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UAB

UAB 14 at Miami 31

MIA
2020 · Week 2 · Sep 10, 2020 · Hard Rock Stadium
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Win probability · MIA
modelMIA aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playMIA scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:47 · N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Marshall Few for 6 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:04: D'Eriq King run for 12 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +3.6 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 6:19: Spencer Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK) — UAB win probability +16.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 6:19: Coby Neenan kickoff for 58 yds , Mark Pope return for 22 yds to the MiaFl 29 — MIA win probability +4.3 pts (now 73%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 4:02: Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +9.5 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:00: D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK) — MIA win probability +6.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: MIA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MIA made the numbers' call on 6 of 9UAB made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 10:43UAB 4th & 10 at MIA 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    16.4%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    16.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:51MIA 4th & 14 at UAB 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−0.2
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.5%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:04MIA 4th & 1 at MIA 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 76.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    76.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:29UAB 4th & 2 at UAB 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.7%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:23MIA 4th & 6 at MIA 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.7%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:20UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:37UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 23, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:28MIA 4th & 4 at MIA 49, up 7
    Close callPunted · 82.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.5%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:17UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.4%−0.4
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:15MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 20, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.3%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:12UAB 4th & 11 at UAB 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.6%
    average punt
  13. Q2 0:00MIA 4th & 17 at UAB 40, up 7
    Numbers favored punt by 1.3 ptsWent for it · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.0%−1.3
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    80.7%−0.6
    34% to make
    Punt
    81.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 10:15MIA 4th & 8 at UAB 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 82.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.5%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    77.0%−5.1
    average punt
  15. Q3 2:42UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−1.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:28UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 27, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.7
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.5%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:35MIA 4th & 15 at MIA 25, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−1.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.9%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:43UAB 4th & 16 at MIA 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 7:04MIA 4th & 3 at MIA 17, up 17
    Close callPunted · 97.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.1%−0.1
    average punt
  20. Q4 4:27UAB 4th & 8 at MIA 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    2.0%−<0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MIA made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 2:40UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:04MIA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04MIA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:19UAB Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    23.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    23.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:02MIA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:00MIA Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 4:0915% → 16%
Q1 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
85.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 20 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-5
84.9%
Brown, Spencer rush for 29 yards to the MIAMI26, PENALTY UAB illegal formation 5 yards to the UAB40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 14:00
1ST & 15
OWN 40
+10
84.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Spencer Brown for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 5
50
0
84.6%
Spencer Brown run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:54
3RD & 5
50
+8
84.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 8 yds to the MiaFl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
84.2%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Andrew Smith Jr.) to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q1 11:52
1ST & 15
OPP 47
-1
84.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 16
OPP 48
0
84.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Jermaine Brown Jr.Similar
Q1 11:21
3RD & 16
OPP 48
+6
84.0%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 10:43
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
83.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 34 yds, downed at the MiaFl 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 43 yds · 3:4684% → 82%
Q1 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+10
83.8%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Wiggins, Dee, PENALTY UAB holding (Harris, Brontae) 10 yards to the MIAMI18, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
83.8%
D'Eriq King run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q1 10:07
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+6
83.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
83.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 9:31
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+9
83.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 9 yds to the MiaFl 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
83.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+13
83.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 13 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
83.5%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 7:44
2ND & 12
OPP 47
-2
83.2%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 14
OPP 49
0
82.6%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremiah PaytonSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 14
OPP 49
0
82.3%
Lou Hedley punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 3:2118% → 18%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
82.5%
Spencer Brown run for 5 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+8
82.3%
Spencer Brown run for 8 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-4
82.1%
UAB Penalty, Delay of Game (-4 Yards) to the UAB 19Similar
Q1 5:25
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+1
82.0%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 4:42
2ND & 14
OWN 20
+4
81.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 4 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q1 4:06
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+3
81.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 7
OWN 27
-12
81.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 44 yds , Mark Pope returns for a loss of 12 yards to the MiaFl 17 Mark Pope fumbled, forced by Jacob Fuqua, recovered by UAB Jarrion StreetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
2 plays · 17 yds · 0:3920% → 23%
Q1 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
80.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 16Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+16
76.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Austin Watkins for 16 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 5TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:2378% → 80%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
77.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q1 2:02
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
77.3%
D'Eriq King run for 9 yds to the MiaFl 32Similar
Q1 1:39
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
