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UVA

Virginia 23 at Clemson 41

CLEM
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Memorial Stadium (Clemson, SC)
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Win probability · CLEM
modelCLEM aheadUVA aheadconfidence bandkey playCLEM scoreUVA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:40 · Nash Griffin punt for 52 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 9 yds to the Clem 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+43.4Home team on offense+1.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Time remaining+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 5:23: Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 27 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK) — CLEM win probability +1.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:25: Amari Rodgers 9 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:41: Terrell Jana 23 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick) — UVA win probability +3.9 pts (now 5%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:05: Keytaon Thompson 3 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick) — UVA win probability +5.7 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UVA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:54: Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick) — CLEM win probability +3.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CLEM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UVA made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 13:24CLEM 4th & 6 at UVA 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 95.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:16UVA 4th & 10 at CLEM 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    5.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:17CLEM 4th & 11 at UVA 49, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.6%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:40UVA 4th & 3 at UVA 20, down 3
    Close callPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:07UVA 4th & 1 at CLEM 40, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.7
    34% to make
    Punt
    6.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 9:38UVA 4th & 1 at CLEM 9, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.0%−0.6
    89% to make
    Punt
    5.4%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:45UVA 4th & 5 at UVA 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:19CLEM 4th & 10 at CLEM 29, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:33CLEM 4th & 7 at UVA 25, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.2%
    66% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−2.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:47UVA 4th & 1 at CLEM 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    3.2%−1.9
    28% to make
    Punt
    3.7%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 1:06UVA 4th & 2 at UVA 44, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.2%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:52UVA 4th & 11 at UVA 45, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.6
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:31CLEM 4th & 12 at CLEM 33, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.8%−0.8
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:20UVA 4th & 1 at CLEM 24, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−0.1
    68% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CLEM made the numbers' call on 4 of 5UVA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 0:22CLEM Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 5:23CLEM Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:25CLEM Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:41UVA Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:05UVA Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:54CLEM Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:27CLEM Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:11UVA Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    1.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CLEMDrive 1FG
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:1997% → 97%
Q1 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
97.2%
Trevor Lawrence run for 15 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
97.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 4 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
97.2%
Travis Etienne run for no gain to the Virg 29Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
97.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 13:24
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+47
97.1%
B.T. Potter 47 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 2PUNT
14 plays · 33 yds · 3:033% → 3%
Q1 13:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q1 13:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Wayne TaulapapaSimilar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+10
97.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 10 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
97.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q1 12:23
2ND & 1
OWN 44
0
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+3
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
96.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the Clem 45Similar
Q1 11:11
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
96.7%
Shane Simpson run for 3 yds to the Clem 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Wayne TaulapapaSimilar
Q1 10:32
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
96.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Tony PoljanSimilar
Q1 10:28
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
96.7%
Nash Griffin punt for 32 yds, downed at the Clem 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:5197% → 96%
Q1 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
96.7%
Travis Etienne run for 8 yds to the Clem 18Similar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 16
OWN 4
+21
96.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 21 yds to the Clem 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
96.5%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 28Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
96.5%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Will Putnam) to the Clem 23Similar
Q1 8:22
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
96.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+29
96.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 29 yds to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-3
96.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the Clem 49Similar
Q1 6:59
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+2
96.2%
Travis Etienne run for 2 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q1 6:24
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
96.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q1 6:17
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
95.9%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Billy Kemp IV at the Virg 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:294% → 4%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
96.1%
Brennan Armstrong run for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 9Similar
Q1 5:33
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+11
96.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 11 yds to the Virg 20Similar
Q1 4:53
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
95.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+9
95.9%
Nash Griffin punt for 52 yds , Amari Rodgers returns for 9 yds to the Clem 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 5TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 4:1196% → 96%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
95.7%
Travis Etienne run for 17 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
95.8%
Trevor Lawrence run for 5 yds to the Virg 41Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+2
95.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 2 yds to the Virg 39Similar
Q1 3:05
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+5
95.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 5 yds to the Virg 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
95.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 9 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+1
95.4%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Virg 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
95.3%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 5 yds to the Virg 19Similar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
