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SYR

Syracuse 0 at Louisville 30

LOU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 20, 2020 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 3:36 · Nolan Cooney punt for 37 yds, downed at the Lvile 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 30Pregame prior+36.5Home team on offense+0.3Score differential+0.1Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:08: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 16 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST down — LOU win probability +1.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:36: Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +3.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:19: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Syrac 45 — LOU win probability +1.7 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:31: Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +6.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 6:45: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 13:06SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42LOU 4th & 2 at SYR 32, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.7%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    87.7%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:46SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:36SYR 4th & 8 at LOU 45, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    13.1%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:07LOU 4th & 5 at SYR 41, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.2%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.9%−0.3
    32% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−0.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:25LOU 4th & 11 at SYR 22, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.3%
    72% to make
    Punt
    79.3%−3.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:25SYR 4th & 5 at LOU 49, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    9.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:22LOU 4th & 5 at LOU 14, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:21SYR 4th & 16 at SYR 19, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.2%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:50LOU 4th & 1 at LOU 39, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    96.5%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:37SYR 4th & 12 at SYR 14, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:23LOU 4th & 12 at SYR 15, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    21% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:39SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 39, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:41LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 31, up 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:15SYR 4th & 4 at LOU 38, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:23LOU 4th & 26 at SYR 40, up 30
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q2 3:36LOU Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:31LOU Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 6:45LOU Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:438% → 9%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
91.9%
JaCobian Morgan run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+6
91.8%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 4
OWN 35
-2
91.6%
JaCobian Morgan sacked by Jared Goldwire for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 6
OWN 33
0
91.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 4:2092% → 91%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
91.5%
Maurice Burkley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 29Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
91.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 2 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q1 11:45
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+10
91.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 10 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
91.0%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q1 10:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
0
90.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q1 10:31
3RD & 6
OWN 45
+15
90.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 15 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
90.8%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 9:23
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+4
90.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 2
OPP 32
0
90.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+50
90.5%
James Turner 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:5110% → 10%
Q1 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
90.5%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
90.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
90.1%
JaCobian Morgan pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 39
0
90.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 7:46
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
90.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 42 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for no gain to the Lvile 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4INT
3 plays · 19 yds · 1:0890% → 90%
Q1 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+17
90.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 17 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
90.1%
Maurice Burkley run for 2 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q1 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-46
90.1%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Garrett Williams return for 31 yds to the LOUISVILLE 31 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 2:4910% → 11%
Q1 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+10
89.7%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
89.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-2
89.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 45Similar
Q1 4:52
3RD & 8
OPP 45
-5
89.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:23
3RD & 13
50
+5
89.3%
JaCobian Morgan run for 5 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q1 3:36
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
89.1%
Nolan Cooney punt for 37 yds, downed at the Lvile 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6FUMBLE
14 plays · 72 yds · 6:2789% → 88%
Q1 3:32
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
88.9%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 10Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 8
OWN 10
-4
88.8%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 6Similar
Q1 2:21
3RD & 12
OWN 6
+22
88.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 22 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
88.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Roscoe JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:38
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+9
88.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 9 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q1 1:02
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
88.3%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+15
88.2%
Cunningham, Malik pass incomplete to Martin, Duane, PENALTY SYRACUSE face mask 15 yards to the SYRACUSE46, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
88.5%
Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
88.4%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Duane MartinSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-1
88.2%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 14:07
4TH & 5
OPP 41
+13
87.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 13 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
88.1%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
87.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 8 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-3
87.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Mikel Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 20 Malik Cunningham fumbled, forced by Mikel Jones, recovered by Syrac Ja'Had Carter , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 1:1913% → 14%
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+11
86.9%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Taj Harris for 11 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
86.5%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 10:50
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
86.1%
JaCobian Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:41
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+2
86.4%
JaCobian Morgan pass intercepted Kei'Trel Clark return for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8FG
8 plays · 29 yds · 4:1187% → 88%
Q2 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-10
87.0%
Hall, Hassan rush for 2 yards to the SYRACUSE49, PENALTY LOUISVILLE holding (Bentley, Cole) 10 yards to the LOUISVILLE39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 20
OWN 39
+10
86.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 10 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 9:29
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+16
86.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 16 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
86.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 14 yds to the Syrac 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
86.8%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 7:47
2ND & 6
OPP 17
-4
87.0%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 21Similar
Q2 7:08
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-1
86.3%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 6:25
4TH & 11
OPP 22
+40
87.6%
James Turner 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 2:3289% → 92%
Q2 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+16