77.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 34Similar
Q1 1:04
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+66
80.3%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 66 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2920% → 20%
Q1 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 0:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
79.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+4
79.8%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Lucious Stanley for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q2 14:29
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
79.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Gurvan Hall Jr. at the MiaFl 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0080% → 79%
Q2 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
80.1%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 23Similar
Q2 14:04
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
80.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 6
OWN 25
0
79.3%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q2 13:23
4TH & 6
OWN 25
0
78.9%
Lou Hedley punt for 49 yds, downed at the UAB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:5721% → 21%
Q2 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
78.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin WatkinsSimilar
Q2 13:08
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+6
79.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Rob Johnson for 6 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 12:26
3RD & 4
OWN 32
0
78.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 4
OWN 32
0
79.4%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaFl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 9TD
8 plays · 64 yds · 2:0780% → 85%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+11
80.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 11 yds to the MiaFl 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
80.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & 7
50
+18
80.8%
Jaylan Knighton run for 18 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
81.3%
Jaylan Knighton run for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 10:22
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+5
81.0%
King, D'Eriq rush for 7 yards to the UAB25, PENALTY UAB offside (Moultrie, Antonio) 5 yards to the UAB27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+15
81.0%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 15 yds to the UAB 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
85.0%
D'Eriq King run for 12 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 2:1816% → 15%
Q2 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
84.3%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
84.3%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Matthew Trehern) to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 8:53
2ND & 17
OWN 18
+10
84.4%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Hayden Pittman for 10 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
84.5%
Tyler Johnston III sacked by Quincy Roche for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 7:37
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+12
85.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 59 yds , Mark Pope returns for 12 yds to the MiaFl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 2:0484% → 84%
Q2 7:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
84.4%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+3
84.2%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 6:56
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+10
84.0%
D'Eriq King run for 10 yds to the MiaFl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+5
85.0%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Dee Wiggins for 5 yds to the MiaFl 48Similar
Q2 6:43
2ND & 5
OWN 48
-15
85.1%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Unnecessary Roughness (Dee Wiggins) to the MiaFl 33Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 20
OWN 33
+5
84.1%
UAB Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jordan Smith) to the MiaFl 38Similar
Q2 6:20
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+5
84.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 43Similar
Q2 5:54
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+6
84.2%
D'Eriq King run for 6 yds to the MiaFl 49Similar
Q2 5:28
4TH & 4
OWN 49
0
84.1%
Lou Hedley punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:0415% → 15%
Q2 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-1
84.9%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 7Similar
Q2 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 7
+29
85.0%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 29 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
83.9%
Spencer Brown run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
83.6%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:32
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
84.0%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Austin Watkins, broken up by Al Blades Jr.Similar
Q2 3:17
4TH & 8
OWN 38
+20
84.8%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 57 yds , Mark Pope returns for 20 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:5584% → 83%
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
84.0%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Mike HarleySimilar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
83.9%
D'Eriq King sacked by Tyler Taylor for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaFl 20Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 15
OWN 20
0
83.2%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Brevin JordanSimilar
Q2 2:15
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
82.6%
Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:5716% → 15%
Q2 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
83.9%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete, broken up by Jaelan PhillipsSimilar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
83.9%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for no gain to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 10
OWN 30
-1
84.1%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 1:12
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
85.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 32 yds, downed at the MiaFl 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 15END OF HALF
8 plays · 52 yds · 1:0384% → 83%
Q2 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
84.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 6 yds to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
84.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 7 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+15
84.7%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 15 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
85.3%
D'Eriq King pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-9
85.2%
D'Eriq King sacked by Noah Wilder for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 19
OPP 42
+2
83.4%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 2 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 0:00
4TH & 17
OPP 40
+31
82.9%
D'Eriq King run for 31 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 16FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:3783% → 86%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
82.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 19 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
83.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 9
OWN 45
0
83.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for no gain to the MiaFl 45Similar
Q3 13:33
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+25
82.5%
D'Eriq King run for 25 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
84.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 12:43
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+3
84.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 3 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+14
83.7%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 14 yds to the UAB 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
84.4%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Jeremiah PaytonSimilar
Q3 11:41
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-1
84.4%
D'Eriq King run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 10:53
3RD & 11
OPP 12
+3
83.6%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Cam'Ron Harris for 3 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+25
85.7%
Jose Borregales 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:5115% → 32%
Q3 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
85.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Jermaine Brown Jr. for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
85.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 4 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 9:05
3RD & 2
OWN 33
-5
85.4%
UAB Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+29
