Try the model
GASO

Georgia Southern 35 at UL Monroe 30

ULM
2020 · Week 5 · Oct 3, 2020 · Malone Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · ULM
modelULM aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playULM scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:19 · Daniel Sparks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+41.5+20.80−20.8−41.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 96Pregame prior−23.7Home team on offense−12.4Score differential−5.4Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:04: Josh Johnson run for 26 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK) — ULM win probability +5.6 pts (now 19%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  2. TD · Q2 0:00: Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK) — ULM win probability +6.4 pts (now 22%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:19: Logan Wright run for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK) — GASO win probability +5.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:29: Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED) — ULM win probability +6.6 pts (now 16%) (top driver: ULM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 4:59: Josh Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK) — ULM win probability +19.4 pts (now 32%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ULM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10GASO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00ULM 4th & 4 at ULM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:25ULM 4th & 1 at ULM 29, down 7
    Close callPunted · 12.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:15GASO 4th & 3 at ULM 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 86.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    86.7%−0.2
    28% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:35ULM 4th & 7 at GASO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.9%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    13.8%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    13.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:21ULM 4th & 10 at GASO 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 15.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.0%
    80% to make
    Punt
    13.4%−1.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:46ULM 4th & 7 at GASO 34, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    15.7%
    47% to make
    Punt
    14.9%−0.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:19ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%−0.8
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:55GASO 4th & 10 at ULM 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.3%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:30ULM 4th & 10 at ULM 18, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.3%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:30ULM 4th & 2 at ULM 45, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.5%−0.7
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:30ULM 4th & 4 at GASO 9, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.0%
    43% to convert
    Field goal
    8.7%−0.3
    89% to make
    Punt
    3.1%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 25 at ULM 44, up 12
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%−2.8
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%−1.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    90.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 4:59GASO 4th & 2 at GASO 33, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.5%−1.0
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:23ULM 4th & 6 at GASO 16, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    18.1%
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    12.7%−5.4
    81% to make
    Punt
    10.1%−8.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ULM made the numbers' call on 3 of 4GASO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:25GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 12:47GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 10:04ULM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:37GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00ULM Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:19GASO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:29ULM Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:59ULM Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.9%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
8.9%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
8.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 3 yds to the LaMon 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+1
8.9%
Colby Suits run for 1 yd to the LaMon 31Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+9
8.9%
Daniel Sparks punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the GeoSo 32 , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 9 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 2TD
3 plays · 68 yds · 1:2790% → 90%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
9.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+62
9.7%
J.D. King run for 62 yds to the LaMon 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
9.7%
J.D. King run for 3 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+9
9.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zach Jackson for 9 yds to the LaMon 18Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 1
OWN 18
+2
9.9%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds to the LaMon 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
9.9%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
9.9%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+9
9.8%
Colby Suits run for 9 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q1 11:25
4TH & 1
OWN 29
0
9.8%
Daniel Sparks punt , Reynard Ellis returns for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 4DOWNS
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
50
+6
10.2%
Shai Werts run for 6 yds to the LaMon 44Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+1
10.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the LaMon 43Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 3
OPP 43
0
10.3%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 3
OPP 43
0
10.4%
C.J. Wright run for no gain to the LaMon 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 5FG
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:1411% → 13%
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+15
11.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 15 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
11.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 15
OPP 47
+1
11.1%
Isaiah Phillips run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 14
OPP 46
-10
11.1%
Suits, Colby pass complete to Lamm, Tyler for 9 yards to the GS37, out-of-bounds, PENALTY ULM holding (Hirsch, Garrett) 10 yards to the ULM44, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 24
OWN 44
+11
10.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 11 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 13
OPP 45
+6
11.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q1 7:35
4TH & 7
OPP 39
+22
11.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 22 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
11.4%
Isaiah Phillips run for no gain to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 7:35
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
11.4%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:35
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
11.2%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:21
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+34
13.3%
Davis Hughes 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 6TD
12 plays · 81 yds · 5:3487% → 89%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+5
13.2%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 24Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 24
+5
13.1%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+5
13.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 34
+4
13.0%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+4
12.9%
Matt LaRoche run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
12.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 44
0
14.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb Hood, broken up by Keilos SwinneySimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+41
14.4%
J.D. King run for 41 yds to the LaMon 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
13.7%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the LaMon 10Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+6
13.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 6 yds to the LaMon 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
11.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 7TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:4312% → 19%
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
12.3%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 26Similar
Q2 12:47
2ND & 12
OWN 26
+17
12.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Zach Jackson for 17 yds to the LaMon 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+14
12.6%
Josh Johnson run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
12.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 2 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q2 10:45
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+15
13.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 15 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
18.8%
Josh Johnson run for 26 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 8TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 8:2784% → 88%
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
16.4%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 26Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
16.4%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
16.4%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 7 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
15.9%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 40Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+3
15.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+10
15.7%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the LaMon 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
15.3%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
15.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q2 10:04
3RD & 8
OPP 45
+9
15.5%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+9
15.3%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the LaMon 27Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 1
OPP 27
+9
14.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 9 yds to the LaMon 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
14.8%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the LaMon 15Similar
Q2 10:04
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+7
14.8%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the LaMon 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
14.8%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaMon 5Similar
Q2 1:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
11.9%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 9TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 1:3713% → 22%
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
