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DUKE

Duke 38 at Syracuse 24

SYR
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 10, 2020 · JMA Wireless Dome
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Win probability · SYR
modelSYR aheadDUKE aheadconfidence bandkey playSYR scoreDUKE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:03 · Nolan Cooney punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+40.0+20.00−20.0−40.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 26Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior−5.2Score differential−0.1Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:09: Mataeo Durant run for 15 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK) — DUKE win probability +7.2 pts (now 59%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:00: Chase Brice pass complete to Jarett Garner for 52 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK) — DUKE win probability +8.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 10:26: Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOOD — DUKE win probability +8.4 pts (now 78%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:23: Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 53 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +15.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:26: Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Brice Run For Two-point Conversion) — DUKE win probability +16.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: DUKE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
SYR made the numbers' call on 9 of 10DUKE made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 11:22DUKE 4th & 2 at SYR 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    54.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    54.2%−0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−0.2
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:03SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 34, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:25DUKE 4th & 9 at SYR 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.0%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    53.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    51.7%−1.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:25SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:52SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:38DUKE 4th & 3 at DUKE 27, up 3
    Close callPunted · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.3%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q1 1:47SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 30, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.2%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:45SYR 4th & 1 at DUKE 13, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 52.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    52.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    51.1%−1.3
    85% to make
    Punt
    47.3%−5.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:09SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.5%−1.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 16, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 9:23SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 14, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−2.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:35DUKE 4th & 3 at SYR 3, up 6
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.2 ptsKicked a field goal · 70.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.0%−2.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    56.3%−14.9
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:14SYR 4th & 5 at DUKE 30, down 9
    Close callKicked a field goal · 20.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.6%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    18.0%−2.8
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:26SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.5%−0.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
SYR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2DUKE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 12:23DUKE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:22SYR Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:09DUKE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:00DUKE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:23SYR Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 5:26DUKE Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · converted
    Kick
    92.0%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    92.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
DUKEDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:3756% → 56%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
44.1%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+20
44.1%
Deon Jackson run for 20 yds to the Duke 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+11
44.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dennis Smith for 11 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
44.1%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
0
44.1%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+8
44.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 8 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
43.6%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 26 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0144% → 45%
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-5
43.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 21Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 14
OWN 21
+79
45.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 79 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 3DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
45.1%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+13
45.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Deon Jackson for 13 yds to the Duke 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
44.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 8 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
44.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
44.7%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jarett Garner for 10 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
44.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+4
44.7%
Eli Pancol run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 11:22
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
44.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 11:22
4TH & 2
OPP 31
0
44.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
46.0%
Sean Tucker run for 7 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 3
OWN 38
-4
46.5%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Derrick Tangelo for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 8:03
3RD & 7
OWN 34
0
45.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 8:03
4TH & 7
OWN 34
0
45.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 5FG
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:2254% → 55%
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
45.8%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dennis SmithSimilar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+48
46.0%
Mataeo Durant run for 48 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
44.9%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 6:47
2ND & 9
OPP 18
0
44.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Trill WilliamsSimilar
Q1 6:47
3RD & 9
OPP 18
0
45.3%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon CalhounSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 9
OPP 18
+36
45.4%
Charlie Ham 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
45.2%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+15
45.8%
DUKE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
46.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Tommy DeVitoSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
46.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 5:25
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
45.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 5:25
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
44.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 7FUMBLE
2 plays · 57 yds · 0:0054% → 55%
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+50
45.6%
Deon Jackson run for 50 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
44.7%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Syrac 32 Deon Jackson fumbled, forced by Geoff Cantin-Arku, recovered by Syrac Robert HannaSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 3:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
