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GASO

Georgia Southern 14 at Coastal Carolina 28

CCU
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · Brooks Stadium (SC)
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Win probability · CCU
modelCCU aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playCCU scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Charles Ouverson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Home team on offense+0.3Score differential−0.3Garbage-time factor−0.3Pregame prior+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. PUNT · Q1 0:57: Charles Ouverson punt for 51 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +5.0 pts (now 46%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 8:57: Fred Payton pass complete to Kameron Brown for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +7.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:24: J.D. King run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +15.7 pts (now 53%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 8:53: Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 24 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK) — CCU win probability +23.9 pts (now 87%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:58: Reese White run for 20 yds for a TD — CCU win probability +14.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: CCU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CCU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8GASO made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 40, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54CCU 4th & 16 at CCU 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:08GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:15GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:57CCU 4th & 17 at CCU 9, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−1.3
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00CCU 4th & 9 at CCU 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.9%−0.3
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:36GASO 4th & 22 at GASO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−1.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:09GASO 4th & 7 at CCU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.0%
    66% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−5.3
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:54CCU 4th & 6 at GASO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:48GASO 4th & 10 at GASO 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−1.5
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:46CCU 4th & 4 at CCU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.8%−2.0
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:30GASO 4th & 4 at GASO 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.4%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:41CCU 4th & 1 at CCU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    55.5%−2.7
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:15CCU 4th & 15 at GASO 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.3%−4.8
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.1%
    68% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−15.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:15GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.4%−0.4
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:53GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:58GASO 4th & 9 at GASO 39, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.3%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:21CCU 4th & 4 at GASO 13, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.1%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    96.9%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    94.9%−2.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CCU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:10CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:57CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 0:24GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 8:53CCU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.1%−0.4
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:58CCU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.5%−0.3
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
53.4%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+3
53.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 37
+3
53.4%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 40
0
53.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 41 ydsSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
53.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-5
53.4%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, IP (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+9
53.4%
S. Werts pass incomplete to M. Murray, PENALTY CCU pass interference (Makonzo, E.) 9 yards to the GS32, NO PLAY.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 6 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
53.9%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+1
53.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 20Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+11
53.7%
Fred Payton pass complete to Kameron Brown for 11 yds to the CCaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
53.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 4 yds to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 6
OWN 35
0
54.0%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the CCaro 35Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-10
53.8%
Payton, F. pass complete to Denmark, S. for 15 yards to the 50 yardline (A. Wilson), PENALTY CCU holding (Loper, A.) 10 yards to the CCU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 16
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 16
OWN 25
0
53.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0046% → 46%
Q1 9:08
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
53.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q1 9:08
2ND & 7
OWN 41
0
53.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by D'Jordan StrongSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+1
53.9%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 9:08
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+7
54.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 36 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 7 yds to the CCaro 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:4654% → 57%
Q1 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
54.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 28Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 11
OWN 28
+72
57.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Sam Denmark for 72 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5INT
3 plays · -3 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 7:04
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-3
57.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 3 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 7:04
2ND & 13
OWN 20
-4
57.4%
Shai Werts pass intercepted D'Jordan Strong return for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 6INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
58.6%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Rashad Byrd return for no gain to the GeoSo 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
57.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+23
57.7%
Shai Werts run for 23 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
57.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q1 6:15
2ND & 8
OWN 43
+6
57.2%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 49Similar