12.8%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
12.7%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q2 1:37
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+13
12.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 13 yds to the LaMon 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+25
13.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Pederson for 25 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
14.2%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q2 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-7
14.1%
Colby Suits sacked by AJ Watkins for a loss of 7 yards to the GeoSo 44Similar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 17
OPP 44
+10
13.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jonathan Hodoh for 10 yds to the GeoSo 34Similar
Q2 0:46
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+17
13.4%
Colby Suits run for 17 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
14.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
14.9%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Josh PedersonSimilar
Q2 0:46
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+15
14.1%
Suits, Colby pass incomplete to Jackson, Malik, PENALTY GS pass interference (Bride,T.) 15 yards to the GS2, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
21.5%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 4:4180% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
20.3%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 4 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+7
19.9%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
19.6%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+2
19.0%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+3
19.2%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+32
18.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Beau Johnson for 17 yds to the ULMONROE 37 for a 1ST down UL MONROE Penalty, roughing passer (Bobby Bell) to the LaMon 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
18.0%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 17
0
18.0%
Matt LaRoche run for no gain to the LaMon 17Similar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+17
12.7%
Logan Wright run for 17 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0014% → 12%
Q3 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
13.5%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
13.3%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:19
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
12.6%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:19
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
12.3%
Daniel Sparks punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Khaleb Hood at the GeoSo 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
8 plays · 15 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
13.1%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Khaleb HoodSimilar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+8
13.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 45Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+7
13.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 7 yds to the LaMon 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+5
12.7%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 5
OPP 43
+2
12.6%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaMon 41Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 3
OPP 41
-2
13.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaMon 43Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 5
OPP 43
-5
13.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 48Similar
Q3 9:55
4TH & 10
OPP 48
0
13.6%
Anthony Beck II punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 13PUNT TD
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:5514% → 7%
Q3 6:25
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
13.8%
Josh Johnson run for no gain to the LaMon 18Similar
Q3 6:25
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
13.7%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr., broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q3 6:25
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
13.0%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Zach JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 10
OWN 18
+7
7.0%
Daniel Sparks punt blocked by blocked by Rashad Byrd return for 7 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 14TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 5:017% → 16%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-5
7.2%
UL MONROE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 22Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 15
OWN 22
+15
7.1%
Suits, Colby pass incomplete to Bloomfield, Jah, PENALTY GS pass interference (,D. Baker Jr) 15 yards to the ULM37, 1ST DOWN ULM, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
7.5%
Josh Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaMon 32Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
7.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Malik JacksonSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+13
7.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 13 yds to the LaMon 45Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 2
OWN 45
+28
7.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 28 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
8.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete, broken up by Zyon McGeeSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+2
8.4%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 25
+10
8.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jahquan Bloomfield for 10 yds to the GeoSo 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
8.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jahquan BloomfieldSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
8.6%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+6
8.2%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 4
OPP 9
+6
8.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Malik Jackson for 6 yds to the GeoSo 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
9.0%
Josh Johnson run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 2Similar
Q3 0:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
15.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 15PUNT
14 plays · 30 yds · 0:2990% → 90%
Q3 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
10.4%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+14
10.0%
J.D. King run for 14 yds to the GeoSo 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
9.3%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+5
9.2%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 5 yds to the LaMon 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 49
+9
9.4%
Shai Werts run for 9 yds to the LaMon 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
9.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 11 yds to the LaMon 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+4
8.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the LaMon 25Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 25
-5
8.7%
King,J. rush for 8 yards to the ULM17 (Oliver, Jordan), PENALTY GS illegal formation 5 yards to the ULM30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 30
-10
9.0%
Werts,S. rush for no gain to the ULM30 (Webster, Travei), PENALTY GS holding (TEAM) 10 yards to the ULM40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 40
-7
9.3%
Shai Werts sacked by Ivin White Jr. for a loss of 7 yards to the LaMon 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 28
OPP 47
+8
9.5%
J.D. King run for 8 yds to the LaMon 39Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 20
OPP 39
-5
10.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the LaMon 44Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 25
OPP 44
0
10.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 16TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:1310% → 32%
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
10.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 9 yds to the LaMon 29Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+7
10.8%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 7 yds to the LaMon 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
10.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 20 yds to the GeoSo 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
12.0%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 19 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
13.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Isaiah Phillips for 4 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q4 8:12
2ND & 6
OPP 21
0
13.7%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:12
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+19
12.6%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 17 yds to the GeoSo 4 for a 1ST down GA SOUTHERN Penalty, personal foul (2 Yards) to the GeoSo 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
32.1%
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0083% → 82%
Q4 4:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.8%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 27Similar
Q4 4:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+5
16.6%
Logan Wright run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 32Similar
Q4 4:59
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+1
17.0%
Logan Wright run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 33Similar
Q4 4:59
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
18.0%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Perry Carter Jr. at the LaMon 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULMDrive 18END OF GAME
16 plays · 72 yds · 2:1924% → 18%
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
23.8%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jonathan HodohSimilar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+5
22.9%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 5 yds to the LaMon 32Similar
Q4 2:42
3RD & 5
OWN 32
+22
23.1%
Colby Suits pass complete to Jevin Frett for 22 yds to the GeoSo 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
29.5%
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q4 2:42
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
28.1%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Jevin FrettSimilar
Q4 1:24
3RD & 11
OPP 47
+11
20.7%
Colby Suits pass complete to Perry Carter Jr. for 11 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+16
24.7%
Colby Suits run for 16 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
29.3%
Colby Suits pass complete to Tyler Lamm for 4 yds to the GeoSo 16Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
25.8%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr., broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
22.6%
Colby Suits pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+7
12.3%
Colby Suits run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
17.9%
Colby Suits pass incomplete to Perry Carter Jr.Similar
Q4 0:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
17.9%
Colby Suits run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:59
Josh Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes KICK)
+19.4
End of Game · Final
Game over.
-17.9
TD · Q3 0:29
Colby Suits pass complete to Josh Johnson for 2 yds for a TD (Davis Hughes PAT MISSED)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com