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MEM

Memphis 10 at Cincinnati 49

CIN
2020 · Week 9 · Oct 31, 2020 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadMEM aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreMEM score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 13:25 · James Smith punt for 46 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for no gain to the Memph 18 Calvin Austin III fumbled, recovered by Memph Calvin Austin III MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Memph 18
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+18.5Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Blowout margin−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:07: Tahj Washington 92 Yd pass from Brady White (Riley Patterson Kick) — MEM win probability +3.6 pts (now 33%) (top driver: MEM has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 13:58: Desmond Ridder 13 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +3.9 pts (now 72%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:04: Michael Young Jr. 6 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +6.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:23: Desmond Ridder 9 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +9.6 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:29: Tre Tucker 21 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick) — CIN win probability +3.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 2 of 5MEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 13:25CIN 4th & 14 at CIN 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.7%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:33MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 27, tied
    Close callPunted · 32.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:03MEM 4th & 12 at MEM 33, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:22CIN 4th & 8 at MEM 43, up 7
    Close callPunted · 70.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.3%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    70.0%−0.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    70.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:15CIN 4th & 4 at MEM 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    66.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    66.4%−0.2
    58% to make
    Punt
    65.0%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:20MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.0%−0.7
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:32CIN 4th & 2 at CIN 47, up 7
    Close callPunted · 72.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.5%−0.6
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:18MEM 4th & 1 at MEM 16, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.2 ptsPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−1.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:28MEM 4th & 10 at CIN 24, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 17.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    17.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    14.7%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:16MEM 4th & 2 at CIN 10, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    20.4%
    55% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.9
    88% to make
    Punt
    13.5%−6.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:10MEM 4th & 7 at CIN 39, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    7.5%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−0.7
    36% to make
    Punt
    6.8%−0.7
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:25MEM 4th & 1 at CIN 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.8%−0.3
    72% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−1.4
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:42MEM 4th & 10 at MEM 20, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:47CIN 4th & 6 at MEM 45, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:12MEM 4th & 20 at MEM 28, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 6 of 7MEM made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 9:15CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:07MEM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 13:58CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:04CIN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:23CIN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:29CIN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 8:02CIN Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:30CIN Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · -4 yds · 1:2969% → 69%
Q1 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:44
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
68.9%
Desmond Ridder run for 3 yds to the Cincy 28Similar
Q1 14:28
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-7
68.9%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Wardalis Ducksworth for a loss of 7 yards to the Cincy 21Similar
Q1 13:25
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
68.6%
James Smith punt for 46 yds , Calvin Austin III returns for no gain to the Memph 18 Calvin Austin III fumbled, recovered by Memph Calvin Austin III MEMPHIS Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the Memph 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:4031% → 31%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
68.7%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Memph 20Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
68.7%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 25Similar
Q1 12:34
2ND & 3
OWN 25
-1
68.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 24Similar
Q1 11:58
3RD & 4
OWN 24
+3
68.6%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 3 yds to the Memph 27Similar
Q1 11:33
4TH & 1
OWN 27
0
68.7%
Adam Williams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:5669% → 71%
Q1 11:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
68.5%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 6 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
68.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 5 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
68.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Leonard TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+11
68.4%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 11 yds to the Cincy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
68.7%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Ryan Montgomery for 10 yds to the Memph 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
70.7%
Alec Pierce 43 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 1:5530% → 29%
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
70.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 7
OWN 26
0
70.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the Memph 26Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+5
70.4%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 31Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+4
70.1%
Brady White run for 4 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
70.1%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 33Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
70.4%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q1 7:12
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
70.6%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:03
4TH & 12
OWN 33
+2
70.8%
Adam Williams punt for 42 yds , Ryan Montgomery returns for 2 yds to the Cincy 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 30 yds · 2:2471% → 71%
Q1 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+10
70.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 10 yds to the Cincy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
70.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 18 yds to the Memph 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.5%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jadon ThompsonSimilar
Q1 5:38
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+1
71.4%
Desmond Ridder run for 1 yd to the Memph 44Similar
Q1 4:44
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+1
71.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 1 yd to the Memph 43Similar
Q1 4:22
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
