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Georgia Tech 16 at Florida State 13

FSU
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 12, 2020 · Doak Campbell Stadium
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Win probability · FSU
modelFSU aheadGT aheadconfidence bandkey playFSU scoreGT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:12 · James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion Terry
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 197Pregame prior+0.6Home team on offense−18.1Garbage-time factor−9.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.4Score differential−0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 6:13: Jordan Mason 19 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick) — GT win probability +16.5 pts (now 34%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 13:17: Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley PAT BLOCKED) — GT win probability +20.7 pts (now 48%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:35: Jeff Sims run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 14 — GT win probability +13.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:56: Jude Kelley 32 yd FG GOOD — GT win probability +13.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15: Jordan Mason run for 13 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down — GT win probability +14.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: GT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FSU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10GT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 12:10GT 4th & 1 at GT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    20.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:25GT 4th & 13 at GT 43, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:36FSU 4th & 8 at GT 19, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.6%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    78.0%−1.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:48GT 4th & 5 at FSU 5, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.0%
    92% to make
    Punt
    16.6%−3.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:53FSU 4th & 8 at FSU 22, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:53GT 4th & 9 at FSU 21, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    15.0%−3.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:28FSU 4th & 6 at FSU 33, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:48GT 4th & 3 at midfield, down 10
    Close callPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%−0.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:05FSU 4th & 7 at GT 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.6%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    81.9%−0.7
    38% to make
    Punt
    82.3%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:10FSU 4th & 1 at GT 38, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    81.0%−2.6
    38% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−2.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:48FSU 4th & 24 at midfield, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:15FSU 4th & 1 at GT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    68.9%−4.3
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−5.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 1:04FSU 4th & 14 at GT 34, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 69.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.2%−2.2
    19% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    69.4%
    47% to make
    Punt
    67.8%−1.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 8:56GT 4th & 14 at FSU 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%−6.4
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.9%
    83% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−21.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:50FSU 4th & 8 at GT 38, down 3
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.5 ptsWent for it · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.1%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    36.6%
    38% to make
    Punt
    30.7%−5.9
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:51GT 4th & 21 at GT 37, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.8%−10.5
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:12FSU 4th & 2 at FSU 25, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.5%−8.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FSU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1GT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:05FSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 6:13GT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    25.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 13:17GT Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    40.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.7%−0.7
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GTDrive 1INT
14 plays · 53 yds · 3:5823% → 24%
Q1 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+8
76.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 8 yds to the GTech 18Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 2
OWN 18
+12
76.5%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 12 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+1
76.4%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 9
OWN 31
0
76.3%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the GTech 31Similar
Q1 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+8
76.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Deveney for 8 yds to the GTech 39Similar
Q1 12:10
4TH & 1
OWN 39
+2
76.2%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+7
76.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dylan Deveney for 7 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 3
OWN 48
+18
75.9%
Jeff Sims run for 18 yds to the FlaSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
75.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Malachi CarterSimilar
Q1 11:06
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
75.5%
Sims, Jeff pass complete to Mason, Jordan for 22 yards to the FLORIDAST12, PENALTY GATECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FLORIDAST39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:45
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+2
75.7%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q1 10:12
3RD & 13
OPP 37
-38
75.7%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Asante Samuel Jr. return for 38 yds to the FlaSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 1:5576% → 78%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
76.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GTech 49Similar
Q1 9:45
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+4
76.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 4 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q1 9:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+3
76.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 3 yds to the GTech 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
76.1%
La'Damian Webb run for 9 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+27
76.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 27 yds to the GTech 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
76.2%
La'Damian Webb run for 3 yds to the GTech 3Similar
Q1 8:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