95.2%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Virg 16Similar
Q1 0:22
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+16
95.8%
Travis Etienne 16 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 6FG
14 plays · 66 yds · 5:394% → 6%
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.9%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 4 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
95.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q2 14:48
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+10
95.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 10 yds to the Virg 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
95.6%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 12 yds to the Clem 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
95.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 8 yds to the Clem 41Similar
Q2 13:25
2ND & 2
OPP 41
-1
95.3%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Baylon Spector and K.J. Henry for a loss of 1 yard to the Clem 42Similar
Q2 12:47
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+2
95.2%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q2 12:07
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+6
95.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Clem 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
94.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 16 yds to the Clem 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
94.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q2 10:58
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+8
94.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 8 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
94.8%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Clem 9Similar
Q2 9:38
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+27
94.3%
Brian Delaney 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 7TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:1095% → 96%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 5 yds to the Clem 30Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
94.6%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Cornell Powell) to the Clem 25Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+18
94.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Davis Allen for 18 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Frank Ladson Jr.Similar
Q2 8:16
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+1
94.6%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 44Similar
Q2 7:44
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+16
94.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 16 yds to the Virg 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
94.8%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 4 yds to the Virg 36Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 6
OPP 36
0
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Joseph NgataSimilar
Q2 6:37
3RD & 6
OPP 36
+14
94.6%
Trevor Lawrence run for 14 yds to the Virg 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-8
94.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for 7 yds to the Virg 15 CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Lyn-J Dixon) to the Virg 30Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 18
OPP 30
+3
94.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 3 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+27
96.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 27 yds for a TD, (B.T. Potter KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 8INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:234% → 4%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Shane Simpson run for no gain to the Virg 25Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
95.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted Nolan Turner return for no gain to the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 9TD
4 plays · 36 yds · 1:2296% → 99%
Q2 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
96.1%
Brannon Spector run for 2 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q2 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+18
96.1%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Virg 31 for a 1ST down VIRGINIA Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (Nick Jackson) to the Virg 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
96.1%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 7 yds to the Virg 9Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+9
98.6%
Amari Rodgers 9 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:281% → 2%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
98.6%
Brennan Armstrong run for 5 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q2 2:35
2ND & 5
OWN 24
0
98.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Virg 24Similar
Q2 1:52
3RD & 5
OWN 24
0
98.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 5
OWN 24
0
98.5%
Nash Griffin punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Amari Rodgers at the Clem 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:2199% → 99%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Cornell PowellSimilar
Q2 1:33
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
98.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Frank Ladson Jr.Similar
Q2 1:19
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
98.5%
Will Spiers punt for 36 yds, downed at the Virg 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 12TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:301% → 5%
Q2 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-7
98.6%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Bryan Bresee for a loss of 7 yards to the Virg 28Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 17
OWN 28
+22
98.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 22 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
50
+27
98.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 27 yds to the Clem 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+23
94.6%
Terrell Jana 23 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 13END OF HALF
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:3697% → 96%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
96.5%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q2 0:11
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
96.3%
CLEMSON Penalty, False Start (Jordan McFadden) to the Clem 22Similar
Q2 0:03
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+7
96.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 7 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+1
96.4%
Lyn-J Dixon run for 1 yd to the Clem 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 14INT
8 plays · 56 yds · 2:135% → 6%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
95.3%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 9 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
94.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Tony PoljanSimilar
Q3 14:18
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+13
95.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 13 yds to the Virg 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
94.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q3 13:32
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+3
94.8%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 13:05
3RD & 7
50
+31
94.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Lavel Davis Jr. for 31 yds to the Clem 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
94.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass intercepted, touchback. Andrew Booth Jr. return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 15FG
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:0295% → 97%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
95.4%
Travis Etienne run for 12 yds to the Clem 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Braden GallowaySimilar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 10
OWN 32
-6
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence sacked by Richard Burney for a loss of 6 yards to the Clem 26Similar
Q3 11:30
3RD & 16
OWN 26
+46
95.1%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 46 yds to the Virg 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
95.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Amari RodgersSimilar
Q3 11:16
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+3
95.6%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 3 yds to the Virg 25Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