70.8%
James Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 6TD
1 play · 92 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+92
67.2%
Tahj Washington 92 Yd pass from Brady White (Riley Patterson Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:5767% → 72%
Q1 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.2%
Desmond Ridder run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 3:08
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+2
67.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
67.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+25
68.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 25 yds to the Memph 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:54
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
68.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
68.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for no gain to the Memph 34Similar
Q1 0:38
3RD & 9
OPP 34
+5
68.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 5 yds to the Memph 29Similar
Q1 0:15
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+7
67.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Alec Pierce for 7 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
68.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 7 yds to the Memph 15Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
68.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Memph 13Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+13
72.4%
Desmond Ridder 13 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:3029% → 28%
Q2 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
71.2%
White, Brady pass incomplete to Austin III, Calvin, PENALTY CINCINNATI holding 10 yards to the MEMPHIS35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN MEMPHIS.Similar
Q2 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
70.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:33
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
71.1%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Memph 41Similar
Q2 12:58
3RD & 4
OWN 41
-6
70.4%
Brady White sacked by Marcus Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 35Similar
Q2 12:20
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
72.2%
Adam Williams punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:3672% → 72%
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
72.1%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q2 11:41
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
72.1%
Desmond Ridder run for 8 yds to the Cincy 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
72.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 3 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q2 10:27
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
73.4%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jordan JonesSimilar
Q2 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+5
72.5%
Desmond Ridder run for 5 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 9:32
4TH & 2
OWN 47
0
72.1%
James Smith punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:0128% → 26%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+5
72.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 5 yds to the Memph 12Similar
Q2 8:58
2ND & 5
OWN 12
+4
71.9%
Rodrigues Clark run for 4 yds to the Memph 16Similar
Q2 8:35
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
72.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q2 8:18
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
74.1%
Adam Williams punt for 54 yds, downed at the Cincy 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11TD
9 plays · 70 yds · 4:1074% → 82%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+15
73.5%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (15 Yards) to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
74.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young Jr. for 3 yds to the Cincy 48Similar
Q2 7:38
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+14
74.9%
Gerrid Doaks run for 14 yds to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:17
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+15
75.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 15 yds to the Memph 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:11
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
75.6%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the Memph 21Similar
Q2 5:35
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+7
75.8%
Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the Memph 14Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
75.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Memph 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
76.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Memph 6Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
82.0%
Michael Young Jr. 6 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 12FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 3:2719% → 20%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-6
81.1%
Brady White sacked by Myjai Sanders and Elijah Ponder for a loss of 6 yards to the Memph 10Similar
Q2 3:20
2ND & 16
OWN 10
+16
81.7%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 16 yds to the Memph 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
82.0%
Kylan Watkins run for 1 yd to the Memph 27Similar
Q2 2:15
2ND & 9
OWN 27
+4
82.3%
Brady White pass complete to Sean Dykes for 4 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q2 1:42
3RD & 5
OWN 31
+6
82.2%
Brady White run for 6 yds to the Memph 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
82.1%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+10
82.4%
Brady White pass complete to Khi Mathieu for 10 yds to the Memph 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+15
81.8%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Face Mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Cincy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
80.5%
Brady White pass complete to Kameron Wilson for 14 yds to the Cincy 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:42
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
79.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
80.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Calvin Austin IIISimilar
Q2 0:33
3RD & 10
OPP 24
0
81.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:28
4TH & 10
OPP 24
+42
79.8%
Riley Patterson 42 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
80.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 14DOWNS
11 plays · 55 yds · 3:3021% → 21%
Q3 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
79.2%
Rodrigues Clark run for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 34Similar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+15
79.7%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 15 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
78.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:10
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-5
78.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Memph 44Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+11
79.6%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 11 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 13:28
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+27
78.4%
Brady White pass complete to Rodrigues Clark for 27 yds to the Cincy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
77.0%
Rodrigues Clark run for 3 yds to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 7
OPP 15
0
77.0%
Kylan Watkins run for no gain to the Cincy 15Similar
Q3 11:54
3RD & 7
OPP 15
+5
78.2%
Brady White run for 5 yds to the Cincy 10Similar
Q3 11:16
4TH & 2
OPP 10
0
79.5%
Brady White pass incomplete to Sean DykesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
9 plays · 90 yds · 4:3781% → 94%
Q3 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
81.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q3 10:35
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+5
81.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 5 yds to the Cincy 17Similar
Q3 9:57
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+11
81.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jordan Jones for 11 yds to the Cincy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
