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TULN

Tulane 34 at UCF 51

UCF
2020 · Week 8 · Oct 24, 2020 · FBC Mortgage Stadium
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Win probability · UCF
modelUCF aheadTULN aheadconfidence bandkey playUCF scoreTULN score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of GameTD+3.5UCF 97.6%Dillon Gabriel pass complete to MarlonWilliams for 35 yds for a TD (DanielObarski KICK)AWAY 21 - HOME 44 · Q3 7:47
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 7:47 · Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.0+21.50−21.5−43.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 131Pregame prior+20.8Home team on offense+25.0Score differential+16.7Garbage-time factor+8.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:13: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +4.1 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:05: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski PAT MISSED) — UCF win probability +4.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:22: Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds Stephon Huderson fumbled, forced by Richie Grant, recovered by Tulan Tyrick James for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.8 pts (now 8%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:47: Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK) — UCF win probability +3.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: UCF has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:56: Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 8 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK) — TULN win probability +4.0 pts (now 7%) (top driver: TULN has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UCF made the numbers' call on 5 of 6TULN made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 11:35UCF 4th & 6 at TULN 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    89.7%−0.5
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:15UCF 4th & 5 at TULN 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    87.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    87.0%−<0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    86.2%−0.8
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TULN 4th & 11 at TULN 42, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:41TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:14TULN 4th & 9 at TULN 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.7%−0.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 1:32TULN 4th & 20 at TULN 41, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−1.0
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.2%
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00TULN 4th & 4 at UCF 11, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    3.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    3.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    2.1%−1.8
    average punt
  8. Q3 7:47UCF 4th & 12 at TULN 35, up 16
    Close callWent for it · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    94.2%−0.4
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    94.5%
    45% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 3:26TULN 4th & 6 at TULN 29, down 23
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UCF 4th & 1 at TULN 46, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    98.3%−0.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.3
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:39UCF 4th & 8 at TULN 21, up 23
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    98.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 4:35UCF 4th & 2 at TULN 17, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.0%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.3
    80% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UCF made the numbers' call on 7 of 7TULN made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 9:22TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:04UCF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:15TULN Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:41UCF Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 9:20UCF Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 3:13UCF Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 0:05UCF Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · missed
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 7:47UCF Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 3:56TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 3:26UCF Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 8:30TULN Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    3.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    3.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UCFDrive 1FG
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:2593% → 92%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+54
92.9%
Greg McCrae run for 54 yds to the Tulan 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
92.9%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
92.9%
Otis Anderson run for no gain to the Tulan 16Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 16
+6
92.9%
Otis Anderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
92.9%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
92.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the Tulan 6Similar
Q1 11:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
92.2%
Daniel Obarski 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 2TD
8 plays · 69 yds · 2:058% → 9%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
92.1%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+5
92.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the Tulan 36Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+18
92.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 18 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
92.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q1 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+4
92.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q1 11:27
3RD & 6
OPP 42
+14
92.0%
Stephon Huderson run for 14 yds to the UCF 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+28
90.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 28 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 3TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:1291% → 92%
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+11
91.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 11 yds to the UCF 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
91.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 4 yds to the UCF 36Similar
Q1 9:16
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+4
91.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 4 yds to the UCF 40Similar
Q1 9:16
3RD & 2
OWN 40
+6
91.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for 6 yds to the UCF 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
91.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 54 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 4TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:439% → 11%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+18
91.3%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 18 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
91.2%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Sorrell Brown for 18 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
91.1%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+8
91.1%
Cameron Carroll run for 8 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
91.0%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 31Similar
Q1 7:58
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+12
91.0%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jaetavian Toles for 12 yds to the UCF 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
91.0%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 20Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+20
88.6%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 20 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 32 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
89.0%
Bentavious Thompson run for 4 yds to the UCF 29Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
89.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+23
88.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 23 yds to the Tulan 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
89.5%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 47Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+13
89.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 13 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
89.7%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 33Similar
Q1 4:15
2ND & 9
OPP 33
-1
89.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Bentavious Thompson for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 34Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 10
OPP 34
+5
89.4%
