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USA

South Alabama 6 at Coastal Carolina 23

CCU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 11:22 · Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 104Pregame prior+19.4Home team on offense+8.8Score differential+4.0Garbage-time factor+1.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:16: Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 9 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +1.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:18: Massimo Biscardi 26 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +1.4 pts (now 88%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q4 10:47: Massimo Biscardi 30 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +4.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 10:17: Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 15 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down — CCU win probability +3.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 6:07: Massimo Biscardi 27 yd FG GOOD — CCU win probability +1.7 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 5 of 7USA made the numbers' call on 9 of 11
  1. Q1 15:00USA 4th & 3 at USA 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:24CCU 4th & 1 at USA 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 85.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    85.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    84.9%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:06USA 4th & 4 at CCU 13, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−0.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 16 at USA 30, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.4%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:08CCU 4th & 3 at USA 40, up 11
    Close callPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    85.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.5%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 5:08USA 4th & 14 at CCU 25, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.8%−0.5
    18% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−1.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:01CCU 4th & 10 at CCU 19, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.9%−0.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:58USA 4th & 3 at CCU 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.6%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    14.8%−0.8
    51% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−1.9
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:18CCU 4th & 4 at USA 9, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.5%−0.5
    43% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    86.0%
    89% to make
    Punt
    82.5%−3.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:53CCU 4th & 1 at USA 46, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    85.7%−1.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    86.4%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:22USA 4th & 1 at USA 40, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    12.0%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:22USA 4th & 4 at CCU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    12.5%−1.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    13.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q3 11:22USA 4th & 3 at CCU 27, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    12.8%−0.5
    62% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−3.7
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:22USA 4th & 1 at CCU 1, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    11.6%−1.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    7.1%−6.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00USA 4th & 8 at CCU 41, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.9%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    11.4%−0.5
    32% to make
    Punt
    11.7%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:47CCU 4th & 3 at USA 13, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    91.3%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    87.1%−4.7
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:07CCU 4th & 7 at USA 9, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.8%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 6:07USA 4th & 5 at USA 30, down 17
    Close callWent for it · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.3%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:24CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:16CCU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
88.3%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+1
88.3%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
88.3%
Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+1
88.3%
Jack Brooks punt for 41 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 1 yd to the CCaro 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 72 yds · 2:4888% → 88%
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
87.8%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+46
87.8%
Reese White run for 46 yds to the SAlab 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+15
87.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Michael McFarlane for 15 yds to the SAlab 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
87.9%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the SAlab 7Similar
Q1 13:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
87.9%
Fred Payton pass incomplete, broken up by Dewayne Betts Jr.Similar
Q1 13:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
87.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 6 yds to the SAlab 1Similar
Q1 10:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.8%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3FG
14 plays · 62 yds · 5:1812% → 14%
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.6%
Caullin Lacy run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-5
87.6%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+4
87.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 4 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+15
87.7%
Carlos Davis run for 15 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
87.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 11 yds to the CCaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
87.4%
Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+6
87.4%
Terrion Avery run for 6 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+12
87.3%
Carlos Davis run for 12 yds to the CCaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
87.3%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 10:24
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+1
87.3%
Jared Wilson run for 1 yd to the CCaro 19Similar
Q1 10:24
3RD & 10
OPP 19
+6
87.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 6 yds to the CCaro 13Similar
Q1 5:06
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+31
86.1%
Diego Guajardo 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:5086% → 88%
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.1%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 15
OWN 20
0
86.0%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:06
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+10
86.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Sam Denmark for 10 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
Q1 5:06
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
86.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 7 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+42
