Try the model
USA

South Alabama 10 at Louisiana 38

UL
2020 · Week 11 · Nov 14, 2020 · Cajun Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+3.9UL 98.2%Kenneth Almendares 25 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 31 · Q3 2:32
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 2:32 · Kenneth Almendares 25 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Pregame prior+11.3Home team on offense+28.8Score differential+17.8Garbage-time factor+9.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.2Blowout margin−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:28: Chris Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +1.4 pts (now 86%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:54: Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +4.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:04: Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) (Diego Guajardo KICK) LOUISIANA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — USA win probability +3.9 pts (now 16%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:55: Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK) — UL win probability +4.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 2:32: Kenneth Almendares 25 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +3.9 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 7 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:25USA 4th & 11 at USA 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 1:05USA 4th & 8 at UL 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.2%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    12.7%−2.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UL 4th & 5 at UL 49, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.9%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    82.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:47USA 4th & 8 at USA 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.0%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:59UL 4th & 1 at USA 32, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 83.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    83.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    82.6%−1.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    82.2%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 7:54USA 4th & 1 at UL 8, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    10.8%−1.7
    90% to make
    Punt
    6.4%−6.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:55UL 4th & 1 at USA 44, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    87.6%−2.6
    27% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:50USA 4th & 4 at UL 37, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    8.5%−1.1
    40% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:50USA 4th & 3 at UL 23, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−0.5
    70% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−4.9
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:23USA 4th & 7 at UL 16, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 6.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.8%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    1.5%−4.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:32UL 4th & 8 at USA 8, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    90% to make
    Punt
    92.7%−2.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:27USA 4th & 6 at USA 44, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:59UL 4th & 1 at USA 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    66% to make
    Punt
    97.5%−1.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:59USA 4th & 3 at USA 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:15UL 4th & 16 at USA 38, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:47USA 4th & 8 at USA 22, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 5:36UL 4th & 10 at UL 44, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 5 of 5USA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:25UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:28UL Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:54UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:04USA Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 1:55UL Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:59UL Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1INT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
84.4%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+15
84.4%
Carlos Davis rush for no gain to the USA28 (Jones,Andre), PENALTY LA face mask (Jones,Andre) 15 yards to the USA43, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
84.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
-5
84.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Carlos Davis) to the SAlab 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+2
84.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 40
0
84.4%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted Percy Butler return for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2TD
9 plays · 57 yds · 3:0784% → 84%
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
84.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 3
50
+17
84.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ULLAFAYTTE 48 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the SAlab 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
84.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+8
84.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
84.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 8 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+3
84.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
84.1%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q1 13:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
84.1%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
84.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 5 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
83.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete, broken up by Andre LandrySimilar
Q1 10:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
83.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete, broken up by Mekhi GarnerSimilar
Q1 10:25
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-1
84.0%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Andre Jones and Jourdan Quibodeaux for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 10:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+38
84.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 38 yds to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
3 plays · 26 yds · 0:4984% → 86%
Q1 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
84.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Keith GallmonSimilar
Q1 9:17
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+4
84.3%
Trey Ragas run for 4 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 8:28
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+22
85.7%
Chris Smith run for 22 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5FG
16 plays · 52 yds · 7:1415% → 16%
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
85.0%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+3
84.8%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 48Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+3
84.8%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
84.8%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 48Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 9
OPP 48
+1
84.9%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+9
84.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 9 yds to the LaLaf 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
84.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+1
84.8%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & 9
OPP 37
+12
84.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 12 yds to the LaLaf 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
84.6%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 21Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & 6
OPP 21
+14
84.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 14 yds to the LaLaf 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
