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SYR

Syracuse 10 at Pittsburgh 21

PITT
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Acrisure Stadium
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Win probability · PITT
modelPITT aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playPITT scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:03 · Tommy DeVito sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Pregame prior+25.8Home team on offense+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.8Blowout margin+0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:33: Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 69 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK) — SYR win probability +3.2 pts (now 15%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 6:53: Timeout PITTSBURGH, clock 06:53 — SYR win probability +3.6 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 5:06: Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +3.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 7:53: Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34 — SYR win probability +3.3 pts (now 18%) (top driver: SYR has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:54: Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK) — PITT win probability +7.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: PITT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
PITT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8SYR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:40PITT 4th & 11 at PITT 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:46SYR 4th & 14 at PITT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    9.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:08SYR 4th & 4 at PITT 8, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%−<0.1
    90% to make
    Punt
    11.2%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:12SYR 4th & 17 at SYR 39, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:44PITT 4th & 3 at SYR 19, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 86.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.4%−0.2
    77% to make
    Punt
    85.0%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:06SYR 4th & 10 at SYR 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:16PITT 4th & 4 at SYR 37, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.8%−0.5
    40% to make
    Punt
    83.5%−0.8
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03PITT 4th & 12 at SYR 28, up 4
    Close callWent for it · 82.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    81.8%
    60% to make
    Punt
    79.0%−2.8
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00PITT 4th & 7 at PITT 28, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.3%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:03SYR 4th & 3 at PITT 44, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    18.0%−1.5
    27% to make
    Punt
    18.9%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 16, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:53PITT 4th & 10 at PITT 40, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:44PITT 4th & 3 at SYR 26, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.9%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    88.7%−3.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:44SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 6:36PITT 4th & 6 at PITT 10, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 4:20SYR 4th & 6 at PITT 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%−0.8
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
PITT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3SYR made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 4:12PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:33SYR Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:06PITT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:54PITT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
SYRDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
93.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
93.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 1 yd to the Syrac 26Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+10
93.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 10 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
93.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+4
93.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 4 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 38
+5
93.2%
Devito, T. pass incomplete to Harris, T., PENALTY UP offside defense (SirVocea Dennis) 5 yards to the SU43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
93.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
93.2%
Nolan Cooney punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
92.6%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 14Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 6
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
92.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 6
OWN 14
-5
92.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt 51 yards to the SU35, Johnson, N. return to the SU42, out-of-bounds (Jared Wayne), PENALTY UP KO 5 yards to the UP9, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:40
4TH & 11
OWN 9
+17
92.6%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 43 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 17 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
92.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 36Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+6
92.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Pitt 30Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 5
OPP 30
-5
92.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Pitt 35Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 10
OPP 35
-4
92.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Calijah Kancey for a loss of 4 yards to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 14
OPP 39
0
92.4%
Nolan Cooney punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 4FUMBLE
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
91.8%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 19Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+3
91.8%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 22Similar
Q1 9:36
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+8
91.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 8 yds to the Pitt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-3
91.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the Pitt 27Similar
Q1 9:36
2ND & 13
OWN 27
-6
91.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 14 Vincent Davis fumbled, recovered by Syrac Mikel JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 5FG
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:429% → 10%
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
90.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 7 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q1 7:50
2ND & 3
OPP 7
0
90.9%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Pitt 7Similar
Q1 7:50
3RD & 3
OPP 7
-1
91.0%
Rex Culpepper run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 8Similar
Q1 6:08
4TH & 4
OPP 8
+26
90.3%
Andre Szmyt 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 6TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:5690% → 91%
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
90.3%
Daniel Carter run for 9 yds to the Pitt 34Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
90.5%
Daniel Carter run for 6 yds to the Pitt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.6%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+17
90.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 17 yds to the Syrac 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:08
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
90.7%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:08
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+13
90.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 13 yds to the Syrac 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
91.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 27 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
