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Louisiana 70 at UL Monroe 20

ULM
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadUL aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreUL score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 4:57 · Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 48
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+59.0+29.50−29.5−59.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior−27.3Home team on offense−47.8Score differential−26.4Garbage-time factor−11.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−3.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:18: Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Cameron Darling for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Elder KICK) — ULM win probability +1.0 pts (now 6%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q1 0:07: Jeremy Hunt run for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Elder KICK) — ULM win probability +1.9 pts (now 7%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q2 11:50: Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +1.6 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 7:11: Levi Lewis run for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +1.2 pts (now 96%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 5:02: Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted for a TD Bralen Trahan return for 53 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +2.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 6 of 8UL made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00UL 4th & 2 at UL 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:56ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:36ULM 4th & 3 at ULM 34, down 14
    Close callPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 11:50ULM 4th & 7 at ULM 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 5:02ULM 4th & 15 at ULM 46, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00ULM 4th & 29 at ULM 6, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:38ULM 4th & 4 at UL 12, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.7%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    0.6%−<0.1
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:57UL 4th & 16 at UL 6, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 14:54UL 4th & 9 at UL 36, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:53ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 29, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 6:33UL 4th & 3 at ULM 48, up 36
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:23ULM 4th & 5 at ULM 35, down 50
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UL made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 11:26UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:36UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:18ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 1:53UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 0:07ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 11:50UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 7:11UL Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 5:02UL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 0:17UL Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 10:38UL Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 6:33UL Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 3:23UL Touchdown, up 49 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
3.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+8
3.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
3.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 45 yds, downed at the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q1 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
3.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 13:56
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
3.4%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
3.4%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:56
4TH & 7
OWN 29
+33
3.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 42 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 33 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3TD
4 plays · 38 yds · 1:3297% → 96%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
3.5%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaMon 33Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 5
OPP 33
+15
3.5%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete to Gossett,Calif, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Marbles, Kender) 15 yards to the ULM18, 1ST DOWN ULL, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+7
3.5%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 3
OPP 11
+11
3.7%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 4FUMBLE
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
3.7%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 15Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 9
OWN 15
-4
3.7%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-4 Yards) to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+8
3.7%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 8 yds to the LaMon 19Similar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 5
OWN 19
+13
3.7%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 13 yds to the LaMon 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-2
3.8%
Jeremy Hunt run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 33 Jeremy Hunt fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Lorenzo McCaskillSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5TD
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:2596% → 96%
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
3.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Josh NewtonSimilar
Q1 10:01
2ND & 10
OPP 33
-1
3.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 11
OPP 34
+16
3.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 16 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-1
3.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 19 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal formation ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 8:15
2ND & 11
OPP 19
+3
4.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q1 8:15
3RD & 8
OPP 16
+10
4.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 10 yds to the LaMon 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
4.2%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 11Similar
Q1 6:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
4.0%
Levi Lewis run for 11 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
4.2%
Jeremy Hunt run for 1 yd to the LaMon 28Similar
Q1 6:36
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+6
4.2%
Kadyn Roach run for 6 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q1 6:36
3RD & 3
OWN 34
0
4.3%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:36
4TH & 3
OWN 34
-22
4.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 43 yds , Trey Amos returns for a loss of 22 yards to the LaLaf 1 Trey Amos fumbled, recovered by LaMon Traveion WebsterSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:395% → 6%
Q1 4:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
4.7%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Cameron Darling for 1 yd for a TD (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 2:2595% → 96%
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
5.1%
Trey Ragas run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+3
5.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
5.0%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:18
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+2
5.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 4:18
3RD & 8
OWN 43
+13
5.1%
Levi Lewis run for 13 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+44
4.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 44 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
5 plays · 78 yds · 1:465% → 7%
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
4.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+25
4.8%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 10 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA Penalty, roughing passer (Zi'Yon Hill) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:53
1ST & 10
50
+43
5.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 43 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
6.9%
Jeremy Hunt run for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Elder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
9 plays · 73 yds · 3:1094% → 95%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+21
6.2%
Trey Ragas run for 21 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+17
5.9%
Levi Lewis run for 17 yds to the LaMon 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
5.8%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+5
5.9%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 31
+14
5.9%
Trey Ragas run for 14 yds to the LaMon 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+16
6.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 16 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
4.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
5.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Malik Jackson for 3 yds to the LaMon 23Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
5.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
5.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Malik JacksonSimilar
Q2 11:50
4TH & 7
OWN 23
0
5.0%
Daniel Sparks punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the LaLaf 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:3895% → 96%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
4.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
5.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae FlemingSimilar
Q2 10:49
3RD & 10
OWN 40
+12
5.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 12 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
4.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 12 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
4.9%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+11
4.9%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaMon 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OPP 16
-5
4.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 21Similar
Q2 10:49
1ST & 15
OPP 21
+7
4.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 7 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q2 10:49
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+7
4.9%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaMon 7Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+7
3.6%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13INT TD
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:094% → 2%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
3.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
4.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Isaiah Phillips, broken up by Andre JonesSimilar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
