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ECU

East Carolina 28 at Temple 3

TEM
2020 · Week 12 · Nov 21, 2020 · Lincoln Financial Field
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Win probability · TEM
modelTEM aheadECU aheadconfidence bandkey playTEM scoreECU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:43 · Jonn Young punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+53.0+26.50−26.5−53.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense−46.0Score differential−40.1Pregame prior−5.2Garbage-time factor−15.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−7.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−4.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:33: Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 60 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +5.1 pts (now 70%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q2 12:49: Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Branden Mack — TEM win probability +4.0 pts (now 34%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 11:22: Will Mobley kickoff for 60 yds , Tyler Snead return for 95 yds for a TD TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined — ECU win probability +7.0 pts (now 71%) (top driver: TEM has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:48: Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 46 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +12.2 pts (now 88%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:05: Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK) — ECU win probability +9.5 pts (now 97%) (top driver: ECU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TEM made the numbers' call on 8 of 12ECU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.5%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.6%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:16ECU 4th & 7 at TEM 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 65.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    65.1%
    66% to make
    Punt
    64.7%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:16TEM 4th & 15 at TEM 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:00ECU 4th & 5 at TEM 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.2%
    79% to make
    Punt
    61.9%−1.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:00TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.6%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.6%
    average punt
  6. Q1 4:32ECU 4th & 12 at TEM 40, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.0%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    62.1%−0.1
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:11TEM 4th & 1 at TEM 16, tied
    Close callPunted · 37.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:36TEM 4th & 3 at ECU 11, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 34.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.8%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.1%−0.7
    87% to make
    Punt
    28.6%−6.2
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:22TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.3%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.4%
    average punt
  10. Q2 8:09ECU 4th & 12 at ECU 20, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−1.1
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.9%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:02TEM 4th & 2 at TEM 39, down 11
    Close callPunted · 28.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.8%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q2 5:16ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 19, up 11
    Close callPunted · 70.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.7%−0.3
    average punt
  13. Q2 2:51TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 47, down 11
    Close callPunted · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.6%−0.5
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00ECU 4th & 11 at ECU 25, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 84.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.0%−1.9
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    85.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 13:47TEM 4th & 4 at TEM 41, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    17.5%
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:54TEM 4th & 13 at TEM 22, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.2%−1.9
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.0%
    average punt
  17. Q3 9:44ECU 4th & 16 at ECU 37, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%−1.0
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 8:12TEM 4th & 5 at TEM 27, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  19. Q3 5:58ECU 4th & 9 at TEM 32, up 25
    Close callPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%
    51% to make
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%−0.3
    average punt
  20. Q4 15:00TEM 4th & 11 at TEM 48, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.1%
    average punt
  21. Q4 14:43ECU 4th & 12 at TEM 41, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.8%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.1
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  22. Q4 5:27ECU 4th & 3 at ECU 42, up 25
    Close callPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ECU made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 0:33ECU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:48ECU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 11:05ECU Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TEMDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
29.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+7
29.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 7 yds to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-1
29.7%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Branden Mack for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+16
29.7%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 16 yds to the Temp 46 TEMPLE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Temp 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 2MISSED FG
6 plays · 24 yds · 1:4270% → 69%
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
30.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 8 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+13
30.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 13 yds to the Temp 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:58
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
30.3%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 12:58
2ND & 6
OPP 24
-1
30.3%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 25Similar
Q1 12:58
3RD & 7
OPP 25
0
30.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 7
OPP 25
+42
31.2%
Jake Verity 42 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Evan Boozer N/A return for no gain to the Temp 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
31.4%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the Temp 29Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
31.4%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
31.4%
Onasis Neely run for 3 yds to the Temp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
31.5%
Onasis Neely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 34Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 12
OWN 34
-3
31.4%
Kamal Gray pass complete to De'Von Fox for a loss of 3 yards to the Temp 31Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 15
OWN 31
0
31.2%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to David Martin-Robinson, broken up by Xavier SmithSimilar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 15
OWN 31
+15
31.1%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 15 yds to the ECaro 46 TEMPLE Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the ECaro 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 4MISSED FG
7 plays · 33 yds · 2:0968% → 67%
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
32.1%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 6
OPP 47
0
32.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+24
32.1%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 24 yds to the Temp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
31.8%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Blake Proehl for 6 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q1 8:09
2ND & 4
OPP 17
-1
31.8%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 18Similar
Q1 8:09
3RD & 5
OPP 18
0
32.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+35
33.2%
Jake Verity 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
33.6%
Tayvon Ruley run for 4 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+2
33.7%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the Temp 26Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
33.4%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q1 6:00
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+11
33.0%
Adam Barry punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 45 , Tyler Snead returns for 11 yds to the ECaro 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
33.4%
Keaton Mitchell run for 7 yds to the Temp 48Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+10
33.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 10 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
33.2%
