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APSU

Austin Peay 20 at Cincinnati 55

CIN
2020 · Week 3 · Sep 19, 2020 · Nippert Stadium
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Win probability · CIN
modelCIN aheadAPSU aheadconfidence bandkey playCIN scoreAPSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 0:29 · Evan Prater run for 1 yd to the APeay 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 13:21: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 29 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK) — APSU win probability +0.1 pts (now 1%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 6:21: Grant Paulette 30 yd FG GOOD — APSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 2%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q2 12:01: Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK) — CIN win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 3:39: Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK) — CIN win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:55: Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 32 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK) — CIN win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: CIN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CIN made the numbers' call on 3 of 3APSU made the numbers' call on 10 of 12
  1. Q1 6:21APSU 4th & 2 at CIN 13, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.0%−0.1
    85% to make
    Punt
    1.6%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:33CIN 4th & 1 at APSU 1, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.6%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    96.2%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00APSU 4th & 3 at APSU 25, down 11
    Close callPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 10:43APSU 4th & 1 at APSU 34, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:43APSU 4th & 14 at APSU 31, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.3
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 3:39APSU 4th & 8 at CIN 47, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00APSU 4th & 1 at APSU 34, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00APSU 4th & 4 at CIN 39, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.1
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:02APSU 4th & 7 at CIN 12, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02CIN 4th & 12 at CIN 33, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.6%−0.3
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 8:06APSU 4th & 15 at APSU 21, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:55CIN 4th & 2 at APSU 32, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    98.6%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00APSU 4th & 7 at APSU 28, down 36
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 9:16APSU 4th & 1 at CIN 1, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    94% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 1:27APSU 4th & 1 at APSU 39, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CIN made the numbers' call on 8 of 8APSU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 13:21CIN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:33CIN Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:01CIN Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:39CIN Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:55CIN Touchdown, up 28 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:13CIN Touchdown, up 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 13:39CIN Touchdown, up 42 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:16APSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 7:59CIN Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 5:54APSU Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
CINDrive 1TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:3999% → 99%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 8 yds to the Cincy 34Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds to the Cincy 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+22
99.0%
Charles McClelland run for 22 yds to the APeay 29 Charles McClelland fumbled, forced by Nathan Page, for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Tre Tucker for 29 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 2FG
15 plays · 62 yds · 6:531% → 2%
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 4 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for 9 yds to the APeay 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the APeay 40Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-1
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 39Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+17
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 17 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+8
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 8 yds to the Cincy 36Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 2
OPP 36
+5
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 5 yds to the Cincy 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 5 yds to the Cincy 26Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 5
OPP 26
+2
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Eugene Minter for 2 yds to the Cincy 24Similar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+3
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the Cincy 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 8 yds to the Cincy 13Similar
Q1 13:14
2ND & 2
OPP 13
0
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q1 13:14
3RD & 2
OPP 13
0
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Brian Snead for no gain to the Cincy 13Similar
Q1 6:21
4TH & 2
OPP 13
+30
98.3%
Grant Paulette 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 3TD
18 plays · 81 yds · 5:4398% → 98%
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 6 yds to the Cincy 25Similar
Q1 6:16
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+9
98.3%
Jerome Ford run for 9 yds to the Cincy 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+10
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Jayshon Jackson for 10 yds to the Cincy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+26
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 26 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.2%
AUSTINPEAY Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the APeay 25Similar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 5
OPP 25
+1
98.2%
Ryan Mcdonald run for 1 yd to the APeay 24Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 4
OPP 24
0
98.2%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Michael YoungSimilar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 4
OPP 24
+8
98.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for 8 yds to the APeay 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
98.2%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 7 yds to the APeay 9Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+3
98.2%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the APeay 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
98.2%
Charles McClelland run for no gain to the APeay 6Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-4
98.2%
Desmond Ridder sacked by Jequaries Martin for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 10Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
98.2%
RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Jadon, PENALTY APSU offside (MARTIN, Jequari) 5 yards to the APSU5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
98.2%
RIDDER, Desmond pass incomplete to THOMPSON, Jadon, PENALTY APSU offside (YOUNG, Jau'von) 3 yards to the APSU2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.2%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the APeay 1Similar
Q1 0:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:262% → 2%
Q1 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
98.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Geordon Pollard for 3 yds to the APeay 21Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
98.0%
Brian Snead run for 4 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Corey Petersen punt for 37 yds , Ryan Mcdonald returns for 7 yds to the Cincy 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 5TD
