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APP

App State 31 at UL Monroe 13

ULM
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Malone Stadium
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Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 12:45 · Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+52.0+26.00−26.0−52.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 13Pregame prior−46.3Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:30: Perry Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK) — ULM win probability +3.6 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:24: Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 37 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +2.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: Daniel Sparks kickoff for 63 yds — ULM win probability +1.5 pts (now 7%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 12:46: Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +3.2 pts (now 97%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 0:00: Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 15 yds for a TD — ULM win probability +1.2 pts (now 2%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6APP made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 9 at ULM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.8%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:45ULM 4th & 16 at APP 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:12ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 13, down 7
    Close callPunted · 6.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ULM 4th & 1 at APP 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    6.5%−0.6
    28% to make
    Punt
    6.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:30APP 4th & 1 at ULM 40, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 90.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    90.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    89.5%−0.9
    34% to make
    Punt
    89.6%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:44ULM 4th & 9 at APP 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:28APP 4th & 1 at ULM 20, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    96.1%−0.5
    75% to make
    Punt
    94.5%−2.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:53APP 4th & 16 at ULM 45, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.2%−0.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    97.3%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:21ULM 4th & 12 at ULM 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.6
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:13APP 4th & 8 at ULM 21, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.2%
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.2%−1.0
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:07APP 4th & 2 at ULM 34, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.2
    47% to make
    Punt
    98.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:07APP 4th & 1 at ULM 15, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.6%−1.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 2:38APP 4th & 25 at ULM 26, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    64% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:12APP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:11APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:30ULM Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:24APP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:46APP Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
3.6%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+1
3.6%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the LaMon 18Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 18
0
3.6%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 18
0
3.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 47 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2INT
3 plays · 25 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
3.9%
Daetrich Harrington run for 19 yds to the LaMon 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
3.8%
Zac Thomas run for 6 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q1 14:02
2ND & 4
OPP 40
-35
3.8%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted Josh Newton return for 35 yds to the LaMon 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
4.2%
Josh Johnson run for 21 yds to the AppSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
4.2%
Colby Suits sacked by Trey Cobb for a loss of 5 yards to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 12:45
2ND & 15
OPP 47
-1
4.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 12:45
3RD & 16
OPP 48
0
4.2%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:45
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
4.2%
Daniel Sparks punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 5:3895% → 95%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
4.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 1 yd to the AppSt 21Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+24
4.6%
Zac Thomas run for 24 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
4.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
4.6%
Daetrich Harrington run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 47Similar
Q1 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 47
+9
4.6%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the LaMon 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+9
4.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 1
OPP 35
+6
4.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+8
4.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 8 yds to the LaMon 21Similar
Q1 10:50
2ND & 2
OPP 21
+7
4.5%
Milan Tucker run for 7 yds to the LaMon 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+13
4.5%
Zac Thomas run for 13 yds to the LaMon 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q1 5:12
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
5.5%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the LaMon 6Similar
Q1 5:12
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+7
5.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 7 yds to the LaMon 13Similar
Q1 5:12
3RD & 2
OWN 13
0
5.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:12
4TH & 2
OWN 13
0
5.4%
Daniel Sparks punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6TD
2 plays · 54 yds · 0:4094% → 95%
Q1 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
5.6%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+48
4.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 48 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
18 plays · 76 yds · 8:415% → 10%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
5.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter for 7 yds to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+6
5.1%
Isaiah Phillips run for 6 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
5.1%
Colby Suits run for 8 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+3
5.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 3 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
5.2%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
5.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 7 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
+2
5.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 43
+2
5.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 2 yds to the AppSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
5.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 2 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
5.8%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 39
+16
5.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 16 yds to the AppSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
5.9%
Kadyn Roach run for 1 yd to the AppSt 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+5
5.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 5 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+5
5.8%
Colby Suits run for 5 yds to the AppSt 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+8
5.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for 8 yds to the AppSt 1 Isaiah Phillips fumbled, recovered by LaMon Jahquan Bloomfield for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
5.9%
Isaiah Phillips run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 2Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
9.5%
Perry Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 8TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 4:0692% → 94%
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+20
8.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 20 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
7.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 5 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+6
7.8%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaMon 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
7.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+3
7.7%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
7.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the LaMon 40Similar
Q2 9:30
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+3
8.1%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the LaMon 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+37
6.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 37 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:406% → 7%
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jahquan Bloomfield, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
6.4%
Colby Suits sacked by Tim Frizzell and Hansky Paillant for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 24Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+16
6.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 16 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
6.8%
Isaiah Phillips run for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
6.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 4 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+3
7.0%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
7.0%
Josh Pederson pass incomplete to Jordan Carroll, broken up by Shemar Jean-CharlesSimilar
Q2 5:24
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
7.0%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 5:24
3RD & 10
OPP 48
+1
6.9%
Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the AppSt 47Similar
Q2 1:44
4TH & 9
OPP 47
0
7.3%
Josh Pederson punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 10END OF HALF
11 plays · 77 yds · 1:1993% → 94%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
6.6%