84.6%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 9Similar
Q1 8:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
84.6%
Terrion Avery run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q1 8:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
84.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete, broken up by Cameron SolomonSimilar
Q1 1:05
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+26
83.8%
Diego Guajardo 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6FUMBLE
6 plays · 38 yds · 1:0584% → 84%
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
84.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 19 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
84.5%
Elijah Mitchell run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+4
84.4%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 49
0
84.3%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen Williams, broken up by Keon VoisinSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 49
+2
83.9%
Tanner Wiggins run for 2 yds to the SAlab 37 Tanner Wiggins fumbled, forced by Devin Voisin, recovered by SAlab Doug SullivanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-8
83.7%
Kawaan Baker run for 2 yds to the SAlab 39 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive holding (Jalen Tolbert) to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 18
OWN 29
+5
84.0%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+5
84.0%
Terrion Avery run for 5 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 8
OWN 39
0
83.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 8
OWN 39
0
84.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaLaf 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 5:0585% → 90%
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
84.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dalen Cambre for 10 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+24
84.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 24 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
85.4%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-5
85.4%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 15
OPP 46
+11
85.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 11 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q2 12:59
3RD & 4
OPP 35
+3
85.1%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 12:59
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+7
84.7%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the SAlab 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
85.4%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+20
85.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Elijah Mitchell for 20 yds to the SAlab 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
85.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 3 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q2 12:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
85.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 3Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:5011% → 16%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
89.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker (Amos,Trey), PENALTY LA pass interference (Amos,Trey) 9 yards to the USA34, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+24
89.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 24 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
88.5%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+23
88.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 23 yds to the LaLaf 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
88.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 2 yds to the LaLaf 15Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 8
OPP 15
0
88.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 8
OPP 15
+7
88.4%
Terrion Avery run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 8Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 8
+2
88.5%
Terrion Avery run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
88.0%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 7Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
88.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Mekhi GarnerSimilar
Q2 4:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
84.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) (Diego Guajardo KICK) LOUISIANA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 10TD
7 plays · 78 yds · 2:0486% → 91%
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
85.6%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Jalen WilliamsSimilar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 22
0
85.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q2 3:59
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+17
85.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 17 yds to the LaLaf 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+47
86.2%
Chris Smith run for 47 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
86.3%
Elijah Mitchell run for 9 yds to the SAlab 5Similar
Q2 1:55
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
91.2%
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11FUMBLE
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:009% → 11%
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
90.6%
LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Tanner Wiggins) to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
90.0%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 1:46
2ND & 7
OWN 43
0
90.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Terrion AverySimilar
Q2 1:46
3RD & 7
OWN 43
+15
90.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 15 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-7
89.3%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Percy Butler for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 49 Desmond Trotter fumbled, recovered by LaLaf Zi'Yon Hill , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 12INT
9 plays · 37 yds · 0:5692% → 91%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
91.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 8 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+2
91.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+7
91.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 7 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 3
OPP 34
+5
90.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 5 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
90.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 9 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 0:36
2ND & 1
OPP 20
+6
90.6%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the SAlab 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
91.3%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Nick Mobley return for 15 yds to the SAlab 0 LOUISIANA Penalty, personal foul (Trey Ragas) to the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
90.5%
Terrion Avery run for 12 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 14DOWNS
8 plays · 28 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
91.1%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+3
91.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+12
90.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Dontae Fleming for 12 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
91.4%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Dontae Fleming, broken up by Devin RocketteSimilar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
91.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 6 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 47
+3
91.0%
Levi Lewis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 14:55
4TH & 1
OPP 44
0
90.6%
Elijah Mitchell run for no gain to the SAlab 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15DOWNS
16 plays · 46 yds · 4:279% → 8%
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+13
91.3%
Terrion Avery run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
90.9%
Terrion Avery run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 2
OPP 35
-7
90.2%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Mekhi Garner for a loss of 7 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 9
