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LIB

Liberty 38 at Virginia Tech 35

VT
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameFG+0.8VT 83.3%Brian Johnson 41 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 3 · Q1 4:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:40 · Brian Johnson 41 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.5+18.80−18.8−37.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 27Pregame prior+32.2Home team on offense−0.5Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:26: Malik Willis run for 19 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +16.7 pts (now 39%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:29: Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +36.1 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:46: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 9 yds for a TD (Hendon Hooker pass to Raheem Blackshear for Two-Point Conversion) — VT win probability +43.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 1:41: Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +31.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:52: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 12 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +44.5 pts (now 66%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 6LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 12:01LIB 4th & 2 at VT 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    14.0%−0.2
    23% to make
    Punt
    14.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:41VT 4th & 7 at VT 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:15LIB 4th & 11 at LIB 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.0%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40VT 4th & 6 at LIB 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    80.3%−1.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:48LIB 4th & 3 at VT 38, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    21.0%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−0.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:48VT 4th & 2 at LIB 3, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.8%
    49% to convert
    Field goal
    68.8%−1.0
    93% to make
    Punt
    64.6%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q3 13:10VT 4th & 7 at VT 40, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:57VT 4th & 4 at LIB 33, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 64.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%−2.0
    49% to make
    Punt
    60.3%−3.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00LIB 4th & 1 at VT 36, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.2%−6.7
    42% to make
    Punt
    35.0%−7.8
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:49LIB 4th & 23 at VT 45, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−8.0
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    40.0%−4.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 5:46VT 4th & 3 at LIB 9, down 8
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.1 ptsWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.8%−3.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    22.9%
    89% to make
    Punt
    8.8%−14.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 4LIB made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 9:46LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    15.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:11LIB Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:48VT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:36VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:26LIB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:29LIB Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:46VT Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    45.5%−1.2
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    46.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:41LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.8%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:52VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−5.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LIBDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 5:1413% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.3%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
87.3%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
87.3%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+4
87.3%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+5
87.3%
WILLIS, Malik pass incomplete to FRITH, Noah (Chamarri Conner), PENALTY VT offside defense 5 yards to the LU46, 1ST DOWN LU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
86.3%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-1
86.3%
DJ Stubbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+9
86.4%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 2
OPP 46
+14
86.4%
Joshua Mack run for 14 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:46
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
84.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 32 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
84.8%
Tre Turner run for no gain to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+2
84.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 25Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 8
OWN 25
+1
84.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+48
84.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 48 yds LIBERTY Penalty, ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4316% → 17%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
83.6%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 25Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 11
OWN 25
0
83.2%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q1 7:15
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete, broken up by Amare BarnoSimilar
Q1 7:15
4TH & 11
OWN 25
+19
83.5%
Aidan Alves punt for 51 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for 19 yds to the VTech 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:2184% → 83%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
83.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+25
83.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 25 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-9
83.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 9 yards to the Liber 37 Raheem Blackshear fumbled, recovered by VTech Raheem BlackshearSimilar
Q1 5:26
2ND & 19
OPP 37
+5
82.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith, PENALTY LU offside defense (CLARK, TreShaun) 5 yards to the LU32, NO PLAY, clock 05:26.Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
82.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Raheem Blackshear, broken up by Anthony ButlerSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 14
OPP 32
+8
82.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Liber 24Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 6
OPP 24
+41
83.3%
Brian Johnson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 5TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 7:2517% → 28%
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
83.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the Liber 29Similar
Q1 4:36
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
83.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
82.9%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 40Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
82.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
82.6%
Joshua Mack run for 1 yd to the Liber 45Similar
Q1 4:36
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+7
82.6%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
79.9%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
79.4%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+8
79.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 8 yds to the VTech 37Similar
Q2 14:27
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-1
79.4%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+35
78.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 35 yds to the VTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
77.4%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the VTech 2 Malik Willis fumbled, recovered by Liber Malik Willis , return for 1 yd to the VTech 2Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
71.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:2374% → 78%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-10
73.7%
Hendon Hooker flare pass complete to Drake Deluliis for 2 yards to the VT37 (HASKINS, Marcus), PENALTY VT holding (Brock Hoffman) 10 yards to the VT25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 20
OWN 25
+5
73.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+17
73.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 17 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+42
74.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 31 yds to the VATECH 22 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (Aaron Pierre) to the Liber 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
75.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+6
75.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the Liber 3Similar
Q2 9:42
3RD & 2
OPP 3
0
72.2%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Liber 3Similar
Q2 8:48
4TH & 2
OPP 3
+3
77.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 7FUMBLE
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:1524% → 24%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+5
76.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 5 yds to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 23
+7
76.1%
Shedro Louis run for 7 yds to the Liber 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
76.1%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 35
-1
75.6%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 34Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 34
-4
76.3%
Malik Willis sacked by Norell Pollard for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 30 Malik Willis fumbled, recovered by VTech Jaylen Griffin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 30 yds · 1:1177% → 82%
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+13
76.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 13 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
76.9%
Jalen Holston rush right for 3 yards to the LU14 (RUSINS, Ralfs), PENALTY LU offside defense (WASHINGTON, Aakil) 5 yards to the LU12, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:36
1ST & 5
OPP 12
+12
82.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9FUMBLE
11 plays · 66 yds · 0:0620% → 23%
Q2 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
79.9%
LIBERTY Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Liber 20Similar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
79.9%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+23
80.1%
Malik Willis run for 23 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+22
78.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Dorian Strong) to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
77.4%
Joshua Mack run for 3 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+4
77.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 4 yds to the VTech 28Similar
Q2 4:30
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+6
77.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 6 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
77.2%
Joshua Mack run for 5 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 4:30
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+13
77.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 13 yds to the VTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
77.2%
