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USA

South Alabama 17 at Georgia Southern 24

GASO
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 29, 2020 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 10:47 · Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the SAlab 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 127Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense−1.1Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−3.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 2:50: Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +11.4 pts (now 45%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 1:39: Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 12 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK) — USA win probability +18.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:57: Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +25.0 pts (now 64%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:02: Wesley Kennedy III run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +23.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:59: J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 28 — GASO win probability +8.6 pts (now 96%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 6 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:07USA 4th & 12 at GASO 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.2%
    45% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:52GASO 4th & 14 at GASO 44, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:55USA 4th & 13 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.8%−0.4
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:18GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.8%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:05USA 4th & 3 at USA 47, up 3
    Close callPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.5%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:09GASO 4th & 9 at USA 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 58.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.6
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−4.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:05USA 4th & 20 at USA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.5%−2.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:39GASO 4th & 12 at USA 37, tied
    Numbers favored field goal by 1.4 ptsPunted · 59.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.0%−0.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    59.9%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    58.5%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:25GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:32USA 4th & 12 at USA 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.2%−2.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:29GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 60.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.7%−1.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:22USA 4th & 7 at USA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.1%−1.0
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:07GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.1%−0.6
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.7%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:47USA 4th & 22 at USA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−10.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:02USA 4th & 9 at USA 36, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.4%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:41GASO 4th & 8 at GASO 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.4%−1.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.0%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:01USA 4th & 8 at GASO 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.9%
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    7.4%−2.5
    72% to make
    Punt
    4.4%−5.5
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:01GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 26, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.7%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    90.4%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3USA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 6:05GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 2:50USA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:39USA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:57GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:02GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
USADrive 1FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:3837% → 38%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
62.7%
Desmond Trotter run for 4 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 14:05
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+3
62.7%
Carlos Davis run for 3 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q1 13:32
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+11
62.7%
Carlos Davis run for 11 yds to the SAlab 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
62.5%
Desmond Trotter run for 1 yd to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 9
OWN 44
-1
62.5%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 43Similar
Q1 12:20
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+24
62.6%
Desmond Trotter run for 24 yds to the GeoSo 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-5
62.1%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 10:48
2ND & 15
OPP 38
0
62.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:35
3RD & 15
OPP 38
+3
62.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 10:07
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+54
62.3%
Diego Guajardo 54 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:0662% → 61%
Q1 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+23
62.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
62.5%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+1
62.5%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 44 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 14
OWN 44
0
61.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:52
4TH & 14
OWN 44
0
61.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 35 yds, fair catch by TEAM at the SAlab 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 2:4538% → 38%
Q1 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
61.6%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 8 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 7:30
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+24
61.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 9 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Roughing Passer (15 Yards) to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
60.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Wayne for 8 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 6:55
2ND & 2
OPP 39
-15
60.7%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Offensive Pass Interference (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 46Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+4
61.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 5:20
3RD & 13
50
0
61.2%
Desmond Trotter run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:55
4TH & 13
50
0
61.6%
Jack Brooks punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jeremiah Littles at the GeoSo 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2261% → 60%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
60.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 15
0
60.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Beau Johnson for no gain to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 15
-1
59.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q1 3:18
4TH & 8
OWN 14
0
59.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 2:0540% → 40%
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
60.0%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 2:20
2ND & 5
OWN 45
-10
59.4%
Davis, Carlos rush for 2 yards to the SOUTHALA47, PENALTY SOUTHALA holding (Tyre, Trent) 10 yards to the SOUTHALA35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+10
60.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 10 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q1 1:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+2
59.4%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 2 yds to the SAlab 47Similar
Q1 1:05
4TH & 3
OWN 47
0
60.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6FG
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:3660% → 62%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+18
59.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 18 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
59.9%
Shai Werts run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
60.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+3
61.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 13:34
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+17
60.5%
J.D. King run for 17 yds to the SAlab 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
61.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+22
62.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 22 yds to the SAlab 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:46
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-10
61.9%
Kennedy III, Wesley rush for 4 yards to the SOUTHALA9, PENALTY GASOUTHERN holding (Dowdell, Aaron) 10 yards to the SOUTHALA23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:25
1ST & 20
OPP 23
0
61.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 11:11
2ND & 20
OPP 23
+10
60.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 10 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 10:30
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+1
60.9%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the SAlab 12Similar
Q2 10:09
4TH & 9
OPP 12
+29
62.3%
Alex Raynor 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:5640% → 38%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Kawaan BakerSimilar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-10
60.9%
Desmond Trotter sacked by AJ Watkins and Justin Ellis for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 15Similar
Q2 9:05
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
61.8%
Jack Brooks punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
6 plays · 52 yds · 2:3964% → 72%
Q2 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
63.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 46
+4
64.1%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the SAlab 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
64.0%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+25
64.0%
Shai Werts pass complete to Cam Brown for 25 yds to the SAlab 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+3
64.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 7
OPP 13
+13
72.4%
J.D. King run for 13 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 9TD
11 plays · 70 yds · 2:5031% → 45%
Q2 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
69.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:20
1ST & 10
50
+1
