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LOU

Louisville 27 at Georgia Tech 46

GT
2020 · Week 6 · Oct 9, 2020 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadLOU aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreLOU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Pressley Harvin III punt for 47 yds, downed at the Lvile 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+33.5+16.80−16.8−33.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 99Home team on offense−6.7Pregame prior−5.2Score differential−2.2Garbage-time factor−2.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 1:32: Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 26 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +12.6 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:52: Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart PAT BLOCKED) — GT win probability +12.1 pts (now 51%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q3 6:34: Jeff Sims run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GT win probability +13.0 pts (now 66%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:32: Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — LOU win probability +18.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:40: Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — GT win probability +26.3 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 11:50GT 4th & 3 at GT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:54LOU 4th & 17 at GT 40, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.7%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−<0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:21GT 4th & 1 at GT 13, up 7
    Close callPunted · 45.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00GT 4th & 7 at GT 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.4%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:30LOU 4th & 2 at GT 2, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 56.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    55.6%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    50.4%−6.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:30GT 4th & 9 at GT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.9
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:35LOU 4th & 6 at GT 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.3%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    64.4%−1.0
    34% to make
    Punt
    64.4%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:16LOU 4th & 9 at LOU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.0%−1.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00GT 4th & 6 at GT 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.0%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:15LOU 4th & 8 at LOU 37, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.0%−1.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.1%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00GT 4th & 16 at LOU 48, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.4%−4.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:34LOU 4th & 6 at LOU 40, down 5
    Close callPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.3%−0.8
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:52LOU 4th & 15 at LOU 20, down 12
    Close callWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%−<0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7LOU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:00GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:24LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:30LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:32LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:43GT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 7:52GT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 6:34GT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    62.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:32LOU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    57.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    56.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 8:40GT Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    73.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:52GT Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 0:28GT Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1FUMBLE
8 plays · 42 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
39.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 24 yds to the Lvile 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+8
39.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 2
OPP 46
0
39.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Ean PfeiferSimilar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+6
39.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-1
39.6%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 14:56
2ND & 11
OPP 41
+8
39.6%
Hassan Hall run for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 14:56
3RD & 3
OPP 33
-3
39.6%
Hassan Hall run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 36 Hassan Hall fumbled, forced by Charlie Thomas, recovered by GTech Quez JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:5041% → 45%
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
40.8%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 3
OWN 43
0
41.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q1 11:50
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
40.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q1 11:50
4TH & 3
OWN 43
+9
40.7%
Jerry Howard Jr. run for 9 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
41.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the Lvile 42Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+30
41.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 30 yds to the Lvile 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
41.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Lvile 12Similar
Q1 9:00
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+12
44.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 12 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
43.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the Lvile 49Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+18
43.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 18 yds to the GTech 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
42.9%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 8:54
2ND & 12
OPP 35
0
43.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for no gain to the GTech 35Similar
Q1 8:54
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
43.5%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu Atwell, broken up by Jamious GriffinSimilar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 12
OPP 35
-5
44.0%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, DOG (-5 Yards) to the GTech 40Similar
Q1 8:54
4TH & 17
OPP 40
0
44.0%
Ryan Harwell punt for 36 yds, downed at the GTech 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 4
0
45.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 4Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 10
OWN 4
+1
45.7%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 9
OWN 5
+8
45.3%
Jamious Griffin run for 8 yds to the GTech 13Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 1
OWN 13
+16
45.0%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 48 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 16 yds to the GTech 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 4:1054% → 59%
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
45.8%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
45.9%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 7 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+13
45.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
45.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 11 yds to the GTech 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
45.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 4:34
2ND & 1
OPP 5
0
