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PITT

Pittsburgh 19 at Miami 31

MIA
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadPITT aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scorePITT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDFGFGEnd of GameFG+0.7MIA 83.0%Alex Kessman 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 14 · Q2 2:43
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:43 · Alex Kessman 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 86Pregame prior+15.6Home team on offense+7.8Garbage-time factor+1.3Score differential+3.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.3Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:44: D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +5.8 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 13:13: D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 38 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +5.9 pts (now 89%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:20: Joey Yellen pass complete to Daniel Moraga for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +17.3 pts (now 31%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 5:40: D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 45 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined — MIA win probability +10.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 4:13: Jose Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD — MIA win probability +7.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 7 of 7PITT made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00PITT 4th & 22 at MIA 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.5%−0.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    21.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:05MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:15PITT 4th & 21 at PITT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.7%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:48PITT 4th & 13 at PITT 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:52MIA 4th & 11 at MIA 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:50PITT 4th & 12 at PITT 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00MIA 4th & 10 at MIA 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 12:48PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 42, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:43PITT 4th & 14 at MIA 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.6%−0.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    11.6%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:08PITT 4th & 4 at MIA 6, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.6%
    91% to make
    Punt
    14.6%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:20PITT 4th & 15 at MIA 17, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.4%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    7.9%−3.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 9:20MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 31, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.1%−1.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.3%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:31PITT 4th & 3 at MIA 12, down 12
    Close callKicked a field goal · 12.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.1%−0.7
    86% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−6.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 15:00MIA 4th & 18 at MIA 17, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.6%−3.7
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:05PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 34, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.4%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:42MIA 4th & 9 at MIA 27, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.1%−1.7
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:12PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 35, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.2%−1.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:13MIA 4th & 8 at PITT 20, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%−0.6
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    88.1%−3.8
    average punt
  19. Q4 4:13PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 46, down 12
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.6%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4PITT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 5:48MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    78.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:44MIA Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:13MIA Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:20PITT Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:40MIA Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PITTDrive 1PUNT
14 plays · 32 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.6%
DJ Turner run for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 2 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 6 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+5
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Taysir Mack for 5 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
77.6%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 12 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
77.6%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+3
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 3 yds to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+7
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Todd Sibley Jr. for 7 yds to the MiaFl 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-12
77.6%
Joey Yellen sacked by Jordan Miller and Jahfari Harvey for a loss of 12 yards to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 22
OPP 43
0
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 22
OPP 43
0
77.6%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 43
0
77.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 38 yds, downed at the MiaFl 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+7
76.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 7 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 3
OWN 12
+7
76.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 7 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
76.4%
King, D pass incomplete to Knighton, J, dropped pass, PENALTY UM holding (Campbell, J) 10 yards to the UM9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:05
1ST & 20
OWN 9
+8
76.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q1 10:05
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
76.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jaylan KnightonSimilar
Q1 10:05
3RD & 12
OWN 17
+2
76.2%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 19Similar
Q1 10:05
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
76.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 60 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-4
75.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 14
OWN 17
0
75.8%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 17 PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 14
OWN 17
-7
76.0%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 10Similar
Q1 8:15
4TH & 21
OWN 10
0
76.2%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds , Xavier Restrepo returns for no gain to the Pitt 10 PITTSBURGH Penalty, kick catching interference (Shocky Jacques-Louis) to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 4TD
3 plays · 45 yds · 0:5576% → 79%
Q1 6:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
76.1%
D'Eriq King run for 2 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 6:43
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+8
76.1%
D'Eriq King run for 8 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
78.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 35 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.7%
A.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.2%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
77.5%
Beville, D pass complete to Wayne, J for 3 yards to the UP39 (Hall, G), PENALTY UP illegal block (Davis, A) 15 yards to the UP21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:48
1ST & 25
OWN 21
+3
77.7%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 24Similar
Q1 5:48
2ND & 22
OWN 24
+1
77.8%
Davis Beville pass complete to DJ Turner for 1 yd to the Pitt 25Similar
Q1 5:48
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+8
78.0%
A.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q1 5:48
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
78.1%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MiaFl 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q1 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
77.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike Harley, broken up by Rashad WeaverSimilar
Q1 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 11