88.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 16 yds to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
88.7%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+4
88.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q2 4:31
3RD & 4
OPP 9
+5
88.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 5 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
88.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Duane Martin for 2 yds to the Syrac 2Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
92.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 2:069% → 10%
Q2 3:31
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
91.1%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 3:25
1ST & 15
OWN 17
+9
91.1%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 2:59
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+20
90.9%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 20 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
90.7%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 6
50
0
90.5%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Aaron Hackett for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:35
3RD & 6
50
+1
90.6%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
90.4%
JaCobian Morgan pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 0:4892% → 97%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
92.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+42
92.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 39 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Face Mask (3 yards) (3 Yards) to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
92.3%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 6Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
91.7%
Maurice Burkley run for 2 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 0:31
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 12FUMBLE
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:1097% → 97%
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
97.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+12
97.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 12 yds to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
97.0%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Ifeatu Melifonwu return for no gain to the Syrac 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+7
96.3%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:2797% → 97%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
97.3%
Jalen Mitchell run for 1 yd to the Lvile 10Similar
Q3 14:08
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+4
97.4%
Jalen Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
Q3 13:35
3RD & 5
OWN 14
0
97.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 5
OWN 14
0
97.1%
Ryan Harwell punt for 61 yds, downed at the Syrac 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:563% → 3%
Q3 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
JaCobian Morgan pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-6
97.1%
JaCobian Morgan sacked by Rodjay Burns for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
96.7%
JaCobian Morgan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+2
96.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 53 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 2 yds to the Lvile 30 Rodjay Burns fumbled, recovered by LvileSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 5:3198% → 100%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
97.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-2
97.4%
Maurice Burkley run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 12
OWN 28
+11
97.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 39Similar
Q3 10:50
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+6
97.4%
Maurice Burkley run for 6 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
97.7%
Maurice Burkley run for 11 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
97.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 9:14
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+20
97.7%
Maurice Burkley run for 20 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
97.8%
Maurice Burkley run for 12 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
97.8%
Maurice Burkley run for no gain to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-2
97.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+19
99.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 1:560% → 0%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
99.6%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 3 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 6:01
2ND & 7
OWN 19
-5
99.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 12
OWN 14
+10
99.7%
Sean Tucker run for 10 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 5:11
3RD & 2
OWN 24
-10
99.7%
JaCobian Morgan sacked by Yasir Abdullah for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 14 JaCobian Morgan fumbled, forced by Yasir Abdullah, recovered by Syrac Airon Servais , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+5
99.7%
Nolan Cooney punt for 61 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 5 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 7:08100% → 100%
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 11 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 1
50
+8
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+15
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-10
99.8%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Geoff Cantin-Arku for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+3
99.8%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 17
OPP 34
+21
99.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 21 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
99.9%
Jawon Pass sacked by Geoff Cantin-Arku for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-5
99.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 20Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 17
OPP 20
-5
99.8%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 22
OPP 25
+13
99.8%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jordan Watkins for 13 yds to the Syrac 12Similar
Q4 13:08
3RD & 9
OPP 12
-3
99.8%
Jawon Pass run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 12
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
James Turner 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:330% → 0%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q4 12:08
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 5 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
99.9%
Rex Culpepper run for no gain to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 10:39
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+32
99.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LOUISVILLE 24 SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:53100% → 100%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Jalen Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 7
OWN 32
-5
99.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 27Similar
Q4 9:28
2ND & 12
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 12
OWN 27
+4
99.9%
Jawon Pass pass complete to Jalen Mitchell for 4 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 8:41
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Ryan Harwell punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trebor Pena at the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21DOWNS
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:210% → 0%
Q4 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 8:04
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+9
99.9%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+13
99.9%
Sean Tucker run for 13 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:21
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
99.9%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 6:48
2ND & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q4 6:42
3RD & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 6:15
4TH & 4
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
12 plays · 22 yds · 4:45100% → 100%
Q4 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Aidan Robbins run for no gain to the Lvile 38Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+10
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Roscoe Johnson for 10 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 3:55
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+25
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Duane Martin for 25 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:14
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-10
99.9%
Robbins, Aidan rush for 2 yards to the SYRACUSE22, PENALTY LOUISVILLE holding 10 yards to the SYRACUSE34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 20
OPP 34
+1
99.9%
Aidan Robbins run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 19
OPP 33
+8
99.9%
Evan Conley pass complete to Josh Johnson for 8 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q4 1:33
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-10
99.9%
Evan Conley sacked by Caleb Okechukwu for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 1:30
4TH & 21
OPP 35
-5
100.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 1:23
4TH & 26
OPP 40
0
100.0%
Ryan Harwell punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23END OF 4TH QUARTER
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:140% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
100.0%
Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+1
100.0%
Cooper Lutz run for 1 yd to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 0:04
3RD & 7
OWN 15
+9
100.0%
Cooper Lutz run for 9 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:31
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+6
TD · Q2 3:36
Jalen Mitchell run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+3.9
TD · Q3 6:45
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com