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2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Alumni Stadium (Chestnut Hill, MA)
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Win probability · BC
modelBC aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playBC scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFUMBLETDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 1:09 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 17
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 132Home team on offense+33.3Score differential+30.9Garbage-time factor+7.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.8Blowout margin+14.4Pregame prior+0.8
This game in five plays
  1. FUMBLE · Q2 12:12: Jordan Mason run for 2 yds Jordan Mason fumbled, forced by Luc Bequette, recovered by BC Mike Palmer , return for 33 yds — BC win probability +6.9 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:48: Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 32 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +8.2 pts (now 29%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:44: Zay Flowers run for 22 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +8.3 pts (now 85%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:13: Jeff Sims pass complete to PeJe' Harris for 31 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +7.5 pts (now 27%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q2 0:30: Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG GOOD — BC win probability +7.1 pts (now 91%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BC made the numbers' call on 3 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 8
  1. Q1 14:56GT 4th & 13 at BC 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.1%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%
    58% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:58GT 4th & 1 at GT 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 30.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.8%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:04BC 4th & 14 at GT 24, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−1.6
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    67.9%−5.0
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:30BC 4th & 10 at GT 10, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.7%
    88% to make
    Punt
    78.8%−6.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:26GT 4th & 4 at GT 23, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−1.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 12:49GT 4th & 4 at BC 44, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.4%−1.4
    27% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q3 5:39BC 4th & 10 at BC 41, up 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.8
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 1:09GT 4th & 2 at GT 33, down 27
    Close callPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:40BC 4th & 2 at BC 25, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q4 14:30GT 4th & 7 at GT 48, down 27
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:30GT 4th & 13 at BC 19, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.9%−0.7
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    1.6%
    77% to make
    Punt
    0.3%−1.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:24BC 4th & 6 at GT 42, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:03GT 4th & 5 at GT 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BC made the numbers' call on 5 of 5GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 5:25BC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:58BC Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:48GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:44BC Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:13GT Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:49BC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 5:39GT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 1:09BC Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:09GT Touchdown, down 21 before the try
    Close callKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1DOWNS
12 plays · 51 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
52.9%
Gibbs, J. rush for loss of 5 yards to the GT15 (Barlow,B), PENALTY BC UR (Barlow,B) 15 yards to the GT35, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
52.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 30Similar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 15
OWN 30
+8
52.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 8 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+24
52.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 24 yds to the BC 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
52.9%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+4
52.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the BC 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-13
52.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for a loss of 13 yards to the BC 39Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 23
OPP 39
+5
52.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 5 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+10
52.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamal Camp for 10 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 24
-5
52.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the BC 29Similar
Q1 14:56
4TH & 13
OPP 29
0
52.9%
Pressley Harvin III pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 2TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 5:1154% → 59%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
53.6%
Zay Flowers run for 10 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
53.7%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+9
54.0%
Travis Levy run for 9 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
54.1%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+17
54.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 17 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
54.2%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+6
54.2%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the GTech 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
54.2%
Travis Levy run for 10 yds to the GTech 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
54.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 1 yd to the GTech 7Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
58.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 7 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 8 (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.6%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
57.6%
Jeff Sims sacked for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 22 Jeff Sims fumbled, recovered by BC Marcus Valdez , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 4TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 2:2059% → 65%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
58.8%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-5
58.8%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 20Similar
Q1 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+16
58.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 16 yds to the GTech 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
58.8%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
65.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 5 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q1 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
63.3%
Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 2:58
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
62.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 2:58
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+3
63.3%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q1 2:58
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
63.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 6FG
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:1866% → 73%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
65.5%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+28
65.5%
Phil Jurkovec run for 28 yds to the BC 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
66.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to David Bailey for 4 yds to the BC 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+2
67.6%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 4
50
+30
68.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 30 yds to the GTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
69.4%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 4 yards to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 14:24
2ND & 14
OPP 24
0
69.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to CJ LewisSimilar
Q2 14:24
3RD & 14
OPP 24
0
68.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 13:04
4TH & 14
OPP 24
+41
73.4%
Aaron Boumerhi 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7FUMBLE TD
3 plays · 10 yds · 0:4028% → 21%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
71.8%
Jordan Mason run for 8 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+33
78.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds Jordan Mason fumbled, forced by Luc Bequette, recovered by BC Mike Palmer , return for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8TD
3 plays · 53 yds · 0:2421% → 29%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
79.2%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the BOSTCOLL 47 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, UR (15 Yards) to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+32
71.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 32 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9TD
6 plays · 39 yds · 2:0476% → 85%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
76.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+11
76.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 11 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
76.5%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the GTech 24Similar
Q2 11:48
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+2
76.5%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+22
84.8%
Zay Flowers run for 22 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 2:2017% → 27%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+14
82.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ezzard M. for 14 yds to the GTech 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
82.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jamal CampSimilar
Q2 9:33
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
82.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 10
OWN 23
+5
82.7%
Sims, J. pass incomplete to Carter, M., PENALTY BC offside (Roberts,M) 5 yards to the GT28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+37
82.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 37 yds to the BC 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
81.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 4 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+31
73.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to PeJe' Harris for 31 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11FG
