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CCU

Coastal Carolina 49 at Texas State 14

TXST
2020 · Week 13 · Nov 28, 2020 · Bobcat Stadium (TX)
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Win probability · TXST
modelTXST aheadCCU aheadconfidence bandkey playTXST scoreCCU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 6:03 · TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 43
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+56.0+28.00−28.0−56.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:33: Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK) — TXST win probability +2.7 pts (now 17%) (top driver: TXST has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:54: Reese White run for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +3.8 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:19: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +5.6 pts (now 93%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:25: Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +4.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 10:01: CJ Marable run for 23 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +2.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TXST made the numbers' call on 3 of 6CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00TXST 4th & 6 at TXST 38, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:33CCU 4th & 16 at TXST 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.7%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TXST 4th & 3 at TXST 21, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.8%−0.2
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:35CCU 4th & 1 at TXST 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 81.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    81.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.4%−0.7
    79% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−3.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:48TXST 4th & 2 at TXST 30, down 14
    Close callPunted · 15.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.1%−0.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:35TXST 4th & 8 at TXST 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.3%−0.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00CCU 4th & 1 at TXST 28, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.0%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:54TXST 4th & 11 at CCU 45, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    1.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    Punt
    1.5%
    average punt
  9. Q3 7:47CCU 4th & 7 at CCU 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:39TXST 4th & 11 at CCU 12, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.0%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    1.1%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.6%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TXST made the numbers' call on 2 of 2CCU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 10:46CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:08CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:33TXST Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:54CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 4:19CCU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:25CCU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 10:01CCU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 6:08TXST Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TXSTDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-9
13.4%
Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSt 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 19
OWN 25
+5
13.4%
Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 5 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 30
+5
13.4%
McBride, Brady sideline pass incomplete to Banks,Javen, PENALTY CCU offside (Gunter, J.) 5 yards to the TXST35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+3
13.4%
Brady McBride run for 3 yds to the TexSt 38Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
13.4%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 43 yds, downed at the CCaro 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:4386% → 86%
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
14.1%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
14.1%
CJ Marable run for 5 yds to the CCaro 24Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+42
14.1%
CJ Marable run for 42 yds to the TexSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:29
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
14.0%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 35Similar
Q1 13:29
2ND & 11
OPP 35
+7
14.0%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q1 13:29
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+14
14.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 14 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
14.3%
CJ Marable run for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 3FUMBLE
4 plays · 17 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
14.6%
Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 2 yds to the TexSt 30Similar
Q1 10:39
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+10
14.6%
Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 10 yds to the TexSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
14.7%
Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds Jeremiah Haydel fumbled, forced by Alex Spillum, recovered by CCaro Alex SpillumSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:3185% → 87%
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+24
14.6%
CJ Marable run for 24 yds to the TexSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
14.6%
Shermari Jones run for 8 yds to the TexSt 13Similar
Q1 9:39
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
14.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for no gain CJ Marable fumbled, forced by Hal Vinson, recovered by CCaro CJ MarableSimilar
Q1 9:39
3RD & 2
OPP 13
+4
14.6%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
13.5%
CJ Marable run for 9 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 5TD
9 plays · 77 yds · 2:3014% → 17%
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
14.2%
Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 5 yds to the TexSt 28Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+5
14.3%
McBride, Brady deep out pass incomplete to GrahamJr, T, PENALTY CCU offside (Clark, J.) 5 yards to the TXST33, 1ST DOWN TXST, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
14.2%
Brock Sturges run for 3 yds to the TexSt 36Similar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+12
14.4%
Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 12 yds to the TexSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
14.6%
Brady McBride pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+12
14.5%
Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 12 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:03
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+26
14.6%
Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 26 yds to the CCaro 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
17.2%
Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 14 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0084% → 84%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.1%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
15.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 16 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
15.7%
Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-10
15.6%
Jones, S. rush over right tackle for 4 yards to the TXST37 (Anderson,Kevin;Coleman,M), PENALTY CCU holding (Likely, I.) 10 yards to the CCU49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:33
1ST & 20
OWN 49
+4
15.8%
Reese White run for 4 yds to the TexSt 47Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 16
OPP 47
0
15.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 16
OPP 47
0
16.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 16
OPP 47
0
16.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 44 yds, downed at the TexSt 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 18 yds · 1:3217% → 17%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+6
16.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Trevis Graham Jr. for 6 yds to the TexSt 9Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 4
OWN 9
0
16.9%
Calvin Hill run for no gain to the TexSt 9Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 4
OWN 9
+5
16.6%
Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 5 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
16.9%
Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 13Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 13
+8
17.3%
Calvin Hill run for 8 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 21
0
17.1%
Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson and Silas Kelly for 0 yards to the TexSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 21
0
16.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 3:4183% → 87%
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+18
16.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 18 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+10
16.7%
Reese White run for 10 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
16.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q2 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+6
16.6%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q2 13:35
3RD & 4
OPP 21
+3
16.7%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18Similar
Q2 13:35
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+3
17.1%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
16.6%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds to the TexSt 10Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+10
12.7%
Reese White run for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q2 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
13.8%
Brady McBride pass complete to Javen Banks for 2 yds to the TexSt 24Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
13.9%
Brady McBride run for 7 yds to the TexSt 31Similar
Q2 9:48
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-1
14.2%
Brock Sturges run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 30Similar
Q2 9:48
4TH & 2
OWN 30
0
13.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 48 yds, downed at the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 3:3787% → 93%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