95.4%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Chez MellusiSimilar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
96.7%
B.T. Potter 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 16TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:244% → 10%
Q3 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
96.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 4 yds to the Virg 29Similar
Q3 9:59
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+19
96.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 33 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Baylon Spector) to the Virg 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
95.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for no gain to the Virg 48Similar
Q3 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+8
96.0%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 8 yds to the Clem 44Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+1
95.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 1 yd to the Clem 43Similar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+28
95.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 28 yds to the Clem 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
95.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 5 yds to the Clem 10Similar
Q3 6:48
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+7
95.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the Clem 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.0%
Keytaon Thompson 3 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 17TD
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:0693% → 98%
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
92.5%
Travis Etienne run for 1 yd to the Clem 36Similar
Q3 5:32
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+11
92.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 11 yds to the Clem 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+21
92.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Frank Ladson Jr. for 21 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
93.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Amari Rodgers for 25 yds to the Virg 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
93.9%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Virg 4Similar
Q3 3:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
97.6%
Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:573% → 3%
Q3 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 6 yds to the Virg 31Similar
Q3 3:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+2
96.7%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
96.7%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
96.7%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Terrell JanaSimilar
Q3 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
96.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 37Similar
Q3 1:44
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+7
96.8%
Brennan Armstrong run for 7 yds to the Virg 44Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+2
97.0%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Virg 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Virg 49Similar
Q3 0:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Billy Kemp IVSimilar
Q3 0:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-4
96.9%
Brennan Armstrong sacked by Justin Mascoll for a loss of 4 yards to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 14:52
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
97.2%
Nash Griffin punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:1598% → 98%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
97.5%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Brannon Spector for 15 yds to the Clem 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
97.7%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Cornell Powell for a loss of 2 yards to the Clem 33Similar
Q4 13:45
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to E.J. WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:40
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
97.9%
Trevor Lawrence pass incomplete to Lyn-J DixonSimilar
Q4 13:31
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
97.7%
Will Spiers punt for 43 yds, downed at the Virg 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 20DOWNS
10 plays · 50 yds · 4:273% → 3%
Q4 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
97.3%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 9 yds to the Virg 33Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+8
97.2%
Shane Simpson run for 8 yds to the Virg 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
97.2%
Brennan Armstrong run for 4 yds to the Virg 45Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
97.2%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 12 yds to the Clem 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
97.3%
Brennan Armstrong run for 3 yds to the Clem 40Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+6
97.4%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 6 yds to the Clem 34Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+5
97.3%
Armstrong, Brennan pass incomplete to Davis Jr., Lavel, PENALTY CLEMSON offside 5 yards to the CLEMSON29, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN VIRGINIA.Similar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.1%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 2 yds to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
97.0%
Wayne Taulapapa run for no gain to the Clem 27Similar
Q4 8:59
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+1
97.4%
Brennan Armstrong run for 1 yd to the Clem 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 21TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 3:0398% → 100%
Q4 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
98.0%
Travis Etienne run for 3 yds to the Clem 29Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+27
98.0%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Travis Etienne for 27 yds to the Virg 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+12
98.2%
Trevor Lawrence pass complete to Braden Galloway for 12 yds to the Virg 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+8
98.3%
Chez Mellusi run for 8 yds to the Virg 24Similar
Q4 6:31
2ND & 2
OPP 24
+22
98.4%
Trevor Lawrence run for 22 yds to the Virg 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
98.5%
Chez Mellusi run for no gain to the Virg 2Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.6%
Chez Mellusi 2 Yd Run (B.T. Potter Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UVADrive 22TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:101% → 2%
Q4 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.5%
Wayne Taulapapa run for 2 yds to the Virg 27Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+9
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Shane Simpson for 9 yds to the Virg 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+31
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Wayne Taulapapa for 16 yds to the CLEMSON 48 for a 1ST down CLEMSON Penalty, Personal Foul (Joseph Charleston) to the Clem 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass incomplete to Lavel Davis Jr.Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Billy Kemp IV for 7 yds to the Clem 26Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+2
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong run for 2 yds to the Clem 24Similar
Q4 2:20
4TH & 1
OPP 24
+10
99.5%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Tony Poljan for 10 yds to the Clem 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.4%
Brennan Armstrong pass complete to Terrell Jana for 9 yds to the Clem 5Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
98.0%
Tony Poljan 5 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CLEMDrive 23END OF GAME
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:0499% → 99%
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
99.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for 7 yds to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 0:43
2ND & 3
OPP 34
0
99.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei pass complete to Will Swinney for no gain to the Virg 34Similar
Q4 0:02
3RD & 3
OPP 34
-2
99.3%
D.J. Uiagalelei run for a loss of 2 yards to the Virg 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:05
Keytaon Thompson 3 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick)
-5.7
TD · Q2 0:41
Terrell Jana 23 Yd pass from Brennan Armstrong (Brian Delaney Kick)
-3.9
TD · Q3 3:54
Travis Etienne 4 Yd pass from Trevor Lawrence (B.T. Potter Kick)
+3.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com