3.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 6 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-3
4.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 33Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 13
OWN 33
0
3.9%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-53
1.8%
Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted for a TD Bralen Trahan return for 53 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+13
2.0%
Kadyn Roach run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 49 Kadyn Roach fumbled, forced by Mekhi Garner, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:02
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
2.0%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q2 5:02
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
1.9%
Kadyn Roach run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 5:02
3RD & 6
OPP 45
-9
1.9%
Jeremy Hunt sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 46Similar
Q2 5:02
4TH & 15
OWN 46
+40
1.8%
Daniel Sparks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the ULMONROE 14 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive offside ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15TD
13 plays · 86 yds · 2:3497% → 98%
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
3.0%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+10
3.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
2.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 9 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 1
OWN 35
0
2.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:51
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+6
3.1%
Chris Smith run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
2.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 2:51
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+15
2.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 15 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+8
2.8%
Chris Smith run for 8 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q2 0:43
2ND & 2
OPP 32
+5
2.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 5 yds to the LaMon 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:43
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
2.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 5 yds to the LaMon 22Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+22
1.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 22 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
1.3%
Javin Myers run for 1 yd to the LaMon 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · -19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
1.4%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-9
1.3%
Jeremy Hunt sacked by Zi'Yon Hill for a loss of 9 yards to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-12
1.3%
Jeremy Hunt run for a loss of 12 yards to the LaMon 6 UL MONROE Penalty, intentional grounding (Jeremy Hunt) to the LaMon 6Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 29
OWN 6
+4
1.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 41 yds , Dontae Fleming returns for 4 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
6 plays · 43 yds · 2:4599% → 99%
Q3 13:23
2ND & 12
OPP 15
+12
0.9%
Trey Ragas run for 12 yds to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
1.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+22
0.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 22 yds to the LaMon 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
0.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 15Similar
Q3 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
0.9%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaMon 1Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
0.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 1 yd for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 59 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
0.6%
Kadyn Roach run for 8 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 2
OWN 37
0
0.6%
Kadyn Roach run for no gain to the LaMon 37Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+3
0.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 3 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+30
0.7%
Kadyn Roach run for 30 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+6
0.7%
Jeremy Hunt run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 4
OPP 24
+3
0.7%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 3 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 1
OPP 21
+3
0.6%
Javin Myers run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
0.7%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Josh Pederson for 1 yd to the LaLaf 17Similar
Q3 10:38
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+5
0.7%
Javin Myers run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 12Similar
Q3 10:38
3RD & 4
OPP 12
0
0.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:38
4TH & 4
OPP 12
0
0.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-5
0.5%
LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (Jaiave Magalei) to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q3 4:57
1ST & 15
OWN 7
+11
0.6%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 4:57
2ND & 4
OWN 18
0
0.5%
Chris Smith run for no gain to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q3 4:57
3RD & 4
OWN 18
-12
0.5%
Jaiave Magalei sacked by Myles Cole for a loss of 12 yards to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q3 4:57
4TH & 16
OWN 6
0
0.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 42 yds, downed at the LaLaf 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 21TD
10 plays · 48 yds · 2:530% → 0%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
0.3%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 48
+11
0.3%
Isaiah Phillips run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
0.3%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+5
0.3%
Isaiah Phillips run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 5
OPP 32
+18
0.3%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 18 yds to the LaLaf 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
0.3%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 13Similar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 9
OPP 13
0
0.3%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q3 2:47
3RD & 9
OPP 13
+6
0.3%
Hunt, Jeremy pass incomplete to Carter, Perry (Mensah,Patrick), PENALTY ULL pass interference (Mensah,Patrick) 6 yards to the ULL7, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
0.4%
Jeremy Hunt run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 1Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
0.3%
Jeremy Hunt run for no gain Jeremy Hunt fumbled, forced by Kris Moncrief, recovered by LaMon Zach Rasmussen for a TD (Zach Elder PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
0.4%
Michael Orphey Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-10
0.3%
Michael Orphey Jr. run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 46 LOUISIANA Penalty, illegal block (-15 Yards) to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+5
0.4%
Jaiave Magalei pass complete to Damani Burrell for 5 yds to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q4 14:54
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Jaiave Magalei pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:54
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
0.4%
Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Charles Norman run for no gain to the LaMon 16Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 16
0
0.2%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 16
+13
0.2%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Josh Pederson for 13 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Charles NormanSimilar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Malik JacksonSimilar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 10
OWN 29
0
0.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds, downed at the LaLaf 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 4:29100% → 100%
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+12
0.3%
Jordan Griffin run for 12 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
0.3%
Jordan Griffin run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+5
0.2%
Jordan Griffin run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
0.2%
Jordan Griffin run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q4 11:02
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+2
0.2%
Jordan Griffin run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:02
3RD & 5
50
+2
0.2%
Jaiave Magalei pass complete to Michael Orphey Jr. for 2 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 6:33
4TH & 3
OPP 48
+48
0.2%
Michael Orphey Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 25INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann run for 7 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q4 6:33
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+22
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann run for 22 yds to the LaLaf 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:33
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-51
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann pass intercepted Trey Amos return for 51 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26TD
3 plays · 16 yds · 1:32100% → 100%
Q4 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
0.1%
Jordan Griffin run for 4 yds to the LaMon 12Similar
Q4 4:55
2ND & 6
OPP 12
-1
0.1%
Jordan Griffin run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 13Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 7
OPP 13
+13
0.1%
Jaiave Magalei pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 13 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 27DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
0.1%
Kadyn Roach run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 3:23
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+1
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann run for 1 yd to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 3:23
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann run for no gain to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+1
0.1%
Garrett Kahmann pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 1 yd to the LaMon 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 28END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 37Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-2
0.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 5:02
Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted for a TD Bralen Trahan return for 53 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-2.1
TD · Q1 0:07
Jeremy Hunt run for 7 yds for a TD (Zach Elder KICK)
+1.9
TD · Q2 11:50
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 1 yd for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
-1.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com