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GASO

Georgia Southern 18 at Louisiana 20

UL
2020 · Week 4 · Sep 26, 2020 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadGASO aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreGASO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:00 · Nate Snyder 53 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q3 5:49: Alex Raynor 27 yd FG GOOD — GASO win probability +8.4 pts (now 46%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 10:34: Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK) — UL win probability +23.8 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:54: Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 28 yds for a TD Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 00:54 (Shai Werts pass to Darion Anderson for Two-Point Conversion) — GASO win probability +65.5 pts (now 80%) (top driver: GASO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 0:02: Timeout LOUISIANA, clock 00:02 — GASO win probability +17.5 pts (now 70%) (top driver: Blowout context favors the defense).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Nate Snyder 53 yd FG GOOD — UL win probability +64.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 5GASO made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00GASO 4th & 2 at UL 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    21.4%−0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:43GASO 4th & 1 at UL 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    23.8%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    23.5%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    22.6%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:51UL 4th & 5 at GASO 15, tied
    Close callWent for it · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    76.5%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    76.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    75.7%−0.9
    average punt
  4. Q2 2:34GASO 4th & 12 at UL 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    30.8%−0.4
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  5. Q3 14:54UL 4th & 5 at UL 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.0%
    average punt
  6. Q3 5:49GASO 4th & 5 at UL 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.6%−0.4
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.0%
    87% to make
    Punt
    27.2%−10.8
    average punt
  7. Q3 0:30UL 4th & 8 at GASO 8, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.4%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.8%
    90% to make
    Punt
    41.3%−13.6
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00GASO 4th & 7 at GASO 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−2.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.7%
    average punt
  9. Q4 8:01GASO 4th & 3 at UL 24, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 18.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.7%−0.2
    68% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−10.9
    average punt
  10. Q4 8:01UL 4th & 3 at UL 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.8%−0.5
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 1:52UL 4th & 8 at UL 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.2%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 2 of 2GASO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 14:53GASO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 9:25UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 10:34UL Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−0.5
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 0:54GASO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Numbers favored kick by 3.1 ptsWent for two · converted
    Kick
    40.8%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    37.7%−3.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
GASODrive 1DOWNS
18 plays · 68 yds · 7:1721% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
78.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
78.6%
J.D. King run for 9 yds to the GeoSo 47Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+2
78.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.6%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Wesley Kennedy IIISimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+15
78.6%
Werts, Shai rush for no gain to the GS49 (Trahan,Bralen;Riley,Andre), PENALTY LA face mask (Trahan,Bralen) 15 yards to the LA36, 1ST DOWN GS, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
78.6%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+7
78.6%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 27
+3
78.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
78.6%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 19Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+3
78.6%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 16
0
78.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 16
+4
78.6%
Shai Werts run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
78.6%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 6Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+2
78.6%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q1 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+1
75.8%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 3Similar
Q1 7:43
4TH & 1
OPP 3
-4
76.1%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaLaf 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 2DOWNS
11 plays · 78 yds · 0:0076% → 77%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+11
76.1%
Trey Ragas run for 11 yds to the LaLaf 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
76.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+8
76.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kaleb Carter for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
76.4%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+14
76.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 14 yds to the LaLaf 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
76.9%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+34
76.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Devon Pauley for 34 yds to the GeoSo 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
77.2%
Chris Smith run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 17Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 7
OPP 17
0
77.2%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 7
OPP 17
+2
76.9%
Chris Smith run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 15Similar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 5
OPP 15
0
76.6%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 3TD
5 plays · 85 yds · 2:4925% → 33%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+61
74.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 61 yds to the LaLaf 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+14
73.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
73.3%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the LaLaf 4Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
73.3%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 2Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
67.2%
J.D. King run for 2 yds for a TD (Alex Raynor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 4TD
