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2020 · Week 7 · Oct 17, 2020 · Lane Stadium
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Win probability · VT
modelVT aheadBC aheadconfidence bandkey playVT scoreBC score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+4.9VT 91.5%Brian Johnson 27 yd FG GOODAWAY 14 - HOME 27 · Q3 2:10
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:10 · Brian Johnson 27 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+9.4Home team on offense+19.4Score differential+9.0Garbage-time factor+6.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Blowout margin−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:57: Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +4.8 pts (now 29%) (top driver: BC has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:49: Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 29 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +6.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:11: Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 20 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the VTech 1 (Aaron Boumerhi KICK) — BC win probability +17.3 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 3:39: Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK) — VT win probability +10.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:10: Brian Johnson 27 yd FG GOOD — VT win probability +4.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: VT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
VT made the numbers' call on 3 of 6BC made the numbers' call on 4 of 5
  1. Q1 7:29VT 4th & 7 at BC 36, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.0%−<0.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:37VT 4th & 7 at BC 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.5%
    68% to make
    Punt
    76.2%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:09BC 4th & 1 at VT 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−0.8
    80% to make
    Punt
    20.3%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 1:47BC 4th & 15 at BC 17, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:28VT 4th & 1 at VT 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 82.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:52VT 4th & 6 at VT 43, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.6%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:05BC 4th & 7 at VT 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    15.8%−0.4
    42% to make
    Punt
    15.4%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 2:10VT 4th & 3 at BC 10, up 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.3%
    49% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.6%−0.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−6.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:03BC 4th & 4 at BC 31, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 11:49BC 4th & 5 at VT 14, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.1%−0.4
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%
    84% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:43VT 4th & 17 at VT 33, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
VT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5BC made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 10:57BC Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:53VT Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:49VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:11BC Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    25.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:39VT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:44VT Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    97.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:20VT Touchdown, up 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BCDrive 1FUMBLE
9 plays · 49 yds · 1:5419% → 20%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
80.6%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
-1
80.6%
David Bailey run for a loss of 1 yard to the BC 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+9
80.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 9 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
80.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter LongSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
80.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 49Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
80.0%
David Bailey run for 2 yds to the VTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
79.9%
David Bailey run for 8 yds to the VTech 41Similar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+14
79.9%
Pat Garwo III run for 14 yds to the VTech 26 Pat Garwo III fumbled, forced by Divine Deablo, recovered by VTech Amare BarnoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:3080% → 79%
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+10
79.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 10 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
79.6%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the VTech 31Similar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 15
OWN 31
+30
79.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 30 yds to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
79.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 41Similar
Q1 10:59
2ND & 12
OPP 41
+2
79.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 2 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q1 10:59
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
79.7%
Hendon Hooker run for 3 yds to the BC 36Similar
Q1 7:29
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+53
78.8%
Brian Johnson 53 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+36
78.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 36 yds to the VTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
77.7%
David Bailey run for 14 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:29
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
77.7%
Phil Jurkovec run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 15 Phil Jurkovec fumbled, recovered by VTech Alan TisdaleSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 4FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 4:3178% → 78%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+14
78.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 14 yds to the VTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+13
78.4%
Khalil Herbert run for 13 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+20
78.8%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 20 yds to the BC 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
79.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tre Turner for 10 yds to the BC 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-2
79.2%
Tre Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 29Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 12
OPP 29
-2
79.1%
Hendon Hooker sacked by Jason Maitre for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 31Similar
Q1 6:08
3RD & 14
OPP 31
+7
78.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 7 yds to the BC 24Similar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 7
OPP 24
+41
78.2%
Brian Johnson 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 5TD
14 plays · 77 yds · 5:3522% → 29%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-6
78.0%
Zay Flowers run for a loss of 6 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 16
OWN 17
+30
78.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 30 yds to the BC 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
77.0%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+7
76.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 7 yds to the VTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
76.5%
Travis Levy run for 5 yds to the VTech 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+12
76.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds to the VTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:19
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
