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VT

Virginia Tech 42 at Louisville 35

LOU
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:52 · Oscar Bradburn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 71Home team on offense−16.6Score differential−7.8Garbage-time factor−3.5Pregame prior−3.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:28: Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +11.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:15: Tre Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +12.3 pts (now 81%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 5:36: Maurice Burkley run for 13 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (1 Yards) to the VTech 2 (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +16.7 pts (now 32%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:23: Khalil Herbert run for 24 yds for a TD (Hendon Hooker pass to Tre Turner for Two-Point Conversion) — VT win probability +11.4 pts (now 97%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:00: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 16 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +12.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00LOU 4th & 18 at LOU 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.2
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:41LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:09VT 4th & 16 at LOU 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.7%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    61.8%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00LOU 4th & 2 at VT 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    33.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.7%−0.8
    54% to make
    Punt
    31.9%−1.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:28VT 4th & 1 at LOU 1, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 72.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    68.7%−2.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.7%−9.8
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:19VT 4th & 5 at VT 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.4%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:52VT 4th & 23 at LOU 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−1.5
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:40LOU 4th & 5 at VT 8, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.2%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    19.3%
    90% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 13:16VT 4th & 4 at LOU 13, up 14
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.8%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    89.5%−0.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−7.5
    average punt
  10. Q4 9:14VT 4th & 6 at LOU 23, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.4%
    70% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−7.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 9:14LOU 4th & 3 at VT 42, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−1.9
    30% to make
    Punt
    11.3%−2.2
    average punt
  12. Q4 1:00LOU 4th & 6 at VT 16, down 14
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.0%−1.3
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    4.3%
    81% to make
    Punt
    2.3%−2.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5VT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 10:41VT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:53VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:28VT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:19LOU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00LOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:15VT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:53LOU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:36LOU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.5%−0.7
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 3:23VT Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    94.5%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    95.2%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 1:00LOU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.1%−2.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -8 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-13
43.7%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Justus Reed for a loss of 13 yards to the Lvile 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 23
OWN 12
+3
43.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 20
OWN 15
-6
43.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 19 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 9Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 9
+8
43.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 8 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
43.7%
Logan Lupo punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 53 yds · 2:0456% → 57%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+28
44.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 28 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
44.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+8
44.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the Lvile 14 Hendon Hooker fumbled, forced by Jack Fagot, recovered by VTech Hendon Hooker for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+8
44.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 2
OPP 6
+6
42.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
43.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 10 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-3
43.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 13
OWN 32
+1
43.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 33Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 12
OWN 33
-3
43.1%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Justus Reed for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 30Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 15
OWN 30
+1
43.0%
Logan Lupo punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 21 , Tayvion Robinson returns for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 39 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
42.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+7
42.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 7 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+17
42.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
50
+7
42.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+9
42.1%
Tre Turner run for 9 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
42.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 36Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 12
OPP 36
-1
42.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jack Fagot for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-5
42.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 10 yds to the Lvile 27 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 18
OPP 42
+2
42.6%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q1 8:09
4TH & 16
OPP 40
0
42.9%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
42.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 13 yds to the Lvile 33 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Ean Pfeifer) to the Lvile 23Similar
Q1 3:01
1ST & 7
OWN 23
0
42.3%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 23Similar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-12
42.2%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Devin Taylor return for 12 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
3 plays · 33 yds · 1:0960% → 65%
Q1 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
40.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the Lvile 25 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Tre Turner) to the Lvile 35Similar
Q1 2:02
1ST & 12
OPP 35
+32
40.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 32 yds to the Lvile 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
34.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7DOWNS
8 plays · 43 yds · 0:5336% → 37%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.4%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
36.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 13 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+23
36.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 23 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
37.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+8
37.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 30
-1
37.3%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 31Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 31
-1
37.0%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 32 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal block ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 2:5967% → 79%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+34
33.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 34 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+28
32.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 28 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
32.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Lvile 2Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
32.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the Lvile 1Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
32.6%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the Lvile 1Similar
Q2 9:28
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:0924% → 32%
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
24.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+4
23.7%
Maurice Burkley run for 4 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 9:28
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+18
24.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 18 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-10
24.8%
Cunningham, M. sideline pass complete to Atwell, T. for 1 yard to the VT39 (Ashby, R), PENALTY LOU holding (Brown, R.) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 20
50
+10
24.2%
Cunningham, M. curl pass incomplete to Marshall, J. (Chatman, A), PENALTY VT holding (Chatman, A) 10 yards to the VT40, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:28
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
24.8%
Maurice Burkley run for 5 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 9:28
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+21
25.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 21 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
32.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 14 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
29.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
28.3%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 6:19
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-3
28.6%
