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VT

Virginia Tech 16 at Wake Forest 23

WAKE
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · WAKE
modelWAKE aheadVT aheadconfidence bandkey playWAKE scoreVT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of GameFG+2.7WAKE 40.2%Brian Johnson 28 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 10 · Q2 11:39
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 11:39 · Brian Johnson 28 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 52Pregame prior−19.3Home team on offense+2.9Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score differential+0.6Time remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 9:31: Sam Hartman run for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +3.5 pts (now 29%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:40: Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 39 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +7.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:31: Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK) — WAKE win probability +8.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 12:23: Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOOD — WAKE win probability +6.3 pts (now 61%) (top driver: WAKE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 2:38: Brian Johnson 54 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +3.6 pts (now 11%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WAKE made the numbers' call on 6 of 11VT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:05VT 4th & 1 at VT 46, tied
    Close callPunted · 73.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.3%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:34VT 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    67.4%−0.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:34WAKE 4th & 10 at WAKE 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.5%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48VT 4th & 10 at VT 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.2
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.1%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:11WAKE 4th & 2 at VT 23, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%−0.4
    70% to make
    Punt
    33.8%−2.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:39VT 4th & 11 at WAKE 11, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.4%−0.9
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.3%
    87% to make
    Punt
    52.1%−5.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:39WAKE 4th & 6 at WAKE 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:40WAKE 4th & 1 at VT 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    36.6%−1.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:40WAKE 4th & 2 at VT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    37.2%−0.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    34.8%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:40WAKE 4th & 1 at VT 13, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    37.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    36.7%−1.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−4.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:23WAKE 4th & 3 at VT 28, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%−1.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    48.1%−8.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:58VT 4th & 4 at VT 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 33.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.3%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    33.9%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:16WAKE 4th & 1 at WAKE 46, up 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.7 ptsPunted · 67.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.9%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:29VT 4th & 5 at WAKE 14, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.4%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−11.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:05WAKE 4th & 8 at VT 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    68.5%−11.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:56VT 4th & 16 at WAKE 34, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    10.3%−0.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:07WAKE 4th & 2 at WAKE 42, up 10
    Close callPunted · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.6%−0.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:10VT 4th & 2 at WAKE 44, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−1.8
    27% to make
    Punt
    9.0%−1.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:38VT 4th & 8 at WAKE 37, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    6.4%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−0.5
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:51WAKE 4th & 8 at VT 32, up 7
    Close callPunted · 94.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    94.8%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.1%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WAKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2VT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:31WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:40VT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:31WAKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    50.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    50.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VTDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:5576% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
24.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
24.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 6 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+4
24.2%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
24.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+9
24.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 9 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 13:05
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
25.0%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the VTech 46Similar
Q1 13:05
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
25.1%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 2TD
8 plays · 92 yds · 2:5426% → 29%
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
25.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 6 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+3
25.5%
Sam Hartman pass complete to A.T. Perry for 3 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+58
25.4%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 58 yds to the VTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
25.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q1 12:25
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+1
25.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the VTech 21Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+7
25.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 7 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
25.8%
K Walker rush for 4 yards to the VT10 (Deablo, D), PENALTY VT offside (Reed, J) 5 yards to the VT9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 5
OPP 9
+9
29.4%
Sam Hartman run for 9 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 50 yds · 1:5771% → 70%
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+50
28.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 35 yds to the WAKEFOREST 40 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WFrst 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
27.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 8 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 2
OPP 17
-2
27.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the WFrst 19Similar
Q1 9:31
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-6
28.2%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Miles Fox and Chase Monroe for a loss of 6 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
30.2%
Brian Johnson 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
30.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the WFrst 28Similar
Q1 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
30.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q1 7:34
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-5
30.4%
Sam Hartman sacked by Justus Reed and Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 5 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q1 7:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
30.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
31.8%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Ja'Corey Johns for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 19Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
31.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the VTech 20Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
32.1%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
32.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 6FG
6 plays · 37 yds · 2:0934% → 37%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