75.5%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen Gill, broken up by Brion MurraySimilar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 10
OPP 26
+9
76.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the VTech 17Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 17
+3
76.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the VTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
75.4%
David Bailey run for 7 yds to the VTech 7Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 3
OPP 7
-5
75.4%
David Bailey run for a loss of 5 yards to the VTech 12Similar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+12
70.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 12 yds for a TD (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 6TD
5 plays · 49 yds · 1:5974% → 78%
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
74.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 31 yds to the BC 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
75.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 6 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q2 10:52
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+5
75.0%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the BC 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
78.4%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 7INT
7 plays · 26 yds · 1:2724% → 25%
Q2 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
76.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+1
76.2%
Travis Levy run for 1 yd to the BC 25Similar
Q2 8:45
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+15
76.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 15 yds to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+10
76.2%
Phil Jurkovec run for 10 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:18
1ST & 10
50
0
75.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Devin Taylor return for no gain to the VTech 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 8TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 3:5077% → 85%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
77.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Tayvion Robinson for 9 yds to the VTech 35Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+6
77.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 6 yds to the VTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
77.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds to the VTech 46Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+12
78.2%
Tayvion Robinson run for 12 yds to the BC 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+10
78.5%
Khalil Herbert run for 10 yds to the BC 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
79.1%
Raheem Blackshear run for 3 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 2:49
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+29
85.2%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 29 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -5 yds · 0:5416% → 15%
Q2 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
84.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to CJ Lewis for 7 yds to the BC 29Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 3
OWN 29
-5
83.7%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Zay Flowers) to the BC 24Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
84.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 8
OWN 24
-7
84.4%
Phil Jurkovec sacked by Amare Barno and Jarrod Hewitt for a loss of 7 yards to the BC 17Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 15
OWN 17
0
84.9%
Grant Carlson punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tayvion Robinson at the VTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:0583% → 84%
Q2 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
83.0%
Hendon Hooker run for 1 yd to the VTech 35 VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the VTech 25Similar
Q2 1:22
1ST & 19
OWN 25
+4
82.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 4 yds to the VTech 29Similar
Q2 1:17
2ND & 15
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+14
82.3%
Khalil Herbert run for 14 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
83.6%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
83.4%
Travis Levy run for 4 yds to the BC 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
83.9%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 1 yard to the VTech 38Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 38
-2
83.6%
Khalil Herbert run for a loss of 2 yards to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 13
OWN 36
+7
82.5%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the VTech 43Similar
Q3 14:52
4TH & 6
OWN 43
0
82.3%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 13TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:4517% → 34%
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
83.3%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the BC 23Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+17
83.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 2 yds to the BC 25 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (Justus Reed) to the BC 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
82.4%
Travis Levy run for a loss of 3 yards to the BC 37Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+13
83.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:56
1ST & 10
50
+8
81.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 8 yds to the VTech 42Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 2
OPP 42
0
81.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q3 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
81.6%
David Bailey run for 3 yds to the VTech 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
82.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers, broken up by Dorian StrongSimilar
Q3 9:05
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
82.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Chamarri ConnerSimilar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+3
82.9%
Phil Jurkovec run for 3 yds to the VTech 36Similar
Q3 9:05
4TH & 7
OPP 36
+16
83.7%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 16 yds to the VTech 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
66.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 20 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the VTech 1 (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)Similar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.4%
VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the VTech 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 14TD
8 plays · 79 yds · 3:2473% → 87%
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
73.1%
Khalil Herbert run for 1 yd to the VTech 22Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+57
72.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 57 yds to the BC 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
76.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 2 yds to the BC 19Similar
Q3 7:03
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+7
76.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the BC 12Similar
Q3 7:03
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+2
75.7%
Raheem Blackshear run for 2 yds to the BC 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
76.9%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the BC 5Similar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 4
OPP 5
+5
87.2%
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+7
85.2%
Travis Levy run for 7 yds to the BC 17 Travis Levy fumbled, forced by Chamarri Conner, recovered by VTech Dorian StrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 16FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1787% → 92%
Q3 3:27
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
87.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 7 yds to the BC 10Similar
Q3 3:27
2ND & 3
OPP 10
0
87.2%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the BC 10Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 3
OPP 10
0