Malik Willis sacked by Jaylen Griffin for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 9 Malik Willis fumbled, recovered by VTech Jaylen Griffin , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10FG
15 plays · 90 yds · 1:4579% → 85%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
78.6%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 2
OWN 17
0
78.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q2 1:24
3RD & 2
OWN 17
+13
77.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 13 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
78.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 15 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
80.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 8 yds to the Liber 47Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+8
80.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 8 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
80.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 4 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q2 0:55
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+10
81.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 10 yds to the Liber 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
81.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Nick GalloSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
81.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Evan Fairs for 10 yds to the Liber 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+12
81.1%
Jalen Holston run for 12 yds to the Liber 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
81.1%
Hendon Hooker sideline pass incomplete to Evan Fairs, PENALTY LU offside defense (JOHNSON, Durrell) 2 yards to the LU1, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
84.8%
Brian Johnson 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 1:5083% → 82%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
83.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+3
83.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
83.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
83.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete, broken up by Elijah JamesSimilar
Q3 13:46
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
83.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
83.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:10
4TH & 7
OWN 40
+54
81.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 54 yds , Demario Douglas returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Liber 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 13TD
12 plays · 95 yds · 6:3119% → 39%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+11
81.4%
Joshua Mack run for 11 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
81.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 5 yds to the Liber 21Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 5
OWN 21
+17
80.9%
Joshua Mack run for 17 yds to the Liber 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+8
80.1%
Joshua Mack run for 8 yds to the Liber 46Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 46
-4
79.0%
Malik Willis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 42Similar
Q3 12:57
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+10
80.1%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
78.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the VTech 44Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-5
78.6%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (Malik Willis) to the VTech 49Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+13
79.5%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 13 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
78.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 12 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
77.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 5 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+19
60.6%
Malik Willis run for 19 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14MISSED FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:2967% → 64%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+17
67.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 17 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
70.5%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 7
50
-10
70.9%
Hendon Hooker screen pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 6 yards to the LU44 (STONE, Cedric), PENALTY VT holding (Changa Hodge) 10 yards to the VT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 17
OWN 40
+16
67.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 16 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
70.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
71.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 3 yds to the Liber 36Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+1
71.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Liber 35Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+2
70.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the Liber 33Similar
Q3 1:57
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+50
63.9%
Brian Johnson 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15PUNT
13 plays · 22 yds · 6:0240% → 43%
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
60.5%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q3 1:51
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
61.2%
Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q3 1:51
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+3
58.8%
Shedro Louis run for 3 yds to the Liber 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
58.6%
Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
54.4%
Malik Willis run for no gain to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
54.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+4
55.0%
Joshua Mack run for 4 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+4
57.2%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the VTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-2
52.9%
Joshua Mack run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 11:29
2ND & 12
OPP 34
0
49.9%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Demario DouglasSimilar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 12
OPP 34
-5
53.0%
WILLIS, Malik pass complete to HUNTLEY, Johnny for 15 yards to the VT19 (Devin Taylor), PENALTY LU illegal motion 5 yards to the VT39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:29
3RD & 17
OPP 39
-6
54.5%
Malik Willis sacked by Amare Barno for a loss of 6 yards to the VTech 45 Malik Willis fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 10:49
4TH & 23
OPP 45
-2
56.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 37 yds , Tayvion Robinson returns for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 5 Tayvion Robinson fumbled, recovered by Liber Benjamin Alexander , return for 1 yd to the VTech 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 16TD
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q4 10:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
20.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4328% → 65%
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
28.1%
Hendon Hooker sideline pass complete to Tre Turner for 22 yards to the VT47, PENALTY VT ineligible downfield on pass (Doug Nester) 5 yards to the VT20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+12
27.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 12 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 10:29
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
30.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 15 yds to the VTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+14
31.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 14 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:55
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
31.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 35
0
32.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 6
OPP 35
+19
29.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 19 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
32.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Liber 15Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+2
32.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 2 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+4
30.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q4 5:46
4TH & 3
OPP 9
+9
65.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 9 yds for a TD (Hendon Hooker pass to Raheem Blackshear for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:0544% → 95%
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
55.7%
Malik Willis run for 11 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
54.1%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the Liber 38Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
51.3%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Noah FrithSimilar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+13
53.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 13 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
48.5%
Joshua Mack run for no gain to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+25
49.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 25 yds to the VTech 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
46.4%
Joshua Mack run for 2 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 1:53
2ND & 8
OPP 22
+13
39.3%
Malik Willis run for 13 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
4.7%
Peytton Pickett run for 9 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 19TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 0:4414% → 66%
Q4 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+17
13.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 17 yds to the VTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
16.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 5 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q4 1:07
2ND & 5
OWN 47
+21
16.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 21 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
21.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Liber 24 for a 1ST down LIBERTY Penalty, face mask (12 yards) (Anthony Butler) to the Liber 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
65.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 12 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 20Uncategorized
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:3851% → 58%
Q4 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
48.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Yarbrough for 7 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+10
45.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Noah Frith for 10 yds to the Liber 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+6
43.7%
Joshua Mack run for 6 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 4
OWN 48
+7
44.0%
Malik Willis run for 7 yds to the VTech 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
41.6%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ YarbroughSimilar
Q4 0:18
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+4
42.8%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q4 0:08
3RD & 6
OPP 41
0
42.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny Huntley, broken up by Amare BarnoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:52
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 12 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+44.5
TD · Q4 5:46
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 9 yds for a TD (Hendon Hooker pass to Raheem Blackshear for Two-Point Conversion)
+43.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-42.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com