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TROY

Troy 13 at Georgia Southern 20

GASO
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGFGFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:36 · Jack Martin punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialTime remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 149Home team on offense+15.3Pregame prior−0.4Garbage-time factor+4.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.8Score differential+3.3Time remaining+2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:25: Shai Werts pass intercepted for a TD Dell Pettus return for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Legassey KICK) — TROY win probability +7.5 pts (now 55%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 8:26: Evan Legassey 20 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +7.1 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:37: Gerald Green run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +20.1 pts (now 55%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 2:18: Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +21.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:14: Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33 — GASO win probability +8.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9TROY made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 1 at TROY 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 43.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    43.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−0.3
    25% to make
    Punt
    43.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:03TROY 4th & 2 at GASO 16, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 55.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−1.0
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:03GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:51TROY 4th & 6 at GASO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:18GASO 4th & 4 at TROY 6, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 49.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    49.4%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    46.3%−3.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:11TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 36, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:28GASO 4th & 5 at TROY 18, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    38.3%−5.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:05TROY 4th & 9 at GASO 17, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−6.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 47, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.2%−1.8
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:59GASO 4th & 1 at GASO 10, down 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 40.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.1%−3.0
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:26TROY 4th & 2 at GASO 2, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.4%−2.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−13.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:31TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.6%−2.6
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 15 at GASO 26, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.7%−4.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:08TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−1.8
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:38GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.4%−3.0
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.4%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:41TROY 4th & 8 at GASO 33, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.2 ptsWent for it · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.9%−1.2
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    21.1%
    49% to make
    Punt
    17.5%−3.6
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:17GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 47, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 85.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.2%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:36TROY 4th & 11 at TROY 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.0%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:40GASO 4th & 4 at TROY 16, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.0%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−4.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 9:25TROY Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 7:37GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 2:18GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
44.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+9
44.2%
Logan Wright run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+17
44.2%
J.D. King run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
44.2%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Troy 49Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+4
44.2%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
44.2%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
44.2%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 2MISSED FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 2:3055% → 55%
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
44.8%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+3
44.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the Troy 48Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+14
44.9%
Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 14 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
44.7%
Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 14 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
44.6%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:33
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+4
44.7%
Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 4 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 11:33
3RD & 6
OPP 20
+4
44.8%
Jacob Free pass complete to Marcus Rogers for 4 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+34
45.4%
Evan Legassey 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
45.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 12
OWN 18
-4
45.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 16
OWN 14
+1
45.5%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 15
OWN 15
0
45.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 38 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the Troy 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
45.3%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 4 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 6
OPP 49
0
45.2%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
45.3%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
46.0%
Jack Martin punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5FG
18 plays · 87 yds · 10:5346% → 51%
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
46.3%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+6
46.2%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 5
OWN 12
+10
45.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to J.D. King for 10 yds to the GeoSo 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+9
46.4%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 1
OWN 31
+2
46.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
46.5%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 36Similar
Q1 6:11
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
46.9%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 6:11
3RD & 6
OWN 37
+8
46.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+19
47.2%
Logan Wright run for 19 yds to the Troy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
47.4%
Gerald Green run for 3 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 33
+2
50.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+6
49.7%
Logan Wright run for 6 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+8
50.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the Troy 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 17
+5
50.2%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the Troy 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-4
50.2%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 16Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 16
+10
49.9%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the Troy 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 6
0
49.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for no gain to the Troy 6Similar
Q2 10:18
4TH & 4
OPP 6
+23
51.4%
Alex Raynor 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0049% → 48%
Q2 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
50.9%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
51.2%
Free, Jacob pass incomplete to *, PENALTY GS offside 5 yards to the TROY36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:11
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
50.0%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
3RD & 5
OWN 36
0
51.1%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:11
4TH & 5
OWN 36
+9
52.1%
Jack Martin punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 14 , Khaleb Hood returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7INT TD
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-44
44.7%
Shai Werts pass intercepted for a TD Dell Pettus return for 44 yds for a TD, (Evan Legassey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8FG
14 plays · 57 yds · 6:5745% → 51%
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
44.9%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
44.7%
Logan Wright run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 9:25
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
45.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+4
45.8%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 6
OWN 43
+23
46.9%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the GASOUTHERN 49 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Reddy Steward) to the Troy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
48.2%
J.D. King run for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
Q2 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
48.2%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the Troy 28 Gerald Green fumbled,Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 4
OPP 28
+5
47.8%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
49.2%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the Troy 21Similar
Q2 5:04
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+1
49.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the Troy 20Similar
Q2 5:04
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+2
47.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 2 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
50.5%
Alex Raynor 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9FG
11 plays · 48 yds · 1:1854% → 59%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
45.7%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the Troy 37Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
45.4%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray EaffordSimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+12
46.1%
Jacob Free pass complete to Tray Eafford for 12 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+33
43.8%
Jacob Free pass complete to Tez Johnson for 33 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
40.4%
