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TULN

Tulane 24 at Tulsa 30

TLSA
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 19, 2020 · Chapman Stadium
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Win probability · TLSA
modelTLSA aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playTLSA scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 8:12 · Lachlan Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the 50 yard line
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.5+17.80−17.8−35.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTOT2Play 102Home team on offense+0.3Pregame prior+7.3Garbage-time factor−0.9Score differential−0.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 3:16: Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 19 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +37.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 1:38: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +36.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:00: Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 37 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK) — TLSA win probability +49.8 pts (now 62%) (top driver: TLSA has the ball).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Merek Glover 39 yd FG GOOD — TULN win probability +26.2 pts (now 49%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT2 0:00: Michael Pratt pass intercepted for a TD Zaven Collins return for 94 yds for a TD — TLSA win probability +39.4 pts (now 80%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TLSA made the numbers' call on 4 of 9TULN made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 14:05TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:24TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:33TULN 4th & 7 at TLSA 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.2%
    87% to make
    Punt
    35.3%−1.0
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:56TLSA 4th & 4 at TLSA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.9%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 4:06TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:24TLSA 4th & 18 at TULN 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.4%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.0%
    60% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−1.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:49TULN 4th & 16 at TLSA 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%−0.6
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.7%
    40% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:25TLSA 4th & 22 at TLSA 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−1.7
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:03TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:29TLSA 4th & 3 at TULN 22, tied
    Close callWent for it · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.3%−0.6
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%
    72% to make
    Punt
    58.3%−4.6
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:13TULN 4th & 8 at TULN 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.4%−2.3
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:12TLSA 4th & 7 at TLSA 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−2.0
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:51TLSA 4th & 1 at TLSA 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    37.2%−3.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:18TULN 4th & 6 at TLSA 43, up 14
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    87.5%−1.7
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    88.5%−0.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:34TULN 4th & 12 at TULN 33, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−4.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:56TLSA 4th & 13 at TULN 27, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.8 ptsWent for it · 21.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.6%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    20.4%
    62% to make
    Punt
    12.1%−8.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:16TLSA 4th & 16 at TULN 19, down 7
    Numbers favored field goal by 2.3 ptsWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    15.5%−2.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    10.7%−7.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TLSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q3 5:25TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:07TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 9:17TLSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:16TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    48.0%−1.9
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 1:38TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    83.3%−0.9
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.2%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 0:00TLSA Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.9%−7.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:4431% → 31%
Q1 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
68.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 14:12
3RD & 8
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 14:05
4TH & 8
OWN 22
0
68.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Keylon Stokes at the Tulsa 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:3369% → 68%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
68.7%
Zach Smith run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+5
68.6%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q1 12:41
3RD & 4
OWN 39
0
68.6%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 12:24
4TH & 4
OWN 39
+39
68.4%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 52 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 39 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3MISSED FG
10 plays · 41 yds · 3:4332% → 32%
Q1 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+26
68.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 26 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
68.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for 4 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 6
OPP 22
-5
67.8%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Tyrick James) to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q1 10:53
2ND & 11
OPP 27
+7
67.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 7 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q1 10:16
3RD & 4
OPP 20
+6
67.8%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-3
67.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Jaxon Player for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q1 9:21
2ND & 13
OPP 17
+6
67.5%
Michael Pratt run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 11Similar
Q1 8:38
3RD & 7
OPP 11
0
67.3%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q1 8:33
4TH & 7
OPP 11
+28
67.7%
Merek Glover 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 29 yds · 1:3368% → 68%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
68.1%
Zach Smith pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q1 8:14
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+6
68.2%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
68.0%
Zach Smith pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 11 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
68.5%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q1 7:29