78.0%
Keyshawn Helton 3 Yd pass from James Blackman (Parker Grothaus Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 1:1023% → 23%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
77.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 7 yds to the GTech 23Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+23
77.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 23 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
76.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jalen CampSimilar
Q1 7:05
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
76.9%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 41Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 15
OWN 41
0
77.1%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Jordan MasonSimilar
Q1 6:45
3RD & 15
OWN 41
+2
77.3%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q1 6:25
4TH & 13
OWN 43
+15
77.5%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 52 yds , Travis Jay returns for 15 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 4FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 4:2778% → 78%
Q1 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
77.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Lawrance Toafili for 12 yds to the FlaSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
77.6%
James Blackman run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q1 4:45
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+5
78.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:29
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
78.2%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 46
0
78.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q1 3:45
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+17
77.9%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 17 yds to the GTech 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:31
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+16
78.4%
James Blackman run for 16 yds to the GTech 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
78.6%
La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 1 yard to the GTech 22Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 11
OPP 22
-5
78.6%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 27Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 16
OPP 27
+8
78.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 8 yds to the GTech 19Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
78.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Warren ThompsonSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+37
78.3%
Parker Grothaus 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 74 yds · 4:2822% → 21%
Q1 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
78.5%
Jordan Mason run for 10 yds to the GTech 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
78.4%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 28Similar
Q1 0:22
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+9
78.7%
Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the GTech 37Similar
Q1 0:01
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+7
78.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Peje' Harris for 7 yds to the GTech 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+14
78.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 14 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
77.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 7 yds to the FlaSt 35Similar
Q2 14:19
2ND & 3
OPP 35
-15
77.2%
Mason, Jordan rush for 1 yard to the FLORIDAST34, PENALTY GATECH personal foul 15 yards to the 50 yardline, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 18
50
+45
78.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Marquez Ezzard for 45 yds to the FlaSt 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-15
77.5%
Mason, Jordan rush for 2 yards to the FLORIDAST3, PENALTY GATECH personal foul 15 yards to the FLORIDAST20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+6
77.6%
Jordan Mason run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q2 12:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 14
+2
77.9%
Jordan Mason run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q2 12:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+7
78.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 7 yds to the FlaSt 5Similar
Q2 11:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
78.6%
Jude Kelley 22 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marvin WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4979% → 78%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.8%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
79.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 22Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
78.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Warren ThompsonSimilar
Q2 10:53
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+7
78.1%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 46 yds , Josh Blancato returns for 7 yds to the GTech 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 7INT
9 plays · 46 yds · 2:4521% → 22%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
78.7%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the GTech 44Similar
Q2 10:32
1ST & 5
OPP 47
-6
78.0%
Jeff Sims run for 9 yds to the FLORIDAST 47 GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 11
OWN 38
0
78.9%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+7
79.4%
Jamious Griffin run for 7 yds to the GTech 45Similar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 4
OWN 45
+4
78.7%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+18
78.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jordan Mason for 18 yds to the FlaSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:22
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
78.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Adonicas Sanders for 5 yds to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+13
78.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 13 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OPP 15
-36
78.0%
Jeff Sims pass intercepted Asante Samuel Jr. return for 36 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 8INT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:2081% → 80%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
81.1%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 42Similar
Q2 7:47
1ST & 15
OWN 42
0
80.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Warren ThompsonSimilar
Q2 7:33
2ND & 15
OWN 42
+4
80.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 4 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q2 7:06
3RD & 11
OWN 46
-5
80.3%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 41Similar
Q2 6:35
3RD & 16
OWN 37
+4
79.9%
James Blackman pass intercepted Quez Jackson return for 11 yds to the FLORIDAST 48 FLORIDA ST Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the FlaSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 9MISSED FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0722% → 20%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-5
78.1%
Jeff Sims sacked by Raymond Woodie III and Amari Gainer for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 5:30
2ND & 15
OPP 27
0
79.0%
Jordan Mason run for no gain to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 15
OPP 27
+6
80.0%
Jeff Sims run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 21Similar
Q2 4:53
