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APP

App State 34 at Georgia Southern 26

GASO
2020 · Week 15 · Dec 12, 2020 · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
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Win probability · GASO
modelGASO aheadAPP aheadconfidence bandkey playGASO scoreAPP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 8:15 · Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 154Pregame prior−3.3Home team on offense−26.5Garbage-time factor−10.4Score differential−12.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−4.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:22: Justin Tomlin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +15.4 pts (now 56%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 10:44: Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +8.6 pts (now 55%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 14:36: Alex Raynor kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 100 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +23.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:51: Nate Noel run for 70 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK) — APP win probability +15.9 pts (now 85%) (top driver: APP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:23: Dexter Carter Jr. 78 Yd pass from Miller Mosley (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed) — GASO win probability +18.8 pts (now 28%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 8APP made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:06APP 4th & 14 at APP 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:41GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 29.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:51APP 4th & 16 at GASO 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−0.3
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:59APP 4th & 2 at APP 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 61.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00GASO 4th & 1 at APP 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    38.8%−1.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    39.5%−1.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:22APP 4th & 1 at GASO 9, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    45.4%−2.8
    89% to make
    Punt
    38.2%−10.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:39GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 40, up 7
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:16APP 4th & 5 at APP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 10:39GASO 4th & 3 at GASO 20, up 3
    Close callPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.3%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:27APP 4th & 1 at GASO 48, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 51.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    51.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    48.1%−3.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:20APP 4th & 11 at GASO 16, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.9%−2.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    34.1%−11.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:51GASO 4th & 7 at APP 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 51.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.0%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    51.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−9.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:31GASO 4th & 5 at GASO 26, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:39APP 4th & 6 at GASO 33, up 11
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 83.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    83.2%−0.4
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:01GASO 4th & 6 at GASO 17, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.9%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:15APP 4th & 4 at APP 44, up 11
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:44APP 4th & 2 at GASO 20, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 86.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.1%−2.0
    75% to make
    Punt
    73.6%−12.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
GASO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3APP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 1:59GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:22GASO Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:55APP Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:44APP Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 14:36APP Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:51APP Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    83.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:23GASO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    24.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    23.4%−0.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
27.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
27.0%
Justin Tomlin run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
27.0%
Logan Wright run for no gain to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 20
+24
27.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 54 yds , Malik Williams returns for 24 yds to the AppSt 44 APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, illegal block (28 Yards) to the AppSt 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
27.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+1
27.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 1 yd to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+11
27.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the AppSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
27.8%
Zac Thomas pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:06
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-4
27.8%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 30Similar
Q1 13:06
3RD & 14
OWN 30
0
27.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q1 13:06
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+5
28.0%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 50 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 5 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0029% → 29%
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
29.0%
Khaleb Hood run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
29.0%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 10:41
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
29.0%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q1 10:41
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
28.9%
Anthony Beck II punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 35 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+6
29.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 23Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 4
OWN 23
+6
29.7%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-1
29.7%
Camerun Peoples run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 11
OWN 28
0
29.8%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Derrick CanteenSimilar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 11
OWN 28
+12
30.0%
Zac Thomas run for 12 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
29.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 18 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
29.2%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-13
29.2%
Zac Thomas sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 13 yards to the AppSt 45Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 23
OWN 45
+7
29.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 7 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q1 8:51
4TH & 16
OPP 48
0
29.9%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5INT
3 plays · 57 yds · 0:0032% → 34%
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
32.1%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 3:59
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+55
32.1%
Justin Tomlin run for 55 yds to the AppSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
33.5%
Justin Tomlin pass intercepted Brendan Harrington return for no gain to the AppSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 6INT TD
