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ND

Notre Dame 45 at Boston College 31

BC
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadND aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreND score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.7BC 22.1%Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOODAWAY 24 - HOME 16 · Q2 3:12
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:12 · Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 81Pregame prior−21.7Home team on offense−5.3Score differential−3.3Garbage-time factor−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:24: C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +5.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:43: Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +5.3 pts (now 82%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:04: Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +5.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:34: C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK) — ND win probability +5.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:35: David Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +8.1 pts (now 12%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 6 of 6ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:39ND 4th & 5 at BC 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.5%
    92% to make
    Punt
    75.9%−0.6
    average punt
  2. Q1 3:56BC 4th & 16 at ND 25, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%−0.5
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    25.9%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:41BC 4th & 12 at ND 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.5%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    30.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    27.8%−2.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:15BC 4th & 11 at BC 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.5%−1.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:12BC 4th & 5 at ND 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.8%
    79% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:07ND 4th & 1 at BC 40, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    79.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.8%−1.3
    34% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:23BC 4th & 1 at ND 9, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.5%−2.0
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.7%−7.7
    average punt
  8. Q4 11:36BC 4th & 6 at BC 29, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 7:31ND 4th & 1 at BC 38, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.0%−0.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:37ND 4th & 4 at BC 30, up 22
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 3ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 5:03BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:11ND Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:24ND Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:43ND Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:04ND Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:34ND Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:35BC Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:19ND Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 4:09BC Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    3.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:1383% → 81%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
16.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 8 yds to the NDame 33Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+6
16.8%
Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
17.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 6 yds to the NDame 45Similar
Q1 13:38
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+12
17.2%
Kyren Williams run for 12 yds to the BC 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+12
17.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
17.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 9 yds to the BC 22Similar
Q1 12:05
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+5
17.8%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
18.0%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the BC 13Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 6
OPP 13
0
18.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q1 10:54
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+6
18.3%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to Tremble, Tommy, PENALTY BOSTCOLL holding (Jones, Deon) 6 yards to the BOSTCOLL7, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 10:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
18.3%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the BC 6Similar
Q1 10:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
18.5%
Ian Book run for 1 yd to the BC 5Similar
Q1 9:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
18.9%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q1 9:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
18.9%
Jonathan Doerer 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 4:1919% → 24%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
19.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 15 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
19.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 20 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+22
19.8%
Travis Levy run for 22 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-8
20.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Shaun Crawford for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 18
OPP 31
+10
20.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for 10 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q1 6:32
3RD & 8
OPP 21
+12
20.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 12 yds to the NDame 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q1 5:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
21.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
21.2%
Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Levy, Travis, PENALTY NOTREDAME holding (Hamilton, Kyle) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME4, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q1 5:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
21.6%
David Bailey run for no gain to the NDame 4Similar
Q1 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
23.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 4 yds for a TD, (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 4:52
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
22.9%
Chris Tyree run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 19 Chris Tyree fumbled, recovered by BC Brandon BarlowSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4FG
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:5124% → 25%
Q1 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
23.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q1 4:43
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
23.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q1 4:35
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-6
23.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for a loss of 6 yards to the NDame 25Similar
Q1 3:56
4TH & 16
OPP 25
+41
25.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:3174% → 76%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+22
25.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 22 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
25.4%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q1 2:47
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+20
25.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 20 yds to the BC 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
25.1%
Kyren Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 34Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+12
25.5%
Ian Book run for 12 yds to the BC 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
25.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 2 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q1 0:37
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+10
26.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 10 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
22.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 10 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
Q1 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
23.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ben Skowronek) to the NDame 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 2:1926% → 27%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
25.7%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 5 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 15
OWN 37
0
24.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Adetokunbo OgundejiSimilar
Q2 14:45
3RD & 15
OWN 37
+34
24.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 34 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
26.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+17
26.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 17 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
27.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q2 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-2
27.5%
David Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 14Similar
Q2 12:45
3RD & 12
OPP 14
0
27.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 12
OPP 14
+31
26.9%
Aaron Boumerhi 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:0372% → 78%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
27.7%
C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the NDame 30Similar
Q2 11:53
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+20
27.7%
Ian Book run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:18
1ST & 10
50
0
26.9%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
50
0
27.3%
Ian Book pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:58
3RD & 10
50
+48
28.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 48 yds to the BC 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
22.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:5725% → 24%
Q2 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
24.7%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
24.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahSimilar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
23.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 9:15
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
23.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds , Matt Salerno returns for no gain to the NDame 35 BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Kick Catching Interference (Elijah Jones) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9TD
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2377% → 82%
Q2 9:06
1ST & 10
50
+4
23.3%
Ian Book run for 4 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q2 8:38
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+8
23.5%
Kyren Williams run for 8 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+19
23.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 19 yds to the BC 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+3
22.5%
Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q2 7:01
2ND & 7
OPP 16
+8
23.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 8 yds to the BC 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-5
23.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the BC 13Similar
Q2 5:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 13
0
23.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Avery Davis, broken up by Brandon SebastianSimilar
Q2 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+13
