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UCF

UCF 49 at Georgia Tech 21

GT
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Bobby Dodd Stadium
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Win probability · GT
modelGT aheadUCF aheadconfidence bandkey playGT scoreUCF score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Andrew Osteen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marquez Ezzard at the GTech 44
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.5+28.30−28.3−56.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 166Home team on offense−29.4Pregame prior−5.0Score differential−13.5Garbage-time factor−7.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:48: Greg McCrae run for 21 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +7.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 2:17: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 25 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +9.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 1:14: Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +7.2 pts (now 22%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 13:12: Jahmyr Gibbs run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK) — GT win probability +18.0 pts (now 32%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:40: Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +13.4 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GT made the numbers' call on 4 of 8UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 14:05UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 71.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    71.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    71.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:44UCF 4th & 11 at UCF 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.3%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:46GT 4th & 9 at UCF 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%
    88% to make
    Punt
    33.4%−2.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:47GT 4th & 5 at UCF 47, down 7
    Close callPunted · 30.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.5%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:43GT 4th & 7 at GT 22, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:36GT 4th & 3 at UCF 26, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    14.1%−0.1
    64% to make
    Punt
    12.5%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:47UCF 4th & 3 at GT 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.8
    58% to make
    Punt
    76.6%−5.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:28GT 4th & 11 at GT 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−1.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:29UCF 4th & 1 at UCF 34, up 14
    Close callPunted · 84.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    84.2%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:21GT 4th & 2 at GT 46, down 14
    Close callPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.9%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:13UCF 4th & 5 at GT 43, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    85.6%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:04GT 4th & 9 at UCF 27, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.0%−0.5
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    15.5%
    62% to make
    Punt
    11.8%−3.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00UCF 4th & 5 at UCF 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:04GT 4th & 11 at UCF 45, down 14
    Close callWent for it · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.7%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    8.4%−0.4
    25% to make
    Punt
    8.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UCF made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 14:05GT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    28.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    28.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:58UCF Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:47UCF Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:48UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 2:17UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 1:14GT Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:12GT Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 11:40UCF Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−0.4
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 5:30UCF Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 3:28UCF Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1TD
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:4331% → 31%
Q1 14:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+15
30.8%
Jeff Sims run for 15 yds to the UCF 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
30.8%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the UCF 1Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
31.4%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd for a TD (Jude Kelley KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 2TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:0769% → 68%
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for no gain to the UCF 25Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+7
31.3%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q1 14:05
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
31.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 2 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+5
31.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+49
31.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 49 yds to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
31.2%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the GTech 6Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 6
0
31.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 4
OPP 6
+6
31.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 6 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3FUMBLE
10 plays · 67 yds · 0:0032% → 33%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
32.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 8 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
32.2%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
32.1%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+20
32.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 20 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
32.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+6
32.3%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 5
OPP 34
+25
32.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamious Griffin for 25 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
32.5%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the UCF 9Similar
Q1 11:58
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
32.5%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the UCF 8 Jeff Sims fumbled, forced by Joshua Celiscar, recovered by UCF Joshua CeliscarSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
33.8%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 12Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 6
OWN 12
+5
33.7%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 1
OWN 17
+1
33.9%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the UCF 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-12
33.6%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 12 yards to the UCF 6Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 22
OWN 6
+2
33.8%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 8Similar
Q1 7:44
3RD & 20
OWN 8
+9
34.0%
Greg McCrae run for 9 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q1 7:44
4TH & 11
OWN 17
0
34.2%
Andrew Osteen punt for 55 yds, downed at the GTech 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:0435% → 38%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
35.2%
Jamious Griffin run for 3 yds to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+11
35.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 11 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
35.8%
Jamious Griffin run for 7 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+8
36.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jack Coco for 8 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
36.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 2 yds to the UCF 41Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+1
36.2%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+11
36.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 11 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
36.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 3 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+6
36.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 6 yds to the UCF 20Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+9
36.0%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the UCF 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+1
36.4%
Jamious Griffin run for 1 yd to the UCF 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 10
0
39.4%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 10
0
38.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 14:46
4TH & 9
OPP 10
+27
38.0%
Jude Kelley 27 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Noah HancockSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 6TD
14 plays · 80 yds · 2:5963% → 70%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
36.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 9 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+3
35.7%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
36.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 5 yds to the UCF 37Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 5
OWN 37
0
35.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Tre NixonSimilar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+10