34.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+26
34.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 26 yds to the VTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
34.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 5 yds to the VTech 26Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+3
34.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the VTech 23Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 2
OPP 23
0
34.3%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 2
OPP 23
+41
36.5%
Nick Sciba 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 7FG
15 plays · 64 yds · 5:3264% → 60%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
36.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 9 yds to the VTech 34Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
35.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
36.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+14
35.6%
Hooker, H pass incomplete to Robinson, T, PENALTY WF pass interference (J Taylor) 14 yards to the WF45, 1ST DOWN VT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
35.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 15 yds to the WFrst 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
36.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the WFrst 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
36.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for 4 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+7
37.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 7 yds to the WFrst 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
36.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the WFrst 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+8
36.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 8 yds to the WFrst 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
36.8%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
36.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson, broken up by A.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
37.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion Robinson, broken up by Caelen CarsonSimilar
Q2 11:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
40.2%
Brian Johnson 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
41.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Rayshard Ashby for a loss of 10 yards to the WFrst 15Similar
Q2 11:39
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
40.7%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Brandon ChapmanSimilar
Q2 11:39
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+14
40.2%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Christian Beal-Smith for 14 yds to the WFrst 29Similar
Q2 11:39
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
39.6%
Ivan Mora punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 9TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:3458% → 68%
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
41.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 11 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
40.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 15 yds to the WFrst 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
39.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 5 yds to the WFrst 39Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+39
32.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 39 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 10TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 7:0937% → 56%
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
36.7%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 30Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
37.1%
Sam Hartman run for 2 yds to the WFrst 32Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
36.4%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
38.2%
Sam Hartman run for no gain to the WFrst 43Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
37.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Kenneth Walker III for 4 yds to the WFrst 47Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 6
OWN 47
+5
37.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Nolan Groulx for 5 yds to the VTech 48Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+11
37.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 11 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
38.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 7 yds to the VTech 30Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
39.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 2
OPP 29
0
38.7%
Sam Hartman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 2
OPP 29
+7
37.7%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 7 yds to the VTech 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
39.6%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 3 yards to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+8
39.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 8 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 8:40
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+4
38.8%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 4 yds to the VTech 13Similar
Q2 8:40
4TH & 1
OPP 13
+8
37.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 3 yds to the VTech 10 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, face mask (5 yards) (Jarrod Hewitt) to the VTech 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
39.6%
WAKE FOREST Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 10Similar
Q2 8:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
39.6%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
55.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 11INT
11 plays · 55 yds · 1:1247% → 50%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+14
53.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 14 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
51.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+16
49.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 16 yds to the WFrst 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
47.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 3 yds to the WFrst 23Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+6
47.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the WFrst 17Similar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+2
49.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the WFrst 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
47.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
47.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to James MitchellSimilar
Q2 0:14
3RD & 10
OPP 15
0
50.0%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted, touchback. Nick Andersen return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
53.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 13FG
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:3253% → 61%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
53.2%
Sam Hartman run for 5 yds to the WFrst 31Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+9
53.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 9 yds to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
55.0%
Sam Hartman sacked by Jarrod Hewitt for 0 yards to the WFrst 40 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, targeting (Jarrod Hewitt) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+15
55.5%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jarrod Hewitt) to the VTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
55.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for 8 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-1
55.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 28Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
54.8%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Nolan Groulx, broken up by Dorian StrongSimilar
Q3 12:23
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+46
61.2%
Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14INT
11 plays · 50 yds · 2:2539% → 36%
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+6
60.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the VTech 19Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 4
OWN 19
+4
60.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the VTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
60.7%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 4 yds to the VTech 27Similar
Q3 12:23
2ND & 6
OWN 27
+2
60.1%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q3 9:58
3RD & 4
OWN 29
0
66.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:58
4TH & 4
OWN 29
+14
68.1%
Oscar Bradburn run for 14 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
65.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the VTech 45Similar
Q3 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+18
64.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the WFrst 48 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, personal foul (Carlos Basham Jr.) to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
64.1%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Nick Andersen return for no gain to the WFrst 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