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+6
68.3%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q1 7:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
0
68.4%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q1 6:56
4TH & 4
OWN 49
+45
68.1%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 45 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:4432% → 32%
Q1 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+6
67.9%
Amare Jones run for 6 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q1 6:26
2ND & 4
OWN 11
+2
67.7%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 13Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 2
OWN 13
+5
67.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 5 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
67.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for no gain to the Tulan 18Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
67.4%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q1 4:39
3RD & 10
OWN 18
+1
67.7%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 19Similar
Q1 4:06
4TH & 9
OWN 19
0
67.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Tulsa 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 6MISSED FG
5 plays · 23 yds · 1:3469% → 67%
Q1 3:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+31
68.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 31 yds to the Tulan 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
69.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 3:13
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
69.0%
Zach Smith pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:01
3RD & 6
OPP 16
-12
68.6%
Zach Smith sacked by Nick Anderson and Marvin Moody for a loss of 12 yards to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 2:24
4TH & 18
OPP 28
+46
67.2%
Zack Long 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7MISSED FG
14 plays · 35 yds · 5:3034% → 34%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
66.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q1 1:34
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+9
66.2%
Michael Pratt run for 9 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
65.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 9 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 0:39
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
64.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:17
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
64.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
64.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 36Similar
Q2 14:26
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+5
64.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+5
64.0%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaxon Player) to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q2 14:06
1ST & 5
OPP 26
+2
63.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q2 13:34
2ND & 3
OPP 24
-5
63.7%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Corey Dublin) to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q2 13:14
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+1
63.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 1 yd to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q2 12:56
3RD & 7
OPP 28
-5
64.2%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Timothy Shafter) to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q2 12:09
3RD & 12
OPP 33
-4
64.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Treyvon Reeves for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulsa 37Similar
Q2 11:49
4TH & 16
OPP 37
+54
65.9%
Merek Glover 54 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 8PUNT
8 plays · -1 yds · 2:1768% → 66%
Q2 11:42
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
67.6%
Deneric Prince run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 13
OWN 34
0
66.8%
Seth Boomer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:57
3RD & 13
OWN 34
+14
66.2%
Seth Boomer run for 14 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
68.4%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & 12
OWN 46
-10
67.6%
Prince, Deneric rush for 5 yards to the TULANE49, PENALTY TULSA holding (Palmer, James) 10 yards to the TULSA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:38
2ND & 22
OWN 36
0
67.0%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q2 9:33
3RD & 22
OWN 36
0
66.2%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.Similar
Q2 9:25
4TH & 22
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 2:1635% → 36%
Q2 9:19
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
64.9%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 25Similar
Q2 8:46
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+10
64.7%
Pratt, Michael pass incomplete to Jackson, Jha'Quan, PENALTY TULSA holding (Martin, TieNeal) 10 yards to the TULANE35, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN TULANE.Similar
Q2 8:41
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
64.3%
Amare Jones run for 6 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 8:10
2ND & 4
OWN 41
-15
61.9%
Pratt, Michael pass complete to Watts, Duece for 34 yards to the TULSA25, PENALTY TULANE pass interference (Watts, Duece) 15 yards to the TULANE26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 8:02
2ND & 19
OWN 26
0
64.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Cameron Carroll for no gain to the Tulan 26Similar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 19
OWN 26
+11
64.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 11 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q2 7:03
4TH & 8
OWN 37
+1
64.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 49 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 1 yd to the Tulsa 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 10INT
17 plays · 69 yds · 6:3666% → 69%
Q2 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
66.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 17Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+3
66.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q2 5:33
3RD & 5
OWN 20
+6
65.2%
Seth Boomer run for 6 yds to the Tulsa 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
66.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 9 yds to the Tulsa 35Similar
Q2 4:44
2ND & 1
OWN 35
+5
67.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
67.5%
Deneric Prince run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q2 3:32
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+17
66.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Josh Johnson for 17 yds to the Tulan 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+6
68.5%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
Q2 2:47
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+3
68.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 2:06
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+6
68.1%
T.K. Wilkerson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+6
69.4%
Deneric Prince run for 6 yds to the Tulan 23Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 4
OPP 23
+1
69.4%
Deneric Prince run for 1 yd to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 3
OPP 22
0
68.1%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+6
66.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Keylon Stokes for 6 yds to the Tulan 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:21
