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TULN

Tulane 38 at East Carolina 21

ECU
2020 · Week 10 · Nov 7, 2020 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium
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Win probability · ECU
modelECU aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playECU scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+2.4ECU 3.3%Holton Ahlers pass complete to BlakeProehl for 75 yds for a TD (Two-PointConversion failed )AWAY 38 - HOME 21 · Q4 5:07
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:07 · Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 75 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingOne-score game
+51.5+25.80−25.8−51.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 159Home team on offense−37.3Score differential−18.6Garbage-time factor−13.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−5.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−9.6One-score game+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:28: Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +8.7 pts (now 61%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:38: Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +8.1 pts (now 76%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 5:49: Cameron Carroll run for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +13.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 10:37: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 30 yds for a TD (Holton Ahlers pass to Tyler Snead for Two-Point Conversion) — ECU win probability +7.2 pts (now 11%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 5:17: Cameron Carroll run for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.9 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ECU made the numbers' call on 10 of 11TULN made the numbers' call on 4 of 6
  1. Q1 11:09ECU 4th & 4 at TULN 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 42.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    42.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    42.0%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    42.1%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:48TULN 4th & 7 at ECU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.6%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:40ECU 4th & 5 at ECU 8, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.1%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00ECU 4th & 1 at ECU 42, tied
    Close callPunted · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.5%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:30TULN 4th & 13 at TULN 9, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.1%−1.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:35ECU 4th & 1 at TULN 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    48.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−1.9
    23% to make
    Punt
    47.5%−1.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 3:36ECU 4th & 11 at TULN 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.0%
    45% to make
    Punt
    35.9%−1.0
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.4%−2.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:13TULN 4th & 3 at ECU 17, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.4%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    76.8%−0.6
    80% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−8.0
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:02ECU 4th & 2 at ECU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 5:49ECU 4th & 19 at ECU 28, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−2.5
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:38TULN 4th & 23 at ECU 25, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.6%−0.8
    7% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.4%
    66% to make
    Punt
    94.4%−2.0
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00ECU 4th & 7 at TULN 47, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  14. Q4 6:57TULN 4th & 1 at ECU 22, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.6%−1.0
    72% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−3.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 6:57ECU 4th & 4 at ECU 28, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    5.8%−0.3
    average punt
  16. Q4 4:53TULN 4th & 6 at ECU 43, up 17
    Close callPunted · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    95.9%−0.5
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 3:18ECU 4th & 1 at TULN 3, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.6%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    3.3%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−1.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 1 of 3TULN made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 11:09TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:48ECU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 7:28TULN Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:38TULN Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 5:49TULN Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 10:37ECU Touchdown, down 18 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    5.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:17TULN Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 5:07ECU Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    4.3%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    4.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TULNDrive 1TD
10 plays · 78 yds · 3:5151% → 52%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 6 yds to the Tulan 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
+7
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 7 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 8 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+3
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 3 yds to the Tulan 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-3
49.1%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+17
49.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 17 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
49.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 35 Stephon Huderson fumbled, forced by Nolan Johnson, recovered by Tulan Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+35
47.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 35 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:2148% → 52%
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
48.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
50
0
48.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 10
50
+5
48.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q1 11:09
4TH & 4
OPP 44
+5
48.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+5
48.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 34
+5
49.0%
HARRIS, Rahjai rush over right end for no gain to the TLN34 (Henry,K.;Johnson,Pa.), PENALTY TLN offside defense (Hicks,E.) 5 yards to the TLN29, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
49.0%
Rahjai Harris run for 5 yds to the Tulan 24Similar
Q1 11:09
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+1
48.9%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 11:09
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+10
49.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 10 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
49.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
51.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
50.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+6
50.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+13
50.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 13 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
49.6%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the ECaro 48Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 7
OPP 48
0
49.5%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 7
OPP 48
0
49.7%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 7
OPP 48
0
50.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 45 yds, downed at the ECaro 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0051% → 50%
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
50.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
50.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (Nishad Strother) to the ECaro 2Similar
Q1 4:40
2ND & 11
OWN 2
+7
50.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 7 yds to the ECaro 9Similar
Q1 4:40
3RD & 4
OWN 9
-1
50.2%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 8Similar
Q1 4:40
4TH & 5
OWN 8
+11