86.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 42 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
86.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the SAlab 16Similar
Q1 5:06
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+7
86.7%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
88.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 9 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 2:1612% → 12%
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
87.6%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 25Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
87.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
87.4%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-12
87.4%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Kennedy Roberts and Jerrod Clark for a loss of 12 yards to the SAlab 24Similar
Q1 2:16
2ND & 22
OWN 24
-4
87.7%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Tarron Jackson and Jerrod Clark for a loss of 4 yards to the SAlab 20Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 20
+10
87.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Carlos Davis for 10 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 30
0
87.9%
Jack Brooks punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 38 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
87.5%
Shermari Jones run for 7 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+11
87.7%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Greg Latushko for 11 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
87.9%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Bryce Carpenter for 13 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+6
88.0%
Bryce Carpenter run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 4
OPP 41
0
88.0%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+1
87.8%
Grayson McCall run for 1 yd to the SAlab 40Similar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
87.5%
Charles Ouverson punt for 39 yds, downed at the SAlab 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7FG
13 plays · 74 yds · 5:1512% → 13%
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+7
88.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 7 yds to the SAlab 8Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 3
OWN 8
+14
88.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 14 yds to the SAlab 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
87.7%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+2
87.7%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+20
87.9%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST down COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the SAlab 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
87.2%
Terrion Avery run for 9 yds to the CCaro 47Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+3
86.7%
Terrion Avery run for 3 yds to the CCaro 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
86.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+23
87.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 23 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:23
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
86.3%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 10:23
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
86.3%
Jared Wilson run for 3 yds to the CCaro 16Similar
Q2 10:23
3RD & 5
OPP 16
-9
86.7%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Jeffrey Gunter and C.J. Brewer for a loss of 9 yards to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 5:08
4TH & 14
OPP 25
+43
86.8%
Diego Guajardo 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q2 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
86.4%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:01
2ND & 10
OWN 19
0
86.3%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 19Similar
Q2 5:01
3RD & 10
OWN 19
0
85.9%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:01
4TH & 10
OWN 19
0
85.4%
Charles Ouverson punt for 35 yds, downed at the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9DOWNS
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0015% → 14%
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+15
85.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 15 yds to the CCaro 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
84.9%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 3:58
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+5
84.9%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the CCaro 32Similar
Q2 3:58
3RD & 3
OPP 32
0
84.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen WayneSimilar
Q2 3:58
4TH & 3
OPP 32
+2
85.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 2 yds to the CCaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 10FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 2:1187% → 88%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+19
87.0%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 19 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+22
87.8%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 22 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+14
88.2%
Grayson McCall run for 14 yds to the SAlab 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
88.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 1 yd to the SAlab 14Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+5
87.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 5 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 4
OPP 9
0
86.9%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Jaivon HeilighSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+26
88.3%
Massimo Biscardi 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11END OF HALF
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:1112% → 11%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
88.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
87.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 4 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
88.8%
Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 12DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0089% → 88%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
88.8%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 5
50
+1
88.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
88.3%
Grayson McCall run for 3 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
87.8%
Reese White run for no gain to the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13FUMBLE
4 plays · -12 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q3 13:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
-9
87.8%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 34 Desmond Trotter fumbled, recovered by CCaro C.J. Brewer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
86.7%
Davis, Carlos rush for no gain to the USA46 (Kelly, S.), PENALTY USA tripping (Merchant, Hadon) 15 yards to the USA31, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+3
87.6%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 22
OWN 34
+9
87.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 14FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-2
89.1%
Grayson McCall sacked by Charles Coleman III for a loss of 2 yards to the SAlab 31 Grayson McCall fumbled, recovered by SAlab Nick Mobley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15DOWNS
17 plays · 68 yds · 0:0013% → 13%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
87.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Derick BushSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