13.5%
CJ Marable run for 6 yds to the CCaro 28Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+33
13.4%
Reese White run for 33 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
12.8%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 5
OPP 34
-2
12.8%
Grayson McCall run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 36Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+9
13.0%
Grayson McCall run for 9 yds to the TexSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+13
12.8%
Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
7.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 2 yds · 0:449% → 9%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
8.9%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin HillSimilar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
8.8%
Hill,Calvin rush over right tackle for 11 yards to the TXST36 (Strong, D.;Kelly, S.), PENALTY TXST holding (Heitmeier,Tate) 10 yards to the TXST15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:19
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
8.8%
Brady McBride pass complete to Chandler Speights for 5 yds to the TexSt 20Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-5
8.9%
TEXAS STATE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSt 15Similar
Q2 3:35
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+12
8.9%
Calvin Hill run for 12 yds to the TexSt 27Similar
Q2 3:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
8.9%
Seamus O'Kelly punt for 50 yds, downed at the CCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 77 yds · 2:3291% → 96%
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
8.8%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 2
OWN 31
-2
8.9%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 4
OWN 29
+15
9.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 15 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
8.5%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Greg LatushkoSimilar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-5
8.5%
McCall, G. sideline pass complete to Heiligh, J. for 13 yards to the TXST43, out-of-bounds (Morris, Jarron), PENALTY CCU ineligible downfield on pass (Carter, T.) 5 yards to the CCU39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:57
2ND & 15
OWN 39
+8
8.6%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 2:57
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+14
8.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+25
8.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 25 yds to the TexSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+7
8.2%
McCall, G. pass incomplete to Heiligh, J., PENALTY TXST roughing passer (Tupou,Sione) 7 yards to the TXST7, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
4.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 13END OF HALF
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.2%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Jeremiah HaydelSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+11
4.1%
Brock Sturges run for 11 yds to the TexSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-2
4.4%
Brock Sturges run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:5995% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
4.7%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
4.8%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+26
4.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 26 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+3
4.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 34
+5
4.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Bryce Carpenter for 5 yds to the TexSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+1
4.1%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the TexSt 28Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 28
+4
4.7%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
4.4%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the TexSt 23Similar
Q3 10:01
2ND & 9
OPP 23
+23
1.4%
CJ Marable run for 23 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 15DOWNS
8 plays · 37 yds · 0:001% → 2%
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
1.4%
Calvin Hill run for 9 yds to the TexSt 35Similar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
1.4%
Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for 4 yds to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
1.5%
Brady McBride run for 17 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
1.6%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Calvin HillSimilar
Q3 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 44
-1
1.5%
Jahmyl Jeter run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 45Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
1.5%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell BarbeeSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 11
OPP 45
+8
1.5%
Brady McBride run for 8 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 98%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
1.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Jarron MorrisSimilar
Q3 7:47
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+3
1.2%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
1.2%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron Brown, broken up by Kordell RodgersSimilar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
1.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 38 yds , Jeremiah Haydel returns for no gain to the TexSt 19 Jeremiah Haydel fumbled, recovered by TexSt Robert Brown Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 75 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
1.1%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 22Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
1.0%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the TexSt 25Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+32
1.0%
Brady McBride pass complete to Marcell Barbee for 32 yds to the CCaro 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+3
1.2%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 3 yds to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 7
OPP 40
0
1.2%
Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for no gain to the CCaro 40Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 7
OPP 40
+29
1.2%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 29 yds to the CCaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
1.3%
Brady McBride pass incomplete to Marcell BarbeeSimilar
Q3 6:39
2ND & 10
OPP 11
-6
1.3%
Brady McBride sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 6:39
3RD & 16
OPP 17
+5
1.1%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds to the CCaro 12Similar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 11
OPP 12
+6
1.1%
Brady McBride pass complete to Drue Jackson for 6 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18TD
14 plays · 94 yds · 7:1199% → 100%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
0.7%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 10Similar
Q3 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+12
0.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Baden Pinson for 12 yds to the CCaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
0.5%
Shermari Jones run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+15
0.5%
Shermari Jones run for 15 yds to the CCaro 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
0.5%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+22
0.5%
Fred Payton run for 22 yds to the TexSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
0.5%
Bryce Carpenter run for 4 yds to the TexSt 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+9
0.5%
Baden Pinson run for 9 yds to the TexSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+3
0.5%
Baden Pinson run for 3 yds to the TexSt 21Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 21
0
0.5%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+3
0.5%
Fred Payton run for 3 yds to the TexSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 18
+15
0.6%
Payton, F. deep out pass incomplete to McCarthy, C., PENALTY TXST pass interference (Mask, DeJordan) 15 yards to the TXST3, 1ST DOWN CCU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-2
0.4%
Bryce Carpenter run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSt 5Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+9
0.2%
TEAM run for no gain TEAM fumbled, recovered by CCaro Baden Pinson , return for 9 yds (Kieran Colahan KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TXSTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 66 yds · 2:460% → 0%
Q4 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
0.2%
Calvin Hill run for 6 yds to the TexSt 40Similar
Q4 8:54
2ND & 4
OWN 40
-1
0.2%
Brady McBride pass complete to Jeremiah Haydel for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSt 39Similar
Q4 8:54
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+53
0.2%
Brady McBride pass complete to Calvin Hill for 53 yds to the CCaro 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
0.3%
Jah'Marae Sheread run for 3 yds to the CCaro 5Similar
Q4 6:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
0.2%
Jahmyl Jeter run for 5 yds for a TD (Seth Keller KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20END OF GAME
11 plays · 43 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+4
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+14
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 14 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+4
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 4 yds to the CCaro 45Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+6
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 6 yds to the TexSt 43Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
0.2%
Baden Pinson run for 3 yds to the TexSt 40Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+1
0.2%
CJ Beasley run for 1 yd to the TexSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-4
0.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSt 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:19
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 14 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-5.6
TD · Q2 0:25
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-4.1
TD · Q2 9:54
Reese White run for 10 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
-3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com