49.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 51 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 11 yds to the Tulan 19 TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Chase Kuerschen) to the Tulan 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
50.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jacob Robertson Jr. for 5 yds to the Tulan 42Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+2
49.8%
Amare Jones run for 2 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+16
49.9%
Michael Pratt run for 16 yds to the ECaro 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
49.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Chad Stephens for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 42Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 12
OPP 42
-5
49.9%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Ben Knutson) to the ECaro 47Similar
Q1 3:21
2ND & 17
OPP 47
0
50.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece Watts, broken up by Damir FaisonSimilar
Q1 3:21
3RD & 17
OPP 47
0
50.7%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jacob Robertson Jr., broken up by Ja'Quan McMillianSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 38 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-2
51.7%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (C.J. Johnson) to the ECaro 2Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 12
OWN 2
+31
51.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 31 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+9
52.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 9 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 42
0
53.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
0
52.8%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
-3
51.9%
Jonn Young punt for 43 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q2 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 12
-6
51.2%
Michael Pratt sacked by Warren Saba for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 6Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 16
OWN 6
-3
51.5%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Timothy Shafter) to the Tulan 3Similar
Q2 12:30
2ND & 19
OWN 3
+6
51.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 9Similar
Q2 12:30
3RD & 13
OWN 9
0
52.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 12:30
4TH & 13
OWN 9
0
52.7%
Ryan Wright punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0054% → 53%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
54.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q2 10:35
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+1
54.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 46Similar
Q2 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
54.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q2 10:35
4TH & 1
OPP 46
0
53.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Shane CalhounSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 9TD
5 plays · 54 yds · 1:5851% → 61%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+44
49.2%
Cameron Carroll run for 44 yds to the ECaro 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-5
48.2%
TULANE Penalty, false start (Tyrick James) to the ECaro 15Similar
Q2 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 15
+10
48.4%
Amare Jones run for 10 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
0
48.2%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Jha'Quan JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
39.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 40 yds · 3:5242% → 41%
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
42.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Larry BrooksSimilar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
41.9%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 12
OWN 23
+13
40.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 13 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
42.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the ECaro 44Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+4
44.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Audie Omotosho for 4 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
44.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+17
43.9%
Tyler Snead run for 17 yds to the EASTCRLINA 34 for a 1ST down TULANE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:28
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
45.7%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 7:28
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
45.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Cornelius DysonSimilar
Q2 7:28
3RD & 11
OPP 35
0
43.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Rahjai Harris, broken up by Darius HodgesSimilar
Q2 3:36
4TH & 11
OPP 35
+52
40.5%
Jake Verity 52 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Eric Hicks Jr. N/A return for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 11TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:5861% → 76%
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
39.2%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
38.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
50
+1
37.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 1 yd to the ECaro 49Similar
Q2 3:36
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+15
37.7%
Pratt,M. middle pass incomplete to James,T., PENALTY ECU pass interference (SMITH, Xavier) 15 yards to the ECU34, 1ST DOWN TLN, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+15
37.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 15 yds to the ECaro 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+10
33.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 10 yds to the ECaro 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
33.9%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the ECaro 5Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
24.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 12END OF HALF
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
27.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
27.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+8
27.7%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
28.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Dorian Williams for a loss of 10 yards to the ECaro 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 27
+10
27.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 10 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-7
27.2%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 7 yards to the ECaro 31 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by ECaro Tyler Snead , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 16
OWN 31
0
26.9%
Luke Larsen punt for 42 yds, downed at the Tulan 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14DOWNS
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
24.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
24.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 7 yds to the Tulan 34Similar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+15
24.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 15 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
22.7%
Michael Pratt run for 15 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+12
22.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 12 yds to the ECaro 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+1
22.1%
Amare Jones run for 1 yd to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 12:13
2ND & 9
OPP 23
0
22.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Amare JonesSimilar
Q3 12:13
3RD & 9
OPP 23
+6
22.7%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 6 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q3 12:13
4TH & 3
OPP 17
+2
24.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 2 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
22.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Patrick JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:02
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+2
21.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 17Similar
Q3 9:02
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+6
21.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 6 yds to the ECaro 23Similar
Q3 9:02
4TH & 2
OWN 23
0
21.8%
Jonn Young punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Jha'Quan Jackson at the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 16TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:5781% → 95%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