0
77.8%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee Wiggins, broken up by Damar HamlinSimilar
Q1 2:52
3RD & 10
OWN 11
-1
77.5%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 10Similar
Q1 2:52
4TH & 11
OWN 10
+9
77.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds , DJ Turner returns for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q1 1:50
1ST & 10
50
+8
76.4%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 2
OPP 42
-5
76.3%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-5
76.4%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 48Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 12
OWN 48
0
77.0%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
3RD & 12
OWN 48
0
77.4%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:50
4TH & 12
OWN 48
0
77.8%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 48 yds, downed at the MiaFl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+8
77.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 8 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 12
+10
77.7%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
77.7%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+15
77.7%
King, D pass incomplete to Redding, M, PENALTY UP pass interference (Hamlin, D) 15 yards to the UM37, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
78.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+1
77.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
77.5%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
77.0%
Lou Hedley punt for 48 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 9DOWNS
9 plays · 30 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+15
77.4%
Yellen, J pass incomplete to Jacques-Louis, PENALTY UM personal foul (Jennings, B) 15 yards to the UP30, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
77.2%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-1
77.0%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 32Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 8
OWN 32
+5
77.7%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 5 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 3
OWN 37
+5
77.5%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive offside (Gilbert Frierson) to the Pitt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
76.7%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Pitt 42Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OWN 42
0
76.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 10
OWN 42
0
77.3%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Vincent Davis, broken up by Nesta Jade SilveraSimilar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 10
OWN 42
+3
77.9%
Brandon Hill run for 3 yds to the Pitt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 10TD
12 plays · 45 yds · 6:0479% → 85%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
78.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 7 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
78.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the Pitt 36Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+3
78.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the Pitt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
78.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 8 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+4
78.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 4 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
78.9%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mark Pope, broken up by Rashad WeaverSimilar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+14
78.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 14 yds to the Pitt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
78.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Pitt 5Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-3
78.9%
D'Eriq King sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 8Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
78.5%
King, D sacked for no gain to the UP8 (Bentley, T), PENALTY UP face mask (Bentley, T) 4 yards to the UP4, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
78.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 6Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
84.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 6 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 11FG
11 plays · 60 yds · 4:0117% → 17%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
83.4%
Vincent Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 26Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
83.4%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 19 yds to the Pitt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
82.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+23
82.5%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Daniel Moraga for 23 yds to the MiaFl 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
81.6%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+10
81.9%
Yellen, J pass incomplete to Addison, J, PENALTY UM roughing passer (Phillips, J) 10 yards to the UM11, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
81.6%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+7
81.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Vincent Davis for 7 yds to the MiaFl 4Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 3
OPP 4
-10
82.2%
Joey Yellen sacked by Jared Harrison-Hunte for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaFl 15 Joey Yellen fumbled, recovered by Pitt Joey Yellen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 2:43
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+33
83.0%
Alex Kessman 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 12INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
82.7%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keyshawn SmithSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
82.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Keyshawn Smith for 16 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
83.5%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:43
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-34
83.2%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Paris Ford return for 34 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0220% → 22%
Q2 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+4
80.1%
Joey Yellen pass complete to A.J. Davis for 4 yds to the MiaFl 8Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 6
OPP 8
+5
80.1%
Joey Yellen pass complete to A.J. Davis for 5 yds to the MiaFl 3Similar
Q2 2:10
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-3
80.9%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 6Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+24
78.4%
Alex Kessman 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
81.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4782% → 89%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
81.6%
D'Eriq King run for 13 yds to the MiaFl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
82.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee WigginsSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+2
82.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 2 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+10
81.6%
King, D pass incomplete to Mallory, W, PENALTY UP holding (Hallett, E) 10 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN UM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
0
83.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Keyshawn SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
50
+12
82.8%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 12 yds to the Pitt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
88.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 38 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 16FG
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:5313% → 15%
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
87.0%
Vincent Davis run for 8 yds to the Pitt 33Similar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+55
85.8%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 55 yds to the MiaFl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
84.5%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Daniel MoragaSimilar
Q3 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-5
84.5%
DJ Turner run for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q3 13:13
3RD & 15
OPP 17
0
86.2%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 15
OPP 17
+36
85.0%
Alex Kessman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 17INT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.5%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-4
86.4%
D'Eriq King sacked by Deandre Jules and John Morgan for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+5
85.6%
King, D pass complete to Harley, M for 10 yards to the UM30 (Hamlin, D), PENALTY UP offside (Morgan, J) 5 yards to the UM25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-34
