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LIB

Liberty 38 at Syracuse 21

SYR
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadLIB aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreLIB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:30 · Nolan Cooney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+47.0+23.50−23.5−47.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 107Home team on offense−17.3Score differential−8.6Garbage-time factor−5.3Pregame prior−2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:21: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 12 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +8.5 pts (now 52%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:49: Shedro Louis run for 52 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +9.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:55: Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +10.6 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:58: Peytton Pickett run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK) — LIB win probability +11.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LIB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:45: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +5.8 pts (now 9%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 1 at SYR 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:53LIB 4th & 3 at LIB 15, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:27SYR 4th & 2 at LIB 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    44.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    44.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    44.4%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:14SYR 4th & 26 at LIB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:12SYR 4th & 1 at LIB 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.1%
    67% to convert
    Field goal
    40.3%−1.8
    92% to make
    Punt
    35.5%−6.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:41LIB 4th & 12 at LIB 3, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.7%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:24LIB 4th & 1 at LIB 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    60.7%−2.0
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:55SYR 4th & 2 at LIB 44, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−2.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    24.4%−1.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:30SYR 4th & 18 at LIB 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−1.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:16LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.0%−0.4
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:58SYR 4th & 11 at SYR 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00LIB 4th & 4 at LIB 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.7%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:20LIB 4th & 2 at SYR 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.5%−1.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−5.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:20SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 49, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:11LIB 4th & 1 at SYR 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    96.7%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    96.7%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 3 of 3LIB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 8:32SYR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:14LIB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:28LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:21SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:49LIB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 12:55LIB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:58LIB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 8:45SYR Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
43.3%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+3
43.3%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 40
0
43.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete, broken up by Marcus HaskinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 40
0
43.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 52 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+7
43.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 7 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 13:53
2ND & 3
OWN 15
0
43.6%
Peytton Pickett run for no gain to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 13:53
3RD & 3
OWN 15
0
43.6%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:53
4TH & 3
OWN 15
0
43.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:5544% → 48%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
44.2%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+13
44.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 13 yds to the Liber 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-5
44.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 15
OPP 48
-5
44.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 47Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-3
44.2%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 44Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 23
OWN 44
+13
44.1%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 13 yds to the Liber 43Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+8
44.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds to the Liber 35Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+7
44.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the Liber 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
44.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+11
44.4%
Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the Liber 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
48.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 17 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 4TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:1853% → 55%
Q1 8:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.4%
Malik Willis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+75
45.0%
Shedro Louis run for 75 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
45.1%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
45.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+8
44.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
45.2%
Sean Tucker run for 2 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+32
45.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 32 yds to the Liber 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
46.1%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony Queeley, broken up by Emanuel DabneySimilar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 32
0
46.1%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:14
3RD & 10
OPP 32
-16
45.7%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Durrell Johnson for a loss of 16 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q1 8:14
4TH & 26
OPP 48
0
44.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 6TD
11 plays · 88 yds · 5:1154% → 61%
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
45.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Liber 15Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+8
45.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
45.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+4
45.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to Kevin Shaa for 4 yds to the Liber 32Similar
Q1 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+4
45.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Liber 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
45.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 15 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+22
44.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 22 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
44.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Jerome Jackson for 10 yds to the Syrac 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+9
44.2%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 9 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q1 5:39
2ND & 1
OPP 8
+4
44.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 4 yds to the Syrac 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:28
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
39.3%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:2841% → 40%
Q1 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+9
41.1%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 25
+4
41.8%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
41.2%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj Harris, broken up by Emanuel DabneySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
41.0%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Aaron Hackett, broken up by Anthony ButlerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
40.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
40.2%
Nolan Cooney punt for 52 yds , Demario Douglas returns for no gain to the Liber 14 Demario Douglas fumbled, recovered by Syrac Isaiah JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 42%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
43.4%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Liber 13Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 9
OPP 13
-10
43.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 19
OPP 23
0
42.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 19
OPP 23
+18
41.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 18 yds to the Liber 5Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 1
OPP 5
0
42.0%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Liber 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 12:41
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
40.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 6Similar
Q2 12:41
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+4
40.8%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 10Similar
Q2 12:41
3RD & 5
OWN 10
-7
41.1%
Malik Willis sacked by Marlowe Wax for a loss of 7 yards to the Liber 3Similar
Q2 12:41
4TH & 12
OWN 3
0
41.8%
Aidan Alves punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10TD
3 plays · 36 yds · 1:0643% → 52%
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+20
42.6%
Sean Tucker run for 20 yds to the Liber 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:27
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
43.5%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 12Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+12
52.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 12 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 11TD
4 plays · 78 yds · 1:3253% → 64%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+17
47.2%
Malik Willis run for 17 yds to the Liber 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
