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SYR

Syracuse 6 at North Carolina 31

UNC
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Kenan Stadium
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Win probability · UNC
modelUNC aheadSYR aheadconfidence bandkey playUNC scoreSYR score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:15 · Ben Kiernan punt for 57 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 26 yds to the UNC 48 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 28
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 32Pregame prior+40.9Home team on offense+1.8Score differential+0.4Garbage-time factor+0.8Blowout margin−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. KEY PLAY · Q3 12:30: Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45 — SYR win probability +3.5 pts (now 17%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. FG · Q3 8:11: Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOOD — SYR win probability +1.8 pts (now 20%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. FG · Q3 3:18: Grayson Atkins 31 yd FG GOOD — UNC win probability +1.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 14:57: Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +7.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:33: Javonte Williams run for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK) — UNC win probability +5.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UNC has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 7SYR made the numbers' call on 12 of 13
  1. Q1 12:00UNC 4th & 7 at SYR 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    92.5%−0.1
    34% to make
    Punt
    92.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:53SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.4%−0.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:18SYR 4th & 1 at UNC 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    7.9%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    7.5%−0.5
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:15UNC 4th & 7 at UNC 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:05SYR 4th & 13 at SYR 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.4%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54UNC 4th & 7 at SYR 33, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.8%
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.8%−<0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    90.6%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:03SYR 4th & 19 at SYR 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:43SYR 4th & 18 at UNC 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.6
    11% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    10.0%
    77% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 8:02UNC 4th & 2 at UNC 33, up 4
    Close callPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:37SYR 4th & 2 at SYR 39, down 4
    Close callPunted · 13.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:50UNC 4th & 5 at SYR 40, up 4
    Close callPunted · 86.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.0%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.6%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 0:03SYR 4th & 7 at UNC 11, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    16.7%
    87% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−3.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:36SYR 4th & 8 at SYR 27, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:11SYR 4th & 6 at UNC 6, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−5.0
    average punt
  15. Q3 3:18UNC 4th & 11 at SYR 14, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 77.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.8%−2.2
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    77.0%
    84% to make
    Punt
    67.1%−9.9
    average punt
  16. Q3 2:24SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 28, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%−0.9
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:29SYR 4th & 7 at SYR 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−0.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.6%
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:16SYR 4th & 6 at SYR 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:52SYR 4th & 3 at SYR 32, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  20. Q4 5:50UNC 4th & 5 at UNC 38, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNC made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 10:49UNC Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q4 14:57UNC Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 11:33UNC Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 9:37UNC Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNCDrive 1TD
13 plays · 65 yds · 3:4195% → 95%
Q1 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
95.0%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 7 yds to the NCaro 42Similar
Q1 14:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-7
94.9%
Sam Howell sacked by Josh Black for a loss of 7 yards to the NCaro 35Similar
Q1 13:45
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+22
94.8%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 22 yds to the Syrac 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
94.8%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NCaro 47Similar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 20
OWN 47
0
94.7%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dazz NewsomeSimilar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 20
OWN 47
0
94.6%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami BrownSimilar
Q1 12:30
3RD & 20
OWN 47
+13
94.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 13 yds to the Syrac 40Similar
Q1 12:00
4TH & 7
OPP 40
+18
94.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dazz Newsome for 18 yds to the Syrac 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+4
94.5%
Javonte Williams run for 4 yds to the Syrac 18Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 6
OPP 18
+2
94.4%
Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q1 11:00
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+5
94.3%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Syrac 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
94.6%
Sam Howell pass complete to Garrett Walston for 11 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 1:426% → 6%
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
94.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 5 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
94.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 6 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:40
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
94.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-3
94.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 13
OWN 33
0