5 plays · 55 yds · 2:0498% → 99%
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.0%
Charles McClelland run for 6 yds to the APeay 49Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+38
98.0%
Desmond Ridder run for 38 yds to the APeay 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:05
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
98.0%
Jerome Ford run for 7 yds to the APeay 4Similar
Q2 14:05
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+3
98.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the APeay 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 6PUNT
10 plays · 6 yds · 1:182% → 2%
Q2 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 24Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+10
98.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 10 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q2 12:01
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
98.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to CJ Evans Jr.Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.3%
Brian Snead run for 1 yd to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-5
98.3%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 30Similar
Q2 10:43
2ND & 15
OWN 30
-5
98.4%
Baniko Harley run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 25Similar
Q2 10:43
3RD & 20
OWN 25
+6
98.4%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Brian Snead for 6 yds to the APeay 31Similar
Q2 10:43
4TH & 14
OWN 31
0
98.4%
Corey Petersen punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Cincy 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 7TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 4:3398% → 99%
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 6 yds to the Cincy 35Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+30
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 30 yds to the APeay 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
98.3%
Ryan Mcdonald run for 6 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for no gain to the APeay 29Similar
Q2 8:12
3RD & 4
OPP 29
+4
98.3%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Michael Young for 4 yds to the APeay 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
98.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 2 yds to the APeay 23Similar
Q2 8:12
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+21
98.3%
Desmond Ridder run for 21 yds to the APeay 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
98.8%
Gerrid Doaks run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 28 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.2%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.2%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+9
98.2%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Geordon Pollard for 9 yds to the APeay 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+14
98.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 14 yds to the Cincy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
98.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+2
98.1%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 47Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & 8
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q2 3:39
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
98.1%
Corey Petersen punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ryan Mcdonald at the Cincy 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 9END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
99.3%
Ben Bryant run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 12Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 11
OWN 12
-1
99.3%
Ben Bryant sacked by Kwame Sutton for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 10FG
17 plays · 63 yds · 5:581% → 1%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.1%
Brian Snead run for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo Wilson, broken up by James WigginsSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+10
99.1%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Eugene Minter for 10 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.0%
Brian Snead run for 2 yds to the APeay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.0%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+4
99.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 4 yds to the APeay 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+12
99.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to DeAngelo Wilson for 12 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.0%
OATSVALL, Jerem pass incomplete to HARLEY, Baniko, PENALTY CIN substitution infraction 5 yards to the CIN40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 40
+1
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Armond Carter Jr. for 1 yd to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 39
0
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for no gain to the Cincy 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 39
0
99.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Geordon Pollard, broken up by Coby BryantSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 39
+24
99.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Geordon Pollard for 24 yds to the Cincy 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+1
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd to the Cincy 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 14
+2
98.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 12Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 12
0
99.0%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Eugene MinterSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 7
OPP 12
+29
98.8%
Grant Paulette 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
99.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for a loss of 2 yards to the Cincy 33Similar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 12
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson, broken up by Johnathon EdwardsSimilar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon JacksonSimilar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
98.9%
James Smith punt for 41 yds , Baniko Harley returns for no gain to the APeay 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to DeAngelo WilsonSimilar
Q3 8:06
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Eugene Minter for 2 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q3 8:06
3RD & 8
OWN 28
-7
98.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall sacked by Ethan Tucky and Myjai Sanders for a loss of 7 yards to the APeay 21Similar
Q3 8:06
4TH & 15
OWN 21
0
98.9%
Corey Petersen punt for 30 yds, downed at the Cincy 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 13TD
7 plays · 51 yds · 3:0299% → 100%
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-4
99.1%
Jerome Ford run for a loss of 4 yards to the Cincy 45Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 14
OWN 45
0
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Jayshon Jackson, broken up by Johnathon EdwardsSimilar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 14
OWN 45
+15
99.0%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Leonard Taylor for 15 yds to the APeay 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:57
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
99.1%
Ryan Mcdonald run for 4 yds to the APeay 36Similar
Q3 6:57
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+3
99.1%
Gerrid Doaks run for 3 yds to the APeay 33Similar
Q3 6:57
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+1
99.0%
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd to the APeay 32Similar
Q3 3:55
4TH & 2
OPP 32
+32
99.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 32 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 14INT
6 plays · 44 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+26
99.9%
Brian Snead run for 11 yds to the APeay 25 for a 1ST down CINCINNATI Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Arquon Bush) to the APeay 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
99.9%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the APeay 43Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+12
