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APP

App State 23 at Coastal Carolina 34

CCU
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG+1.3CCU 59.8%Massimo Biscardi 51 yd FG GOODAWAY 7 - HOME 9 · Q2 10:50
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 10:50 · Massimo Biscardi 51 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+6.4Home team on offense+1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:09: Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 25 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +13.6 pts (now 65%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 14:11: Grayson McCall run for 62 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CCU win probability +15.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: One-score game).
  3. TD · Q3 6:21: Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — CCU win probability +16.9 pts (now 67%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 11:47: Chandler Staton 45 yd FG GOOD — APP win probability +13.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:24: Reese White run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed) — CCU win probability +34.0 pts (now 92%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4APP made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 6:22APP 4th & 12 at APP 28, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:54CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 36, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:19CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 58.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    59.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    58.1%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:50CCU 4th & 25 at APP 33, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.2%−1.3
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    56.5%
    49% to make
    Punt
    56.1%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:57APP 4th & 22 at CCU 27, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−2.3
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    32.8%−4.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:00CCU 4th & 15 at CCU 49, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%−1.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.8%
    average punt
  7. Q4 11:47APP 4th & 5 at CCU 27, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%−1.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−12.9
    average punt
  8. Q4 1:20APP 4th & 20 at APP 9, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.8%
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    7.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q4 0:52APP 4th & 4 at APP 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    3.7%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 5APP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:40APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:29CCU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    59.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:09APP Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:11CCU Touchdown, down 2 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    54.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:21CCU Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    65.1%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    64.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:24CCU Touchdown, up 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersWent for two · failed
    Kick
    78.5%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    79.3%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:20CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
APPDrive 1TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 3:1541% → 42%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
59.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 5 yds to the AppSt 35Similar
Q1 14:14
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+50
59.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 50 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:46
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+8
59.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 8 yds to the CCaro 7Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 2
OPP 7
+1
59.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the CCaro 6Similar
Q1 12:36
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+3
59.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the CCaro 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
59.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q1 11:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
59.1%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
Q1 11:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 11:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
59.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 75 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 3PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 4:4540% → 40%
Q1 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+6
59.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 13Similar
Q1 10:38
2ND & 4
OWN 13
+6
59.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
59.5%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Cooper Hodges) to the AppSt 14Similar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 15
OWN 14
+13
59.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 13 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q1 9:25
2ND & 2
OWN 27
+3
59.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-10
59.3%
Zac Thomas sacked by Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 10 yards to the AppSt 20 Zac Thomas fumbled, forced by Jeffrey Gunter, recovered by AppSt Christian Wells , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 7:59
2ND & 20
OWN 20
+9
59.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 7:31
3RD & 11
OWN 29
-5
59.4%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Noah Hannon) to the AppSt 24Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 16
OWN 24
+4
59.5%
Zac Thomas run for 4 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 6:22
4TH & 12
OWN 28
0
59.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 36 yds, downed at the CCaro 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:1759% → 58%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
58.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 8 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 2
OWN 44
0
59.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-8
59.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 8 yards to the CCaro 36Similar
Q1 4:54
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
57.9%
Charles Ouverson punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 5MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:3441% → 43%
Q1 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
58.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 11 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
58.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 7 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+9
57.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 9 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
57.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 3:00
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+4
57.2%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the CCaro 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-4
56.1%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 33Similar
Q1 1:18
2ND & 14
OPP 33
0
56.8%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
Q1 1:14
3RD & 14
OPP 33
0
57.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Jalen VirgilSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6FG
9 plays · 27 yds · 5:0160% → 60%
Q1 0:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
59.5%
Grayson McCall run for 6 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
59.7%
CJ Marable run for 3 yds to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
59.4%
Reese White run for no gain to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 14:19
4TH & 1
OWN 49
+2
58.9%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+31
59.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 31 yds to the AppSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:43
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
60.7%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 12:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
-8
60.8%
Grayson McCall sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 25Similar
Q2 11:15
3RD & 17
OPP 25
-8
58.5%
Grayson McCall sacked by Demetrius Taylor for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 33 Grayson McCall fumbled, forced by Demetrius Taylor, recovered by CCaro Grayson McCall , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 10:50
4TH & 25
OPP 33
+51
59.8%
Massimo Biscardi 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7FG
14 plays · 48 yds · 5:5239% → 44%
Q2 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
60.7%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Henry Pearson) to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 10:42
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+14
60.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+18
59.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 18 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
58.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 11 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
58.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q2 9:02
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+4
57.4%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the CCaro 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
57.4%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the CCaro 22Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+2
57.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+5
58.7%
Nate Noel run for 5 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
57.7%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 6:07
2ND & 8
OPP 13
0
57.6%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the CCaro 13Similar
Q2 5:34
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-14
58.6%
Zac Thomas sacked by C.J. Brewer and Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 14 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
Q2 4:57
4TH & 22
OPP 27
+44
55.6%
Chandler Staton 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 25 yds · 3:3356% → 56%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
56.4%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 4:12
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
56.5%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:55
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+13
55.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 13 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
57.5%