94.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 8:53
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
94.3%
Nolan Cooney punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the NCaro 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 3INT
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:2294% → 94%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
94.2%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 5 yds to the NCaro 29Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
94.2%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Dyami BrownSimilar
Q1 8:23
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
94.1%
Sam Howell pass intercepted Mikel Jones return for no gain to the NCaro 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:376% → 6%
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
93.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the NCaro 31Similar
Q1 7:41
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
93.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 31
+9
93.9%
Tommy DeVito run for 9 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
Q1 7:18
4TH & 1
OPP 22
-1
93.9%
Tommy DeVito run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:4594% → 94%
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
94.0%
Michael Carter run for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 21Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+3
93.9%
Michael Carter run for 3 yds to the NCaro 24Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+2
93.7%
Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 2 yds to the NCaro 26Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+26
93.5%
Ben Kiernan punt for 57 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 26 yds to the UNC 48 SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:556% → 7%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
93.6%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+6
93.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 6 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 2
OWN 36
-5
93.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 31Similar
Q1 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 31
-6
93.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 25Similar
Q1 3:05
4TH & 13
OWN 25
+50
93.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the UNC 35 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the NCaro 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 7MISSED FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:5193% → 93%
Q1 2:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
93.3%
Javonte Williams run for 17 yds to the NCaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
93.4%
Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 4 yds to the NCaro 46Similar
Q1 2:15
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
93.4%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q1 2:00
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+7
93.2%
Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 7 yds to the Syrac 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+11
93.3%
Javonte Williams run for 11 yds to the Syrac 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
93.3%
Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+3
93.2%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 3 yds to the Syrac 30Similar
Q1 0:24
3RD & 4
OPP 30
-15
93.0%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the Syrac 45Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 19
OPP 45
+12
92.7%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 12 yds to the Syrac 33Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+50
92.7%
Grayson Atkins 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 8FUMBLE
6 plays · 2 yds · 1:278% → 8%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
92.3%
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
92.2%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 8 yds to the Syrac 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.1%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:20
3RD & 10
OWN 44
-9
92.2%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Raymond Vohasek for a loss of 9 yards to the Syrac 35Similar
Q2 13:03
4TH & 19
OWN 35
0
92.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 44 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for no gain to the NCaro 21 Dazz Newsome fumbled, recovered by SyracSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 9FG
7 plays · 2 yds · 1:579% → 10%
Q2 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
91.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 4 yds to the NCaro 17Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+6
91.1%
Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the NCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
91.0%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Sharod Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 14Similar
Q2 11:37
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
91.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Sharod JohnsonSimilar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 13
OPP 14
0
91.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for no gain to the NCaro 14Similar
Q2 10:47
4TH & 13
OPP 14
-5
91.7%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 19Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 18
OPP 19
+37
90.4%
Andre Szmyt 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 2:2890% → 89%
Q2 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
90.1%
Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the NCaro 7Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+18
89.8%
Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 18 yds to the NCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.7%
Sam Howell run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 24Similar
Q2 8:52
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
89.6%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Michael CarterSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+9
89.1%
Sam Howell run for 9 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
Q2 8:02
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+7
89.3%
Ben Kiernan punt for 53 yds , Nykeim Johnson returns for 7 yds to the Syrac 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2511% → 11%
Q2 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 21
-5
89.4%
SYRACUSE Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 16Similar
Q2 7:50
1ST & 15
OWN 16
+15
89.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Nykeim Johnson for 15 yds to the Syrac 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
89.1%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Courtney Jackson for 7 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 3
OWN 38
+1
88.2%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the Syrac 39Similar
Q2 6:49
3RD & 2
OWN 39
0