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 12 yds to the Cincy 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+3
99.9%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the Cincy 42Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 7
OPP 42
-16
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass intercepted Arquon Bush return for 31 yds to the APeay 11 AUSTINPEAY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Baniko Harley) to the APeay 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 15TD
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:37100% → 100%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
99.9%
Desmond Ridder pass incomplete to Bruno Labelle, broken up by Coreon JacksonSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OPP 15
-10
99.9%
MCCLELLAND, C rush for 15 yards to the APSU0, clock 01:37, PENALTY CIN holding (ROBINSON, J) 10 yards to the APSU25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 20
OPP 25
+23
99.9%
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Josh Whyle for 23 yds to the APeay 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.9%
Jerome Ford run for 2 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:130% → 0%
Q3 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-4
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for a loss of 4 yards to the APeay 21Similar
Q3 1:13
2ND & 14
OWN 21
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Geordon PollardSimilar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+7
99.9%
Brian Snead run for 7 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Corey Petersen punt for 29 yds , Ryan Mcdonald returns for no gain to the Cincy 33 Ryan Mcdonald fumbled, recovered by Cincy Ethan Tucky CINCINNATI Penalty, Offensive holding (Justin Harris) to the Cincy 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 17TD
4 plays · 67 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Bruno Labelle for 21 yds to the APeay 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:51
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
99.9%
Ryan Mcdonald run for 6 yds to the APeay 40Similar
Q4 14:51
2ND & 4
OPP 40
0
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 4
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Ben Bryant run for 40 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 18TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass incomplete to Geordon PollardSimilar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Brian Snead run for 3 yds to the APeay 28Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 16 yds to the APeay 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Jariel Wilson run for 4 yds to the APeay 48Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & 6
OWN 48
-1
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to CJ Evans Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the APeay 47Similar
Q4 13:39
3RD & 7
OWN 47
+49
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall pass complete to Baniko Harley for 49 yds to the Cincy 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
99.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 2 yds to the Cincy 2Similar
Q4 13:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
-1
99.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for a loss of 1 yard to the Cincy 3Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
99.9%
Jeremiah Oatsvall run for 2 yds to the Cincy 1Similar
Q4 9:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 1 yd for a TD OATSVALL, Jerem pass attempt to MINTER, Eugene good, PENALTY APSU illegal formation 5 yards to the CIN8, NO PLAY. (Grant Paulette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 19TD
9 plays · 66 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
99.9%
BRYANT, Ben pass incomplete to YOUNG, Michael (PAGE, Nathan), PENALTY APSU pass interference (PAGE, Nathan) 15 yards to the CIN49, 1ST DOWN CIN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Michael Young for 6 yds to the APeay 45Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 4
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Ben Bryant pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:15
3RD & 4
OPP 45
+17
99.9%
Ben Bryant run for 17 yds to the APeay 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
100.0%
Ben Bryant pass incomplete to Jadon Thompson, broken up by Isaiah NormanSimilar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
99.9%
BRYANT, Ben pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Leonard, PENALTY APSU holding off-setting, PENALTY CIN ineligible downfield on pass off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+20
99.9%
Tyler Scott run for 20 yds to the APeay 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
100.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Josh Whyle for 8 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 20TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:050% → 0%
Q4 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Bryce Robinson run for 2 yds to the APeay 27Similar
Q4 7:59
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
100.0%
Jariel Wilson run for 2 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+5
100.0%
CINCINNATI Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 7:59
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
100.0%
Bryce Robinson run for 2 yds to the APeay 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+64
100.0%
CJ Evans Jr. run for 64 yds for a TD (Grant Paulette KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 21FUMBLE
9 plays · 51 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
100.0%
Jerome Ford run for 3 yds to the Cincy 37Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 7
OWN 37
+3
100.0%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the Cincy 40Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+18
100.0%
Ben Bryant pass complete to Jadon Thompson for 18 yds to the APeay 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+8
100.0%
Jerome Ford run for 8 yds to the APeay 34Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 2
OPP 34
+3
100.0%
Charles McClelland run for 3 yds to the APeay 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
100.0%
Ryan Mcdonald run for 1 yd to the APeay 30Similar
Q4 5:54
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+6
100.0%
Michael Lindauer run for a loss of 5 yards to the APeay 29 Michael Lindauer fumbled, recovered by Cincy Michael Lindauer , return for 6 yds to the APeay 29Similar
Q4 5:54
3RD & 8
OPP 29
+4
100.0%
Michael Lindauer run for 4 yds to the APeay 19 Michael Lindauer fumbled, recovered by APeay Terrell Allen , return for 4 yds to the APeay 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
APSUDrive 22DOWNS
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+6
100.0%
Bryce Robinson pass complete to Brandon Lanier for 6 yds to the APeay 25Similar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 4
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Bryce Robinson pass complete to Brandon Lanier for 5 yds to the APeay 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Bryce Robinson pass incomplete to Baniko HarleySimilar
Q4 1:27
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Bryce Robinson pass incomplete to Brandon Lanier, broken up by Daved Jones Jr.Similar
Q4 1:27
3RD & 10
OWN 30
+9
100.0%
Bryce Robinson run for 9 yds to the APeay 39Similar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
100.0%
Bryce Robinson pass incomplete to Jariel Wilson, broken up by Bryan CookSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CINDrive 23END OF GAME
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
100.0%
Evan Prater run for 3 yds to the APeay 36Similar
Q4 0:29
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+12
100.0%
Cameron Young run for 12 yds to the APeay 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:29
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
100.0%
Evan Prater run for 1 yd to the APeay 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:55
Desmond Ridder pass complete to Gerrid Doaks for 32 yds for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)
+0.8
FG · Q1 6:21
Grant Paulette 30 yd FG GOOD
-0.6
TD · Q2 12:01
Gerrid Doaks run for 1 yd for a TD (Cole Smtih KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com