45.5%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-1
45.4%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 3:52
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+5
44.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 3:52
4TH & 6
OWN 36
0
44.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 64 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
45.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Dennis SmithSimilar
Q1 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
45.5%
Chase Brice run for 7 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q1 2:38
3RD & 3
OWN 27
0
45.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake BoboSimilar
Q1 2:38
4TH & 3
OWN 27
+2
46.2%
Porter Wilson punt for 47 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 2 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
45.6%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 29Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+1
45.6%
Sean Tucker run for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 8
OWN 30
0
44.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:47
4TH & 8
OWN 30
+3
44.6%
Nolan Cooney punt for 52 yds , Jontavis Robertson returns for 3 yds to the Duke 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 11FUMBLE TD
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:1154% → 51%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
45.6%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Deon JacksonSimilar
Q1 0:32
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+4
45.7%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 25Similar
Q1 0:32
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+11
46.1%
Chase Brice run for 11 yds to the Duke 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
44.7%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 39Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+28
48.8%
Chase Brice sacked by Cam Jonas for a loss of 7 yards Chase Brice fumbled, recovered by Syrac Geoff Cantin-Arku , return for 0 yards , return for 28 yds (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 12FUMBLE
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0050% → 52%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+4
49.7%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 4 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+3
49.9%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
49.5%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 6 yds to the Duke 41Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+1
48.5%
Gunnar Holmberg run for 1 yd to the Duke 42Similar
Q2 14:21
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+12
48.7%
Gunnar Holmberg pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for 12 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
48.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 14:21
2ND & 8
OPP 44
-2
48.2%
Gunnar Holmberg run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 46 Gunnar Holmberg fumbled, recovered by Syrac Cody RoscoeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13DOWNS
6 plays · 41 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
52.9%
Sean Tucker run for 5 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+27
53.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sean Tucker for 27 yds to the Duke 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:45
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+3
53.7%
Sean Tucker run for 3 yds to the Duke 19Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 7
OPP 19
+6
53.7%
Sean Tucker run for 6 yds to the Duke 13Similar
Q2 10:45
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
52.9%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Duke 13Similar
Q2 10:45
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
52.0%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Duke 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 14TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 3:3248% → 59%
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
52.0%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 16Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 7
OWN 16
+15
52.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive pass interference (15 Yards) to the Duke 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
51.4%
Deon Jackson run for 14 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
50.0%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+12
50.5%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 12 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
49.4%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+6
49.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 6 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
48.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete, broken up by Mikel JonesSimilar
Q2 8:41
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
48.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q2 8:41
3RD & 7
OPP 30
0
49.7%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:41
4TH & 7
OPP 30
+15
51.0%
SYRACUSE Penalty, roughing the kicker (15 Yards) to the Syrac 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
48.4%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jalon Calhoun, broken up by Trill WilliamsSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
41.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 15 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
44.9%
PENALTY SU illegal motion off-setting, PENALTY DU holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
45.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-3
44.9%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Chris Rumph II for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 5:09
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+3
43.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 3 yds to the Syrac 25Similar
Q2 5:09
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+2
43.2%
Nolan Cooney punt for 58 yds , Jontavis Robertson returns for 2 yds to the Duke 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 16TD
11 plays · 81 yds · 2:3456% → 68%
Q2 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
44.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the Duke 23Similar
Q2 3:34
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+4
44.1%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 2
OWN 27
+3
43.1%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Duke 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
42.6%
Chase Brice pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
43.4%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jarett Garner for 11 yds to the Duke 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
41.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 6 yds to the Duke 47Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+7
41.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 7 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-6
40.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 4 yds to the Duke 42 DUKE Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the Duke 48Similar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 16
OWN 48
+52
31.8%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jarett Garner for 52 yds for a TD (Charlie Ham KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17END OF HALF
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0032% → 31%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.7%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
31.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Tommy DeVito for 10 yds to the Syrac 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
32.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-6
31.9%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 29Similar
Q2 1:00
3RD & 16
OWN 29
+16
30.6%
Sean Tucker run for 16 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
31.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
31.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-2
30.4%
Tommy DeVito run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 16
0
29.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Duke 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 19FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 3:0570% → 78%
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
30.3%
Deon Jackson run for 6 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+3
30.0%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q3 13:31
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+4
30.5%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+1