18.5%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 13 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 10FG
7 plays · 57 yds · 2:2319% → 22%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 12 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+40
19.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 40 yds to the NDame 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:29
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+7
21.1%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 16
-2
21.2%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 18Similar
Q2 3:17
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
20.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Bo BauerSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
22.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11FUMBLE
2 plays · 12 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
20.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 12 yds Kyren Williams fumbled, forced by Chibueze Onwuka, recovered by BC Isaiah McDuffieSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 12FUMBLE
3 plays · -9 yds · 0:4223% → 23%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
22.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Clarence LewisSimilar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+7
22.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the NDame 35Similar
Q2 2:09
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-16
23.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the BC 49 TEAM fumbled, recovered by NDame Daelin HayesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
13 plays · 49 yds · 1:5981% → 89%
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
18.8%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the BC 44Similar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+3
18.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q2 1:22
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+1
18.2%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the BC 40Similar
Q2 1:07
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+4
18.7%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
17.6%
Ian Book run for 3 yds to the BC 33Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+6
17.2%
Ian Book run for 6 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+4
16.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 4 yds to the BC 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+16
16.2%
Ian Book run for 16 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
16.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
10.6%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15DOWNS
13 plays · 66 yds · 4:2914% → 14%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
14.4%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+17
14.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 17 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
15.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Drew WhiteSimilar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
15.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+28
14.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 28 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
15.9%
Travis Levy run for 9 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q3 12:18
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+4
16.0%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
15.3%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
15.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ Lewis, broken up by Nick McCloudSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+6
14.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 6 yds to the NDame 9Similar
Q3 10:23
4TH & 1
OPP 9
0
14.2%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the NDame 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 52 yds · 1:4189% → 90%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-4
10.7%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Daelin Hayes) to the NDame 5Similar
Q3 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+10
10.7%
C'Bo Flemister run for 10 yds to the NDame 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
10.5%
C'Bo Flemister run for 4 yds to the NDame 19Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+15
10.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 15 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+27
10.1%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 27 yds Ben Skowronek fumbled, forced by Josh DeBerry, recovered by BC Max RichardsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
13.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Jack Kiser return for 2 yds to the BC 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 18TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 1:5091% → 97%
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
9.3%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+13
9.3%
Chris Tyree run for 13 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+27
8.8%
Ian Book pass complete to C'Bo Flemister for 27 yds to the BC 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.0%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 5:464% → 12%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
4.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
4.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for no gain to the BC 20Similar
Q3 5:31
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+15
3.9%
Jurkovec, Phil pass pass intercepted by Hamilton, Kyle at the BOSTCOLL34, Hamilton, Kyle return 0 yards to the BOSTCOLL34, PENALTY NOTREDAME face mask (Bauer, Bo) 15 yards to the BOSTCOLL35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
4.0%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the BC 42Similar
Q3 4:34
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+13
4.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 13 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
4.0%
David Bailey run for 10 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
4.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+11
4.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 11 yds to the NDame 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
3.9%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q3 2:17
2ND & 7
OPP 21
+9
3.8%
Phil Jurkovec run for 9 yds to the NDame 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
3.7%
Travis Levy run for 6 yds to the NDame 6Similar
Q3 1:07
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
4.0%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the NDame 3Similar
Q3 0:35
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
12.1%
David Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 20TD
8 plays · 70 yds · 3:0393% → 99%
Q3 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
6.9%
Chris Tyree run for 13 yds to the NDame 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+29
6.2%
Avery Davis run for 29 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
5.8%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+12
5.6%
Ian Book run for 12 yds to the BC 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
5.4%
Chris Tyree run for 7 yds to the BC 6Similar
Q4 12:27
2ND & 3
OPP 6
0
5.4%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Ben SkowronekSimilar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+6
1.5%
Ian Book run for 6 yds for a TD (Jonathan Doerer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:362% → 2%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
2.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q4 11:51
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
2.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 11:46
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
2.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Kyle HamiltonSimilar
Q4 11:36
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+12
1.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 41 yds , Matt Salerno returns for 12 yds to the NDame 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 22MISSED FG
13 plays · 28 yds · 5:4699% → 99%
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
1.4%
C'Bo Flemister run for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:23
2ND & 2
50
-15
1.3%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (-15 Yards) to the NDame 35Similar
Q4 10:55
1ST & 17
OWN 35
+2
1.5%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 15
OWN 37
+16
1.3%
Ian Book pass complete to Lawrence Keys III for 16 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
1.2%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q4 8:56
2ND & 4
OPP 41
+3
1.1%
Chris Tyree run for 3 yds to the BC 38Similar
Q4 8:16
3RD & 1
OPP 38
0
1.1%
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the BC 38Similar
Q4 7:31
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
0.9%
C'Bo Flemister run for 2 yds to the BC 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
0.7%
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd to the BC 35Similar
Q4 6:11
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+5
0.6%
C'Bo Flemister run for 5 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
0.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Lawrence Keys III, broken up by Josh DeBerrySimilar
Q4 5:37
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+48
0.7%
Jonathan Doerer 48 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:221% → 4%
Q4 5:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+17
1.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 17 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
1.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 5:11
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+21
1.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 21 yds to the NDame 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
1.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q4 4:47
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+16
1.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 16 yds to the NDame 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:14
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+8
1.2%
Jurkovec, Phil pass incomplete to Flowers, Zay, PENALTY NOTREDAME roughing passer (Mills, Rylie) 8 yards to the NOTREDAME8, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN BOSTCOLL.Similar
Q4 4:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
4.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 8 yds for a TD NOTRE DAME Penalty, Defensive Offside (Adetokunbo Ogundeji) to the NDame 1 (T. Levy Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 24Uncategorized
9 plays · 23 yds · 3:3197% → 99%
Q4 4:02
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
2.7%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 3:14
2ND & 4
OPP 25
+8
2.0%
Chris Tyree run for 8 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
1.9%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the BC 16Similar
Q4 2:23
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+7
1.8%
Chris Tyree run for 7 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q4 1:39
3RD & 2
OPP 9
+5
1.4%
Chris Tyree run for no gain to the BC 9 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Maximilian Roberts) to the BC 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
1.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 6Similar
Q4 0:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:35
David Bailey run for 3 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+8.1
TD · Q3 6:34
C'Bo Flemister run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
-5.9
TD · Q2 0:04
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Doerer KICK)
-5.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com