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MIA

Miami 25 at Virginia Tech 24

VT
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadMIA aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreMIA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:05 · Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingBlowout margin
+15.0+7.50−7.5−15.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:47: Jalen Holston run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +8.4 pts (now 67%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:11: D'Eriq King run for 10 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +10.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q3 9:29: Jalen Holston run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +12.3 pts (now 76%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 1:27: Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MIA win probability +21.6 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q4 5:59: D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MIA win probability +30.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8MIA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 13:09VT 4th & 4 at VT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:53MIA 4th & 3 at VT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    42.9%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    42.8%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:45VT 4th & 9 at VT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:04MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:37MIA 4th & 17 at VT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−0.8
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    34.5%−2.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:51VT 4th & 7 at MIA 37, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.7%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    59.6%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:17MIA 4th & 19 at MIA 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−1.4
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:37VT 4th & 12 at VT 29, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−1.4
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:04MIA 4th & 11 at VT 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.9%
    70% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−5.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:27MIA 4th & 17 at MIA 18, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−3.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:14VT 4th & 16 at MIA 21, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−3.2
    14% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    69.2%−8.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:47MIA 4th & 1 at VT 22, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    16.7%−1.7
    72% to make
    Punt
    11.9%−6.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:44VT 4th & 7 at MIA 38, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.5 ptsPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    74.6%−1.5
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    74.6%−1.5
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:38MIA 4th & 7 at MIA 8, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:38VT 4th & 5 at VT 45, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.6%−0.8
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:04MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 39, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%−1.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 2:13VT 4th & 24 at VT 14, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−5.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 1:45MIA 4th & 8 at MIA 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−0.9
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3MIA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 6:01VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:47VT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:11MIA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:29VT Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:27MIA Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    33.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    33.2%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:59MIA Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    53.8%−2.3
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:4651% → 51%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
50.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+12
50.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 13:36
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-2
50.8%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 13:09
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
50.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jarius Howard at the MiaFl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2DOWNS
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:0749% → 49%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
50.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+19
50.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 19 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:22
1ST & 10
50
+2
50.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 2 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q1 12:02
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+7
50.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+4
50.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
50.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+1
50.6%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+3
50.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremiah Payton for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 30
+1
51.2%
Jose Borregales run for 1 yd to the VTech 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:0552% → 51%
Q1 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
51.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
51.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+13
51.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 13 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
52.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
52.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:11
3RD & 2
50
-7
52.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 43Similar
Q1 7:45
4TH & 9
OWN 43
0
51.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 yds, downed at the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:3349% → 48%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
51.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 5 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
51.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q1 7:28
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
51.5%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:04
4TH & 4
OWN 29
0
52.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 58 yds, downed at the VTech 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 87 yds · 0:4552% → 56%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+7
51.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 6:27
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+12
51.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+15
52.0%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Smith, Kaleb, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Blades Jr., Al) 15 yards to the VATECH47, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q1 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
56.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 53 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6FG
14 plays · 50 yds · 5:1745% → 45%
Q1 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
55.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
55.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 3 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q1 4:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
55.9%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
55.7%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+1
55.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
55.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q1 3:23
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+17
55.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 17 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
55.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremiah Payton for 2 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 2:44
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+15
55.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 15 yds to the VTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
54.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
54.9%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the VTech 18Similar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 10
OPP 18
-7
56.1%
D'Eriq King sacked by Mario Kendricks for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 0:37
4TH & 17
OPP 25
+42
55.0%
Jose Borregales 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7MISSED FG
7 plays · 38 yds · 2:4055% → 55%
Q1 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
54.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+30
54.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 30 yds to the MiaFl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-4
56.2%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 44Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 14
OPP 44
+7
55.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 7 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 13:30
3RD & 7
OPP 37
0
56.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 7
OPP 37
+54
55.3%
Brian Johnson 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 1:2945% → 43%
Q2 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
54.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q2 12:36
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
54.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-10
55.0%
D'Eriq King sacked by Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q2 11:17
4TH & 19
OWN 28
0
57.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:2256% → 67%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
55.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q2 10:41
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+2
55.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q2 10:22
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+32
55.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 32 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
57.9%
Herbert, Khalil rush for 6 yards to the MIAMI38, PENALTY MIAMI substitution infraction 5 yards to the MIAMI39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 5
OPP 39
+4
58.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 35Similar
Q2 9:18
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+19
58.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
58.9%
Jalen Holston run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q2 8:47
2ND & 2
OPP 8
+8
67.3%
Jalen Holston run for 8 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10TD
12 plays · 84 yds · 3:2535% → 47%
Q2 8:36
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
65.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 3 yds to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q2 8:13
2ND & 7
OWN 19
+11
65.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 11 yds to the MiaFl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+7
65.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 7 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 7:18
2ND & 3
OWN 37
+10
64.8%
D'Eriq King run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
64.7%
D'Eriq King run for 5 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 48
-5
64.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Mark Pope) to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
65.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 9 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+9
64.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 9 yds to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:38
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
64.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 5:21
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+20
64.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 20 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
53.5%
D'Eriq King run for 10 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 4 yds · 1:3158% → 57%
Q2 5:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