68.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+19
68.1%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 19 yds to the WFrst 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
69.3%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 4 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+2
70.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Taylor Morin for 2 yds to the WFrst 43Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+3
69.0%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 3 yds to the WFrst 46Similar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
68.3%
Ivan Mora punt for 50 yds for a touchback , Tayvion Robinson returns for no gain Tayvion Robinson fumbled, forced by Kenneth Dicks III, recovered by VTech WAKE FOREST Penalty, kick catching interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FG
9 plays · 66 yds · 4:2028% → 32%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+24
71.7%
Khalil Herbert run for 24 yds to the VTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
69.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the WFrst 49Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+7
68.3%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+13
68.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 13 yds to the WFrst 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
66.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 10 yds to the WFrst 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
66.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 1 yd to the WFrst 18Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-7
66.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 25Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 16
OPP 25
+11
70.1%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 11 yds to the WFrst 14Similar
Q3 1:29
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
67.7%
Brian Johnson 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 17FG
16 plays · 65 yds · 5:2474% → 84%
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
73.6%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Jaquarii Roberson for 11 yds to the WFrst 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
74.7%
Kenneth Walker III run for 1 yd to the WFrst 37Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+10
74.3%
S Hartman pass incomplete to AT Perry, PENALTY VT pass interference (Strong, D) 10 yards to the WF47, 1ST DOWN WF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
76.2%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the VTech 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+8
80.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for 8 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-4
81.0%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+36
80.1%
Sam Hartman pass complete to Donavon Greene for 36 yds to the VTech 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-4
81.9%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
+7
81.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for 7 yds to the VTech 6Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-15
83.0%
S Hartman pass complete to D Greene for 6 yards to the VT0, clock 12:55, PENALTY WF pass interference (D Greene) 15 yards to the VT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+9
81.8%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 25 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Norell Pollard) to the VTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
84.2%
Kenneth Walker III run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 12
OPP 14
0
83.9%
Sam Hartman pass incomplete to Blake WhiteheartSimilar
Q4 12:55
3RD & 12
OPP 14
+4
82.5%
Sam Hartman run for 4 yds to the VTech 10Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+28
83.9%
Nick Sciba 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:0516% → 10%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
84.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the VTech 19Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+3
84.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 3 yds to the VTech 22Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+12
85.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 12 yds to the VTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
82.9%
Herbert, K rush for 4 yards to the VT38 (N Andersen), PENALTY VT holding (Mitchell, J) 10 yards to the VT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+19
84.4%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 19 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 1
OWN 43
-10
81.5%
Herbert, K rush for 18 yards to the WF39 (C Carson), PENALTY VT holding 10 yards to the VT33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 11
OWN 33
+25
84.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 10 yds to the WFrst 43 for a 1ST down WAKE FOREST Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Caelen Carson) to the WFrst 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
80.5%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds Tre Turner fumbled, forced by Caelen Carson, recovered by VTech for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
79.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Kaleb Smith, broken up by A.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
79.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Kaleb SmithSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OPP 28
-7
80.9%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Carlos Basham Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the WFrst 34 Hendon Hooker fumbled, recovered by VTech Lecitus Smith , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 6:56
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+51
90.4%
Brian Johnson 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:4990% → 91%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
90.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 7 yds to the WFrst 41Similar
Q4 6:56
2ND & 3
OWN 41
+1
90.8%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 2
OWN 42
0
91.5%
Kenneth Walker III run for no gain to the WFrst 42Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 2
OWN 42
0
91.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the VTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20FG
9 plays · 35 yds · 2:327% → 11%
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
93.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 20 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
92.9%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Changa HodgeSimilar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+8
93.3%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Nick Gallo for 8 yds to the WFrst 44Similar
Q4 5:10
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+5
92.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the WFrst 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
92.3%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 5:10
2ND & 8
OPP 37
0
92.3%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the WFrst 37Similar
Q4 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 37
0
92.6%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tre TurnerSimilar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 8
OPP 37
+54
89.0%
Brian Johnson 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:4695% → 96%
Q4 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
95.2%
Christian Beal-Smith run for 1 yd to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 2:31
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
95.5%
Christian Beal-Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 34Similar
Q4 2:31
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+2
95.1%
Kenneth Walker III run for 2 yds to the VTech 32Similar
Q4 0:51
4TH & 8
OPP 32
0
96.0%
Ivan Mora punt for 30 yds, downed at the VTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22INT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
93.3%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to James MitchellSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 2
0
93.5%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 2
+14
93.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 14 yds to the VTech 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
92.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
93.2%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Tayvion RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:45
3RD & 10
OWN 16
0
93.5%
Hendon Hooker pass intercepted Nick Andersen return for no gain to the WFrst 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WAKEDrive 23Uncategorized
1 play · -1 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
96.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the WFrst 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:31
Kenneth Walker III run for 6 yds for a TD (Nick Sciba KICK)
+8.8
TD · Q2 8:40
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 39 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
-7.5
FG · Q3 12:23
Nick Sciba 46 yd FG GOOD
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com