45.2%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the GTech 5Similar
Q1 4:34
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
45.7%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the GTech 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
41.4%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 3 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 0:2445% → 44%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
44.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Leonard for 15 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
45.6%
Sims, J. pass complete to Owens, A. for no gain to the GT40 (Yeast, R.), PENALTY GT illegal formation 5 yards to the GT35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 35
+5
44.6%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
45.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
44.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
44.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 5:4756% → 65%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
44.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
44.1%
Hassan Hall run for 2 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+15
44.7%
Malik Cunningham run for 15 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
43.4%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+25
43.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 25 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
42.3%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
42.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 13:17
3RD & 10
OPP 38
+36
42.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 36 yds to the GTech 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
41.7%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 13:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
41.7%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 13:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
42.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 1 yd to the GTech 2Similar
Q2 7:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
34.8%
Malik Cunningham run for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
36.3%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
36.5%
Dontae Smith run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
36.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 5 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
36.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 6 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
0
38.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Tariq CarpenterSimilar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 4
OWN 42
-5
37.4%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Williams) to the GTech 37Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
36.0%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
35.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Javian Hawkins at the Lvile 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 4:0364% → 78%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
35.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+15
35.8%
Hall, H. rush for no gain to the LOU13 (Ryans, C.), PENALTY GT face mask (Ryans, C.) 15 yards to the LOU28, 1ST DOWN LOU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
34.9%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 29Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+28
35.0%
Hassan Hall run for 28 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-15
33.2%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, personal foul (Renato Brown) to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
33.6%
Hassan Hall run for no gain to the Lvile 42Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+1
34.0%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the Lvile 43Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+13
34.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 13 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
33.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+4
33.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 4 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q2 5:35
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
33.6%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q2 5:35
4TH & 6
OPP 40
+14
34.6%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 14 yds to the GTech 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
22.0%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 26 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 10TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 0:4925% → 39%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+41
24.6%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 41 yds to the Lvile 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
27.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 11 yds to the Lvile 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+14
27.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 14 yds to the Lvile 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
38.8%
Ahmarean Brown pass complete to Jalen Camp for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:2768% → 65%
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
31.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+8
31.3%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 8 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
30.6%
Malik Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 37 Malik Cunningham fumbled, recovered by Lvile Malik Cunningham , return for 6 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
31.8%
Malik Cunningham run for no gain to the Lvile 37Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 9
OWN 37
0
33.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Braden SmithSimilar
Q2 0:16
4TH & 9
OWN 37
0
34.7%
Ryan Harwell punt for 61 yds, downed at the GTech 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
34.3%
Sims, J. pass incomplete to Thomas, Jua., PENALTY LOU offside (Boykin, J.) 5 yards to the GT30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OWN 30
+4
35.8%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the GTech 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-5
36.2%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Jordan Williams) to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
34.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
33.8%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
32.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 47 yds, downed at the Lvile 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
32.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 29Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+6
31.5%
Malik Cunningham run for 6 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
29.5%
Cunningham, M. pass incomplete, PENALTY GT personal foul off-setting, PENALTY LOU intentional grounding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
31.5%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 6 yds to the Lvile 41Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
30.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 43Similar
Q3 13:15
3RD & 2
OWN 43
-6
30.7%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Antonneous Clayton for a loss of 6 yards to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 13:15
4TH & 8
OWN 37
0
33.4%
Ryan Harwell punt for 29 yds, downed at the GTech 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 2:0134% → 51%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
33.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
33.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jahmyr Gibbs, broken up by Dorian EtheridgeSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 10
OWN 34
+48
32.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 33 yds to the GATECH 33 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, targeting (Marlon Character) to the Lvile 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+12