Q1 6:15
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+1
56.8%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 1
50
-5
57.2%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 6:15
4TH & 6
OWN 45
0
57.7%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 8PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · -7 yds · 2:1459% → 54%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-2
59.3%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 18 CJ Marable fumbled, recovered by CCaro CJ MarableSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-4
59.2%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 14Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 12
OWN 14
-5
58.7%
Fred Payton sacked by Rashad Byrd for a loss of 5 yards to the CCaro 9Similar
Q1 0:57
4TH & 17
OWN 9
+60
53.7%
Charles Ouverson punt for 51 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 60 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:5255% → 54%
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
55.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to Greg Latushko for 10 yds to the CCaro 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
55.7%
Reese White run for 3 yds to the CCaro 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-2
56.3%
Fred Payton sacked by Chris Harris Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
55.0%
Fred Payton run for no gain to the CCaro 39Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 39
0
54.3%
Charles Ouverson punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0046% → 45%
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+17
54.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 17 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+6
53.7%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q2 13:36
2ND & 4
OWN 38
-13
52.8%
Shai Werts sacked by Enock Makonzo for a loss of 13 yards to the GeoSo 25 GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:36
3RD & 17
OWN 25
-5
54.8%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 5 yards to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q2 13:36
4TH & 22
OWN 20
0
55.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 11TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 2:0057% → 65%
Q2 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+54
56.8%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 54 yds to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
58.1%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the GeoSo 5Similar
Q2 10:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
58.1%
Payton, F. pass incomplete to Heiligh, J., PENALTY GS pass interference (D. Canteen) 3 yards to the GS2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
58.1%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
65.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Kameron Brown for 2 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12MISSED FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 4:4137% → 36%
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
62.8%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 8 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+3
61.8%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.3%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+7
62.6%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the 50 yard line Shai Werts fumbled, forced by Enock Makonzo, recovered by GeoSo J.D. King , return to the 50 yard line for a 1ST down , return for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
50
+7
60.7%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the CCaro 43Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+15
60.4%
S. Werts rush for loss of 3 yards to the CCU46 (Gunter, J.), PENALTY CCU personal foul (Gunter, J.) 15 yards to the CCU28, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
59.4%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 8:50
2ND & 8
OPP 26
0
59.4%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q2 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 26
+1
60.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to J.D. King for 1 yd to the CCaro 25Similar
Q2 4:09
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
64.4%
Alex Raynor 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 13INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0066% → 67%
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.4%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
66.1%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 26Similar
Q2 4:09
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+9
65.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 9 yds to the CCaro 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
66.6%
CJ Marable run for 13 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-4
68.2%
Fred Payton sacked by Benz Josue and AJ Watkins for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 44Similar
Q2 4:09
2ND & 14
OWN 44
0
66.9%
Fred Payton pass intercepted Derrick Canteen return for no gain to the GeoSo 44 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14TD
7 plays · 54 yds · 1:0736% → 53%
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-9
63.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Myles Olufemi for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 19
OWN 37
+15
66.3%
Shai Werts run for 15 yds to the CCaro 48Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+8
63.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 8 yds to the CCaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
62.7%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:31
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+3
63.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the CCaro 37Similar
Q2 1:31
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+32
63.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 32 yds to the CCaro 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
47.4%
J.D. King run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
56.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the CCaro 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 30 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
56.3%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the CCaro 22Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+11
56.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 11 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-4
56.8%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 4 yards to the CCaro 29Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 14
OWN 29
0
56.0%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 14
OWN 29
+19
54.6%
Fred Payton run for 19 yds to the CCaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
59.1%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 6 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 46
-2
59.7%
Fred Payton run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
58.7%
Fred Payton pass incomplete, broken up by Reynard EllisSimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
56.6%
Charles Ouverson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
53.2%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+14
53.5%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 14 yds to the GeoSo 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+10
52.5%
J.D. King run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
50.8%
J.D. King run for no gain to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 10:48
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
51.5%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik MurraySimilar
Q3 10:48