Hendon Hooker sacked by C.J. Avery for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 40Similar
Q2 6:19
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
29.4%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11INT
4 plays · 22 yds · 0:0029% → 30%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
28.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Ean Pfeifer, broken up by Chamarri ConnerSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+2
28.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 2 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q2 4:28
3RD & 8
OWN 20
+20
28.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 20 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
29.8%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Divine Deablo return for 5 yds to the Lvile 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · -13 yds · 2:0874% → 75%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
26.1%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Lvile 36Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-1
26.2%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 11
OPP 37
-10
26.4%
Hooker, H middle pass complete to Robinson, T for 18 yards to the LOU19 (Yeast, R.), PENALTY VT holding (Tenuta, L) 10 yards to the LOU47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 21
OPP 47
-2
26.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 49Similar
Q2 0:52
4TH & 23
OPP 49
0
24.7%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:4625% → 33%
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-5
25.1%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Josh Fuga for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 10Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 15
OWN 10
0
24.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Alan TisdaleSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 15
OWN 10
+90
33.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 90 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 3:4567% → 81%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-7
33.5%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Marlon Character for a loss of 7 yards to the VTech 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+24
35.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 24 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
32.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+8
32.0%
Raheem Blackshear run for 8 yds to the Lvile 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
31.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+28
31.8%
Tayvion Robinson run for 28 yds to the Lvile 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
19.5%
Tre Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 15INT
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:3523% → 20%
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
22.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+25
22.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 25 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
24.9%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 49Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
24.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 4 yds to the VTech 47Similar
Q3 11:15
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+10
24.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 10 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-1
24.9%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 11
OPP 38
+15
24.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 15 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
25.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the VTech 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
25.8%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:15
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+5
25.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the VTech 8Similar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 5
OPP 8
0
19.9%
Braden Smith pass incomplete to Malik CunninghamSimilar
Q3 5:40
4TH & 5
OPP 8
-1
19.6%
Malik Cunningham pass intercepted Chamarri Conner return for 1 yd to the VTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FG
14 plays · 84 yds · 7:0984% → 93%
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+8
15.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the VTech 11Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 2
OWN 11
+5
15.6%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+6
15.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 22
+2
15.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 24Similar
Q3 5:25
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+13
15.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 13 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
14.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
14.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 7 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+7
13.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the Lvile 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
14.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 5:25
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+18
14.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 18 yds to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
10.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
10.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 16
+3
10.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q4 13:16
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+30
7.1%
Brian Johnson 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 82 yds · 1:239% → 17%
Q4 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
8.7%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
8.6%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+82
16.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 82 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18FG
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:3982% → 92%
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+42
18.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 42 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
15.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 11:53
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+1
15.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the Lvile 22Similar
Q4 11:53
3RD & 5
OPP 22
-1
16.3%
Hendon Hooker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 23Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+41
7.9%
Brian Johnson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3812% → 32%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
12.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 15 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
12.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 11 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
13.5%
Cunningham, M. rush left for 1 yard to the VT48, out-of-bounds (Conner, C), PENALTY LOU illegal formation 5 yards to the LOU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 15
OWN 46
-5
12.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, false start (Cole Bentley) to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 20
OWN 41
0
12.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Roscoe JohnsonSimilar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 20
OWN 41
0
11.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Javian HawkinsSimilar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+17
11.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 17 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 3
OPP 42
+25
13.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 25 yds to the VTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
15.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
32.2%
Maurice Burkley run for 13 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (1 Yards) to the VTech 2 (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 48 yds · 2:1385% → 97%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-6
15.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 4 yds to the VTech 44 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 46Similar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 16
OWN 46
+13
16.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 13 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+17
14.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the Lvile 39 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Nick Okeke) to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
14.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the Lvile 24Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+24
2.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 24 yds for a TD (Hendon Hooker pass to Tre Turner for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21TD
13 plays · 76 yds · 2:233% → 16%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
3.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Javian HawkinsSimilar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
3.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 7 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
3.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 4 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
3.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 11 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+21
3.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 21 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
4.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+7
4.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 7 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
4.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the VTech 16Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
4.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
3.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:00
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+16
16.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 16 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22END OF GAME
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:0995% → 96%
Q4 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
4.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 0:51
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
4.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-4
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:36
Maurice Burkley run for 13 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (1 Yards) to the VTech 2 (James Turner KICK)
+16.7
TD · Q4 1:00
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 16 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+12.9
TD · Q3 11:15
Tre Turner run for 1 yd for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
-12.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com