30.1%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 37
+11
30.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
29.8%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 25Similar
Q3 13:31
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
29.9%
Chase Brice sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for 0 yards to the Syrac 27 Chase Brice fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 10:26
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+45
21.6%
Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:0327% → 42%
Q3 10:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
26.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Trebor Pena for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 10:26
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+23
26.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 23 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
42.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 53 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 21INT
10 plays · 61 yds · 0:0065% → 69%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
35.3%
Chase Brice pass complete to Darrell Harding Jr. for 7 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+5
33.6%
SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the Duke 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
34.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Marwede for 5 yds to the Duke 38Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 5
OWN 38
0
32.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Eli PancolSimilar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+14
33.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Eli Pancol for 14 yds to the Syrac 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
32.1%
Deon Jackson run for 3 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+26
32.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 26 yds to the Syrac 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
31.4%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 18Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 9
OPP 18
-2
31.4%
Chase Brice pass intercepted Mikel Jones return for 2 yds to the Syrac 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0038% → 36%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
38.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Luke Benson, broken up by Victor DimukejeSimilar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
38.2%
Sean Tucker run for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 14
0
36.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:23
4TH & 10
OWN 14
0
36.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 23FG
11 plays · 42 yds · 4:2869% → 76%
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
30.7%
Mataeo Durant run for 5 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+7
30.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 7 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
30.2%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+1
30.0%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+14
30.9%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dennis Smith for 14 yds to the Syrac 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
30.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jalon Calhoun for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
30.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Jake Bobo for 13 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
30.1%
Deon Jackson run for no gain to the Syrac 1Similar
Q3 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
30.0%
Deon Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 3Similar
Q3 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
30.9%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jarett GarnerSimilar
Q3 0:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+21
23.8%
Charlie Ham 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24FG
14 plays · 55 yds · 5:2125% → 34%
Q3 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
24.8%
Sean Tucker run for 9 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 1
OWN 24
-5
25.8%
SYRACUSE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 19Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 6
OWN 19
0
24.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+11
23.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 11 yds to the Syrac 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
25.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Dorian Mausi for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 24
+21
24.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 21 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
26.9%
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the Syrac 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+7
27.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
28.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Aaron Hackett for 10 yds to the Duke 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+8
30.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 8 yds to the Duke 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 27
-6
30.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Chris Rumph II for a loss of 6 yards to the Duke 33Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 33
+3
28.3%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 3 yds to the Duke 30Similar
Q4 10:14
4TH & 5
OPP 30
+48
33.6%
Andre Szmyt 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 25TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:4875% → 95%
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
25.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 7 yds to the Duke 32Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+13
24.2%
Chase Brice run for 13 yds to the Duke 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
22.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 48Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
22.7%
Chase Brice pass incomplete to Jake Bobo, broken up by Ja'Had CarterSimilar
Q4 10:14
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+9
23.1%
Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 9 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
22.0%
Mataeo Durant run for 1 yd to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+9
22.0%
Chase Brice pass complete to Dennis Smith for 9 yds to the Syrac 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+9
21.3%
Mataeo Durant run for 9 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & 1
OPP 24
+15
21.2%
Deon Jackson run for 15 yds to the Syrac 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
21.2%
Deon Jackson run for 1 yd to the Syrac 8Similar
Q4 10:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
21.2%
Chase Brice pass complete to Noah Gray for 5 yds to the Syrac 3Similar
Q4 5:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
4.8%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Brice Run For Two-point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q4 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
5.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q4 5:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
5.6%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:26
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-9
5.5%
Rex Culpepper sacked by Drew Jordan and Victor Dimukeje for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 5:26
4TH & 19
OWN 16
0
5.4%
Nolan Cooney punt for 61 yds, downed at the Duke 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
DUKEDrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 32 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
4.4%
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds to the Duke 26Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
4.5%
Mataeo Durant run for 2 yds to the Duke 28Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+15
4.6%
Mataeo Durant run for 15 yds to the Duke 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
4.2%
Mataeo Durant run for 6 yds to the Duke 49Similar
Q4 4:27
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+2
4.1%
Deon Jackson run for 2 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q4 4:27
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+4
4.1%
Deon Jackson run for 4 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 5:26
Mataeo Durant run for 3 yds for a TD (C. Brice Run For Two-point Conversion)
-16.4
TD · Q3 9:23
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Luke Benson for 53 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)
+15.4
FG · Q3 10:26
Charlie Ham 45 yd FG GOOD
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com