12 plays · 83 yds · 5:2269% → 75%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
68.6%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
68.5%
Levi Lewis pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 7
OWN 20
+13
68.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Devon Pauley for 13 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+36
68.9%
Chris Smith run for 36 yds to the GeoSo 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+13
70.8%
Chris Smith run for 13 yds to the GeoSo 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+6
70.8%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 6 yds to the GeoSo 12Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 4
OPP 12
+1
70.8%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 11Similar
Q2 14:47
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+1
70.2%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 14:47
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+5
69.5%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the GeoSo 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-5
70.8%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the GeoSo 10Similar
Q2 9:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
75.1%
Trey Ragas run for 10 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 5PUNT
18 plays · 41 yds · 6:4529% → 33%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
71.3%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 18Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+5
71.3%
J.D. King run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+2
71.4%
Matt LaRoche run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
71.2%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Darion Anderson, broken up by Percy ButlerSimilar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
71.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 5 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q2 9:19
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
71.2%
Shai Werts pass complete to Logan Wright for 7 yds to the GeoSo 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
70.4%
Logan Wright run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+8
70.0%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 8 yds to the GeoSo 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
69.4%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+3
68.9%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
69.2%
Shai Werts run for no gain to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-5
69.3%
GA SOUTHERN Penalty, illegal participation (-5 Yards) to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q2 2:46
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+3
66.2%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q2 2:34
3RD & 12
OPP 44
0
65.6%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:34
4TH & 12
OPP 44
0
67.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 6INT
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:0070% → 73%
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
70.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Trey RagasSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+7
69.8%
Levi Lewis run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 27Similar
Q2 2:13
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+16
69.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 16 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+7
72.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Johnny Lumpkin for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 2:13
2ND & 3
50
0
72.6%
Levi Lewis pass intercepted Reynard Ellis return for no gain to the GeoSo 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 7INT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:3433% → 33%
Q2 1:19
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+7
66.7%
J.D. King run for 7 yds to the GeoSo 21Similar
Q2 1:19
2ND & 3
OWN 21
+2
66.1%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+3
66.5%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
66.2%
Shai Werts pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-8
66.6%
Shai Werts pass intercepted Bralen Trahan return for 8 yds to the LaLaf 49 Bralen Trahan fumbled, forced by Khaleb Hood, recovered by LaLaf Percy Butler , return for 3 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 8MISSED FG
4 plays · 34 yds · 0:1272% → 73%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+34
71.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Peter LeBlanc for 34 yds to the GeoSo 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
72.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 17
+34
72.9%
Nate Snyder 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0070% → 69%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-10
70.1%
Ragas,Trey rush for 3 yards to the LA37 (Kitchen, Ephraim), PENALTY LA holding (Brown,Tyler) 10 yards to the LA24, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:54
1ST & 20
OWN 24
+4
69.5%
Levi Lewis run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 16
OWN 28
+11
69.4%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 11 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 39
0
70.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Devon PauleySimilar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 39
+3
69.0%
Rhys Byrns punt for 41 yds , Khaleb Hood returns for 3 yds to the GeoSo 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 10FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 7:3434% → 46%
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+6
65.7%
J.D. King run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 29Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 4
OWN 29
+1
64.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 3
OWN 30
+12
65.9%
J.D. King run for 12 yds to the GeoSo 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
63.7%
Shai Werts pass complete to Darion Anderson for 11 yds to the LaLaf 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
62.7%
Wesley Kennedy III run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
62.7%
J.D. King run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+8
62.8%
Shai Werts run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+3
61.9%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 29
+13
61.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Dexter Carter Jr. for 13 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
61.6%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 14Similar
Q3 13:23
2ND & 8
OPP 14
+3
61.6%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q3 13:23
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
62.7%
Shai Werts pass incomplete to Emil SmithSimilar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 5
OPP 11
+27
54.3%
Alex Raynor 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11FG
13 plays · 67 yds · 5:1958% → 65%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
57.5%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
57.8%
Trey Ragas run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
58.0%
Trey Ragas run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 7
OWN 38
0
60.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kaleb Carter, broken up by Tyler BrideSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 7