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
69.4%
Seth Boomer pass intercepted Larry Brooks return for no gain to the Tulan 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 1 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 0:16
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
63.0%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 12FUMBLE
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:1264% → 67%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
64.2%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 28Similar
Q3 14:34
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
64.3%
Seth Boomer pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q3 14:27
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+16
62.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 16 yds to the Tulsa 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:56
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
66.4%
Josh Johnson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q3 13:17
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+3
66.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:33
3RD & 4
50
+15
65.8%
Seth Boomer pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 15 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
67.4%
Deneric Prince run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+3
67.4%
Deneric Prince run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30 Deneric Prince fumbled, forced by Macon Clark, recovered by Tulan Macon ClarkSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2740% → 38%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
59.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
59.1%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 32Similar
Q3 10:23
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
60.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q3 10:13
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+6
61.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 62 yds , Keylon Stokes returns for 6 yds to the Tulsa 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:5463% → 60%
Q3 10:06
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
62.5%
Seth Boomer run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 14Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 8
OWN 14
-7
62.2%
Seth Boomer sacked by Dorian Williams for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 7Similar
Q3 8:46
3RD & 15
OWN 7
+8
60.5%
Corey Taylor II run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 15Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 7
OWN 15
0
59.8%
Lachlan Wilson punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
7 plays · 50 yds · 2:4345% → 65%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
50
+3
55.4%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q3 7:38
2ND & 7
OPP 47
-6
55.3%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 47Similar
Q3 6:53
3RD & 13
OWN 47
+18
58.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 18 yds to the Tulsa 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
53.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 33Similar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+12
53.2%
Michael Pratt run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 31 for a 1ST down TULSA Penalty, Defensive Holding (Akayleb Evans) to the Tulsa 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+16
52.8%
Stephon Huderson run for 16 yds to the Tulsa 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
34.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 16DOWNS
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:2442% → 39%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
41.8%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 24Similar
Q3 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+5
41.4%
Corey Taylor II run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 4:31
3RD & 1
OWN 29
0
40.5%
Corey Taylor II run for no gain to the Tulsa 29Similar
Q3 3:51
4TH & 1
OWN 29
-2
38.9%
T.K. Wilkerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulsa 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:3968% → 83%
Q3 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
32.5%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the Tulsa 27Similar
Q3 3:07
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+27
17.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 27 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 18FUMBLE
7 plays · 58 yds · 1:3721% → 21%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
21.1%
Corey Taylor II run for 28 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
23.7%
Seth Boomer pass complete to Josh Johnson for 2 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-10
22.4%
Boomer, Seth pass incomplete to Taylor II, Corey, PENALTY TULSA holding (Smith, Tyler) 10 yards to the TULSA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 18
OWN 49
-11
20.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 4 yds to the Tulsa 49 TULSA Penalty, Illegal Block (Tyler Smith) to the Tulsa 34Similar
Q3 1:41
2ND & 29
OWN 34
+20
19.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 20 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q3 1:21
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+29
21.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 29 yds Malik Rodgers fumbled, forced by Larry Brooks, recovered by Tulan Larry BrooksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 3:5883% → 88%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+11
17.0%
Amare Jones run for 11 yds to the Tulan 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
16.6%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (Jaxon Player) to the Tulan 33Similar
Q3 0:49
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+3
16.2%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q3 0:12
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+4
15.2%
Amare Jones run for 4 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
14.3%
Amare Jones run for 13 yds to the Tulsa 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-7
12.1%
Amare Jones run for 8 yds to the Tulan 39 TULANE Penalty, Personal Foul (Josh Remetich) to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+5
12.4%
TULSA Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Tulsa 49Similar
Q4 13:05
2ND & 12
OPP 49
+1
11.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 48Similar
Q4 12:57
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+5
11.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 43Similar
Q4 12:18
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
11.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Malik Rodgers at the Tulsa 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 20TD
10 plays · 84 yds · 2:5716% → 37%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
15.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+5
15.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Malik Rodgers for 5 yds to the Tulsa 21Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 21
+37
14.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 37 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
17.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 42
-1
17.3%
Davis Brin sacked by Jeffery Johnson and Eric Hicks Jr. for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 43Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+12