86.7%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete to Khalil HerbertSimilar
Q3 2:10
4TH & 3
OPP 10
+27
91.5%
Brian Johnson 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
89.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q3 2:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.0%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for a loss of 2 yards to the BC 23Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+8
90.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 8 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q3 2:03
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
90.0%
Grant Carlson punt for 34 yds, downed at the VTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 18TD
6 plays · 65 yds · 1:5092% → 98%
Q3 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
92.2%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+21
93.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 6 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST down BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, UR (15 Yards) to the BC 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:36
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
93.8%
Hendon Hooker pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:36
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
93.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the BC 31Similar
Q4 14:36
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+3
93.6%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Kaleb Smith for 3 yds to the BC 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
97.9%
Raheem Blackshear run for 28 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 61 yds · 1:554% → 4%
Q4 13:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.0%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Jaelen Gill) to the BC 20Similar
Q4 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:40
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+43
96.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 43 yds to the VTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
96.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:01
2ND & 10
OPP 37
0
96.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to David BaileySimilar
Q4 13:01
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+18
96.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 18 yds to the VTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:01
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
95.6%
Phil Jurkovec run for 5 yds to the VTech 14Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
95.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 11:49
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
96.2%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay FlowersSimilar
Q4 11:49
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
96.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jehlani Galloway, broken up by Devin TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
97.9%
Khalil Herbert run for 3 yds to the VTech 18Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+22
97.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 22 yds to the VTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Khalil Herbert run for no gain to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
98.1%
Hendon Hooker run for no gain to the VTech 40Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 10
OWN 40
-16
98.1%
Hendon Hooker deep pass complete to James Mitchell for 38 yards to the BC22 (Jason Maitre), PENALTY VT pass interference (Changa Hodge) 16 yards to the VT24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:43
3RD & 26
OWN 24
+9
97.9%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Raheem Blackshear for 9 yds to the VTech 33Similar
Q4 11:43
4TH & 17
OWN 33
0
97.8%
Oscar Bradburn punt for 37 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the BC 30 TEAM fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 21INT
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:053% → 2%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
97.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-5
97.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Zay Flowers (Jarrod Hewitt), PENALTY BC illegal shift 5 yards to the BC34, NO PLAY, clock 06:57.Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 6
OWN 34
-5
97.1%
BOSTON COLLEGE Penalty, false start (Jaelen Gill) to the BC 29Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+17
97.3%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Zay Flowers for 17 yds to the BC 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
97.4%
Phil Jurkovec pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:23
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+10
97.4%
Phil Jurkovec sideline pass complete to Zay Flowers for 9 yards to the VT45, out-of-bounds, PENALTY VT holding (Divine Deablo) 10 yards to the VT44, 1ST DOWN BC, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 6:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-4
97.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for a loss of 4 yards to the VTech 48Similar
Q4 6:04
3RD & 14
OPP 48
+15
98.1%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 15 yds to the VTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-45
97.6%
Phil Jurkovec pass intercepted Brion Murray return for 45 yds to the BC 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 47 yds · 2:4199% → 100%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
98.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 8 yds to the BC 39Similar
Q4 5:01
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+5
98.8%
Khalil Herbert run for 5 yds to the BC 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
98.9%
Hendon Hooker run for 7 yds to the BC 27Similar
Q4 2:56
2ND & 3
OPP 27
0
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass incomplete, broken up by Bryce MoraisSimilar
Q4 2:56
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+10
99.0%
Hendon Hooker pass complete to James Mitchell for 10 yds to the BC 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
99.8%
Hendon Hooker run for 17 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BCDrive 23Uncategorized
13 plays · 39 yds · 2:070% → 0%
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jehlani Galloway for 7 yds to the BC 32Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+9
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 9 yds to the BC 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Phil Jurkovec for 5 yds to the BC 46Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Hunter Long, broken up by Dax HollifieldSimilar
Q4 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+6
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Jaelen Gill for 6 yds to the VTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jehlani GallowaySimilar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+9
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Travis Levy for 9 yds to the VTech 39Similar
Q4 1:02
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+3
99.9%
Travis Levy run for 3 yds to the VTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Jaelen GillSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec rush quarterback scramble right for 5 yards to the VT31 (Dax Hollifield;Keshon Artis), PENALTY BC holding (Christian Mahogany) 10 yards to the VT46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:13
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Phil Jurkovec pass incomplete to Travis LevySimilar
Q4 0:13
3RD & 20
OPP 46
+10
99.9%
Travis Levy run for 10 yds to the VTech 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:11
Phil Jurkovec pass complete to Hunter Long for 20 yds for a TD VIRGINIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (2 Yards) to the VTech 1 (Aaron Boumerhi KICK)
-17.3
TD · Q3 3:39
Hendon Hooker run for 5 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+10.3
TD · Q2 2:49
Hendon Hooker pass complete to Khalil Herbert for 29 yds for a TD (Brian Johnson KICK)
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com