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:4067% → 63%
Q1 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
32.6%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 18Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 18
-28
37.4%
Zac Thomas pass intercepted for a TD David Spaulding return for 28 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.3%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the AppSt 28Similar
Q1 1:59
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+1
37.1%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29Similar
Q1 1:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
37.5%
Zac Thomas run for no gain to the AppSt 33 Zac Thomas fumbled, forced by Raymond Johnson III,Similar
Q1 1:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
37.5%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 39 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for no gain to the GeoSo 28 Khaleb Hood fumbled,Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 5:3840% → 56%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
39.6%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+16
39.5%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to NaJee Thompson for 16 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
40.7%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
0
40.6%
Justin Tomlin run for no gain to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+7
39.9%
Justin Tomlin pass complete to Cam Brown for 7 yds to the AppSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+2
39.6%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the AppSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
40.8%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the AppSt 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+8
40.8%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the AppSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
40.9%
Gerald Green run for 2 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
40.9%
Justin Tomlin pass incomplete to Dexter Carter Jr.Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+15
40.4%
J. Tomlin pass incomplete to M. Murray (Jackson, D.), PENALTY APP personal foul (Taylor, D.) 15 yards to the APP14, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
55.8%
Justin Tomlin run for 14 yds for a TD, (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 9TD
21 plays · 65 yds · 7:2748% → 53%
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-6
52.0%
Zac Thomas sacked by Reid Dedman for a loss of 6 yards to the AppSt 29Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 16
OWN 29
+8
52.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 8 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+9
52.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds to the AppSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
51.4%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 49Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+10
51.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 10 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
50.9%
Camerun Peoples run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 37Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 6
OPP 37
-10
50.5%
Peoples, C. rush for 9 yards to the GS28, out-of-bounds (D. Baker Jr.), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon, Noah) 10 yards to the GS47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 16
OPP 47
+5
51.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 5 yds to the GeoSo 42Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 11
OPP 42
+11
51.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 11 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
50.0%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-10
50.1%
Peoples, C. rush for 2 yards to the GS29 (R. Johnson III;J. Ferguson), PENALTY APP holding (Hannon, Noah) 10 yards to the GS41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 20
OPP 41
+23
51.9%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 23 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
49.6%
Camerun Peoples run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
49.6%
Zac Thomas run for no gain to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
50.5%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas HenniganSimilar
Q2 9:22
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
51.0%
Camerun Peoples run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-4
49.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for a loss of 4 yards to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 9:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
50.0%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Malik WilliamsSimilar
Q2 9:22
3RD & 0
OPP 11
-5
49.9%
APPALACHIAN ST Penalty, false start (Jalen Virgil) to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q2 1:55
3RD & 0
OPP 16
+16
47.0%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 16 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:1653% → 53%
Q2 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
52.9%
Miller Mosley run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q2 1:49
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+1
53.7%
Miller Mosley run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+6
53.1%
Miller Mosley run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 1:39
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
53.3%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:1645% → 42%
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
55.1%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Thomas Hennigan, broken up by Justin EllisSimilar
Q2 1:32
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
55.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Malik Williams for 2 yds to the AppSt 17Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+3
57.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 3 yds to the AppSt 20Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 5
OWN 20
0
57.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12FG
9 plays · 50 yds · 1:1055% → 63%
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
55.0%
M. Mosley pass incomplete to K. Hood (Cobb, Trey), PENALTY APP pass interference (Cobb, Trey) 15 yards to the GS49, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
57.0%
Miller Mosley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+11
56.6%
Miller Mosley run for 11 yds to the AppSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
57.3%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the AppSt 37Similar
Q2 1:10
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
57.3%
Miller Mosley pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:10
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+17
56.6%
Miller Mosley pass complete to Cam Brown for 17 yds to the AppSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
58.1%
Gerald Green run for 4 yds to the AppSt 16Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
+33
63.3%
Alex Raynor 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 13TD
12 plays · 72 yds · 4:1043% → 55%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+6
57.5%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 34Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 4
OWN 34
+14
56.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 14 yds to the AppSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
55.6%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 7 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 3
OPP 45
+4
54.6%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
55.1%
Nate Noel run for no gain to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OPP 41
+20
55.1%
Zac Thomas run for 20 yds to the GeoSo 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
53.4%
Noel, Nate rush for 1 yard to the GS20 (B. Wilson;R. Byrd), PENALTY GS offside (R. Johnson III) 5 yards to the GS16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 5
OPP 16
+6
53.4%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
53.4%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
53.4%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Nate NoelSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