90.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 10 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
90.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 6 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+6
90.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 6 yds to the Syrac 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
90.4%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
90.5%
Tommy DeVito sacked by David Green and Rashad Weaver for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 43Similar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-4
90.7%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Rashad Weaver and Cam Bright for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 39Similar
Q1 4:12
4TH & 17
OWN 39
0
90.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Pitt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 8MISSED FG
9 plays · 51 yds · 3:1890% → 89%
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
89.7%
Jordan Addison run for 9 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q1 1:02
2ND & 1
OWN 39
+2
90.1%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
90.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 20 yds to the Syrac 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
89.9%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 13 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-5
90.0%
PITTSBURGH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 31
+8
89.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 8 yds to the Syrac 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 23
-4
90.0%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Stefon Thompson for a loss of 4 yards to the Syrac 27 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny Pickett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 27
+8
89.7%
A.J. Davis run for 8 yds to the Syrac 19Similar
Q2 12:44
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+37
88.8%
Alex Kessman 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9TD
5 plays · 80 yds · 2:1111% → 15%
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
88.6%
Sean Tucker run for 8 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+4
88.3%
Sean Tucker run for 4 yds to the Syrac 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-10
88.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Phil Campbell III and Calijah Kancey for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 20
OWN 22
+9
88.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 9 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 11
OWN 31
+69
85.5%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Taj Harris for 69 yds for a TD (Andre Szmyt KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 10TD
18 plays · 65 yds · 5:2786% → 88%
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
85.6%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 36 PITTSBURGH Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+5
85.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 5 yds to the Pitt 41Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+6
86.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Lucas Krull for 6 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
86.4%
A.J. Davis run for 9 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 44
+2
86.6%
A.J. Davis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
86.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 5 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 5
OPP 37
+4
86.6%
A.J. Davis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 10:33
3RD & 1
OPP 33
+5
86.5%
A.J. Davis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+10
87.0%
Kenny Pickett sacked for loss of 2 yards to the SU30 (Thompson, S.;Black, J.), PENALTY SU holding (Williams, T.) 10 yards to the SU18, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
87.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q2 10:33
2ND & 10
OPP 18
0
87.0%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to A.J. DavisSimilar
Q2 6:53
3RD & 10
OPP 18
+12
83.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 12 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
84.2%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 2 yds to the Syrac 4Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
84.2%
A.J. Davis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.6%
Kenny Pickett run for 1 yd for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
86.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
86.8%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 10
OWN 22
0
87.2%
Rex Culpepper run for no gain to the Syrac 22Similar
Q2 5:06
4TH & 10
OWN 22
-6
87.6%
Nolan Cooney punt for 49 yds , Jordan Addison returns for a loss of 6 yards to the Pitt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 40 yds · 3:1386% → 85%
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
86.4%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to A.J. Davis for a loss of 10 yards to the Pitt 13Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+14
86.2%
Vincent Davis run for 14 yds to the Pitt 27Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+15
85.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Shocky Jacques-Louis, PENALTY SU pass interference (Melifonwu, I.) 15 yards to the UP42, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+15
87.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jaylon Barden, PENALTY SU roughing passer (Thompson, S.) 15 yards to the SU43, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
87.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Kyi Wright for 2 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+4
87.5%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 3:16
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
87.2%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Vincent Davis, broken up by Drew TuazamaSimilar
Q2 3:16
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+11
86.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 11 yds to the Syrac 26 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-1
87.6%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 27Similar
Q2 3:16
2ND & 11
OPP 27
-8
87.6%
Kenny Pickett sacked by Tyrell Richards for a loss of 8 yards to the Syrac 34 Kenny Pickett fumbled, recovered by Pitt Kenny Pickett , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 0:39
3RD & 18
OPP 34
+6
85.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 6 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 12
OPP 28
-9
84.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0085% → 83%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jordan Addison for 3 yds to the Pitt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
83.9%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Jared WayneSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 0
0
83.5%
Kirk Christodoulou punt 46 yards to the SU26, Johnson, N. return to the SU32 (SirVocea Dennis), PENALTY UP illegal formation off-setting, PENALTY SU illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
83.4%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Syrac 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0017% → 17%
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
83.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Syrac 39Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+10
82.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 10 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:03
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-3
82.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 14:03
2ND & 13
OWN 46
+5
83.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 5 yds to the Pitt 49Similar
Q3 14:03
3RD & 8
OPP 49
+5
82.7%
Tommy DeVito run for 5 yds to the Pitt 44Similar
Q3 14:03
4TH & 3
OPP 44
-7
82.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Rashad Weaver for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 15INT
8 plays · 29 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
84.6%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 7
OPP 46
0
84.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas KrullSimilar
Q3 11:20
3RD & 7
OPP 46
+3
84.1%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Shocky Jacques-Louis for 3 yds to the Syrac 43Similar