OPP 42
+5
91.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 5 yds to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+7
91.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 7 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
90.4%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q3 11:50
1ST & 15
OPP 35
0
90.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan Baker, broken up by Joe DillonSimilar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 15
OPP 35
+5
91.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert (Trahan,Bralen), PENALTY LA offside defense (Dillon,Joe) 5 yards to the LA30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+4
90.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 4 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 11:50
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+3
90.8%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q3 11:50
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+4
90.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the LaLaf 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
91.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Andre RileySimilar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+3
91.6%
Kawaan Baker run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 7
OPP 16
0
91.9%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q3 7:23
4TH & 7
OPP 16
+6
92.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 6 yds to the LaLaf 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 16FG
8 plays · 82 yds · 3:5494% → 98%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+25
94.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Neal Johnson for 25 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
94.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+47
94.8%
Trey Ragas run for 47 yds to the SAlab 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
94.9%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the SAlab 7Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+5
94.9%
Trey Ragas run for 5 yds to the SAlab 2Similar
Q3 6:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
94.8%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 3Similar
Q3 6:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
-5
94.3%
LOUISIANA Penalty, delay of game (Levi Lewis) to the SAlab 8Similar
Q3 2:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
98.2%
Kenneth Almendares 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.4%
Desmond Trotter pass intercepted by Garror,Eric at the LA35, Garror,Eric return to the USA25 (Brandon Crum), PENALTY LA roughing passer (Jourdan Quibodeaux) 15 yards to the USA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 2 yds to the SAlab 42Similar
Q3 2:27
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-1
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Terrion Avery for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 41Similar
Q3 2:27
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+3
97.3%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 2:27
4TH & 6
OWN 44
0
97.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 18TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 4:1699% → 100%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
98.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Chris Smith for 10 yds to the LaLaf 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
98.9%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Calif GossettSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+8
98.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Calif Gossett for 8 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+17
98.9%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 17 yds to the SAlab 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
99.0%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the SAlab 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+4
99.0%
Elijah Mitchell run for 4 yds to the SAlab 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
99.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+7
98.9%
Chris Smith run for 7 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 27
+2
98.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 1
OPP 25
+25
99.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 25 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19DOWNS
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Mekhi GarnerSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Jack Brooks punt 36 yards to the LA33, downed, PENALTY LA offside defense 5 yards to the USA36, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Cade Sutherland, broken up by Mekhi GarnerSimilar
Q4 10:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+7
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 7 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 10:59
3RD & 3
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Cade SutherlandSimilar
Q4 10:59
4TH & 3
OWN 43
0
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass incomplete to Devin Voisin, broken up by Bralen TrahanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Neal Johnson, broken up by Keith GallmonSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+11
99.9%
Chris Smith run for 11 yds to the SAlab 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-6
99.9%
Chandler Fields sacked by Shawn Jennings for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 38 LOUISIANA Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 16
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Brian Smith Jr.Similar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 16
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Dalen Cambre, broken up by Davyn FlenordSimilar
Q4 9:15
4TH & 16
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 38 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
John Tank Miller run for 2 yds to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 7:47
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+6
99.9%
Chance Lovertich run for 6 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 2
OWN 28
-5
99.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 23Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 7
OWN 23
-1
99.9%
Chance Lovertich pass complete to Kawaan Baker for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 22Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Dontae Fleming at the LaLaf 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 5
OWN 49
-5
99.9%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 5:36
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Emani Bailey run for no gain to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 5:36
3RD & 10
OWN 44
0
99.9%
Chandler Fields pass incomplete to Emani BaileySimilar
Q4 5:36
4TH & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Rhys Byrns punt for 48 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 1 yd to the SAlab 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23END OF GAME
7 plays · 41 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
99.9%
AJ Phillips run for 4 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+7
99.9%
AJ Phillips run for 7 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
99.9%
AJ Phillips run for 4 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+14
99.9%
John Tank Miller run for 14 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
John Tank Miller run for 5 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+3
99.9%
John Tank Miller run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q4 3:45
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
AJ Phillips run for 4 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 1:55
Elijah Mitchell run for 5 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+4.9
TD · Q2 7:54
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 3 yds for a TD (Kenneth Almendares KICK)
+4.2
TD · Q2 4:04
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 7 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) (Diego Guajardo KICK) LOUISIANA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined
-3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com