GABRIEL, Dillon pass incomplete to ROBINSON, J., PENALTY TULANE offside (Johnson,J.) 5 yards to the TULANE29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:15
3RD & 5
OPP 29
0
89.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Greg McCraeSimilar
Q1 4:15
4TH & 5
OPP 29
-14
89.3%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Cameron Sample for a loss of 14 yards to the Tulan 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:2313% → 13%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
87.3%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 49Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-1
87.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kenny Turnier for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 48Similar
Q1 0:25
3RD & 5
OWN 48
-6
86.6%
Michael Pratt sacked by Kenny Turnier for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 42
0
87.2%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 7TD
5 plays · 89 yds · 1:1287% → 89%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
86.7%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the UCF 12Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+28
86.7%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 28 yds to the UCF 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
87.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Amari Johnson for 2 yds to the UCF 42Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+55
87.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jacob Harris for 55 yds to the Tulan 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
89.1%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
88.3%
Michael Pratt sacked by Randy Charlton for a loss of 6 yards to the Tulan 19Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 16
OWN 19
-1
88.5%
Michael Pratt sacked by Anthony Montalvo for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 18 TULANE Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 13:41
3RD & 17
OWN 18
-3
88.7%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 3 yards to the Tulan 15Similar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 20
OWN 15
0
88.9%
Ryan Wright punt for 56 yds , Marlon Williams returns for no gain to the UCF 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 9TD
11 plays · 71 yds · 2:3088% → 90%
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
87.6%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the UCF 30Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+11
87.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 11 yds to the UCF 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+10
88.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 10 yds to the Tulan 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
88.4%
Bentavious Thompson run for 6 yds to the Tulan 43Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+4
88.4%
Bentavious Thompson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
88.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 6 yds to the Tulan 33Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+6
88.6%
Greg McCrae run for 6 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
88.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
88.6%
TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Tulan 22Similar
Q2 11:50
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+20
88.6%
Bentavious Thompson run for 20 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
90.3%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.9%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 29 Michael Pratt fumbled, recovered by Tulan Michael PrattSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
89.7%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
89.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q2 9:14
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+1
89.8%
Michael Pratt run for 1 yd to the Tulan 36Similar
Q2 9:14
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
90.0%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat Watts, broken up by Richie GrantSimilar
Q2 9:14
4TH & 9
OWN 36
0
90.3%
Ryan Wright punt for 47 yds, downed at the UCF 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 11TD
14 plays · 83 yds · 3:5889% → 94%
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+5
89.4%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the UCF 22Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OWN 22
+2
89.4%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 24Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+5
89.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the UCF 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
89.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Greg McCrae for 15 yds to the UCF 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
90.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
89.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds to the Tulan 48Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+5
89.8%
Dillon Gabriel run for 5 yds to the Tulan 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
90.2%
Bentavious Thompson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 42Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+23
90.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 23 yds to the Tulan 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
90.3%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the Tulan 14Similar
Q2 7:11
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+3
90.3%
Dillon Gabriel run for 3 yds to the Tulan 11Similar
Q2 7:11
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+7
90.0%
Greg McCrae run for 7 yds to the Tulan 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
90.3%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the Tulan 4Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
94.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 12PUNT
9 plays · 16 yds · 1:417% → 6%
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
93.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the Tulan 31Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+4
92.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Tyrick James for 4 yds to the Tulan 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+16
92.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 16 yds to the UCF 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
92.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 1 yd to the UCF 48Similar
Q2 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
92.6%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Cameron Carroll, broken up by Antwan CollierSimilar
Q2 3:13
3RD & 9
OPP 48
-11
92.8%
Michael Pratt sacked by Randy Charlton for a loss of 11 yards to the Tulan 41Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 20
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Ryan Wright punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 13TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:2195% → 97%
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
95.1%
Greg McCrae run for 2 yds to the UCF 35Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+23
94.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jaylon Robinson for 23 yds to the Tulan 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+7
95.3%
Greg McCrae run for 7 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 3
OPP 35
0
95.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Greg McCraeSimilar
Q2 1:26
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+8
94.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for 8 yds to the Tulan 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
95.3%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 15 yds to the Tulan 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:26
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
95.1%
Greg McCrae run for 5 yds to the Tulan 7Similar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
97.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski PAT MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
96.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 15TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 5:383% → 8%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
96.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 16 yds to the Tulan 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
96.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+12
96.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Phat Watts for 12 yds to the UCF 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
96.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 5 yds to the UCF 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+11
96.4%
Stephon Huderson run for 11 yds to the UCF 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
-1
96.2%
Cameron Carroll run for a loss of 1 yard to the UCF 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
+11
96.4%