87.5%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 31Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+9
88.1%
Carlos Davis run for 9 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 1
OWN 40
+11
87.6%
Kawaan Baker run for 11 yds to the CCaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
86.2%
Caullin Lacy run for 3 yds to the CCaro 46Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-8
86.3%
Kawaan Baker run for a loss of 8 yards to the SAlab 46Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 15
OWN 46
+11
87.8%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 11 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+9
87.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
85.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the CCaro 33Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+2
85.6%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the CCaro 31Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 7
OPP 31
+4
86.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 4 yds to the CCaro 27Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 3
OPP 27
+6
87.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 6 yds to the CCaro 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
85.3%
Carlos Davis run for 11 yds to the CCaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-2
85.3%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 12Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
85.6%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen Tolbert, broken up by Derick BushSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+11
86.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 11 yds to the CCaro 1Similar
Q3 11:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
86.8%
Kawaan Baker run for no gain to the CCaro 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 42 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+5
89.2%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Isaiah Likely for 5 yds to the CCaro 6Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 6
+6
89.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to CJ Marable for 6 yds to the CCaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+5
89.0%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 17Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 17
+17
89.1%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Kameron Brown for 17 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
89.3%
CJ Marable run for 8 yds to the CCaro 43 CJ Marable fumbled, forced by Dewayne Betts Jr., recovered by SAlab Riley ColeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17DOWNS
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:1313% → 12%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OPP 43
-10
86.9%
Davis, Carlos rush for 3 yards to the CCU40, out-of-bounds, PENALTY USA holding (Ankerson, Brian) 10 yards to the USA47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:13
1ST & 20
OWN 47
-3
88.3%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Tarron Jackson for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 44Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 23
OWN 44
+8
89.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Caullin Lacy for 8 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 48
+7
89.0%
Desmond Trotter run for 7 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
88.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Caullin LacySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:3391% → 95%
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+20
91.0%
Shermari Jones run for 20 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
91.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Reese White, broken up by Charles Coleman IIISimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
91.1%
Shermari Jones run for 6 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+13
90.8%
Grayson McCall run for 13 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
91.1%
Grayson McCall pass incomplete to Sam DenmarkSimilar
Q4 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+5
91.1%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 14:20
3RD & 5
OPP 15
+2
90.8%
Grayson McCall run for 2 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
95.3%
Massimo Biscardi 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19FUMBLE
3 plays · 56 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
93.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 38 yds to the CCaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+19
92.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 19 yds Jalen Tolbert fumbled, forced by Enock Makonzo, recovered by CCaro Teddy GallagherSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20FG
8 plays · 72 yds · 4:1095% → 98%
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
95.4%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 15 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
95.6%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the CCaro 39Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+14
95.8%
Reese White run for 14 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+35
95.9%
Grayson McCall run for 35 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+1
95.9%
Reese White run for 1 yd to the SAlab 11Similar
Q4 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 11
+2
95.9%
Reese White run for 2 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q4 10:17
3RD & 7
OPP 9
0
95.8%
Grayson McCall pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 7
OPP 9
+27
97.5%
Massimo Biscardi 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete, broken up by Jerrod ClarkSimilar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
97.4%
Davis, Carlos rush for loss of 4 yards to the USA21 (Bush, D.), PENALTY USA holding (Green, Wyatt) 10 yards to the USA15, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:07
2ND & 20
OWN 15
+5
97.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 5 yds to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 6:07
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
97.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 10 yds to the SAlab 30Similar
Q4 6:07
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
97.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete, broken up by D'Jordan StrongSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22END OF GAME
7 plays · 27 yds · 1:3098% → 99%
Q4 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.1%
Reese White run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q4 4:24
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+1
98.1%
Shermari Jones run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+12
98.5%
Shermari Jones run for 12 yds to the SAlab 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:54
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
98.5%
Shermari Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q4 2:54
2ND & 7
OPP 9
0
98.5%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 9Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 7
OPP 9
+6
98.5%
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 6 yds to the SAlab 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 10:47
Massimo Biscardi 30 yd FG GOOD
+4.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 10:17
Grayson McCall pass complete to Reese White for 15 yds to the CCaro 34 for a 1ST down
+3.1
FG · Q4 6:07
Massimo Biscardi 27 yd FG GOOD
+1.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com