TROY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 1:39
1ST & 15
OPP 23
0
41.0%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:39
2ND & 15
OPP 23
+6
41.7%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 6 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q2 1:39
3RD & 9
OPP 17
0
42.2%
Jacob Free pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 9
OPP 17
+35
40.8%
Evan Legassey 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10END OF HALF
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:0043% → 45%
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
43.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+14
45.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 14 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
45.8%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q2 1:05
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+2
45.7%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 7
OWN 48
-6
45.3%
Shai Werts sacked by Richard Jibunor for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
41.3%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
40.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 3 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+5
40.4%
B.J. Smith run for 5 yds to the Troy 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
39.9%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Kaylon GeigerSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-1
40.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to B.J. Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 47
0
41.7%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Orlando Lacey, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 47
0
43.5%
Jack Martin punt for 52 yds, downed at the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 41%
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+3
42.6%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q3 12:59
2ND & 7
OWN 4
+2
42.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q3 12:59
3RD & 5
OWN 6
+4
41.2%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 12:59
4TH & 1
OWN 10
0
40.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 42 yds , Tez Johnson returns for no gain to the GeoSo 10 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, kick catching interference (NaJee Thompson) to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13FG
8 plays · 35 yds · 2:3161% → 68%
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
38.9%
Kimani Vidal run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
38.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+7
38.9%
Jacob Free pass complete to Luke Whittemore for 7 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
37.6%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 20 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
37.6%
Kimani Vidal run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
Q3 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
37.6%
Jacob Free run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q3 10:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
38.9%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Kimani VidalSimilar
Q3 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
31.8%
Evan Legassey 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
3 plays · 75 yds · 0:4935% → 55%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
34.6%
Khaleb Hood run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q3 7:37
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+69
54.8%
Gerald Green run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q3 7:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
49.1%
Kaylon Geiger run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 29Similar
Q3 7:31
2ND & 11
OWN 29
0
49.8%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q3 7:31
3RD & 11
OWN 29
0
51.1%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.Similar
Q3 7:31
4TH & 11
OWN 29
0
52.5%
Jack Martin punt for 56 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 4:1953% → 79%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
52.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 9 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
54.1%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-1
53.5%
Malik Murray run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 36 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding (Darion Anderson) to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 11
OWN 26
+14
53.2%
Shai Werts run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+7
55.7%
Gerald Green run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 3
OWN 47
+13
57.1%
Gerald Green run for 13 yds to the Troy 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+35
57.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 35 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
79.0%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17INT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0030% → 29%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+15
70.3%
Kimani Vidal run for no gain to the Troy 26 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (C.J. Wright) to the Troy 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-6
68.6%
Jacob Free sacked by Anthony Wilson and Zyon McGee for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 35Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 16
OWN 35
0
70.8%
Jacob Free pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for no gain to the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:1479% → 78%
Q3 1:14
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
78.8%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q3 1:14
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+4
78.7%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 37
-11
80.7%
Shai Werts sacked by TJ Harris for a loss of 11 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+3
77.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 41 yds , Tez Johnson returns for 3 yds to the Troy 29 TROY Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Troy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 22%
Q4 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
75.9%
B.J. Smith run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 28Similar
Q4 14:08
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
76.5%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q4 14:08
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+2
77.7%
Jacob Free pass complete to B.J. Smith for 2 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q4 14:08
4TH & 9
OWN 30
0
78.5%
Jack Martin punt for 53 yds, downed at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+15
82.3%
Logan Wright run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
82.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
82.6%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 8
OWN 34
-1
81.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Matt LaRoche for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 9
OWN 33
0
80.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 35 yds, downed at the Troy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
78.2%
Jamontez Woods run for 22 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
75.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 11 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
73.1%
Jamontez Woods run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 9:41
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
73.0%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie Todd, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.Similar
Q4 9:41
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
75.4%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Rashad ByrdSimilar
Q4 9:41
4TH & 8
OPP 33
0
78.3%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Tray Eafford, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
85.6%
Gerald Green run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+9
85.5%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:17
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for no gain to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q4 8:17
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+4
86.7%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 8:17
3RD & 6
OWN 47
0
86.3%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 8:17
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
85.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q4 4:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
85.7%
Jamontez Woods run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 19Similar
Q4 4:36
2ND & 11
OWN 19
0
86.2%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClainSimilar
Q4 4:36
3RD & 11
OWN 19
0
87.1%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Reggie ToddSimilar
Q4 4:36
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
87.6%
Jack Martin punt for 30 yds, downed at the Troy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 24MISSED FG
8 plays · 33 yds · 1:0293% → 94%
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+27
93.0%
Shai Werts run for 27 yds to the Troy 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
93.2%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the Troy 21Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+5
95.0%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the Troy 16Similar
Q4 2:48
3RD & 4
OPP 16
0
95.0%
Gerald Green run for no gain to the Troy 16Similar
Q4 2:40
4TH & 4
OPP 16
+34
94.3%
Alex Raynor 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25INT
11 plays · 64 yds · 0:317% → 10%
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
93.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to Kaylon Geiger for 5 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q4 2:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
92.4%
Jacob Free pass complete to Reggie Todd for 8 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
92.3%
Jacob Free pass complete to Reggie Todd for 13 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+20
91.7%
Jacob Free pass complete to Orlando Lacey for 20 yds to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+8
88.5%
Jacob Free pass complete to Khalil McClain for 8 yds to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 2
OPP 26
0
87.1%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Kenderick Duncan Jr.Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 2
OPP 26
+10
90.0%
Jacob Free pass complete to Khalil McClain for 10 yds to the GeoSo 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
87.1%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to Khalil McClain, broken up by Derrick CanteenSimilar
Q4 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
87.4%
Jacob Free pass incomplete to B.J. SmithSimilar
Q4 2:09
3RD & 10
OPP 16
-25
90.4%
Jacob Free pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for 15 yds to the GeoSo 1 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (Chris Harris Jr.) to the GeoSo 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:01
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 11
OWN 8
-1
96.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 2:18
Shai Werts run for 5 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+21.3
TD · Q3 7:37
Gerald Green run for 69 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)
+20.1
KEY PLAY · Q3 1:14
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 33
+8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com