88.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 6:37
4TH & 2
OWN 39
+14
88.9%
Nolan Cooney punt for 53 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 14 yds to the NCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 38 yds · 3:2589% → 88%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
89.0%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 6 yds to the NCaro 28Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
0
89.1%
Michael Carter run for no gain to the NCaro 28Similar
Q2 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 28
+7
88.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 7 yds to the NCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+20
88.7%
Michael Carter run for 20 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
89.4%
Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 7 yds to the Syrac 38Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
89.2%
Javonte Williams run for 1 yd to the Syrac 37Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-3
88.9%
Javonte Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the Syrac 40Similar
Q2 2:50
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
88.1%
Ben Kiernan punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Nykeim Johnson at the Syrac 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 13MISSED FG
19 plays · 79 yds · 2:3713% → 13%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
87.3%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 14 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
87.4%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 8 yds to the Syrac 32Similar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+13
86.5%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 13 yds to the Syrac 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
86.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Anthony QueeleySimilar
Q2 2:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+2
86.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Syrac 47Similar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+8
86.2%
Tommy DeVito run for 8 yds to the NCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
85.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
85.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OPP 45
-6
86.9%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Tomari Fox for a loss of 6 yards to the Syrac 49Similar
Q2 0:56
4TH & 16
OWN 49
+15
88.0%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Roughing the Kicker (15 Yards) to the NCaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+22
86.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 22 yds to the NCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
85.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+6
85.6%
Tommy DeVito run for 6 yds to the NCaro 8Similar
Q2 0:07
3RD & 4
OPP 8
-3
86.0%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Chazz Surratt for a loss of 3 yards to the NCaro 11Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+29
87.2%
Andre Szmyt 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:0287% → 87%
Q2 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
87.4%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 15Similar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 15
OWN 15
-1
87.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1214% → 13%
Q3 14:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.3%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 14:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
86.0%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 13:48
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-1
86.4%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Chazz Surratt for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 27Similar
Q3 13:36
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+37
86.8%
Nolan Cooney punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Dazz Newsome at the UNC 31 SYRACUSE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the NCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 16INT
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:2587% → 87%
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
86.5%
Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the NCaro 39Similar
Q3 12:50
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-29
86.6%
Sam Howell pass intercepted Andre Cisco return for 29 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 17FG
10 plays · 42 yds · 4:1917% → 20%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
83.1%
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+16
82.8%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Taj Harris for 16 yds to the NCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-1
81.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 30Similar
Q3 11:04
2ND & 11
OPP 30
0
82.2%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q3 10:40
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+11
83.8%
Tommy DeVito run for 11 yds to the NCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:12
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+15
82.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 15 yds to the NCaro 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
81.8%
Jawhar Jordan run for a loss of 1 yard to the NCaro 5Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
81.5%
Jawhar Jordan run for 1 yd to the NCaro 4Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
82.2%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Jeremiah Gemmel for a loss of 2 yards to the NCaro 6Similar
Q3 8:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+24
80.3%
Andre Szmyt 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 18FG
13 plays · 65 yds · 4:4282% → 83%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
81.9%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 3 yds to the NCaro 24Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+16
81.7%
Sam Howell pass complete to Beau Corrales for 16 yds to the NCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
82.8%
Michael Carter run for 4 yds to the NCaro 44Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 6
OWN 44
0
83.2%
Sam Howell pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+22
82.0%
Sam Howell pass complete to Javonte Williams for 22 yds to the Syrac 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+10
84.1%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 10 yds to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+8
83.9%
Michael Carter run for 8 yds to the Syrac 16Similar
Q3 5:00
2ND & 2
OPP 16
+3
83.3%
Javonte Williams run for 3 yds to the Syrac 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
83.0%
Sam Howell pass incomplete to Beau CorralesSimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+4
83.0%
Sam Howell run for 4 yds to the Syrac 9Similar
Q3 3:40
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-5
81.6%