4TH & 9
OPP 21
+39
80.1%
Jude Kelley 39 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Marvin Wilson Janarius Robinson return for 2 yds to the FlaSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:4581% → 80%
Q2 4:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
81.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaSt 27Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 12
OWN 27
+6
80.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 33Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 6
OWN 33
0
80.6%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:28
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+14
80.4%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 49 yds , Marquez Ezzard returns for 14 yds to the GTech 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:1519% → 19%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
80.7%
Jamious Griffin run for no gain to the GTech 32Similar
Q2 2:38
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
81.3%
Jamious Griffin run for 9 yds to the GTech 41Similar
Q2 2:26
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
80.3%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
80.7%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Ahmarean BrownSimilar
Q2 1:56
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+7
80.8%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 1:56
3RD & 3
50
0
79.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:48
4TH & 3
50
0
80.9%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlaSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 12DOWNS
14 plays · 48 yds · 1:3982% → 84%
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
81.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q2 1:20
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+7
81.8%
La'Damian Webb run for 7 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q2 0:56
3RD & 3
OWN 31
+4
82.3%
James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 4 yds to the FlaSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
82.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Warren Thompson for 24 yds to the GTech 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:27
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
82.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 3 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
81.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to La'Damian WebbSimilar
Q2 0:19
3RD & 7
OPP 38
0
81.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 7
OPP 38
+10
81.3%
James Blackman run for 10 yds to the GTech 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
83.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+46
84.3%
Parker Grothaus 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 13PUNT
14 plays · 25 yds · 3:4682% → 82%
Q3 14:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
81.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 6 yds to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
82.0%
La'Damian Webb run for no gain to the FlaSt 31Similar
Q3 13:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+7
81.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 7 yds to the FlaSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
82.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 15 yds to the GTech 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
83.5%
La'Damian Webb run for 4 yds to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 12:56
2ND & 6
OPP 43
0
83.6%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Ontaria WilsonSimilar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+5
82.9%
James Blackman run for 5 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q3 12:10
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+2
82.1%
Jashaun Corbin run for 2 yds to the GTech 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:54
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
83.7%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Jashaun CorbinSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-10
83.6%
Toafili, Lawrance rush for loss of 1 yard to the GATECH37, PENALTY FLORIDAST holding 10 yards to the GATECH46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 20
OPP 46
0
83.3%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q3 10:55
3RD & 20
OPP 46
-4
82.4%
James Blackman sacked by Curtis Ryans and David Curry for a loss of 4 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 24
50
0
81.5%
Alex Mastromanno punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 14TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 4:1718% → 34%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
82.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the GTech 25Similar
Q3 10:20
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
81.7%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+7
83.0%
Jeff Sims run for 7 yds to the GTech 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
82.1%
Ahmarean Brown run for a loss of 3 yards to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 9:21
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
82.8%
Jeff Sims pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 13
OWN 29
+19
85.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for 19 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
83.1%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Ahmarean Brown for 6 yds to the FlaSt 46Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+1
82.7%
Jordan Mason run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+3
83.1%
Jordan Mason run for 3 yds to the FlaSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
82.9%
Jeff Sims pass incomplete to Adonicas SandersSimilar
Q3 7:20
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+5
83.1%
Jamious Griffin run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 37Similar
Q3 6:50
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+7
83.2%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jamious Griffin for 7 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
82.2%
Jamious Griffin run for 11 yds to the FlaSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
65.7%
Jordan Mason 19 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 15FG
15 plays · 35 yds · 4:3173% → 81%
Q3 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
72.9%
Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 40Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+4
74.8%
Jordan Travis run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:58
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-5
74.4%
La'Damian Webb run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 15
OWN 39
0
72.4%
James Blackman run for no gain to the FlaSt 39Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 15
OWN 39
+18
71.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 18 yds to the GTech 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:20
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
75.3%
Keyshawn Helton run for no gain to the GTech 43Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
75.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 9 yds Ontaria Wilson fumbled, recovered by FlaSt Keyshawn HeltonSimilar
Q3 2:25
3RD & 1
OPP 34
0
75.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Warren ThompsonSimilar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 1
OPP 34
+4
73.7%
Jashaun Corbin run for 4 yds to the GTech 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
