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LOU

Louisville 7 at Notre Dame 12

ND
2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:00 · Ryan Harwell punt for 45 yds, downed at the NDame 4
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.0+17.00−17.0−34.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 53Pregame prior+22.7Home team on offense+2.4Garbage-time factor+0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Blowout margin+0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 7:37: Marshon Ford 1 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick) — LOU win probability +14.6 pts (now 41%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:37: LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (K.J. Cloyd) to the Lvile 30 — ND win probability +4.0 pts (now 63%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:43: Ian Book 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — ND win probability +10.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:42: Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 20 — LOU win probability +5.8 pts (now 27%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:46: Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 32 — ND win probability +6.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 4 of 5LOU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:26ND 4th & 9 at LOU 14, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 83.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.4%
    84% to make
    Punt
    82.9%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:39LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 0:30ND 4th & 12 at LOU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−0.5
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.6%
    86% to make
    Punt
    78.7%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:54LOU 4th & 12 at ND 43, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%−0.3
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−0.4
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    18.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:57ND 4th & 17 at ND 9, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.1%−1.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:00LOU 4th & 7 at ND 49, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:43ND 4th & 9 at LOU 13, up 6
    Close callWent for it · 81.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.8%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    81.7%
    85% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−4.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:46LOU 4th & 3 at LOU 48, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    21.4%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:16LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 43, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−2.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:47ND 4th & 5 at ND 40, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:55LOU 4th & 12 at LOU 26, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.8%−2.0
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 0 of 1LOU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q3 7:37LOU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:43ND Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    77.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    77.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 5:2884% → 83%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
83.7%
Book, Ian pass incomplete to McKinley, Javon (Jones, Chandler), PENALTY LOUISVILLE offside (Peterson, Tabarius) 5 yards to the NOTREDAME30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:49
1ST & 5
OWN 30
0
83.6%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinleySimilar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
83.6%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+18
83.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Kevin Austin Jr. for 18 yds to the Lvile 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
83.4%
Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 7
OPP 44
-5
83.3%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Liam Eichenberg) to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+18
83.1%
Ian Book run for 18 yds to the Lvile 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
83.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Brock Wright, broken up by Russ YeastSimilar
Q1 12:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
83.2%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael MayerSimilar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+16
83.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 16 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:31
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-1
83.1%
Ian Book run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 16Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 11
OPP 16
-5
82.9%
Ian Book sacked by Chandler Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 21Similar
Q1 10:07
3RD & 16
OPP 21
+7
82.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 7 yds to the Lvile 14Similar
Q1 9:26
4TH & 9
OPP 14
+32
82.6%
Jonathan Doerer 32 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:3418% → 18%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
82.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 14 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
82.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-2
82.0%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 7:46
3RD & 11
OWN 42
0
82.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Kyle HamiltonSimilar
Q1 7:39
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
82.3%
Ryan Harwell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3FG
16 plays · 76 yds · 6:5982% → 82%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+6
81.9%
Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the NDame 18Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 4
OWN 18
+11
81.7%
Kyren Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
81.7%
Book, Ian pass sacked for loss of 3 yards to the NOTREDAME26 (Jones, Chandler), PENALTY LOUISVILLE illegal use of hands (Jones, Chandler) 15 yards to the NOTREDAME44, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN NOTREDAME.Similar
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+10
82.0%
Ian Book pass complete to Avery Davis for 10 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
82.0%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 44Similar
Q1 4:55
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+10
81.9%
Avery Davis run for 10 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:27
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
82.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Braden LenzySimilar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+2
81.9%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q1 3:36
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+13
81.6%
Ian Book run for 3 yds to the Lvile 29 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, Defensive Holding (Russ Yeast) to the Lvile 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
81.8%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Michael Mayer, broken up by Kei'Trel ClarkSimilar
Q1 3:01
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+6
81.7%
Kyren Williams run for 6 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q1 2:31
3RD & 4
OPP 13
+4
81.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Tommy Tremble for 4 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
81.3%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley, broken up by Chandler JonesSimilar
Q1 1:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
81.3%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Lvile 7Similar
Q1 1:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
80.9%
Ian Book sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 12Similar
Q1 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 12
+30
81.6%
Jonathan Doerer 30 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:2319% → 19%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
81.2%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 11
OWN 27
+4
81.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Isaac Martin for 4 yds to the Lvile 31Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 7
OWN 31
+28
81.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 28 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
79.8%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the NDame 41Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-4
79.6%
Tutu Atwell run for a loss of 4 yards to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 14
OPP 45
+2
80.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 2 yds to the NDame 43Similar
Q2 11:54
4TH & 12
OPP 43
0
81.1%
Ryan Harwell punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Matt Salerno at the NDame 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 1:5182% → 80%
Q2 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
81.7%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
81.5%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 17Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-8
80.9%
Ian Book sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 9Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 17
OWN 9
0
80.4%
Jay Bramblett punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4721% → 20%
Q2 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-7
78.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Isaac Martin for 8 yds to the NOTREDAME 44 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Renato Brown) to the Lvile 41Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 17
OWN 41
-3
79.9%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 38Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 20
OWN 38
+13
80.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 13 yds to the NDame 49Similar
Q2 8:00
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
80.5%