18 plays · 65 yds · 6:4379% → 91%
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
79.1%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
79.1%
Phil Jurkovec run for 7 yds to the BC 34Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
78.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+11
79.3%
David Bailey run for 11 yds to the BC 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
79.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 6 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+2
79.8%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
79.4%
David Bailey run for 1 yd to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 7:13
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+5
78.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+4
79.7%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q2 7:13
2ND & 6
OPP 34
+3
79.8%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 7:13
3RD & 3
OPP 31
+2
79.4%
Jurkovec,P pass incomplete to Lewis,C, PENALTY GT pass interference (Swilling, T.) 2 yards to the GT29, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
79.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 19 yds to the GTech 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
79.8%
Travis Levy run for no gain to the GTech 10Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q2 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
91.1%
Aaron Boumerhi 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
89.2%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jamal Camp, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+6
89.4%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q2 0:26
3RD & 4
OWN 23
0
89.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q2 0:26
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
89.4%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 54 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:1191% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
91.2%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+16
91.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 16 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
91.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+13
91.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for 13 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+34
98.2%
David Bailey run for 34 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
20 plays · 75 yds · 7:104% → 6%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
95.9%
Jeff Sims run for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
50
+5
95.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 5 yds to the BC 45Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+1
94.5%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the BC 44Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
94.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jamal Camp, broken up by Elijah JonesSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+5
94.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 5 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
94.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Mikey Minihan) to the BC 44Similar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+3
95.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the BC 41Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+17
95.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 17 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
94.3%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 2
OPP 16
-11
94.0%
Jeff Sims sacked by Maximilian Roberts and Chibueze Onwuka for a loss of 11 yards to the BC 27Similar
Q3 8:24
3RD & 13
OPP 27
-6
99.0%
Jeff Sims sacked by Max Richardson and Maximilian Roberts for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 33Similar
Q3 8:24
4TH & 19
OPP 33
+15
98.1%
Sims, J. pass intercepted by Palmer,M at the BC0, Palmer,M return to the BC42 (Johnson, R.), PENALTY BC roughing passer (Valdez,M) 15 yards to the BC18, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:24
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+2
98.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the BC 16Similar
Q3 8:24
2ND & 8
OPP 16
+7
98.8%
Jordan Mason run for 7 yds to the BC 9Similar
Q3 6:32
3RD & 1
OPP 9
+6
99.1%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the BC 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
98.8%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the BC 1Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
93.6%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.6%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
95.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 12 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-5
95.8%
Levy,T rush for 3 yards to the BC44 (Curry, D.), PENALTY BC illegal formation 5 yards to the BC36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 15
OWN 36
0
95.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q3 5:39
2ND & 15
OWN 36
+4
95.6%
Zay Flowers run for 4 yds to the BC 40Similar
Q3 5:39
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+1
95.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 1 yd to the BC 41Similar
Q3 5:39
4TH & 10
OWN 41
0
95.2%
Grant Carlson punt for 56 yds, downed at the GTech 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
96.8%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Jahmin Muse return for no gain to the GTech 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17TD
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:5197% → 100%
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
96.8%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 2:00
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
96.8%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 2:00
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+5
96.7%
Jurkovec,P pass incomplete to Lewis,C, PENALTY GT roughing passer (Griffin, Jaq.) 5 yards to the GT4, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.7%
David Bailey run for 4 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.7%
James Graham run for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q3 1:09
2ND & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ezzard M.Similar
Q3 1:09
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
99.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:40100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
99.7%
Travis Levy run for 2 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 19
0
99.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+6
99.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 6 yds to the BC 25Similar
Q4 14:40
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Grant Carlson punt for 30 yds, downed at the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 55 yds · 4:210% → 2%
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
99.7%
James Graham run for 6 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 4
OPP 49
0
99.7%
James Graham run for no gain to the BC 49Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & 4
OPP 49
-3
99.7%
James Graham sacked by Joseph Sparacio for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 14:30
4TH & 7
OWN 48
+28
99.7%
James Graham pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 28 yds to the BC 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+15
99.7%
James Graham pass complete to Jamal Camp for 15 yds to the BC 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the BC 9Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the BC 9Similar
Q4 14:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.7%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q4 10:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 9
+7
99.9%
Graham, J. pass incomplete to Ezzard M., PENALTY BC pass interference (Sebastian,B) 7 yards to the BC2, 1ST DOWN GT, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.3%
Ahmarean Brown run for 2 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 34 yds · 2:391% → 1%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
98.7%
James Graham run for 5 yds to the BC 43Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+14
98.6%
James Graham pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 14 yds to the BC 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-11
98.4%
Graham, J. rush for 15 yards to the BC14, PENALTY GT holding (Smith, Dontae) 11 yards to the BC40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 21
OPP 40
+24
98.7%
James Graham pass complete to Ezzard M. for 9 yds to the BC 31 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, UR (Bryce Sebastian) to the BC 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
98.4%
James Graham pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
-3
98.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 19Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 13
OPP 19
0
98.6%
James Graham pass incomplete to Jamal CampSimilar
Q4 7:30
4TH & 13
OPP 19
+5
99.5%
James Graham run for 5 yds to the BC 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 44 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
99.7%
David Bailey run for 6 yds to the BC 20Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+7
99.7%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
99.6%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the BC 30Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+24
99.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 24 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
99.7%
David Bailey run for 4 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 7:24
2ND & 6
OPP 42
+2
99.7%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 7:24
3RD & 4
OPP 40
-2
99.7%
David Bailey run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 7:24
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Grant Carlson punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
99.8%
James Graham pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 14 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.8%
James Graham pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q4 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+5
99.8%
James Graham pass complete to Dontae Smith for 5 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q4 2:03
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
99.8%
James Graham pass incomplete to Ezzard M.Similar
Q4 2:03
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
99.8%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaelen Gill at the BC 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-2
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 11Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 12
OWN 11
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:44
Zay Flowers run for 22 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
+8.3
TD · Q2 11:48
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 32 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-8.2
TD · Q2 7:13
Jeff Sims pass complete to PeJe' Harris for 31 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
-7.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com