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WAKE

Wake Forest 38 at Syracuse 14

SYR
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadWAKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreWAKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:50 · Ivan Mora punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 19
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+54.5+27.30−27.3−54.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense−4.4Pregame prior−25.8Score differential−2.3Garbage-time factor−1.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:17: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +9.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 1:19: Kenneth Walker III run for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +7.0 pts (now 81%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:41: Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.6 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:32: Rex Culpepper pass intercepted for a TD Gavin Holmes return for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:09: Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WAKE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 10:06WAKE 4th & 11 at SYR 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    77.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:06SYR 4th & 21 at SYR 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.2%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 19 at WAKE 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.4
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:50WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 47, up 10
    Close callPunted · 78.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.2%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:23SYR 4th & 23 at SYR 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.2%−0.9
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54WAKE 4th & 7 at WAKE 15, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 4:17WAKE 4th & 5 at WAKE 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.7%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:12SYR 4th & 5 at SYR 26, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.7%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03WAKE 4th & 27 at SYR 43, up 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.8 ptsWent for it · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.0%−1.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−0.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    78.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.3%−0.3
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:32SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    6.1%−1.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:38SYR 4th & 23 at SYR 39, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%−2.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:09SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 23, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 40, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00WAKE 4th & 6 at SYR 34, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.2%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:04WAKE 4th & 17 at WAKE 35, up 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:11WAKE 4th & 1 at SYR 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.1%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.8%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2WAKE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 3:37WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 4:17SYR Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    29.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    29.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:19WAKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:41WAKE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:32WAKE Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:09WAKE Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:11SYR Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WAKEDrive 1FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 4:5481% → 79%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+4
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 4 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete, broken up by Ifeatu MelifonwuSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+20
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 20 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+12
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 12 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
18.6%
Sam Hartman run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+11
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
18.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the Syrac 10Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+2
18.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-7
18.6%
Sam Hartman sacked by Tyrell Richards for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
20.7%
Nick Sciba 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · -11 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q1 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.7%
Cooper Lutz run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 10:06
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 6
OWN 29
-15
20.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive pass interference (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 14Similar
Q1 10:06
3RD & 21
OWN 14
0
20.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:06
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
20.4%
Nolan Cooney punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 3TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 4:2679% → 80%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
21.5%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+5
21.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 5
OWN 41
+8
21.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 8 yds to the WFrst 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
21.2%
Sam Hartman run for 15 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
21.2%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
21.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+10
21.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 10 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
21.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for 4 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+4
21.0%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 2
OPP 18
+7
21.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for 7 yds to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+10
21.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for 10 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
20.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
13 plays · 34 yds · 3:3720% → 20%
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
20.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
20.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 7 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q1 3:37
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
20.4%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 3 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
20.5%
Cooper Lutz run for 7 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+11
21.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 11 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
21.1%
Nykeim Johnson run for 9 yds to the WFrst 38Similar
Q1 3:37
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+6
21.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 6 yds to the WFrst 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-15
21.5%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the WFrst 47Similar
Q1 3:37
1ST & 25
OPP 47
+1
21.0%
Rex Culpepper run for 1 yd to the WFrst 46Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 24
OPP 46
+5
21.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 5 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 19
OPP 41
0
20.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete, broken up by Trey RuckerSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 19
OPP 41
0
20.2%
Nolan Cooney punt for 28 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 34 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
21.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 9 yds to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
20.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 22Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+3
21.3%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
21.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for no gain to the WFrst 25Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+14
21.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 14 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
20.5%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+8
20.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 8 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 2
OWN 47
0
20.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin, broken up by Aman GreenwoodSimilar
Q2 14:50
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
21.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-6
20.6%
Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 13Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 16
OWN 13
+4
20.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 4 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+14
20.7%
Cooper Lutz run for 14 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
21.3%
Cooper Lutz run for 8 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+4
21.6%
Cooper Lutz run for 4 yds to the WFrst 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
21.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:23
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-2
21.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 49Similar
Q2 11:23
3RD & 12
OPP 49
-11
21.0%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Ja'Cquez Williams for a loss of 11 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 11:23
4TH & 23
OWN 40
+47
19.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 47 yds , Taylor Morin returns for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
20.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+3
20.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 1
OWN 21
-1
21.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 20Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 2
OWN 20
-5
21.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 7
OWN 15
+26
21.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 47 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 26 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:4022% → 32%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