OWN 38
+27
57.6%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 27 yds Kyren Lacy fumbled, forced by Derrick Canteen, recovered by LaLaf Kyren Lacy for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
63.5%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Peter LeBlancSimilar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
63.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for no gain to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+25
60.9%
Emani Bailey run for 25 yds to the GeoSo 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
63.6%
Emani Bailey run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 9Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
63.6%
Trey Ragas run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 8Similar
Q3 5:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
61.7%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Devon Pauley, broken up by Anthony WilsonSimilar
Q3 0:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
65.4%
Nate Snyder 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:3040% → 38%
Q3 0:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.8%
J.D. King run for 3 yds to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+2
59.1%
Shai Werts run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-2
59.9%
Shai Werts run for a loss of 2 yards to the GeoSo 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+10
62.4%
Anthony Beck II punt for 40 yds , Eric Garror returns for 10 yds to the LaLaf 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13TD
7 plays · 58 yds · 2:4666% → 89%
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
66.1%
LOUISIANA Penalty, false start (O'Cyrus Torrence) to the LaLaf 37Similar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+2
63.3%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 13
OWN 39
+20
63.7%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Kyren Lacy for 20 yds to the GeoSo 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
67.8%
Trey Ragas run for 6 yds to the GeoSo 35Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 4
OPP 35
-10
69.0%
Ragas,Trey rush for 6 yards to the GS29 (Wilson, Anthony;Wright, C.J.), PENALTY LA holding (Brown,Tyler) 10 yards to the GS45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 14
OPP 45
+18
65.5%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Jalen Williams for 18 yds to the GeoSo 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
89.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 14MISSED FG
6 plays · 51 yds · 2:3317% → 19%
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
83.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Wesley Kennedy III for 44 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
78.0%
Shai Werts run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 10:34
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+3
77.5%
Matt LaRoche run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 10:34
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+1
79.3%
Matt LaRoche run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 3
OPP 24
+41
81.4%
Alex Raynor 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
87.9%
Trey Ragas run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+2
87.7%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q4 8:01
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+6
87.0%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 6 yds to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q4 8:01
4TH & 3
OWN 31
0
86.7%
Rhys Byrns punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Wesley Kennedy III at the GeoSo 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 16FUMBLE
5 plays · 70 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
85.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Emil Smith for 9 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-1
83.1%
Wesley Kennedy III run for a loss of 1 yard to the GeoSo 38Similar
Q4 5:48
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+2
83.8%
J.D. King run for 2 yds to the GeoSo 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
84.0%
J.D. King run for 1 yd to the GeoSo 41Similar
Q4 5:48
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+57
84.3%
Shai Werts pass complete to Beau Johnson for 57 yds Beau Johnson fumbled, recovered by LaLafSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:5693% → 94%
Q4 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
93.0%
Trey Ragas run for no gain to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+2
92.8%
Trey Ragas run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 1:52
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
95.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 1:52
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+10
94.2%
Rhys Byrns punt for 49 yds , Wesley Kennedy III returns for 10 yds to the GeoSo 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
GASODrive 18TD
5 plays · 61 yds · 0:4011% → 80%
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
89.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
50
+7
87.9%
Shai Werts pass complete to Malik Murray for 7 yds to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q4 1:34
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+10
86.7%
Shai Werts run for 10 yds to the LaLaf 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:34
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
85.1%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 5 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+28
19.6%
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 28 yds for a TD Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 00:54 (Shai Werts pass to Darion Anderson for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19FG
12 plays · 39 yds · 0:5443% → 95%
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+19
43.1%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 19 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-10
47.3%
Lewis,Levi pass incomplete, QB hurry by Wade, Randy, PENALTY LA holding (Rubio,Carlos) 10 yards to the LA34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:41
1ST & 20
OWN 34
0
39.8%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kaleb CarterSimilar
Q4 0:41
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+12
39.2%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 12 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q4 0:20
3RD & 8
OWN 46
+18
40.3%
Levi Lewis pass complete to Trey Ragas for 18 yds to the GeoSo 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
48.1%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren LacySimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
48.0%
Levi Lewis pass incomplete to Kyren Lacy, broken up by Java'n SingletarySimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+53
94.8%
Nate Snyder 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:54
Shai Werts pass complete to Khaleb Hood for 28 yds for a TD Timeout GA SOUTHERN, clock 00:54 (Shai Werts pass to Darion Anderson for Two-Point Conversion)
-65.5
FG · Q4 0:00
Nate Snyder 53 yd FG GOOD
+64.2
TD · Q4 10:34
Levi Lewis pass complete to Errol Rogers Jr. for 27 yds for a TD (Nate Snyder KICK)
+23.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com