q3 2:26
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+5
74.5%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Zay Flowers for 5 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q3 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 25
+44
74.0%
Dennis Grosel run for 44 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
78.5%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+15
82.7%
Grosel,D pass incomplete to Levy,T, PENALTY LOU roughing passer (Conley, E.) 15 yards to the LOU13, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
82.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+7
82.7%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, face mask (6 yards) (Jared Dawson) to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
82.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
0
82.7%
Dennis Grosel pass incomplete to CJ Lewis, broken up by Marlon CharacterSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
92.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to CJ Lewis for 11 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:4912% → 28%
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
88.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 6 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+18
86.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
86.8%
Cunningham, M. rush for 9 yards to the BC45, PENALTY LOU illegal use of hands (Boone, A.) 15 yards to the LOU31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+4
88.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 21
OWN 35
+17
88.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 4
OPP 48
-1
86.5%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 49Similar
Q4 13:34
4TH & 5
OPP 49
+26
86.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 26 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
84.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 3 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q4 13:34
2ND & 7
OPP 20
0
84.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon Ford, broken up by John LamotSimilar
Q4 13:34
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+15
85.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the BC 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
84.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 1 yd to the BC 4Similar
Q4 7:45
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
72.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 16TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 3:0287% → 97%
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
86.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 5 yds to the Lvile 47Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+22
87.2%
Pat Garwo III run for 22 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:38
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
87.4%
Pat Garwo III run for 1 yd to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 7:38
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+3
87.4%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+21
96.8%
Dennis Grosel pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 21 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
2 plays · 69 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+69
83.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 69 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:0491% → 93%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
90.9%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-5
90.9%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 25Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+5
91.3%
Dennis Grosel run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 3:12
4TH & 7
OWN 30
0
92.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0011% → 14%
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
89.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden Smith, broken up by Jason MaitreSimilar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+9
90.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 9 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q4 3:05
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+2
87.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
88.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 8 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+2
86.2%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Shitta Sillah return for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 20END OF GAME
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0996% → 96%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
95.7%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the Lvile 46Similar
Q4 1:33
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+4
95.7%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+2
95.6%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 12:38
David Bailey run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+13.4
TD · Q4 4:16
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 69 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q4 7:45
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds for a TD, (James Turner KICK)
-12.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com