Zac Thomas run for 9 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+5
6.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 5 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
6.5%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Wells, C., PENALTY ULM pass interference (Wiggins, Kevric) 15 yards to the APP49, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
6.2%
Thomas, Zac pass intercepted by Hawley, Austin at the ULM13, Hawley, Austin return to the ULM13, PENALTY ULM pass interference (Wiggins, Kevric) 15 yards to the ULM36, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+10
5.8%
Zac Thomas run for 10 yds to the LaMon 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+6
5.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Dashaun Davis for 6 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q2 1:14
2ND & 4
OPP 20
+18
5.8%
Zac Thomas run for 18 yds to the LaMon 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
5.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for no gain to the LaMon 2Similar
Q2 0:17
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
5.8%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaMon 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:1493% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
6.7%
Daetrich Harrington run for 7 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 42
+5
6.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 5 yds to the AppSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
6.3%
Daetrich Harrington run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
50
+5
6.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 5 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+10
6.3%
Thomas, Zac pass incomplete to Wells, C. (Newton, Josh), PENALTY ULM holding (Newton, Josh) 10 yards to the ULM35, 1ST DOWN APP, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
3.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 12INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
4.2%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh Pederson, broken up by Brendan HarringtonSimilar
Q3 12:46
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
4.2%
Colby Suits pass intercepted Ryan Huff return for no gain to the AppSt 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
3.1%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+1
3.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 35Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+14
3.2%
Zac Thomas run for 14 yds to the AppSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
3.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 8 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+14
2.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
2.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-15
2.9%
Tucker, Milan rush for loss of 1 yard to the ULM21, out-of-bounds (Shelby, Ty;Johnson, Jabari), PENALTY APP face mask (Tucker, Milan) 15 yards to the ULM35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+5
2.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 5 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OPP 30
+10
3.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 1
OPP 20
0
3.2%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 7:44
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
3.5%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the LaMon 20Similar
Q3 7:44
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
3.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 7:44
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
3.4%
Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted Brendan Harrington return for no gain to the LaMon 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
2.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 1 yd to the LaMon 38Similar
Q3 6:53
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+3
2.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 6
OPP 35
0
2.3%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 6
OPP 35
-10
2.6%
Thomas, Zac rush for 15 yards to the ULM20 (Shelby, Ty), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon, Noah) 10 yards to the ULM45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 6:53
4TH & 16
OPP 45
0
2.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds, downed at the LaMon 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+9
2.6%
Isaiah Phillips run for 9 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 1
OWN 10
+2
2.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Chandler Whitfield for 2 yds to the LaMon 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+4
2.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 4 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q3 5:21
2ND & 6
OWN 16
-6
2.6%
Colby Suits sacked by Tim Frizzell for a loss of 6 yards to the LaMon 10Similar
Q3 5:21
3RD & 12
OWN 10
0
2.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q3 5:21
4TH & 12
OWN 10
+23
2.6%
Daniel Sparks punt for 63 yds , Malik Williams returns for 23 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 17FG
10 plays · 29 yds · 4:3199% → 99%
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
50
+6
1.5%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+3
1.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 3 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+7
1.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 7 yds to the LaMon 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:44
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
1.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Christian WellsSimilar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 10
OPP 34
0
1.4%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for no gain to the LaMon 34Similar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+11
1.4%
Zac Thomas run for 11 yds to the LaMon 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
1.3%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 9 yds to the LaMon 14Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 14
-3
1.3%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 17Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 17
-4
1.3%
Zac Thomas sacked by Austin Hawley for a loss of 4 yards to the LaMon 21Similar
Q4 13:13
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
1.4%
Chandler Staton 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18INT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
1.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass incomplete to Tyler Lamm, broken up by Kevon HaiglerSimilar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
1.5%
Isaiah Phillips run for 3 yds to the LaMon 28Similar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+11
1.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 11 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
1.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass complete to Perry Carter for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q4 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
1.6%
Jeremy Hunt pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:13
3RD & 8
OWN 41
0
1.5%
Jeremy Hunt pass intercepted Ryan Huff return for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 19MISSED FG
16 plays · 30 yds · 8:2999% → 99%
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
1.0%
Marcus Williams Jr. run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 4
50
+8
1.0%
Nate Noel run for 8 yds to the LaMon 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
1.0%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+4
1.0%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the LaMon 38Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+4
1.0%
Daetrich Harrington run for 4 yds to the LaMon 34Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 2
OPP 34
+10
1.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Daetrich Harrington for 10 yds to the LaMon 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
1.0%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 11:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+8
1.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Mike Evans for 8 yds to the LaMon 16Similar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 2
OPP 16
+1
1.0%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the LaMon 15Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+4
1.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the LaMon 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
0.6%
Nate Noel run for 2 yds to the LaMon 9Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 8
OPP 9
-15
0.6%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the LaMon 24Similar
Q4 4:11
2ND & 23
OPP 24
+1
0.6%
Anderson Castle run for 1 yd to the LaMon 23Similar
Q4 4:11
3RD & 22
OPP 23
-3
0.6%
Anderson Castle run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaMon 26Similar
Q4 2:38
4TH & 25
OPP 26
+43
0.6%
Chandler Staton 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 20TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 2:381% → 2%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
0.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 9 yds to the LaMon 35Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+4
0.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 4 yds to the LaMon 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
0.8%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 5
OWN 44
+4
0.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 4 yds to the LaMon 48Similar
Q4 2:38
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+7
0.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 7 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+16
0.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 16 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
1.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Kadyn Roach for 2 yds to the AppSt 27Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
0.7%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jordan CarrollSimilar
Q4 0:25
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+12
0.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jordan Carroll for 12 yds to the AppSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
0.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+15
1.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 15 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:30
Perry Carter run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)
+3.6
TD · Q3 12:46
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-3.2
TD · Q2 5:24
Zac Thomas pass complete to Christian Wells for 37 yds for a TD (Chandler Staton KICK)
-2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com