76.6%
Jashaun Corbin run for 1 yd to the GTech 29Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-5
76.4%
Blackman, James pass complete to Webb, La'Damian for no gain to the GATECH29, PENALTY FLORIDAST illegal shift 5 yards to the GATECH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 14
OPP 34
0
74.8%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Warren ThompsonSimilar
Q3 1:09
3RD & 14
OPP 34
0
72.9%
James Blackman pass incomplete to La'Damian WebbSimilar
Q3 1:04
4TH & 14
OPP 34
+53
80.7%
Parker Grothaus 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 16TD
10 plays · 72 yds · 2:2022% → 48%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
78.4%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 20 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
75.7%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Jalen Camp for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+12
78.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Dontae Smith for 12 yds to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 14:25
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+4
75.6%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the FlaSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
75.0%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 11 yds to the FlaSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
73.4%
Sims, Jeff pass incomplete, PENALTY GATECH ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the FLORIDAST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:45
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+11
74.8%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 11 yds to the FlaSt 24Similar
Q4 13:30
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+9
73.0%
Dontae Smith run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:17
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
52.3%
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley PAT BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · -23 yds · 2:1465% → 64%
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
64.6%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 9 yds to the FlaSt 43Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 1
OWN 43
+1
67.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 1 yd to the FlaSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
67.2%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 8 yds to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+2
68.6%
La'Damian Webb run for 2 yds to the GTech 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-9
68.4%
James Blackman sacked by Curtis Ryans for a loss of 9 yards to the FlaSt 45Similar
Q4 10:46
2ND & 19
OWN 45
-15
64.2%
James Blackman sacked by Curtis Ryans for a loss of 15 yards to the FlaSt 11 James Blackman fumbled, forced by Curtis Ryans, recovered by GTech David Curry , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 18FG
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:3950% → 59%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
50.5%
Jeff Sims run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 14Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 13
OPP 14
+2
50.4%
Jamious Griffin run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 12Similar
Q4 9:40
3RD & 11
OPP 12
-5
52.5%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the FlaSt 17Similar
Q4 9:20
3RD & 16
OPP 17
+2
54.5%
Jeff Sims run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 15Similar
Q4 8:56
4TH & 14
OPP 15
+32
41.1%
Jude Kelley 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 19FUMBLE
15 plays · 44 yds · 4:2846% → 38%
Q4 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
45.9%
Jordan Travis run for 2 yds to the FlaSt 20Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+9
45.6%
Jordan Travis run for 9 yds to the FlaSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+10
46.3%
Jordan Travis run for 10 yds to the FlaSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
45.5%
Jordan Travis pass incomplete to Camren McDonaldSimilar
Q4 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+5
45.0%
Jordan Travis run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 44Similar
Q4 6:26
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+6
45.8%
James Blackman pass complete to Camren McDonald for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
50
+8
48.0%
La'Damian Webb run for 8 yds to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 5:20
2ND & 2
OPP 42
+2
47.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Ontaria Wilson for 2 yds to the GTech 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:14
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
47.2%
James Blackman pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
46.7%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 2 yds to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+5
45.5%
James Blackman pass complete to Tamorrion Terry for 5 yds to the GTech 33Similar
Q4 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 33
-5
38.9%
FLORIDA ST Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 38Similar
Q4 3:50
4TH & 8
OPP 38
+3
38.0%
James Blackman run for 3 yds to the GTech 35 James Blackman fumbled, forced by Curtis Ryans, recovered by GTech Djimon BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 20PUNT
10 plays · 2 yds · 1:2477% → 84%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
23.5%
Jordan Mason run for 13 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
20.9%
Jordan Mason run for 5 yds to the FlaSt 47Similar
Q4 2:57
2ND & 5
OPP 47
-5
18.3%
Jordan Mason run for a loss of 5 yards to the GTech 48Similar
Q4 2:57
3RD & 10
OWN 48
-5
20.8%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the GTech 43Similar
Q4 2:20
3RD & 15
OWN 43
+4
20.4%
Jeff Sims run for 4 yds to the GTech 47Similar
Q4 2:04
4TH & 11
OWN 47
-5
21.3%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the GTech 42Similar
Q4 1:58
4TH & 16
OWN 42
-5
18.1%
GEORGIA TECH Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the GTech 37Similar
Q4 1:51
4TH & 21
OWN 37
0
16.3%
Pressley Harvin III punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Travis Jay at the FlaSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FSUDrive 21DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:3326% → 20%
Q4 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
26.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+8
25.0%
James Blackman pass complete to Jashaun Corbin for 8 yds to the FlaSt 25Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 2
OWN 25
0
22.0%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
Q4 1:12
4TH & 2
OWN 25
0
20.1%
James Blackman pass incomplete to Tamorrion TerrySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GTDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -6 yds · 0:5493% → 95%
Q4 0:55
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-3
6.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 28Similar
Q4 0:01
2ND & 13
OPP 28
-3
5.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaSt 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 13:17
Jeff Sims pass complete to Malachi Carter for 15 yds for a TD (Jude Kelley PAT BLOCKED)
-20.7
TD · Q3 6:13
Jordan Mason 19 Yd Run (Jude Kelley Kick)
-16.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 3:15
Jordan Mason run for 13 yds to the GTech 48 for a 1ST down
-14.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com