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WKU

Western Kentucky 21 at Louisville 35

LOU
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium
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Win probability · LOU
modelLOU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLOU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:55 · John Haggerty punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 11
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 21Pregame prior+32.7Home team on offense−0.3Score differential−0.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:21: Javian Hawkins run for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +4.6 pts (now 90%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:42: Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) — LOU win probability +6.9 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:23: Malik Staples run for 1 yd for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +7.8 pts (now 13%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:58: Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 70 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — LOU win probability +6.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LOU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:40: Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 12 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK) — WKU win probability +2.9 pts (now 4%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00LOU 4th & 17 at LOU 18, tied
    Close callWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    81.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:55WKU 4th & 4 at WKU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:51LOU 4th & 10 at LOU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.8%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 17, down 7
    Close callPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.2%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:21WKU 4th & 10 at LOU 48, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:34LOU 4th & 1 at WKU 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.1%−1.7
    89% to make
    Punt
    80.0%−5.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 39, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.8%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.0%
    average punt
  8. Q3 12:30LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 27, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.3
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:58WKU 4th & 10 at LOU 37, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    3.5%−<0.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    3.4%−0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:53LOU 4th & 11 at WKU 34, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%
    47% to make
    Punt
    96.3%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:10WKU 4th & 5 at WKU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:38LOU 4th & 11 at LOU 24, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%−0.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00WKU 4th & 3 at LOU 3, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.5%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:05LOU 4th & 7 at LOU 6, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 10:16WKU 4th & 1 at LOU 11, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−1.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LOU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:53WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 10:57LOU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:54LOU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:21LOU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:42LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:23WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:58LOU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:40WKU Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    3.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    3.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LOUDrive 1FUMBLE
6 plays · -24 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-10
85.6%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Lvile 15Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 15
0
85.6%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+2
85.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the Lvile 17Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 17
+1
85.6%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd to the Lvile 18Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 18
-17
85.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 17 yards to the Lvile 1 TEAM fumbled, recovered by WKent Omari AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 2TD
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 12:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
84.5%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 1:5685% → 85%
Q1 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+4
84.6%
Micale Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 12Similar
Q1 12:53
2ND & 6
OWN 12
-3
84.6%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 9Similar
Q1 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 9
+63
84.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 63 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
84.8%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Ean Pfeifer for 28 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:0216% → 16%
Q1 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.4%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 10:57
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+9
84.4%
Gaej Walker run for 9 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 10:57
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+5
84.3%
Malik Staples run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-5
83.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 8:55
2ND & 15
OWN 33
+11
83.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 8:55
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
83.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:55
4TH & 4
OWN 44
0
83.8%
John Haggerty punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 1:3383% → 83%
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
83.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 8 yds to the Lvile 19Similar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+6
83.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the Lvile 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.4%
Javian Hawkins run for no gain to the Lvile 25Similar
Q1 5:51
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
83.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:51
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
83.1%
Logan Lupo punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 6FUMBLE
4 plays · 62 yds · 0:0017% → 18%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
82.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+1
82.9%
Gaej Walker run for 1 yd to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+11
83.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 11 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+50
82.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 50 yds Jahcour Pearson fumbled, forced by Russ Yeast, recovered by Lvile Russ Yeast , return for 4 yds to the Lvile 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 93 yds · 4:1483% → 85%
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-4
82.8%
Micale Cunningham sacked by DeAngelo Malone for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 3 Micale Cunningham fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 14
OWN 3
-2
82.7%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 1Similar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 16
OWN 1
+48
82.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 48 yds to the Lvile 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
83.4%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 16 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
83.8%
Hassan Hall run for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
83.8%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Hassan HallSimilar
Q1 4:08
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+18
83.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 18 yds to the WKent 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:08
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
83.8%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Javian HawkinsSimilar
Q1 4:08
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+2
83.8%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
85.1%
Micale Cunningham run for 14 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-3
85.1%
Gaej Walker run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 6Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 13
OWN 6
+7
85.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 7 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+4
85.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 2
OWN 17
+7
85.2%
John Haggerty punt for 55 yds , Rodjay Burns returns for 7 yds to the Lvile 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 3:0485% → 90%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+17
84.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 17 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+4
85.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 4 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+10
85.2%
Javian Hawkins run for 10 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
85.4%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 9
OPP 33
0
85.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete, broken up by Antwon KincadeSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+14
84.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 14 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
89.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 19 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
88.2%
Gaej Walker run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
88.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+25
88.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 25 yds to the Lvile 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+2
87.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 2 yds to the Lvile 46Similar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 8
OPP 46
-2
87.4%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 2 yards to the Lvile 48Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 48
0
88.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q2 9:21
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
88.2%
John Haggerty punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 11TD
13 plays · 87 yds · 5:5289% → 97%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
88.9%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+3