58.4%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Mitchell, James, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Bolden, Bubba) 6 yards to the VATECH31, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q2 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
58.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 4 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
59.4%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-6
58.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Sam Brooks Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 3:37
4TH & 12
OWN 29
+1
56.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 yds , Xavier Restrepo returns for 1 yd to the MiaFl 32 Xavier Restrepo fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Xavier RestrepoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 30 yds · 3:2543% → 41%
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+8
57.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 2
OWN 40
+4
55.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
55.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+17
56.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 17 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
55.4%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+3
55.5%
D'Eriq King run for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q2 1:34
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+14
55.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 14 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
53.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+4
52.9%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q2 0:47
3RD & 6
OPP 18
-5
53.7%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 11
OPP 23
+40
56.2%
Jose Borregales 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 11
OWN 35
-15
58.6%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Lou Hedley) to the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:5943% → 42%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
57.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 10 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q3 14:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
57.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q3 13:56
3RD & 10
OWN 35
-10
58.5%
D'Eriq King sacked by Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 15TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:3959% → 76%
Q3 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
59.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+10
58.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
60.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Drake DeIuliisSimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
59.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+7
60.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 7 yds to the MiaFl 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+10
62.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
62.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 4
OPP 32
+3
63.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the MiaFl 29Similar
Q3 10:17
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+9
62.2%
Quincy Patterson II run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+19
63.9%
Jalen Holston run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
76.2%
Jalen Holston run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:5528% → 25%
Q3 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
72.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-7
73.3%
D'Eriq King sacked by Dax Hollifield and Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaFl 18Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 17
OWN 18
+21
74.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 52 yds , Raheem Blackshear returns for 21 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17FG
6 plays · 28 yds · 2:0476% → 78%
Q3 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
76.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+21
77.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 21 yds to the MiaFl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
77.7%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the MiaFl 15Similar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
78.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-6
76.9%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Gilbert Frierson for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q3 6:14
4TH & 16
OPP 21
+38
77.9%
Brian Johnson 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 4:4222% → 42%
Q3 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
78.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremiah PaytonSimilar
Q3 6:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
78.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 16 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
76.9%
King, D'Eriq pass complete to Payton, Jeremiah for 8 yards to the MIAMI49, PENALTY VATECH offside (Griffin, Jaylen) 5 yards to the MIAMI46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:15
1ST & 5
OWN 46
+4
76.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 1
50
+2
76.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:45
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+17
76.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 17 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-7
77.2%
D'Eriq King sacked by Justus Reed and Norell Pollard for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+8
79.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+8
79.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 8 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 2:47
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+2
80.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:28
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
77.5%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 3
OPP 13
0
77.7%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the VTech 13Similar
Q3 1:40
3RD & 3
OPP 13
+7
79.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 7 yds to the VTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
57.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 37 yds · 4:1168% → 74%
Q3 0:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for no gain to the VTech 25Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+9
67.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jaelan Phillips and Sam Brooks Jr. for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 19 for a 1ST down MIAMI FL Penalty, Personal Foul (Bubba Bolden) to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
68.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
69.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 37Similar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+8
68.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalen Holston for 8 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+14
71.4%
Hooker, Hendon pass incomplete to Smith, Kaleb, PENALTY MIAMI pass interference (Ivey, DJ) 14 yards to the MIAMI41, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VATECH.Similar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
73.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 13:00
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+3
73.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q4 12:20
3RD & 6
OPP 37
-1
75.1%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 11:44
4TH & 7
OPP 38
0
74.2%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 33 yds, downed at the MiaFl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:0533% → 29%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-2
67.3%
MIAMI FL Penalty, False Start (Corey Gaynor) to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 12
OWN 3
0
67.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark PopeSimilar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 3
+5
67.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q4 10:49
3RD & 7
OWN 8
0
70.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Cam'Ron HarrisSimilar
Q4 10:38
4TH & 7
OWN 8
0
71.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:5877% → 74%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
76.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:22
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.0%
Tayvion Robinson run for 5 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 9:46
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
75.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q4 9:38
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
73.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Gurvan Hall Jr. at the MiaFl 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22TD
10 plays · 82 yds · 3:2733% → 65%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
67.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q4 9:08
2ND & 1
OWN 27
+2
64.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
66.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 31Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+7
68.7%
D'Eriq King run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+6
65.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
65.9%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+7
66.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 7 yds to the VTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
65.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 10 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+36
35.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.8%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Te'Cory Couch return for no gain to the MiaFl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:4461% → 60%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
38.9%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-5
38.9%
D'Eriq King sacked by Dax Hollifield and Justus Reed for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 30Similar
Q4 4:48
3RD & 15
OWN 30
+9
41.7%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 39Similar
Q4 4:04
4TH & 6
OWN 39
0
40.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 25PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4047% → 41%
Q4 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
46.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 9 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 3:35
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+10
48.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
47.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 23Similar
Q4 2:50
2ND & 15
OWN 23
0
45.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 15
OWN 23
-9
43.0%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 9 yards to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 2:13
4TH & 24
OWN 14
0
40.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Gurvan Hall Jr. at the MiaFl 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:2768% → 71%
Q4 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
32.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+3
28.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-3
25.5%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q4 1:45
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
29.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 52 yds, downed at the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 27Uncategorized
12 plays · 39 yds · 1:3234% → 21%
Q4 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+19
33.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 19 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
35.3%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 1:11
1ST & 15
OWN 18
+9
33.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+3
32.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Jalen Holston for 3 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q4 0:52
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+3
30.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
32.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 7 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 0:40
2ND & 3
OWN 40
-7
35.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Gilbert Frierson for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 0:30
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+10
26.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Drake DeIuliis for 10 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
27.0%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
25.4%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
21.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:59
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 36 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-30.6
TD · Q3 1:27
Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-21.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-21
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com