36.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 10 yds to the UCF 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+12
35.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 12 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
35.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 2 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+14
35.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 14 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
34.6%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
34.6%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (Mikey Minihan) to the GTech 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
34.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+9
34.6%
Otis Anderson run for 9 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OPP 3
-5
35.1%
GABRIEL, Dillon rush for 1 yard to the GT2 (Curry, D.), PENALTY UCF false start (SCHNEIDER, Cole) 5 yards to the GT8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 6
OPP 8
+8
30.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 8 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
31.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 23 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
33.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Ahmarean Brown) to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 15
OWN 43
-3
32.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 40 Jahmyr Gibbs fumbled, forced by Eriq Gilyard, recovered by GTech Jordan WilliamsSimilar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 18
OWN 40
+13
32.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamious Griffin for 13 yds to the UCF 47Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 5
OPP 47
0
33.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
4TH & 5
OPP 47
0
32.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 8TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 2:5569% → 78%
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
31.5%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+21
31.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 21 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
30.8%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Charlie Thomas for a loss of 5 yards to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 15
OWN 30
+9
31.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 9 yds to the UCF 39Similar
Q2 9:43
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
30.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 15 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
29.7%
Otis Anderson run for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q2 9:43
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+24
29.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 24 yds to the GTech 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
29.4%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 21Similar
Q2 6:48
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
21.9%
Greg McCrae run for 21 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-2
23.1%
Dontae Smith run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 17Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 12
OWN 17
+5
22.9%
Dontae Smith run for 5 yds to the GTech 22Similar
Q2 6:43
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
22.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
Q2 6:43
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
22.7%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 10FUMBLE
3 plays · 55 yds · 0:0078% → 79%
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
22.5%
Bentavious Thompson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 21Similar
Q2 5:26
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+48
22.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 48 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:26
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
21.4%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds to the GTech 27 Dillon Gabriel fumbled, forced by Demetrius Knight II, recovered by GTech Avery Showell , return for 4 yds to the GTech 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11INT
5 plays · 27 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
22.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
22.4%
Jeff Sims run for 11 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
23.6%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jamious GriffinSimilar
Q2 4:35
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+12
23.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:35
1ST & 10
50
-9
24.2%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Joshua Celiscar return for 9 yds to the GTech 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 12TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:1879% → 88%
Q2 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-5
20.8%
THOMPSON, Ben. rush for no gain to the GT35 (Domineck, J.), PENALTY UCF false start (JACKSON, Samuel) 5 yards to the GT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:35
1ST & 15
OPP 40
-5
20.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+19
21.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jacob Harris for 19 yds to the GTech 26Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
21.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
11.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 25 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 13TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 1:0314% → 22%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
14.1%
Jeff Sims run for 19 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
15.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+23
14.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 23 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
15.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for no gain to the UCF 33Similar
Q2 1:47
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+7
16.1%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the UCF 26Similar
Q2 1:36
3RD & 3
OPP 26
0
15.2%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
4TH & 3
OPP 26
+17
14.9%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 17 yds to the UCF 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
15.5%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
15.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Juanyeh ThomasSimilar
Q2 1:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
22.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jahmyr Gibbs for 9 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 14END OF HALF
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete, broken up by Jordan DomineckSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
19.5%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+5
19.7%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (Sylvain Yondjouen) to the UCF 32Similar
Q2 1:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+7
19.6%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
18.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon Williams, broken up by Wesley WalkerSimilar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 10
OWN 39
-1
18.7%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 15DOWNS
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:1282% → 81%
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
18.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jacob Harris for 9 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 1
OPP 39
+3
18.4%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:59
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
18.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:59
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+1
18.5%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the GTech 35Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-5
18.6%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass complete to WILLIAMS, Mar. for 9 yards to the GT26, PENALTY UCF false start (JACKSON, Samuel) 5 yards to the GT40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:59
3RD & 14
OPP 40
+11
19.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 11 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 12:47
4TH & 3
OPP 29
0
18.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16FUMBLE
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 12:43
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
20.1%
Jamious Griffin run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 24 Jamious Griffin fumbled, recovered by UCF Richie GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 17INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-3
16.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass intercepted Juanyeh Thomas return for 3 yds to the GTech 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-9
19.8%
Sims, J. pass incomplete to Brown, Ah., PENALTY GT pass interference (Brown, Ah.) 9 yards to the GT10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 19
OWN 10
-1
19.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 9Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 20
OWN 9
0
19.4%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+9
19.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 9 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 11
OWN 18
0
19.2%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 70 yds, downed at the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 1:3083% → 85%
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+13
17.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 13 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
16.8%
UCF Penalty, false start (Jacob Harris) to the UCF 20Similar
Q3 10:59
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+2
17.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
17.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:59
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