88.8%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 7
OWN 16
+8
88.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 8 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
88.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 3 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+14
88.9%
Hassan Hall run for 14 yds to the Lvile 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+41
89.3%
Hassan Hall run for 41 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
89.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for 3 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+5
89.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 2
OPP 10
+1
89.3%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 1 yd to the WKent 9Similar
Q2 6:34
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+1
89.0%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
89.6%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
89.6%
Javian Hawkins run for 6 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q2 0:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
96.5%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.1%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 12 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
94.9%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 22
-1
95.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 21Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 21
+15
95.2%
PIGROME, T. pass incomplete to BURT JR, C., PENALTY LOU pass interference (Johnson, A.) 15 yards to the WKU36, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-5
94.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 31
0
95.0%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell Tinsley, broken up by Kei'Trel ClarkSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 31
+8
95.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 8 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
94.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jahcour Pearson, broken up by Rodjay BurnsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
95.0%
John Haggerty punt for 49 yds, downed at the Lvile 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
96.3%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Tutu Atwell for 12 yds to the Lvile 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.3%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Marshon FordSimilar
Q3 12:30
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+3
96.3%
Javian Hawkins run for 3 yds to the Lvile 27Similar
Q3 12:30
3RD & 7
OWN 27
0
96.2%
Micale Cunningham pass incomplete to Tutu AtwellSimilar
Q3 12:30
4TH & 7
OWN 27
0
96.0%
TEAM punt blocked by Omari Alexander blocked by Omari AlexanderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:395% → 13%
Q3 11:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
95.3%
Gaej Walker run for 3 yds to the Lvile 1Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.5%
Malik Staples run for 1 yd for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 85 yds · 1:2590% → 97%
Q3 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
90.3%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 6 yds to the Lvile 21Similar
Q3 10:23
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+9
90.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the Lvile 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
96.9%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 70 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 24 yds · 3:004% → 3%
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
96.4%
Jakairi Moses run for 8 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+11
96.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Dayton WadeSimilar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+19
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 19 yds to the Lvile 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-3
96.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 3 yards to the Lvile 40Similar
Q3 8:58
2ND & 13
OPP 40
+3
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Lvile 37Similar
Q3 8:58
3RD & 10
OPP 37
0
96.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 10
OPP 37
-14
96.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Monty Montgomery for a loss of 14 yards to the WKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 18INT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:0098% → 97%
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+16
97.6%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 16 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
97.7%
Micale Cunningham run for 1 yd to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 5:53
2ND & 9
OPP 32
-2
97.7%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 34 LOUISVILLE Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 5:53
3RD & 11
OPP 34
0
97.6%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 11
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Micale Cunningham pass intercepted Omari Alexander return for no gain to the WKent 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 2%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-5
97.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome sacked by Rodjay Burns for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 4:10
2ND & 15
OWN 18
+10
97.6%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 10 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 5
OWN 28
0
97.5%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Jahcour PearsonSimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
97.6%
John Haggerty punt for 47 yds, fair catch by Rodjay Burns at the Lvile 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.1%
Hassan Hall run for 3 yds to the Lvile 28Similar
Q3 2:38
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
98.2%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:38
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-4
98.1%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Braden Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 24Similar
Q3 2:38
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
97.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 35 yds, downed at the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 1:052% → 2%
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
98.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Craig Burt Jr. for 16 yds to the Lvile 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:05
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
98.1%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Jahcour Pearson for 5 yds to the Lvile 38Similar
Q3 1:05
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+6
98.0%
Noah Whittington run for 6 yds to the Lvile 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+1
98.3%
Noah Whittington run for 1 yd to the Lvile 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 31
+15
98.3%
Noah Whittington run for 15 yds to the Lvile 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
98.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 11 yds to the Lvile 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
98.2%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Mitchell TinsleySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
98.2%
Malik Staples run for 2 yds to the Lvile 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
98.3%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incomplete to Gaej WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
99.0%
Hassan Hall run for 4 yds to the Lvile 7Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 6
OWN 7
0
99.0%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:05
3RD & 6
OWN 7
+4
99.0%
Micale Cunningham run for 4 yds to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 2
OWN 11
-5
98.9%
LOUISVILLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Lvile 6Similar
Q4 12:05
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
98.9%
Logan Lupo punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Dayton Wade at the Lvile 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
9 plays · 37 yds · 4:361% → 4%
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
98.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+4
98.9%
Gaej Walker run for 4 yds to the Lvile 33Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+13
98.9%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 13 yds to the Lvile 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 4 yds to the Lvile 16Similar
Q4 10:16
2ND & 6
OPP 16
-1
98.7%
Noah Whittington run for a loss of 1 yard to the Lvile 17Similar
Q4 10:16
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+6
98.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 6 yds to the Lvile 11Similar
Q4 10:16
4TH & 1
OPP 11
+3
98.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for 3 yds to the Lvile 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
98.7%
Tyrrell Pigrome run for a loss of 4 yards to the Lvile 12Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
95.8%
Tyrrell Pigrome pass complete to Mitchell Tinsley for 12 yds for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LOUDrive 24END OF GAME
13 plays · 37 yds · 0:0097% → 98%
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-2
97.4%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 12
OPP 46
-1
97.3%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 13
OPP 47
+5
97.2%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+14
97.3%
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Justin Marshall for 14 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
97.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 9 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
97.5%
Javian Hawkins run for 5 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
97.5%
Micale Cunningham pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:40
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+9
97.5%
Micale Cunningham run for 9 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q4 5:40
3RD & 1
OPP 5
+2
97.4%
Javian Hawkins run for 2 yds to the WKent 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
97.5%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 8 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Beanie Bishop) to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 5:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
97.5%
Micale Cunningham run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 5Similar
Q4 5:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
97.5%
Javian Hawkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 10:23
Malik Staples run for 1 yd for a TD (Brayden Narveson KICK)
-7.8
TD · Q2 0:42
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Marshon Ford for 2 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK)
+6.9
TD · Q3 8:58
Micale Cunningham pass complete to Dez Fitzpatrick for 70 yds for a TD (James Turner KICK) WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
+6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com