67.5%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q2 5:10
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
67.7%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Darrell Baker Jr.) to the GeoSo 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
66.5%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 4:24
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+15
66.2%
Carlos Davis run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
66.2%
Carlos Davis run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
66.3%
Carlos Davis run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 4Similar
Q2 3:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
66.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Delay of Game (2 Yards) to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
66.3%
Terrion Avery run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 3Similar
Q2 2:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
54.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 3 yds for a TD, (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 37 yds · 2:0061% → 60%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
61.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+36
62.4%
Shai Werts run for 36 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-10
66.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the SAlab 45Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 20
OPP 45
+2
63.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the SAlab 43Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 18
OPP 43
+6
61.2%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 0:39
4TH & 12
OPP 37
0
60.1%
Shai Werts punt for 37 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 11END OF HALF
4 plays · 19 yds · 0:2743% → 42%
Q2 0:28
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
57.0%
Carlos Davis run for 8 yds to the SAlab 28Similar
Q2 0:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+7
55.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Trent Tyre for 7 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
57.7%
Carlos Davis run for 4 yds to the SAlab 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2061% → 59%
Q3 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
61.0%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
61.6%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 13:37
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
60.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q3 13:25
4TH & 6
OWN 29
+2
58.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 yds , Caullin Lacy returns for 2 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 1:3344% → 40%
Q3 13:05
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
55.8%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 12:29
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-3
56.2%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Raymond Johnson III and Reynard Ellis for a loss of 3 yards to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 12:04
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+1
59.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 1 yd to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 11:32
4TH & 12
OWN 35
0
59.7%
Jack Brooks punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q3 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
61.8%
Shai Werts pass intercepted Keith Gallmon return for 5 yds to the GeoSo 37 Keith Gallmon fumbled, recovered by GeoSo J.D. KingSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:3363% → 61%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
62.6%
Shai Werts run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+1
62.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+2
61.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 8:29
4TH & 2
OWN 45
0
60.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 2:0044% → 42%
Q3 8:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+15
56.5%
Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen (TEAM), PENALTY GASOUTHERN pass interference (Baker Jr., Darrell) 15 yards to the SOUTHALA34, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.Similar
Q3 8:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
55.4%
Carlos Davis run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q3 7:30
2ND & 8
OWN 36
-7
55.0%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 7 yards to the SAlab 29Similar
Q3 6:40
3RD & 15
OWN 29
+8
58.1%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 8 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q3 6:22
4TH & 7
OWN 37
0
58.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:0560% → 56%
Q3 6:12
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
59.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+1
59.3%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q3 4:50
3RD & 8
OWN 19
+4
57.2%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 4
OWN 23
0
56.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 29 yds, downed at the SAlab 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 18TD
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:1649% → 71%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-14
50.9%
Kawaan Baker run for 1 yd to the SAlab 49 SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the SAlab 34Similar
Q3 3:40
1ST & 24
OWN 34
+36
55.2%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Brandon Crum for 36 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+10
48.9%
Trotter, Desmond pass incomplete to Tolbert, Jalen, PENALTY GASOUTHERN holding 10 yards to the GASOUTHERN20, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN SOUTHALA.Similar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
48.1%
Carlos Davis run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q3 2:45
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+6
48.0%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
47.8%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q3 1:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
29.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 12 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 3:2336% → 64%
Q3 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+38
35.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 38 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
40.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the SAlab 35Similar
Q3 0:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
39.6%
Logan Wright run for 4 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OPP 31
+11
37.5%
J.D. King run for 11 yds to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:45
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
39.6%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 3
OPP 13
-1
38.7%
J.D. King run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 14Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+14
63.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 1:5845% → 42%
Q4 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
54.8%
Carlos Davis run for 9 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 1
OWN 13
+6
54.3%
Carlos Davis run for 6 yds to the SAlab 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-6
53.8%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Justin Ellis for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 13Similar
Q4 11:55
2ND & 16
OWN 13
0
54.8%
Desmond Trotter pass incomplete to Jalen TolbertSimilar
Q4 11:45
3RD & 16
OWN 13
-6
56.4%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Benz Josue for a loss of 6 yards to the SAlab 7Similar
Q4 10:47
4TH & 22
OWN 7
0
58.1%
Jack Brooks punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the SAlab 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21TD
5 plays · 47 yds · 2:3664% → 89%
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+18
63.8%
Shai Werts run for 18 yds to the SAlab 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
65.3%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the SAlab 24Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+7
65.2%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the SAlab 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
65.2%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+15
89.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 1:5818% → 12%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
82.1%
Carlos Davis run for no gain to the SAlab 35Similar
Q4 7:30
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-1
84.3%
Carlos Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 34Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+2
87.4%
Desmond Trotter run for 2 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 6:02
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
88.0%
Jack Brooks punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:0990% → 91%
Q4 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
89.9%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 5:00
2ND & 8
OWN 32
-1
90.1%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 35 Shai Werts fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Logan WrightSimilar
Q4 4:21
3RD & 5
OWN 35
-3
91.0%
Dexter Carter Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 3:41
4TH & 8
OWN 32
0
90.5%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Caullin Lacy at the SAlab 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 24DOWNS
9 plays · 54 yds · 2:1912% → 13%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
88.3%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 9 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 33
+14
86.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 14 yds to the SAlab 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-11
85.4%
Desmond Trotter sacked by Raymond Johnson III for a loss of 11 yards to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 21
OWN 36
+16
88.7%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 16 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q4 2:00
3RD & 5
OPP 48
+24
85.9%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Kawaan Baker for 24 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+2
81.0%
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Cade Sutherland for 2 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 8
OPP 22
0
81.3%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:07
3RD & 8
OPP 22
0
85.0%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 8
OPP 22
0
87.1%
Desmond Trotter pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 2 yds · 0:5896% → 98%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
95.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+1
96.1%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 3
OWN 29
-3
96.7%
J.D. King run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 0:01
4TH & 6
OWN 26
-2
97.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 12:57
Wesley Kennedy III run for 14 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+25
TD · Q4 8:02
Wesley Kennedy III run for 15 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
+23.8
TD · Q3 1:39
Desmond Trotter pass complete to Jalen Tolbert for 12 yds for a TD (Diego Guajardo KICK)
-18.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com