16.6%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Stewart for 12 yds to the Tulan 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:38
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+1
15.9%
Davis Brin run for 1 yd to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 10:19
2ND & 9
OPP 30
+8
15.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Stewart for 8 yds to the Tulan 22Similar
Q4 9:43
3RD & 1
OPP 22
+4
14.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulan 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:17
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
36.7%
Davis Brin run for 18 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 2:3577% → 77%
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
23.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 32Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
22.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
22.0%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Tulan 31Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+2
22.6%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 12
OWN 33
0
21.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Mykel JonesSimilar
Q4 6:34
4TH & 12
OWN 33
0
22.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 38 yds, downed at the Tulsa 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 22TD
13 plays · 71 yds · 3:1325% → 59%
Q4 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+14
25.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 14 yds to the Tulsa 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+4
27.0%
Corey Taylor II run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 47Similar
Q4 5:28
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+6
27.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 6 yds to the Tulan 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-7
27.8%
Davis Brin sacked by Noah Seiden for a loss of 7 yards to the Tulsa 46Similar
Q4 4:28
2ND & 17
OWN 46
+4
23.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 13
50
0
22.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q4 3:56
4TH & 13
OPP 27
+36
21.4%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 23 yds to the TULSA 27 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, Face Mask (13 yards) (Cornelius Dyson) to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
30.7%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 14
-5
30.6%
Brin, Davis rush for 9 yards to the TULANE5, PENALTY TULSA illegal shift 5 yards to the TULANE19, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:27
2ND & 16
OPP 19
0
27.3%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh StewartSimilar
Q4 3:22
3RD & 16
OPP 19
0
23.8%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q4 3:16
4TH & 16
OPP 19
+19
58.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 19 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
9 plays · 28 yds · 1:2156% → 95%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
43.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the Tulsa 26Similar
Q4 2:21
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+8
43.4%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the Tulsa 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & 10
OPP 18
-5
41.5%
TULANE Penalty, False Start (Timothy Shafter) to the Tulsa 23Similar
Q4 1:49
1ST & 15
OPP 23
+3
42.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
Q4 1:44
2ND & 12
OPP 20
+1
39.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the Tulsa 19Similar
Q4 1:38
3RD & 11
OPP 19
+19
4.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 19 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 24END OF 4TH QUARTER
13 plays · 75 yds · 1:3314% → 62%
Q4 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.5%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Josh JohnsonSimilar
Q4 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
13.2%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 11 yds to the Tulsa 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-10
14.6%
Brin, Davis pass sacked for loss of 4 yards to the TULSA32 (Williams, Dorian), PENALTY TULSA holding 10 yards to the TULSA26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 20
OWN 26
0
12.6%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to JuanCarlos SantanaSimilar
Q4 0:57
2ND & 20
OWN 26
+13
11.8%
Davis Brin pass complete to Sam Crawford Jr. for 13 yds to the Tulsa 39Similar
Q4 0:36
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+9
11.0%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Stewart for 9 yds to the Tulsa 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+12
13.1%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 12 yds to the Tulan 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
12.3%
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 3 yds to the Tulan 37Similar
Q4 0:06
2ND & 7
OPP 37
0
12.8%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+37
61.7%
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 37 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TLSADrive 25FG
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
64.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulan 18Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+7
64.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 7 yds to the Tulan 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
64.7%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+2
64.7%
Corey Taylor II run for 2 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 9
0
62.4%
Davis Brin pass incomplete to Sam Crawford Jr.Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 8
OPP 9
+27
79.3%
Zack Long 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 26FG
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0029% → 49%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
70.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 22Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 7
OPP 22
0
70.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Stephon HudersonSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
77.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
51.5%
Merek Glover 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27INT TD
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:0060% → 20%
OT2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
40.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulsa 20Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+10
40.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 10 yds to the Tulsa 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT2 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
40.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds to the Tulsa 7Similar
OT2 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
40.5%
Michael Pratt run for 4 yds to the Tulsa 3Similar
OT2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-94
79.9%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted for a TD Zaven Collins return for 94 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 0:00
Davis Brin pass complete to JuanCarlos Santana for 37 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)
+49.8
TD · OT2 0:00
Michael Pratt pass intercepted for a TD Zaven Collins return for 94 yds for a TD
+39.4
TD · Q4 3:16
Davis Brin pass complete to Josh Johnson for 19 yds for a TD (Zack Long KICK)
+37.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com