85.9%
D'Eriq King pass intercepted Marquis Williams return for 34 yds to the MiaFl 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 18TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q3 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.6%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Daniel Moraga for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Dee Wiggins, broken up by Cam BrightSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
75.2%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
74.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 7 yds to the MiaFl 31 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
74.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 46 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0027% → 30%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
73.2%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 2 yds to the Pitt 25Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
73.2%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 10 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
72.4%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 8 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 2
OWN 43
0
70.2%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-5
70.5%
Joey Yellen sacked by Quincy Roche and Jaelan Phillips for a loss of 5 yards to the Pitt 38 Joey Yellen fumbled, recovered by MiaFl Quincy Roche , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 21TD
3 plays · 38 yds · 0:4179% → 90%
Q3 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-7
79.0%
D'Eriq King sacked by John Morgan and Dayon Hayes for a loss of 7 yards to the Pitt 45Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 17
OPP 45
+45
89.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 45 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 22FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 5:0911% → 16%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
88.9%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 17Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 7
OWN 17
0
88.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to DJ Turner, broken up by Te'Cory CouchSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 17
+14
89.1%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 14 yds to the Pitt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
88.1%
Yellen, J pass complete to Davis, V for loss of 2 yards to the UP29 (Blissett, J), PENALTY UP holding (Hargrove, B) 10 yards to the UP21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+26
88.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jared Wayne for 26 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
87.6%
Yellen, J pass incomplete to Addison, J, PENALTY UM pass interference (Blades, A) 15 yards to the UM38, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
87.2%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+19
87.2%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 19 yds to the MiaFl 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
86.2%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MiaFl 24Similar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 15
OPP 24
0
86.8%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 15
OPP 24
0
86.9%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan AddisonSimilar
Q3 5:40
3RD & 15
OPP 24
+12
87.9%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Taysir Mack for 12 yds to the MiaFl 12Similar
Q3 0:31
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+30
84.1%
Alex Kessman 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:3187% → 85%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
86.8%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
86.5%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Will MallorySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-5
85.8%
D'Eriq King sacked by Phil Campbell III for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
85.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds, fair catch by DJ Turner at the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
85.1%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
85.3%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Taysir MackSimilar
Q4 14:05
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
86.2%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-LouisSimilar
Q4 14:05
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
86.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MiaFl 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
87.4%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-5
87.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 15
OWN 21
+6
86.2%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 27Similar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 9
OWN 27
+7
85.9%
Lou Hedley punt for 58 yds , DJ Turner returns for 7 yds to the Pitt 34 PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+13
87.7%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 13 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
86.8%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan Addison, broken up by Te'Cory CouchSimilar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
87.1%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
88.1%
Joey Yellen pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:12
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
88.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Xavier Restrepo at the MiaFl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 27FG
14 plays · 65 yds · 7:1188% → 96%
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+22
88.0%
D'Eriq King run for 22 yds to the MiaFl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
88.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-2
89.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 9
OWN 38
+16
88.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 16 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
89.4%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
89.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 3 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+2
89.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
89.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 36Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
89.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for 5 yds to the Pitt 31Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+9
89.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 9 yds to the Pitt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
89.9%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 11:24
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+1
89.9%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the Pitt 19Similar
Q4 11:24
3RD & 7
OPP 19
-1
89.3%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 20Similar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 8
OPP 20
+37
96.4%
Jose Borregales 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 28DOWNS
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
96.0%
Joey Yellen pass complete to Jordan Addison for 21 yds to the Pitt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to DJ Turner, broken up by Bubba BoldenSimilar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 10
OWN 46
0
95.4%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Taysir Mack, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 10
OWN 46
0
95.5%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jordan Addison, broken up by Te'Cory CouchSimilar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 10
OWN 46
0
96.1%
Joey Yellen pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 29Uncategorized
9 plays · 27 yds · 1:4697% → 98%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+7
96.9%
Robert Burns run for 7 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 3
OPP 39
+4
97.0%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the Pitt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-2
96.9%
Robert Burns run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 37Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 12
OPP 37
+16
97.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jaylan Knighton for 16 yds to the Pitt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
98.1%
Robert Burns run for 6 yds to the Pitt 15Similar
Q4 1:48
2ND & 4
OPP 15
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 17Similar
Q4 1:48
3RD & 6
OPP 17
-2
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Pitt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:20
Joey Yellen pass complete to Daniel Moraga for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 5:40
D'Eriq King pass complete to Will Mallory for 45 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declined
+10.7
FG · Q4 4:13
Jose Borregales 37 yd FG GOOD
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com