82.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the Cincy 31Similar
Q3 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+13
82.6%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 13 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:27
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+45
83.8%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 45 yds to the Memph 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
84.1%
Jerome Ford run for 4 yds to the Memph 7Similar
Q3 6:56
2ND & 6
OPP 7
-2
84.3%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 9Similar
Q3 6:23
3RD & 8
OPP 9
+9
93.9%
Desmond Ridder 9 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 16DOWNS
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:458% → 7%
Q3 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
92.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 3 yds to the Memph 35Similar
Q3 5:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+23
92.2%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for 23 yds to the Cincy 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:59
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-2
92.5%
Kylan Watkins run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 44Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 12
OPP 44
+5
92.6%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 5 yds to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 4:14
3RD & 7
OPP 39
0
92.8%
Brady White pass incomplete to Javon IvorySimilar
Q3 4:10
4TH & 7
OPP 39
-6
92.9%
Brady White sacked by Myjai Sanders for a loss of 6 yards to the Cincy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
6 plays · 55 yds · 2:4195% → 99%
Q3 4:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+15
94.6%
MEMPHIS Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (15 Yards) to the Memph 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:58
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
94.7%
Gerrid Doaks run for 9 yds to the Memph 31Similar
Q3 3:33
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+1
95.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the Memph 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
95.1%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 11 yds to the Memph 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:07
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-2
95.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 21Similar
Q3 1:29
2ND & 12
OPP 21
+21
99.1%
Tre Tucker 21 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 18DOWNS
7 plays · 53 yds · 1:461% → 3%
Q3 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+44
98.6%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 44 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:47
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.5%
Rodrigues Clark run for 2 yds to the Cincy 29Similar
Q3 0:11
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+6
98.5%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 6 yds to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+1
98.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for 1 yd to the Cincy 22Similar
Q4 14:25
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
96.6%
Rodrigues Clark run for no gain to the Cincy 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19INT
3 plays · 12 yds · 1:0799% → 99%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
98.9%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Cincy 23Similar
Q4 13:44
2ND & 9
OWN 23
+11
99.1%
Jerome Ford run for 11 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
99.2%
Desmond Ridder pass intercepted Jacobi Francis return for no gain to the Memph 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:213% → 3%
Q4 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:57
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 10
OWN 20
0
97.4%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
97.0%
Adam Williams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Ryan Montgomery at the Cincy 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 2:4399% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+19
99.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for 19 yds to the Memph 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.4%
Gerrid Doaks run for 4 yds to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 11:06
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Memph 43Similar
Q4 10:20
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-2
99.5%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Morris Joseph for a loss of 2 yards to the Memph 45Similar
Q4 9:47
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
99.5%
James Smith punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Calvin Austin III at the Memph 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 22FUMBLE
7 plays · 23 yds · 1:321% → 1%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
98.9%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:38
2ND & 10
OWN 10
0
99.0%
Brady White pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:23
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+12
99.0%
Brady White pass complete to Tahj Washington for 12 yds to the Memph 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+24
99.0%
Brady White pass complete to Calvin Austin III for 24 yds to the Memph 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.0%
Brady White pass incomplete to Tahj WashingtonSimilar
Q4 8:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.0%
Brady White pass complete to Jeremy Tate Jr. for 7 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q4 8:10
3RD & 3
OPP 47
-20
99.0%
Brady White sacked by James Wiggins for a loss of 20 yards to the Memph 33 Brady White fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ty Van Fossen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23TD
1 play · 33 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
99.9%
Jerome Ford run for 33 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 1 yds · 2:300% → 0%
Q4 7:42
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.9%
Kylan Watkins run for 6 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 7:14
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
99.9%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Memph 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Brady White pass complete to Kylan Watkins for no gain to the Memph 38Similar
Q4 6:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.9%
Brady White sacked by Jabari Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the Memph 37Similar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 37
-9
99.9%
Brady White sacked by Wilson Huber for a loss of 9 yards to the Memph 28Similar
Q4 5:12
4TH & 20
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Adam Williams punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 25TD
6 plays · 67 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 1 yd to the Cincy 34Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
99.9%
Ryan Montgomery run for 4 yds to the Cincy 38Similar
Q4 3:33
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
99.9%
Ben Bryant run for 5 yds to the Cincy 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.9%
Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the Memph 49Similar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+1
99.9%
Jerome Ford run for 1 yd to the Memph 48Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 1
OPP 48
+48
100.0%
Jerome Ford run for 48 yds for a TD (Cole Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MEMDrive 26END OF 4TH QUARTER
4 plays · 9 yds · 1:100% → 0%
Q4 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 5 yds to the Memph 30Similar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Brandon Thomas run for 3 yds to the Memph 33Similar
Q4 0:01
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
100.0%
Timothy Taylor run for 1 yd to the Memph 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 6:23
Desmond Ridder 9 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)
+9.6
TD · Q2 4:04
Michael Young Jr. 6 Yd pass from Desmond Ridder (Cole Smith Kick)
+6
TD · Q2 13:58
Desmond Ridder 13 Yd Run (Cole Smith Kick)
+3.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com