Sam Howell sacked by Kingsley Jonathan for a loss of 5 yards to the Syrac 14Similar
Q3 3:18
4TH & 11
OPP 14
+31
83.2%
Grayson Atkins 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4419% → 18%
Q3 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
81.4%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
80.8%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Aaron HackettSimilar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
81.9%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:24
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+4
82.5%
Nolan Cooney punt for 43 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 4 yds to the NCaro 32 NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the NCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 20TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 2:1383% → 93%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
82.9%
Sam Howell pass complete to Khafre Brown for 15 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
83.8%
Sam Howell pass complete to Josh Downs for 1 yd to the NCaro 39Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+45
83.5%
Michael Carter run for 45 yds to the Syrac 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+13
85.3%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 13 yds to the Syrac 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
85.0%
Javonte Williams run for 2 yds to the Syrac 1Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
92.9%
Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:229% → 8%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
91.3%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
91.3%
Tommy DeVito sacked by Tomon Fox for a loss of 10 yards to the Syrac 15Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+13
92.0%
Tommy DeVito run for 13 yds to the Syrac 28Similar
Q4 13:29
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+18
92.1%
Nolan Cooney punt for 58 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 18 yds to the NCaro 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 22TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:5692% → 98%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
92.2%
SYRACUSE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NCaro 37Similar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 5
OWN 37
+12
92.5%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 12 yds to the NCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+27
92.8%
Sam Howell run for 12 yds to the UNC 39 for a 1ST down SYRACUSE Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Syrac 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+23
92.8%
Sam Howell pass complete to Michael Carter for 23 yds to the Syrac 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
92.7%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Syrac 6Similar
Q4 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Javonte Williams run for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:102% → 2%
Q4 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
97.6%
Tommy DeVito pass incomplete to Nykeim JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+4
97.7%
Tommy DeVito pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 4 yds to the Syrac 29Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+38
97.7%
Nolan Cooney punt for 53 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 38 yds to the Syrac 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 24TD
2 plays · 44 yds · 0:2898% → 100%
Q4 10:05
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+38
98.2%
Sam Howell pass complete to Dyami Brown for 38 yds to the Syrac 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Javonte Williams run for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 25PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for 6 yds to the Syrac 31Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
Markenzy Pierre run for 1 yd to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 9:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
99.6%
Tommy DeVito run for no gain to the Syrac 32Similar
Q4 7:52
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+19
99.7%
Nolan Cooney punt for 54 yds , Dazz Newsome returns for 19 yds to the NCaro 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:40100% → 100%
Q4 7:30
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Jace Ruder run for 2 yds to the NCaro 35Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 35
-5
99.8%
Josh Henderson run for a loss of 5 yards to the NCaro 30Similar
Q4 6:15
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+8
99.8%
Jace Ruder pass complete to Josh Henderson for 8 yds to the NCaro 38Similar
Q4 5:50
4TH & 5
OWN 38
0
99.8%
Ben Kiernan punt for 42 yds, downed at the Syrac 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
SYRDrive 27INT
10 plays · 42 yds · 2:240% → 0%
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 2 yds to the Syrac 22Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+15
99.7%
NORTH CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Syrac 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Jawhar Jordan for 5 yds to the Syrac 42Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+7
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 7 yds to the Syrac 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:12
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+3
99.7%
Jawhar Jordan run for 3 yds to the NCaro 48Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 7
OPP 48
+10
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass complete to Anthony Queeley for 10 yds to the NCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Taj HarrisSimilar
Q4 3:12
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass incomplete to Luke BensonSimilar
Q4 3:01
3RD & 10
OPP 38
-26
99.7%
Rex Culpepper pass intercepted Giovanni Biggers return for 26 yds to the NCaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNCDrive 28Uncategorized
5 plays · 17 yds · 2:39100% → 100%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
99.8%
D.J. Jones run for 8 yds to the Syrac 45Similar
Q4 2:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-1
99.9%
D.J. Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 46Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 3
OPP 46
+4
99.9%
Elijah Green run for 4 yds to the Syrac 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-1
99.9%
Elijah Green run for a loss of 1 yard to the Syrac 43Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 11
OPP 43
+7
99.9%
Elijah Green run for 7 yds to the Syrac 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:57
Javonte Williams run for 1 yd for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+7.9
TD · Q4 11:33
Javonte Williams run for 6 yds for a TD (Grayson Atkins KICK)
+5.4
KEY PLAY · Q3 12:30
Markenzy Pierre run for 3 yds to the NCaro 45
-3.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com