17.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 7 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q3 10:59
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+5
17.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
15.4%
Andrew Osteen punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Marquez Ezzard at the GTech 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
16.7%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+9
17.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 9 yds to the GTech 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-2
17.9%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for a loss of 2 yards to the GTech 36Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 12
OWN 36
+10
16.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 10 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 9:21
3RD & 2
OWN 46
0
18.3%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q3 9:21
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
18.1%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Otis Anderson at the UCF 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 21DOWNS
9 plays · 45 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
14.1%
Otis Anderson run for 5 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+6
14.1%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the UCF 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+4
14.0%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 6
OWN 27
0
13.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe, broken up by Wesley WalkerSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 6
OWN 27
+25
14.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 25 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
12.9%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the GTech 46Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 8
OPP 46
0
12.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Ryan O'KeefeSimilar
Q3 7:13
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+3
13.0%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 3 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 7:13
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
14.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+17
15.2%
Dontae Smith run for 17 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
15.8%
Dontae Smith run for 6 yds to the UCF 34Similar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+2
16.5%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the UCF 32Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+4
16.2%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 4 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
16.5%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete, broken up by Randy CharltonSimilar
Q3 4:04
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+1
16.1%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the UCF 27Similar
Q3 4:04
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
15.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jahmyr GibbsSimilar
Q3 4:04
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+3
15.1%
Jeff Sims run for 3 yds to the UCF 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 1:0490% → 90%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-12
10.0%
UCF Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kenny Turnier) to the UCF 12Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-3
10.1%
Otis Anderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UCF 9Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 13
OWN 9
0
10.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 13
OWN 9
-4
10.6%
UCF Penalty, false start (Jaylon Robinson) to the UCF 5Similar
Q3 1:04
3RD & 17
OWN 5
+12
10.6%
Otis Anderson run for 12 yds to the UCF 17Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 17
0
10.1%
Andrew Osteen punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Marquez Ezzard at the GTech 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 24TD
6 plays · 56 yds · 1:4114% → 32%
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+11
13.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 11 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
14.0%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, false start (Malachi Carter) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 14:53
1ST & 15
50
+8
13.0%
Jamious Griffin run for 8 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q4 14:53
2ND & 7
OPP 42
0
13.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Marquez EzzardSimilar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 7
OPP 42
+9
13.6%
Jamious Griffin run for 9 yds to the UCF 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
31.6%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 25TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:3278% → 95%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
22.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 10 yds to the UCF 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
21.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+40
22.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 40 yds to the GTech 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
18.7%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 13:12
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+23
19.0%
Otis Anderson run for 23 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
18.7%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the GTech 1Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.3%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 26DOWNS
9 plays · 38 yds · 1:3611% → 10%
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
11.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 10 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
11.4%
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 5 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 11:40
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+16
11.9%
Jamious Griffin run for 16 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
12.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
10.8%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 10:04
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
10.3%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:04
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+8
9.9%
Jeff Sims run for 8 yds to the UCF 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 27TD
10 plays · 63 yds · 3:4396% → 100%
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+15
3.6%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, Mar., PENALTY GT roughing passer (Domineck, J.) 15 yards to the GT48, 1ST DOWN UCF, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 4 yds to the GTech 44Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 6
OPP 44
-10
3.2%
THOMPSON, Ben. rush for 6 yards to the GT38 (Lockhart, M.), PENALTY UCF holding (LEE, Matthew) 10 yards to the UCF46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 16
OWN 46
+14
3.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 14 yds to the GTech 40Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+5
3.2%
Bentavious Thompson run for 5 yds to the GTech 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
3.3%
Bentavious Thompson run for 3 yds to the GTech 32Similar
Q4 9:13
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+1
3.2%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 9:13
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+24
3.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 24 yds to the GTech 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
3.1%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the GTech 7Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
0.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 28INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.1%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Stephon Zayas return for no gain to the GTech 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 29TD
4 plays · 20 yds · 1:56100% → 100%
Q4 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
0.5%
Bentavious Thompson run for 3 yds to the GTech 17Similar
Q4 5:24
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+11
0.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Joshua Celiscar for 11 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
0.4%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the GTech 4Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 30FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
0.1%
Jeff Sims run for 5 yds to the GTech 30Similar
Q4 3:28
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
0.1%
Jeff Sims run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q4 3:28
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+15
0.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 15 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
0.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 9 yds Dontae Smith fumbled, forced by Dyllon Lester, recovered by UCF Dyllon LesterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 31END OF GAME
4 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
0.1%
Damarius Good run for 8 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+13
0.1%
Damarius Good run for 13 yds to the GTech 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+17
0.1%
Johnny Richardson run for 17 yds to the GTech 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
0.1%
Johnny Richardson run for 7 yds to the GTech 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:12
Jahmyr Gibbs run for 33 yds for a TD (Gavin Stewart KICK)
+18
TD · Q4 11:40
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)
-13.4
TD · Q2 2:17
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Tre Nixon for 25 yds for a TD GEORGIA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction ( Yards) declined (Daniel Obarski KICK)
-9.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com