38.6%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the Lvile 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
38.6%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 8Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
38.6%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the Lvile 3Similar
Q3 7:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
50.7%
Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
3 plays · 27 yds · 1:0853% → 66%
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
52.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 7:42
2ND & 5
OPP 22
0
52.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the Lvile 22Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+22
65.7%
Jeff Sims run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 17TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 6:0240% → 60%
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
59.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the Lvile 30Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+2
58.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 2 yds to the Lvile 32Similar
Q3 6:34
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+20
59.7%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 20 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
55.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 7 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+12
54.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 12 yds to the GTech 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+12
53.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 12 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
53.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the GTech 15Similar
Q3 6:34
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+8
53.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 8 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
52.8%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the GTech 7Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
-6
52.8%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 4 yds to the GTech 3 LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (Dez Fitzpatrick) to the GTech 13Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 13
-10
53.8%
Cunningham, M. pass incomplete to Fitzpatrick, D., PENALTY LOU holding (Bentley, C.) 10 yards to the GT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 23
+7
55.6%
Malik Cunningham run for 7 yds to the GTech 16Similar
Q3 2:36
3RD & GOAL
OPP 16
+5
58.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Jordan Domineck) to the GTech 11Similar
Q3 0:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
40.3%
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:2445% → 43%
Q3 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
44.9%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+12
45.3%
Jeff Sims run for 12 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
49.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 18 yds to the Lvile 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
50.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-1
50.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 43Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
0
46.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Dylan LeonardSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OPP 43
-5
43.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 48Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
42.6%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 39 yds · 0:0056% → 61%
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+15
43.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 15 yds to the Lvile 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
42.3%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 5 yards to the Lvile 22Similar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 15
OWN 22
+23
44.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 23 yds to the Lvile 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
39.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the GTech 49 Javian Hawkins fumbled, forced by Jordan Domineck, recovered by GTech Jordan DomineckSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20TD
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:2651% → 77%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+46
50.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 41 yds to the GATECH 10 for a 1ST down LOUISVILLE Penalty, roughing passer (Tabarius Peterson) to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
53.4%
Jamious Griffin run for no gain to the Lvile 5Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
53.4%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the Lvile 4Similar
Q4 10:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-15
50.9%
Sims, J. pass complete to Carter, M. for 1 yard to the LOU3 (Burns, R.;Jones, C.), PENALTY GT illegal block (Johnson, R.) 15 yards to the LOU19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 19
+19
77.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 21PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
65.0%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
65.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 8
OWN 17
-8
67.2%
Cunningham, M. rush for 7 yards to the LOU24, out-of-bounds (Walker, W.), PENALTY LOU holding (Brown, R.) 8 yards to the LOU9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 16
OWN 9
+27
67.9%
Javian Hawkins run for 27 yds to the Lvile 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
62.3%
Malik Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:34
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+4
63.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the Lvile 40Similar
Q4 8:34
3RD & 6
OWN 40
0
62.2%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
Q4 8:34
4TH & 6
OWN 40
+27
65.2%
Ryan Harwell punt for 32 yds, downed at the GATECH 28 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the GTech 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 2:4983% → 97%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
82.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 14 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
85.3%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+18
84.9%
Dontae Smith run for 18 yds to the Lvile 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
86.3%
Dontae Smith run for 1 yd to the Lvile 34Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+34
97.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 34 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 23DOWNS
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-9
95.0%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Jordan Domineck for a loss of 9 yards to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 19
OWN 16
0
95.1%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q4 2:52
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+4
95.2%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Javian Hawkins for 4 yds to the Lvile 20Similar
Q4 2:52
4TH & 15
OWN 20
-2
95.3%
Malik Cunningham sacked by Antonneous Clayton for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
3 plays · 18 yds · 1:0098% → 100%
Q4 1:28
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
97.9%
Dontae Smith run for no gain to the Lvile 18Similar
Q4 0:28
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+12
99.7%
Dontae Smith run for 12 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+14
98.1%
Malik Cunningham pass complete to Maurice Burkley for 14 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
98.0%
Malik Cunningham pass incomplete to Dez FitzpatrickSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:40
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 19 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+26.3
TD · Q3 0:32
Malik Cunningham run for 11 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-18
TD · Q3 6:34
Jeff Sims run for 22 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+13
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com