22.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 3 yds to the WFrst 33Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+14
22.8%
Cooper Lutz run for 14 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
22.8%
Cooper Lutz run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 21Similar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
32.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
28.1%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+12
28.3%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 12 yds to the WFrst 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Donavon GreeneSimilar
Q2 4:17
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
28.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 5 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q2 4:17
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
28.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q2 4:17
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
29.1%
Ivan Mora punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q2 3:12
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
29.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 5 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q2 3:12
2ND & 5
OWN 26
0
29.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Caelen CarsonSimilar
Q2 3:12
3RD & 5
OWN 26
0
28.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete, broken up by Nick AndersenSimilar
Q2 3:12
4TH & 5
OWN 26
+4
27.7%
Nolan Cooney punt for 35 yds , Taylor Morin returns for 4 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 11TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 1:0773% → 81%
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
27.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 11 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
26.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 15 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
26.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for 11 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
19.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13END OF HALF
6 plays · 0 yds · 1:0581% → 79%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
19.3%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Jaquarii RobersonSimilar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 20
OPP 36
0
19.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 1:08
3RD & 20
OPP 36
-7
20.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Garrett Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 27
OPP 43
0
20.6%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
19.8%
Cooper Lutz run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
19.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
19.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Mikel Jones, broken up by Nick AndersenSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
19.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 1:0179% → 88%
Q3 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
20.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q3 13:42
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
20.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 20Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+80
12.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-32
6.6%
Rex Culpepper pass intercepted for a TD Gavin Holmes return for 32 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17PUNT
13 plays · 14 yds · 2:547% → 5%
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
6.6%
Nykeim Johnson run for 13 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
7.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Damien Alford for 3 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+3
7.1%
Cooper Lutz run for 3 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 4
OWN 44
+3
7.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Sharod Johnson for 3 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q3 12:32
4TH & 1
OWN 47
+5
7.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 5 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:32
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
7.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q3 12:32
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+2
7.3%
Cooper Lutz run for 2 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 12:32
3RD & 8
OPP 46
-5
7.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 13
OWN 49
-10
5.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 9:38
3RD & 23
OWN 39
0
4.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q3 9:38
4TH & 23
OWN 39
0
4.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WFrst 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 18TD
14 plays · 71 yds · 5:5196% → 99%
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
3.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 7 yds to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 3
OWN 36
0
3.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the WFrst 36Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+6
3.9%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (6 Yards) to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+6
3.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 6 yds to the WFrst 48Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 48
+7
3.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 7 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
3.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive holding (10 Yards) to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
3.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+15
3.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
3.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-10
3.5%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Syrac 30Similar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+22
3.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 22 yds to the Syrac 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
3.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the Syrac 5Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
1.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for 3 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q3 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
0.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:09
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
0.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 3:09
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
0.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Taylor Morin at the WFrst 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 20DOWNS
13 plays · 41 yds · 2:1999% → 99%
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-7
1.0%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete WAKE FOREST Penalty, intentional grounding (-7 Yards) to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 2:19
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+5
1.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q3 2:19
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+12
1.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 12 yds to the WFrst 35 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
1.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 16 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
0.9%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 5 yds to the WFrst 44 WAKE FOREST Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the WFrst 46Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 46
+3
0.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+11
0.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 11 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
0.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for no gain to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+2
0.6%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-2
0.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 40
+6
0.6%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 34
0
0.6%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor MorinSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 34
0
0.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Taylor Morin, broken up by Garrett WilliamsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
0.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 3 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 10:40
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
0.2%
Rex Culpepper pass intercepted Trey Rucker return for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
0.3%
Justice Ellison run for 2 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 8
OWN 44
-5
0.3%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+1
0.3%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the WFrst 40Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 12
OWN 40
-5
0.3%
Michael Kern run for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 17
OWN 35
0
0.4%
Ivan Mora punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:170% → 1%
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
0.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 7 yds to the Syrac 27Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+8
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 8 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+18
0.2%
Cooper Lutz run for 18 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Taj Harris for 3 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the WFrst 35Similar
Q4 7:28
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+31
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Ed Hendrix for 31 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
0.2%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 3 yds to the WFrst 1Similar
Q4 7:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
0.2%
Cooper Lutz run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 3Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
1.1%
JaCobian Morgan pass complete to Luke Benson for 3 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 24Uncategorized
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
0.5%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+1
0.5%
Justice Ellison run for 1 yd to the Syrac 33Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+4
0.5%
Justice Ellison run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+1
0.6%
Mitch Griffis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:17
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 21 yds for a TD, (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+9.4
TD · Q3 12:41
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 80 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-8.6
TD · Q2 1:19
Kenneth Walker III run for 20 yds for a TD, (Nick Sciba KICK)
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com