Q3 11:20
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+8
83.3%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas Krull, PENALTY SU pass interference (Williams, G.) 8 yards to the SU35, 1ST DOWN UP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
85.2%
Vincent Davis run for no gain to the Syrac 35Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+13
85.1%
Jordan Addison run for 13 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
85.1%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Syrac 20Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 8
OPP 20
-12
85.1%
Kenny Pickett pass intercepted Mikel Jones return for 12 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 16INT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
81.9%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the Syrac 34Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+8
81.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 8 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
80.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+9
80.4%
Tommy DeVito run for 9 yds to the Pitt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
79.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Pitt 46Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+12
79.5%
Sean Tucker run for 12 yds to the Pitt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
78.6%
Sean Tucker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 35Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
78.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
80.6%
Tommy DeVito pass intercepted Paris Ford return for no gain to the Pitt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 17TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 3:4582% → 92%
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
82.1%
Todd Sibley Jr. run for 4 yds to the Pitt 38Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-4
83.3%
Vincent Davis run for 11 yds to the Pitt 49 PITTSBURGH Penalty, personal foul (Bryce Hargrove) to the Pitt 34Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
82.1%
Vincent Davis run for 3 yds to the Pitt 37Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+19
82.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 19 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-10
84.1%
Kenny Pickett rush for 16 yards to the SU28, PENALTY UP holding (Jake Kradel) 10 yards to the UP46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 20
OWN 46
+5
82.5%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 5 yds to the Syrac 49Similar
Q3 4:39
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+25
82.8%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 25 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
84.7%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Vincent Davis for 7 yds to the Syrac 17Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+17
92.0%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:549% → 8%
Q3 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
90.7%
Markenzy Pierre run for no gain to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
90.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:54
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+2
91.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Markenzy Pierre for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 16
0
91.7%
Nolan Cooney punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jordan Addison at the Pitt 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
92.2%
A.J. Davis run for 1 yd to the Pitt 41Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 41
-1
92.1%
A.J. Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 40Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
91.6%
Kenny Pickett pass incomplete to Lucas KrullSimilar
Q4 14:53
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
91.0%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 20FUMBLE
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
90.6%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 4 yds to the Syrac 24Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 6
OWN 24
-5
90.1%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Deslin Alexandre for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 19Similar
Q4 13:32
3RD & 11
OWN 19
+12
91.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 33 Jawhar Jordan fumbled, recovered by Pitt Deslin Alexandre PITTSBURGH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Deslin Alexandre) to the Syrac 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 21MISSED FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:5092% → 92%
Q4 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
92.3%
Jordan Addison run for 2 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 12:34
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+1
92.3%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to DJ Turner for 1 yd to the Syrac 30Similar
Q4 12:34
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+4
91.9%
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 4 yds to the Syrac 26Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+45
92.3%
Alex Kessman 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
90.9%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 2 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 8
OWN 29
0
90.8%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 8
OWN 29
-7
91.8%
Tommy DeVito sacked by John Morgan for a loss of 7 yards to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 15
OWN 22
+15
92.4%
Cooney, N. punt 46 yards to the UP32, downed, PENALTY UP personal foul (Bangally Kamara) 15 yards to the SU37, 1ST DOWN SU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-2
90.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 2 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q4 10:44
3RD & 12
OWN 35
+6
91.9%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the Syrac 41Similar
Q4 10:44
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
91.1%
Nolan Cooney punt for 53 yds, downed at the Pitt 6Similar
Q4 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 35
0
91.5%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:4793% → 93%
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-1
92.8%
Vincent Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Pitt 5Similar
Q4 6:36
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+2
93.0%
Vincent Davis run for 2 yds to the Pitt 7Similar
Q4 6:36
3RD & 9
OWN 7
+3
93.0%
Kenny Pickett run for 3 yds to the Pitt 10Similar
Q4 6:36
4TH & 6
OWN 10
+8
92.9%
Kirk Christodoulou punt for 37 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 8 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 24DOWNS
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:469% → 7%
Q4 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Nykeim Johnson, broken up by Chase PineSimilar
Q4 5:06
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
91.2%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 4 yds to the Pitt 35Similar
Q4 5:06
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
91.3%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:20
4TH & 6
OPP 35
0
92.6%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Courtney JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PITTDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.6%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 39Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+4
95.9%
Vincent Davis run for 4 yds to the Pitt 43Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
95.8%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Pitt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
95.9%
Vincent Davis run for 6 yds to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+5
95.9%
Vincent Davis run for 5 yds to the Syrac 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 11
OPP 42
-1
95.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:54
Kenny Pickett pass complete to Jared Wayne for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Kessman KICK)
+7.3
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+4.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 6:53
Timeout PITTSBURGH, clock 06:53
-3.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com