Michael Pratt run for 11 yds to the UCF 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
96.3%
Michael Pratt run for 3 yds to the UCF 14Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+3
96.3%
Cameron Carroll run for 3 yds to the UCF 11Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 11
0
96.5%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 11
+7
96.5%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 7 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
91.7%
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds Stephon Huderson fumbled, forced by Richie Grant, recovered by Tulan Tyrick James for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 16TD
8 plays · 49 yds · 1:3394% → 98%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
94.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ja'Cyais Credle for 8 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+8
94.4%
Greg McCrae run for 8 yds to the Tulan 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
94.4%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+3
94.4%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 7
OPP 30
-5
94.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Tulan 35Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 12
OPP 35
0
94.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 7:47
4TH & 12
OPP 35
+35
97.6%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 35 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 17TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:512% → 7%
Q3 7:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.8%
Michael Pratt run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.9%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Duece Watts for 13 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+26
97.8%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Stephon Huderson for 26 yds to the UCF 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+6
97.8%
Cameron Carroll run for 6 yds to the UCF 30Similar
Q3 7:13
2ND & 4
OPP 30
+6
97.5%
Stephon Huderson run for 6 yds to the UCF 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+20
97.5%
Cameron Carroll run for 20 yds to the UCF 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-4
97.5%
Michael Pratt run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 8Similar
Q3 3:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
93.4%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 8 yds for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 18TD
4 plays · 43 yds · 0:2996% → 99%
Q3 3:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
96.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
96.2%
Otis Anderson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+41
98.8%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jacob Harris for 41 yds for a TD TULANE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined (Daniel Obarski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 3:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.4%
Michael Pratt run for 5 yds to the Tulan 30Similar
Q3 3:26
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-1
98.3%
Stephon Huderson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 29Similar
Q3 3:26
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
98.3%
Michael Pratt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:26
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
98.4%
Ryan Wright punt for 62 yds, downed at the UCF 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 20MISSED FG
15 plays · 70 yds · 5:1599% → 99%
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
98.8%
Otis Anderson run for 7 yds to the UCF 16Similar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 16
+9
98.8%
Greg McCrae run for 9 yds to the UCF 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jaylon RobinsonSimilar
Q3 1:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+20
98.8%
Greg McCrae run for 20 yds to the UCF 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
98.9%
Greg McCrae run for no gain to the UCF 45Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Marlon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Ryan O'Keefe for 9 yds to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+1
99.0%
Greg McCrae run for 1 yd to the Tulan 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-1
99.1%
Greg McCrae run for a loss of 1 yard to the Tulan 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 46
+12
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Otis Anderson for 12 yds to the Tulan 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+11
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel run for 11 yds to the Tulan 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Otis Anderson, broken up by Dorian WilliamsSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+2
99.1%
Bentavious Thompson run for 2 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
99.1%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Ryan O'Keefe, broken up by Ajani KerrSimilar
Q4 11:39
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
99.2%
Daniel Obarski 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 21INT
4 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Tyrick JamesSimilar
Q4 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass incomplete to Phat WattsSimilar
Q4 11:39
3RD & 10
OWN 21
+15
99.1%
Michael Pratt pass complete to Jha'Quan Jackson for 15 yds to the Tulan 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.0%
Michael Pratt pass intercepted Derek Gainous return for no gain to the UCF 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
99.2%
Otis Anderson run for 10 yds to the UCF 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel pass incomplete to Jacob HarrisSimilar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 10
OWN 30
-5
99.2%
UCF Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UCF 25Similar
Q4 11:05
2ND & 15
OWN 25
-9
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel sacked by Carlos Hatcher for a loss of 9 yards to the UCF 16Similar
Q4 11:05
3RD & 24
OWN 16
-4
99.2%
Dillon Gabriel run for a loss of 4 yards to the UCF 12Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 28
OWN 12
-5
98.9%
UCF Penalty, false start (Amari Johnson) to the UCF 7Similar
Q4 11:05
4TH & 33
OWN 7
+54
98.9%
Andrew Osteen punt for 56 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UCF 9 , Jha'Quan Jackson returns for 54 yds to the UCF 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TULNDrive 23TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:471% → 3%
Q4 9:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.0%
Stephon Huderson run for no gain to the UCF 9Similar
Q4 8:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
96.6%
Stephon Huderson run for 9 yds for a TD (Two-Point Conversion failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UCFDrive 24END OF GAME
17 plays · 45 yds · 3:5498% → 99%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
97.9%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds to the Tulan 41Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+3
97.9%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Tulan 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
97.9%
Greg McCrae run for 3 yds to the Tulan 35Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+6
97.9%
Greg McCrae run for 6 yds to the Tulan 29Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+4
97.9%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Tulan 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
97.9%
Dillon Gabriel run for no gain to the Tulan 25Similar
Q4 4:42
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+4
98.6%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 21Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 6
OPP 21
+4
98.7%
Greg McCrae run for 4 yds to the Tulan 17Similar
Q4 4:35
4TH & 2
OPP 17
+3
98.5%
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 3 yds to the Tulan 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
98.7%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 10Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+4
98.7%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 6Similar
Q4 4:35
3RD & 2
OPP 6
+4
98.7%
Otis Anderson run for 4 yds to the Tulan 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
98.7%
Otis Anderson run for 1 yd to the Tulan 1Similar
Q4 4:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
98.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Tulan 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:22
Stephon Huderson run for 3 yds Stephon Huderson fumbled, forced by Richie Grant, recovered by Tulan Tyrick James for a TD (Merek Glover KICK)
-4.8
TD · Q2 3:13
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Jake Hescock for 4 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski KICK)
+4.1
TD · Q2 0:05
Dillon Gabriel pass complete to Marlon Williams for 7 yds for a TD (Daniel Obarski PAT MISSED)
+4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com