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
52.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Emil SmithSimilar
Q3 10:48
4TH & 10
OWN 40
0
54.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 57 yds, downed at the CCaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 18 yds · 2:1556% → 53%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
55.9%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Kameron BrownSimilar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+1
55.7%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 4Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 9
OWN 4
+11
54.2%
Fred Payton run for 11 yds to the CCaro 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+5
56.1%
Shermari Jones run for 5 yds to the CCaro 20Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 5
OWN 20
+1
56.2%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the CCaro 21Similar
Q3 5:46
3RD & 4
OWN 21
0
54.1%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Greg LatushkoSimilar
Q3 5:46
4TH & 4
OWN 21
-14
53.1%
Charles Ouverson punt for 39 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for a loss of 14 yards to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0048% → 49%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
52.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+7
50.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
49.5%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+5
50.0%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 4
OWN 45
0
48.7%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Beau JohnsonSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
51.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:2655% → 54%
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+23
55.3%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 23 yds to the CCaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
56.2%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 1 yard to the CCaro 32Similar
Q3 2:41
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
55.3%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Sam Denmark, broken up by Darrell Baker Jr.Similar
Q3 2:41
3RD & 11
OWN 32
+10
53.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Jaivon Heiligh for 10 yds to the CCaro 42Similar
Q3 2:41
4TH & 1
OWN 42
+12
56.1%
Tyson Mobley run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:41
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
60.8%
CJ Marable run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+13
60.9%
Fred Payton run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
62.4%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+4
62.2%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 4 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 28
+9
60.6%
Fred Payton pass complete to Greg Latushko for 9 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
62.4%
CJ Marable run for no gain to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 19
0
62.4%
Fred Payton pass incomplete to Jaivon Heiligh, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 19
-5
60.4%
COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 24
0
57.9%
Fred Payton pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 15
OPP 24
+41
54.2%
Massimo Biscardi 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q4 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
51.3%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 12:15
2ND & 3
OWN 31
0
48.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Malik MurraySimilar
Q4 12:15
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
50.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q4 12:15
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
52.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jaivon Heiligh at the CCaro 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 22TD
5 plays · 63 yds · 2:3458% → 87%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+13
57.7%
Shermari Jones run for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
50
+15
61.3%
Shermari Jones run for 15 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
63.0%
CJ Marable run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 31Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+7
63.0%
CJ Marable run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
86.9%
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 24 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0020% → 18%
Q4 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
79.8%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to J.D. KingSimilar
Q4 8:53
2ND & 10
OWN 11
+2
80.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q4 8:53
3RD & 8
OWN 13
+1
81.3%
Shai Werts run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 14Similar
Q4 8:53
4TH & 7
OWN 14
+40
82.1%
Anthony Beck II punt for 46 yds , Jaivon Heiligh returns for 40 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 24TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
96.1%
Reese White run for 20 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25DOWNS
7 plays · 5 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
91.9%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-6
91.7%
Shai Werts sacked by Enock Makonzo for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 6:58
2ND & 16
OWN 32
+7
92.7%
Shai Werts run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 9
OWN 39
0
92.0%
Shai Werts pass incomplete, broken up by Alex SpillumSimilar
Q4 6:58
4TH & 9
OWN 39
-9
92.9%
Shai Werts sacked by Tarron Jackson and Jeffrey Gunter for a loss of 9 yards to the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 26DOWNS
7 plays · 20 yds · 1:4697% → 99%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
96.9%
Shermari Jones run for 11 yds to the GeoSo 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
96.9%
CJ Marable run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 4:16
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-4
97.5%
CJ Marable run for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 4:16
3RD & 12
OPP 21
+8
97.4%
Fred Payton run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 13Similar
Q4 3:21
4TH & 4
OPP 13
+3
98.5%
Fred Payton pass complete to Patrick McSweeney for 3 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+14
97.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 14 yds to the GeoSo 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
97.1%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, false start (Caleb Kelly) to the GeoSo 19Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 15
OWN 19
+3
97.2%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 3:15
2ND & 12
OWN 22
-36
97.2%
Shai Werts pass intercepted D'Jordan Strong return for 26 yds to the GeoSo 48 COASTL CAROLINA Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the GeoSo 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CCUDrive 28END OF GAME
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
98.8%
Reese White run for no gain to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+13
98.8%
Shermari Jones run for no gain to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, face mask (13 yards) (Kenderick Duncan Jr.) to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:16
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & 12
OPP 15
-2
98.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 8:53
Fred Payton pass complete to CJ Marable for 24 yds for a TD (Massimo Biscardi KICK)
+23.9
TD · Q2 0:24
J.D. King run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)
-15.7
TD · Q4 6:58
Reese White run for 20 yds for a TD
+14
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com