Grayson McCall run for 7 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q2 3:08
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+1
58.9%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+7
57.9%
Fred Payton run for 7 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
59.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to CJ MarableSimilar
Q2 1:44
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
58.9%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 6
OPP 42
-9
58.6%
Grayson McCall sacked by D'Marco Jackson and Nick Hampton for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 49Similar
Q2 1:00
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
55.8%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
13 plays · 84 yds · 0:4546% → 65%
Q2 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+8
54.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 2
OWN 24
+9
53.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+16
53.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 16 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
51.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 0:26
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
51.8%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 0:21
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+8
51.4%
Zac Thomas run for 8 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
50.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:19
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+5
50.3%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Tarron Jackson) to the CCaro 34Similar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+9
48.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the CCaro 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
35.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 25 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:4442% → 55%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
41.6%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
40.7%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam DenmarkSimilar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 12
OWN 33
+5
39.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jackson Gibbs) to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+62
54.7%
Grayson McCall run for 62 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 12FG
6 plays · 69 yds · 2:2548% → 59%
Q3 13:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
-2
52.3%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 9Similar
Q3 13:50
2ND & 12
OWN 9
+5
53.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the AppSt 14Similar
Q3 12:41
3RD & 7
OWN 14
+62
53.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 62 yds to the CCaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
47.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q3 12:10
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
48.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+1
41.4%
Zac Thomas run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13TD
11 plays · 65 yds · 4:2446% → 67%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
45.9%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q3 10:12
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
48.2%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the CCaro 44Similar
Q3 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
47.4%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the CCaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
47.6%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q3 8:32
2ND & 8
OWN 47
0
48.0%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+12
45.3%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 12 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
48.5%
McCall, Grayson pass incomplete, PENALTY APPALCHAN pass interference (Jean-Charles, Shemar) 15 yards to the APPALCHAN26, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q3 7:42
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
50.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q3 7:19
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+14
49.9%
CJ Marable run for 14 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-7
50.0%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 7 yards to the AppSt 19Similar
Q3 6:21
2ND & 17
OPP 19
+19
66.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 14INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 1:5839% → 41%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
61.4%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 31Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
62.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+5
59.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 5 yds to the AppSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
58.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q3 4:08
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
59.4%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15PUNT
3 plays · 2 yds · 1:1364% → 63%
Q3 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
64.1%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q3 2:31
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-1
65.5%
Reese White run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 38Similar
Q3 2:03
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
62.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FG
11 plays · 53 yds · 5:0238% → 56%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
61.9%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 24Similar
Q3 1:19
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+10
61.5%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
60.7%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+15
60.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
50
+9
57.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Nate Noel for 9 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 1
OPP 41
+9
56.5%
Nate Noel run for 9 yds to the CCaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
55.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+4
54.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the CCaro 25Similar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-2
57.6%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 27Similar
Q4 11:47
4TH & 5
OPP 27
+45
43.8%
Chandler Staton 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 76 yds · 2:0951% → 62%
Q4 11:06
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-2
51.0%
Grayson McCall sacked by Jordon Earle and Hansky Paillant for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 16Similar
Q4 10:50
2ND & 12
OWN 16
+48
50.4%
CJ Marable run for 48 yds to the AppSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+8
57.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 2
OPP 28
+22
60.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 22 yds to the AppSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 0
OPP 6
+5
62.2%
Grayson McCall run for 5 yds Grayson McCall fumbled, forced by Kaiden Smith, recovered by AppSt Nick Hampton in the end zone for a TouchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 18INT
4 plays · 13 yds · 1:4957% → 60%
Q4 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
43.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q4 8:19
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
40.9%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
40.6%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the AppSt 33Similar
Q4 6:59
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-7
40.3%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Alex Spillum return for 7 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 19TD
13 plays · 49 yds · 4:1156% → 92%
Q4 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
55.9%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the AppSt 48Similar
Q4 6:20
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+15
55.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 15 yds to the AppSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:55
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
59.6%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Isaiah LikelySimilar
Q4 5:50
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
59.3%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q4 5:17
3RD & 10
OPP 33
+11
53.2%
Reese White run for 11 yds to the AppSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
57.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the AppSt 15Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+1
54.3%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the AppSt 14Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 2
OPP 14
+4
47.3%
Grayson McCall run for 4 yds to the AppSt 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
50.4%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the AppSt 7Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
50.3%
Marable, CJ rush for loss of 3 yards to the APPALCHAN10, PENALTY APPALCHAN face mask (Harrington, Brendan) 4 yards to the APPALCHAN3, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN COASTALCAR.Similar
Q4 2:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.3%
Reese White run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20INT TD
7 plays · -10 yds · 0:4515% → 2%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
85.5%
Zac Thomas run for 3 yds to the AppSt 22Similar
Q4 1:54
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-5
85.2%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, False Start (Cole Garrison) to the AppSt 17Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 12
OWN 17
0
85.8%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 1:29
3RD & 12
OWN 17
-8
87.2%
Zac Thomas sacked by C.J. Brewer for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 9Similar
Q4 1:20
4TH & 20
OWN 9
-38
97.9%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted for a TD D'Jordan Strong return for 38 yds for a TD Timeout COASTL CAROLINA, clock 01:20 (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 21DOWNS
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:163% → 2%
Q4 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.3%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christan HornSimilar
Q4 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 6 yds to the AppSt 40Similar
Q4 0:58
3RD & 4
OWN 40
0
97.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q4 0:52
4TH & 4
OWN 40
0
97.6%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Dashaun DavisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22END OF 4TH QUARTER
2 plays · -4 yds · 0:4198% → 98%
Q4 0:41
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 42Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:24
Reese White run for 3 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)
+34
TD · Q3 6:21
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 19 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+16.9
TD · Q3 14:11
Grayson McCall run for 62 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
+15.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com