44.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 9 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 10:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
49.3%
Khaleb Hood run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q3 10:39
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+3
49.2%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q3 10:39
3RD & 3
OWN 20
0
48.1%
Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Cam Brown, broken up by Demetrius TaylorSimilar
Q3 10:39
4TH & 3
OWN 20
0
47.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 34 yds , Malik Williams returns for no gain to the AppSt 47 Malik Williams fumbled, recovered by GeoSo Jalen JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:0055% → 55%
Q3 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
54.9%
Gerald Green run for 5 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 9:11
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-4
55.0%
Miller Mosley sacked by Nick Hampton for a loss of 4 yards to the AppSt 43 Miller Mosley fumbled, recovered by AppSt Jordon Earle , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 16FG
8 plays · 41 yds · 4:0753% → 57%
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
46.8%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Thomas Hennigan for 4 yds to the AppSt 47Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
46.3%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 1
OPP 48
0
46.2%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the GeoSo 48Similar
Q3 8:27
4TH & 1
OPP 48
+33
48.1%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Henry Pearson for 33 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
44.2%
Camerun Peoples run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q3 8:27
2ND & 5
OPP 10
-6
44.2%
Zac Thomas sacked by Quin Williams for a loss of 6 yards to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 8:27
3RD & 11
OPP 16
0
46.3%
Zac Thomas run for no gain to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+33
43.0%
Chandler Staton 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17FG
11 plays · 46 yds · 4:2947% → 58%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
47.2%
Miller Mosley run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
47.8%
Gerald Green run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+2
51.1%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+10
50.7%
Miller Mosley pass complete to Sean Pelkisson for 10 yds to the AppSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
51.9%
Miller Mosley run for 3 yds to the AppSt 42Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 7
OPP 42
+10
51.9%
Miller Mosley run for 10 yds to the AppSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
53.1%
Jalen White run for 2 yds to the AppSt 30Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+1
53.1%
Miller Mosley run for 1 yd to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 29
0
54.1%
Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Cam BrownSimilar
Q4 14:51
4TH & 7
OPP 29
+47
58.3%
Alex Raynor 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
33.8%
Gerald Green run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 4
OWN 27
0
34.7%
Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Sean Pelkisson, broken up by Kaiden SmithSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 4
OWN 27
-1
33.0%
Miller Mosley run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q4 14:31
4TH & 5
OWN 26
0
31.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 20TD
1 play · 70 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+70
15.3%
Nate Noel run for 70 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 21INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
16.0%
Miller Mosley pass intercepted Kaiden Smith return for no gain to the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 84%
Q4 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+5
13.9%
Zac Thomas run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 12:39
2ND & 5
OPP 32
-1
13.2%
Nate Noel run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 12:39
3RD & 6
OPP 33
0
13.9%
Zac Thomas pass incomplete to Camerun PeoplesSimilar
Q4 12:39
4TH & 6
OPP 33
0
15.7%
Zac Thomas punt for 30 yds , Ephraim Kitchen Jr. returns for no gain to the GeoSo 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+3
14.6%
Logan Wright run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 6Similar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 7
OWN 6
+4
14.3%
Miller Mosley run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 3
OWN 10
+3
14.0%
Miller Mosley run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
15.0%
Miller Mosley pass incomplete to NaJee ThompsonSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
14.7%
Miller Mosley run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
14.0%
Miller Mosley pass incomplete to Emil SmithSimilar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
13.2%
Anthony Beck II punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Malik Williams at the AppSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0090% → 89%
Q4 8:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
10.0%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 38Similar
Q4 8:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+6
10.1%
Camerun Peoples run for 6 yds to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 8:15
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
10.1%
Camerun Peoples run for no gain to the AppSt 44Similar
Q4 8:15
4TH & 4
OWN 44
+3
10.8%
Xavier Subotsch punt for 44 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 25TD
3 plays · 85 yds · 0:3410% → 28%
Q4 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+7
9.6%
Logan Wright run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 22Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 3
OWN 22
+78
28.4%
Dexter Carter Jr. 78 Yd pass from Miller Mosley (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 26FG
10 plays · 55 yds · 2:3980% → 95%
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.0%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the AppSt 29Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+33
19.2%
Zac Thomas pass complete to Jalen Virgil for 33 yds to the GASOUTHERN 38 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive pass interference ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+10
16.7%
Nate Noel run for 10 yds to the GeoSo 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
15.1%
Nate Noel run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 5:23
2ND & 9
OPP 27
+4
15.5%
Nate Noel run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q4 2:54
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+3
10.8%
Nate Noel run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 20Similar
Q4 2:44
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
5.5%
Chandler Staton 37 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 27INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:006% → 8%
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.1%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+12
6.1%
Miller Mosley pass complete to Emil Smith for 12 yds to the GeoSo 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
6.8%
Miller Mosley pass complete to Malik Murray for 5 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
7.7%
Miller Mosley pass intercepted Nicholas Ross return for a loss of 3 yards to the AppSt 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APPDrive 28END OF GAME
3 plays · -11 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:42
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-8
3.9%
Zac Thomas run for a loss of 8 yards to the AppSt 11Similar
Q4 1:42
2ND & 18
OWN 11
-1
4.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the AppSt 10Similar
Q4 1:42
3RD & 19
OWN 10
-2
4.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the AppSt 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:36
Alex Raynor kickoff for 65 yds , Jalen Virgil return for 100 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-23
TD · Q4 5:23
Dexter Carter Jr. 78 Yd pass from Miller Mosley (Two-Point Pass Conversion Failed)
+18.8
TD · Q4 12:51
Nate Noel run for 70 yds for a TD, (Chandler Staton KICK)
-15.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com