86.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 29 yds Myron Mitchell fumbled, forced by Te'Cory Couch, recovered by UABSimilar
Q3 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
83.9%
Spencer Brown run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 40Similar
Q3 7:55
2ND & 7
OPP 40
+23
83.9%
Spencer Brown run for 23 yds to the MiaFl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
82.7%
Tyler Johnston III pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-5
82.8%
UAB Penalty, False Start (Andrew Smith Jr.) to the MiaFl 22Similar
Q3 7:10
2ND & 15
OPP 22
0
83.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Hayden Pittman, broken up by Zach McCloudSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 15
OPP 22
+11
84.9%
Spencer Brown run for 11 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+5
84.8%
MIAMI FL Penalty, Defensive Offside (Quincy Roche) to the MiaFl 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
68.5%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 18TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:0275% → 88%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
75.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mike Harley for 8 yds to the MiaFl 37Similar
Q3 5:43
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+33
76.8%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 33 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
78.6%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q3 4:49
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+22
78.3%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 22 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
78.2%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 2 yds to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 4:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
78.1%
D'Eriq King pass incomplete to Cam'Ron HarrisSimilar
Q3 4:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
87.6%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 1:1414% → 11%
Q3 3:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
86.2%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 14 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-2
85.1%
Spencer Brown run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 2:52
2ND & 12
OWN 37
0
87.9%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q3 2:48
3RD & 12
OWN 37
0
88.3%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Lucious StanleySimilar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 12
OWN 37
0
88.7%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Mark Pope at the MiaFl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 20TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:3488% → 97%
Q3 2:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
88.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
50
+13
89.1%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Jeremiah Payton for 13 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+6
89.5%
Jaylan Knighton run for 6 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q3 1:30
2ND & 4
OPP 31
+25
90.0%
Jaylan Knighton run for 25 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
90.4%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the UAB 5Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
90.4%
D'Eriq King run for 1 yd to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
96.5%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:235% → 4%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.5%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Samario Rudolph for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 14:12
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-2
95.5%
Myron Mitchell run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
96.1%
Tyler Johnston III pass incomplete to Ryan DavisSimilar
Q4 13:28
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
96.1%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 53 yds, fair catch by Mark Pope at the MiaFl 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:4897% → 97%
Q4 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
96.8%
King, D'Eriq pass incomplete to Harris, Cam'Ron, PENALTY UAB pass interference (Wilder, Noah) 10 yards to the MIAMI30, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MIAMI.Similar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
96.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaFl 28Similar
Q4 12:44
2ND & 12
OWN 31
-7
96.9%
D'Eriq King pass complete to Mark Pope for 3 yds to the MiaFl 31 MIAMI FL Penalty, Offensive Holding (Brevin Jordan) to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 19
OWN 21
0
96.9%
D'Eriq King run for no gain to the MiaFl 21Similar
Q4 12:09
3RD & 19
OWN 21
+4
96.9%
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 25Similar
Q4 11:35
4TH & 15
OWN 25
0
96.8%
Lou Hedley punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Myron Mitchell at the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 34 yds · 2:454% → 3%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
96.5%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 11 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
96.3%
Spencer Brown run for 7 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 10:25
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+6
96.6%
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
96.5%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for 16 yds to the MiaFl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-6
96.2%
Jermaine Brown Jr. run for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaFl 41Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 16
OPP 41
0
96.7%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q4 8:50
3RD & 16
OPP 41
0
96.9%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Trea ShropshireSimilar
Q4 8:43
4TH & 16
OPP 41
0
97.0%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Gurvan Hall Jr. at the MiaFl 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:2797% → 97%
Q4 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
97.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+4
97.3%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q4 7:36
3RD & 3
OWN 17
0
97.4%
Donald Chaney Jr. run for no gain to the MiaFl 17Similar
Q4 7:04
4TH & 3
OWN 17
0
97.4%
Lou Hedley punt for 55 yds, fair catch by Keondre Swoopes at the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 30 yds · 2:293% → 2%
Q4 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
97.0%
Tyler Johnston III pass complete to Trea Shropshire for 14 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
97.1%
Spencer Brown run for 1 yd to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 9
OWN 43
0
97.3%
Bryson Lucero pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+13
97.4%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Austin Watkins for 13 yds to the MiaFl 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
97.7%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Myron MitchellSimilar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+2
97.8%
Bryson Lucero pass complete to Myron Mitchell for 2 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 8
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Bryson Lucero pass incomplete to Gerrit PrinceSimilar
Q4 4:27
4TH & 8
OPP 42
0
97.9%
Kyle Greenwell punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Gurvan Hall Jr. at the MiaFl 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MIADrive 26Uncategorized
11 plays · 47 yds · 3:3398% → 99%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+1
98.2%
Jaylan Knighton run for 1 yd to the MiaFl 7Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 7
+4
98.2%
Robert Burns run for 4 yds to the MiaFl 11Similar
Q4 3:35
3RD & 5
OWN 11
+2
98.4%
Robert Burns run for 2 yds to the MiaFl 13Similar
Q4 3:35
4TH & 3
OWN 13
+15
98.2%
UAB Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Tyler Taylor) to the MiaFl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:28
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
98.6%
N'Kosi Perry pass incomplete to Michael Redding IIISimilar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+8
98.5%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Robert Burns for 8 yds to the MiaFl 36Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+3
98.7%
Robert Burns run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
98.9%
Robert Burns run for 3 yds to the MiaFl 42Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
98.9%
N'Kosi Perry run for 5 yds to the MiaFl 47Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+6
98.9%
N'Kosi Perry pass complete to Marshall Few for 6 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:19
Spencer Brown run for 6 yds for a TD (Matthew Quinn KICK)
-16.3
TD · Q3 4:02
Cam'Ron Harris run for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+9.5
TD · Q3 0:00
D'Eriq King pass complete to Brevin Jordan for 4 yds for a TD (Jose Borregales KICK)
+6.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com