19.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 9 yds to the Tulan 44Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 1
OWN 44
-3
17.7%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+11
18.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Will Wallace for 11 yds to the ECaro 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
5.0%
Cameron Carroll run for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
7.8%
Keaton Mitchell run for 12 yds to the ECaro 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
8.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 36Similar
Q3 5:49
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
7.8%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q3 5:49
3RD & 11
OWN 36
-8
7.7%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 28Similar
Q3 5:49
4TH & 19
OWN 28
+3
7.7%
Jonn Young punt for 37 yds , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 3 yds to the Tulan 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 18FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 3:1596% → 97%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
4.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 10 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+20
4.1%
Amare Jones run for 20 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+20
4.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 20 yds to the ECaro 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
3.9%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 12
-6
3.9%
Amare Jones run for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 18Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 16
OPP 18
-15
4.1%
TULANE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Amare Jones) to the ECaro 33Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 31
OPP 33
+8
4.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Mykel Jones for 8 yds to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 0:38
4TH & 23
OPP 25
+42
3.3%
Merek Glover 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 19PUNT
11 plays · 23 yds · 0:384% → 4%
Q3 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
4.3%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
4.2%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
3.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake Proehl, broken up by Jaylon MonroeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+5
3.8%
YOUNG, Jonn punt 35 yards to the TLN30, fair catch by Jackson,Jh., PENALTY TLN illegal formation 5 yards to the ECU40, 1ST DOWN ECU, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
4.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 9 yds to the ECaro 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+1
4.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+1
4.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the Tulan 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+2
4.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 2 yds to the Tulan 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 47
0
4.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OPP 47
0
4.0%
Luke Larsen punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 20INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
2.4%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Ja'Quan McMillian return for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 21TD
5 plays · 35 yds · 1:533% → 11%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
3.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+9
3.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 9 yds to the Tulan 26Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+1
3.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
3.6%
EAST CAROLINA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 30Similar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 15
OPP 30
+30
10.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 30 yds for a TD (Holton Ahlers pass to Tyler Snead for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 22MISSED FG
10 plays · 53 yds · 3:4093% → 95%
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+18
7.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 18 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
6.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 3 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+8
6.5%
Michael Pratt run for 8 yds to the ECaro 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+15
6.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 15 yds to the ECaro 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
6.4%
Amare Jones run for 3 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 10:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+6
6.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 6 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 10:37
3RD & 1
OPP 22
0
6.6%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the ECaro 22Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+39
4.8%
Merek Glover 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 23DOWNS
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
5.8%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Macon Clark for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 21Similar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 11
OWN 21
-3
5.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 18Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 14
OWN 18
+10
5.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 10 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 4
OWN 28
0
5.7%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by Cornelius DysonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 24TD
1 play · 28 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
0.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 25TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
3.3%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 75 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26FUMBLE
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q4 5:07
1ST & 10
50
-6
3.5%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Patrick Johnson for a loss of 6 yards to the ECaro 47 Holton Ahlers fumbled, recovered by Tulan Jeffery Johnson , return for 0 yards , return for a loss of 2 yards to the ECaro 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 4:53
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
3.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 4:53
2ND & 5
OPP 42
-1
2.9%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 43Similar
Q4 4:53
3RD & 6
OPP 43
0
3.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Duece WattsSimilar
Q4 4:53
4TH & 6
OPP 43
0
3.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28DOWNS
10 plays · 77 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
2.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 8 yds to the ECaro 28Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 2
OWN 28
0
2.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+5
2.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 5 yds to the ECaro 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+28
2.4%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Cam Burnette for 28 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
2.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 15 yds to the Tulan 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+12
3.1%
TULANE Penalty, personal foul (Jeffery Johnson) to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
3.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 6 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 3:18
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
3.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 3 yds to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 3:18
3RD & 1
OPP 3
0
3.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. JohnsonSimilar
Q4 3:18
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
3.2%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to C.J. Johnson, broken up by Willie LanghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 4
-1
1.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 3Similar
Q4 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 3
-1
1.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:49
Cameron Carroll run for 48 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-13.3
TD · Q2 7:28
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-8.7
TD · Q2 0:38
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 5 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-8.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com