46.0%
Malik Willis run for 9 yds to the Liber 48Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+52
36.2%
Shedro Louis run for 52 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0041% → 39%
Q2 7:49
1ST & 10
50
-5
40.9%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 45Similar
Q2 7:49
2ND & 15
OWN 45
+6
39.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the Liber 49Similar
Q2 7:49
3RD & 9
OPP 49
-6
39.4%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Tre'Shaun Clark for a loss of 6 yards to the SYRACUSE 45 SYRACUSE Penalty, intentional grounding ( Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 23 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+11
36.1%
Sean Tucker run for 11 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+12
36.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 12 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 14END OF HALF
14 plays · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 64%
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
38.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 7 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+8
37.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 8 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
37.7%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to Johnny HuntleySimilar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-3
37.9%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 3 yards to the Liber 18Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 13
OWN 18
+5
38.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Liber 23Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+7
38.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 7 yds to the Liber 30Similar
Q2 6:24
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+4
38.1%
Malik Willis run for 4 yds to the Liber 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+14
36.9%
Peytton Pickett run for 14 yds to the Liber 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
35.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 11 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
35.5%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+17
35.5%
Malik Willis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
35.2%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q2 6:24
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+3
35.2%
Malik Willis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 15Similar
Q2 6:24
3RD & 2
OPP 15
+12
35.7%
Malik Willis run for 12 yds to the Syrac 3 Malik Willis fumbled, forced by Mikel Jones, recovered by Syrac Mikel JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 15TD
6 plays · 78 yds · 2:0565% → 79%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
34.6%
Shedro Louis run for 24 yds to the Liber 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
32.4%
Shedro Louis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+18
32.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
31.7%
LIBERTY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 36Similar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+36
21.1%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16PUNT
14 plays · 27 yds · 4:2524% → 20%
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
23.7%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
24.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+17
23.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 17 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
25.4%
Cooper Lutz run for 8 yds to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 12:55
3RD & 2
OPP 44
0
25.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for no gain to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 12:55
4TH & 2
OPP 44
+4
25.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 4 yds to the Liber 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-5
25.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Liber 45Similar
Q3 12:55
1ST & 15
OPP 45
+1
25.2%
Rex Culpepper run for 1 yd to the Liber 44Similar
Q3 12:55
2ND & 14
OPP 44
-4
24.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Cooper Lutz for a loss of 4 yards to the Liber 48Similar
Q3 8:30
3RD & 18
OPP 48
0
19.9%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Justin Barron, broken up by Marcus HaskinsSimilar
Q3 8:30
4TH & 18
OPP 48
0
19.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Demario Douglas at the Liber 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q3 8:16
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
17.8%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 9Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+4
18.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 4 yds to the Liber 13Similar
Q3 8:16
3RD & 4
OWN 13
0
18.4%
Malik Willis pass incomplete to CJ DanielsSimilar
Q3 8:16
4TH & 4
OWN 13
+32
18.7%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the SYRACUSE 40 LIBERTY Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Liber 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
20.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
20.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson, broken up by Anthony ButlerSimilar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
20.0%
Rex Culpepper pass intercepted Chris Megginson return for no gain to the Liber 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 19TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 3:4785% → 97%
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
15.0%
Shedro Louis run for a loss of 2 yards to the Liber 39Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 39
+8
15.4%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 8 yds Demario Douglas fumbled, recovered by LiberSimilar
Q3 6:45
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+11
15.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 11 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
14.7%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Syrac 41Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+16
14.8%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 16 yds to the Syrac 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
14.3%
Malik Willis pass complete to CJ Daniels for 9 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+16
3.2%
Peytton Pickett run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
5.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
5.4%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 6
OWN 35
+9
5.4%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
5.6%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+1
5.6%
Cooper Lutz run for 1 yd to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 9
OWN 45
-2
5.6%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Aaron Pierre and Mason Wolk for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
5.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Liber 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:2997% → 97%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+8
3.0%
Shedro Louis run for 8 yds to the Liber 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 16
+1
2.9%
Shedro Louis run for 1 yd to the Liber 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+2
3.0%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Liber 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
2.9%
Malik Willis pass complete to Demario Douglas for 1 yd to the Liber 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-5
2.9%
Malik Willis sacked by Lee Kpogba for a loss of 5 yards to the Liber 15Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 15
+10
3.0%
Malik Willis pass complete to Shedro Louis for 10 yds to the Liber 25Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 25
+7
3.1%
Aidan Alves punt for 47 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:163% → 9%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
2.6%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+6
2.9%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
50
+9
2.8%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 9 yds to the Liber 41Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+4
3.1%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Liber 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
2.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 9 yds to the Liber 28Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+7
3.2%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Liber 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
9.0%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 21 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 23FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:2594% → 97%
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
5.6%
Peytton Pickett run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+28
5.6%
Malik Willis pass complete to Johnny Huntley for 28 yds to the Syrac 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+10
5.3%
Malik Willis run for 10 yds to the Syrac 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
5.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 2 yds to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
5.3%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
5.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 2Similar
Q4 5:20
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
3.1%
Alex Barbir 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24DOWNS
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
1.4%
LIBERTY Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Sean TuckerSimilar
Q4 5:20
3RD & 10
OWN 49
0
1.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:20
4TH & 10
OWN 49
0
1.4%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LIBDrive 25END OF GAME
8 plays · 9 yds · 1:3598% → 98%
Q4 4:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
2.5%
Peytton Pickett run for 5 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q4 4:46
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+1
2.4%
Peytton Pickett run for 1 yd to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+3
1.6%
Peytton Pickett run for 3 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q4 3:11
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+5
1.7%
Malik Willis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
1.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 37Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 12
OPP 37
-2
1.6%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 14
OPP 39
-1
1.6%
Team run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:58
Peytton Pickett run for 16 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q3 12:55
Malik Willis pass complete to DJ Stubbs for 36 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
-10.6
TD · Q2 7:49
Shedro Louis run for 52 yds for a TD (Alex Barbir KICK)
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com