Ryan Harwell punt for 45 yds, downed at the NDame 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7DOWNS
15 plays · 90 yds · 7:0882% → 81%
Q2 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+2
81.6%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 6Similar
Q2 7:17
2ND & 8
OWN 6
+5
81.5%
Ian Book run for 5 yds to the NDame 11Similar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 3
OWN 11
+20
80.9%
Ian Book run for 20 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
81.8%
Kyren Williams run for 10 yds to the NDame 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
82.6%
Ian Book run for 6 yds to the NDame 47Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
82.8%
Kyren Williams run for 8 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
82.9%
Chris Tyree run for 1 yd to the Lvile 44Similar
Q2 3:17
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+12
82.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 12 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
82.8%
Chris Tyree run for 6 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q2 2:09
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+12
82.8%
Ian Book pass complete to Michael Mayer for 12 yds to the Lvile 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
82.9%
Ian Book sacked by Seth Pugh for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 17Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+4
82.7%
Ian Book run for 4 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q2 0:54
3RD & 9
OPP 13
0
82.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Kevin Austin Jr.Similar
Q2 0:43
4TH & 9
OPP 13
+7
80.9%
Jay Bramblett run for 7 yds to the Lvile 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 8DOWNS
10 plays · 60 yds · 0:3921% → 24%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
79.1%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the Lvile 7Similar
Q2 0:32
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+28
79.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 28 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
77.9%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+10
78.2%
Malik Cunningham run for 10 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
76.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 11 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
75.3%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+10
75.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 10 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+52
76.2%
James Turner 52 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 7:0721% → 37%
Q3 14:44
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
79.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 6 yds to the Lvile 23Similar
Q3 14:18
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+5
78.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
78.6%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 26Similar
Q3 13:06
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+7
78.9%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q3 12:27
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+8
78.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 8 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-3
77.2%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 13
OWN 38
-1
78.3%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+11
79.1%
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds to the Lvile 48Similar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 3
OWN 48
+8
77.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
75.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+10
74.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 10 yds to the NDame 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+29
73.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 29 yds to the NDame 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
59.1%
Marshon Ford 1 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick)Similar
Q3 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
63.1%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Illegal Block (K.J. Cloyd) to the Lvile 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 10TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4366% → 80%
Q3 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+12
65.9%
Kyren Williams run for 12 yds to the NDame 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
68.4%
Kyren Williams run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:18
2ND & 6
50
+5
68.7%
Ian Book pass complete to Kyren Williams for 5 yds to the Lvile 45Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 45
+15
68.2%
Javon McKinley run for 15 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
69.5%
Chris Tyree run for 15 yds to the Lvile 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
69.0%
Ian Book pass incomplete to Javon McKinley, broken up by Kei'Trel ClarkSimilar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
69.0%
Chris Tyree run for 2 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+13
79.5%
Ian Book 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 4:2125% → 25%
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
74.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 8 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
73.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+1
72.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 1 yd to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+6
72.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
71.1%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 0:20
2ND & 11
OWN 43
-5
72.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Cole Bentley) to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 16
OWN 38
0
73.7%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Dez Fitzpatrick, broken up by Shaun CrawfordSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 16
OWN 38
+5
74.4%
Evan Conley pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 14:16
4TH & 11
OWN 43
0
75.0%
Ryan Harwell punt for 33 yds, downed at the NDame 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:2476% → 79%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+11
76.3%
Kyren Williams run for 11 yds to the NDame 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
77.2%
Kyren Williams run for 3 yds to the NDame 38Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-2
78.8%
Kyren Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the NDame 36Similar
Q4 12:19
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+4
77.9%
Ian Book pass complete to Chris Tyree for 4 yds to the NDame 40Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
78.7%
Jay Bramblett punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 6 yds · 3:4727% → 23%
Q4 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
73.0%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 11:09
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
73.5%
Evan Conley pass incomplete to Justin MarshallSimilar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+8
75.2%
Conley, Evan pass incomplete to Fitzpatrick, Dez, PENALTY NOTREDAME pass interference (McCloud, Nick) 8 yards to the LOUISVILLE28, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN LOUISVILLE.Similar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-5
72.7%
Hawkins, Javian rush for 4 yards to the LOUISVILLE32, PENALTY LOUISVILLE illegal formation 5 yards to the LOUISVILLE23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 15
OWN 23
-5
73.3%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, False Start (Cole Bentley) to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 20
OWN 18
-6
73.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 12Similar
Q4 9:17
2ND & 26
OWN 12
+9
73.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 17
OWN 21
+5
74.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 5 yds to the Lvile 26Similar
Q4 7:55
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
77.1%
Ryan Harwell punt for 51 yds, downed at the NDame 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14Uncategorized
19 plays · 57 yds · 7:1184% → 96%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
83.8%
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 1
OWN 32
+1
85.3%
Kyren Williams run for 1 yd to the NDame 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
85.3%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the NDame 33Similar
Q4 5:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+4
85.0%
Chris Tyree run for 4 yds to the NDame 37Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+7
86.2%
Ian Book pass complete to Javon McKinley for 7 yds to the NDame 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
88.0%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 46Similar
Q4 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
88.9%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 2:53
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+12
89.4%
Ian Book pass complete to Ben Skowronek for 12 yds to the Lvile 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
91.4%
Kyren Williams run for no gain to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 2:10
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
93.0%
Kyren Williams run for 5 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
Q4 2:01
3RD & 5
OPP 35
+24
94.7%
Kyren Williams run for 24 yds to the Lvile 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
95.7%
Kyren Williams run for 2 yds to the Lvile 9Similar
Q4 1:21
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-2
95.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 0:42
3RD & 10
OPP 11
-5
96.0%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Chris Tyree) to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 0:35
3RD & 15
OPP 16
-4
96.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:37
Marshon Ford 1 Yd pass from Malik Cunningham (James Turner Kick)
-14.6
TD · Q3 3:43
Ian Book 13 Yd Run (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+10.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:46
Kyren Williams run for 9 yds to the NDame 32
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com