Keaton Mitchell run for 3 yds to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
32.8%
Holton Ahlers run for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-5
33.3%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Daniel Archibong for a loss of 5 yards to the Temp 40Similar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
34.5%
Jonn Young punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
35.4%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Branden Mack for 8 yds to the Temp 15Similar
Q1 2:11
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+1
35.5%
Edward Saydee run for 1 yd to the Temp 16Similar
Q1 2:11
3RD & 1
OWN 16
0
35.0%
Edward Saydee run for no gain to the Temp 16Similar
Q1 2:11
4TH & 1
OWN 16
0
34.7%
Adam Barry punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 8TD
1 play · 60 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+60
29.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 60 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 9FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:3331% → 32%
Q1 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+30
30.8%
Kamal Gray pass complete to David Martin-Robinson for 30 yds to the ECaro 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
32.4%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+13
32.2%
Tayvon Ruley run for 13 yds to the ECaro 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-5
33.0%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Aaron Jarman) to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 37
0
31.8%
Tayvon Ruley run for no gain to the ECaro 35 Tayvon Ruley fumbled, forced by Xavier Smith, recovered by ECaro Elijah MorrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 10INT
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:0070% → 71%
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
30.2%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+12
30.0%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Rahjai Harris for 12 yds to the ECaro 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
29.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 49
-45
29.5%
Holton Ahlers pass intercepted Jordan Magee return for 45 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 11FG
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:1334% → 36%
Q2 12:49
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
33.5%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q2 12:49
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
33.5%
Onasis Neely run for 6 yds to the ECaro 12Similar
Q2 12:49
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
32.7%
Onasis Neely run for 1 yd to the ECaro 11Similar
Q2 11:36
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+28
35.6%
Rory Bell 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
28.0%
Tayvon Ruley run for 1 yd to the Temp 26Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-4
27.9%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (Branden Mack) to the Temp 22Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+6
27.8%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Willie Erdman for 6 yds to the Temp 28Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+10
27.4%
Kamal Gray pass complete to De'Von Fox for 10 yds to the Temp 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
28.6%
Kyle Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q2 11:22
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+2
28.8%
Kyle Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Temp 43Similar
Q2 11:22
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
28.4%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 5
OWN 43
+9
27.7%
Adam Barry punt for 44 yds , Tyler Snead returns for 9 yds to the ECaro 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0073% → 72%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
27.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 1 yd to the ECaro 23Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 9
OWN 23
-3
27.5%
Rahjai Harris run for a loss of 3 yards to the ECaro 20Similar
Q2 8:09
3RD & 12
OWN 20
0
28.1%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler Snead, broken up by M.J. GriffinSimilar
Q2 8:09
4TH & 12
OWN 20
0
28.4%
Jonn Young punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Willie Erdman at the Temp 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q2 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
26.4%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the Temp 33Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 8
OWN 33
+3
26.3%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Branden Mack for 3 yds to the Temp 36Similar
Q2 7:02
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+3
26.1%
Kamal Gray run for 3 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q2 7:02
4TH & 2
OWN 39
0
25.9%
Adam Barry punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
26.4%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete, broken up by Manny WalkerSimilar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
26.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 6 yds to the ECaro 18Similar
Q2 5:16
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+1
26.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Keaton Mitchell for 1 yd to the ECaro 19Similar
Q2 5:16
4TH & 3
OWN 19
0
27.4%
Jonn Young punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Willie Erdman at the Temp 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 1:0426% → 25%
Q2 3:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
26.4%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Jose BarbonSimilar
Q2 3:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
-1
26.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 40Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 11
OWN 40
+7
24.3%
Tayvon Ruley run for 7 yds to the Temp 47Similar
Q2 2:51
4TH & 4
OWN 47
0
25.1%
Adam Barry punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 18FUMBLE
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0074% → 74%
Q2 2:44
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+4
25.8%
Rahjai Harris run for 4 yds to the ECaro 6Similar
Q2 2:44
2ND & 6
OWN 6
+14
25.9%
Rahjai Harris run for 14 yds to the ECaro 21 Rahjai Harris fumbled, forced by Kobe Wilson, recovered by Temp Evan BoozerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 19INT
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
27.4%
Onasis Neely run for 10 yds to the ECaro 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
27.4%
Onasis Neely run for 3 yds to the ECaro 8Similar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 7
OPP 8
0
27.4%
Kamal Gray pass intercepted, touchback. Shawn Dourseau return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 20TD
2 plays · 80 yds · 0:1676% → 88%
Q2 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+34
23.9%
Keaton Mitchell run for 34 yds to the Temp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+46
11.7%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 46 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 21END OF HALF
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
16.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
16.1%
Tayvon Ruley run for 2 yds to the Temp 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
13.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 26Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
-1
13.6%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Shane Calhoun for a loss of 1 yard to the ECaro 25Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 25
0
13.9%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 25
0
14.2%
Jonn Young punt for 50 yds, fair catch by Willie Erdman at the Temp 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:0015% → 16%
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
14.9%
Branden Mack run for 10 yds to the Temp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
15.2%
Onasis Neely run for no gain to the Temp 35Similar
Q3 13:47
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+6
14.9%
Branden Mack run for 6 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 13:47
3RD & 4
OWN 41
0
16.0%
Branden Mack pass incomplete to Edward SaydeeSimilar
Q3 13:47
4TH & 4
OWN 41
0
15.8%
Adam Barry punt for 49 yds, downed at the ECaro 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 24TD
4 plays · 90 yds · 1:1288% → 97%
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
12.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 12 yds to the ECaro 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
12.5%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the ECaro 24Similar
Q3 12:17
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+75
12.5%
Holton Ahlers run for 75 yds to the Temp 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
3.0%
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · -3 yds · 1:113% → 2%
Q3 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
2.7%
Edward Saydee run for 2 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
2.7%
Branden Mack run for no gain to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-5
1.7%
TEMPLE Penalty, false start (David Nwaogwugwu) to the Temp 22Similar
Q3 9:54
3RD & 13
OWN 22
0
1.5%
Branden Mack pass incomplete to De'Von FoxSimilar
Q3 9:54
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
1.5%
Adam Barry punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
1.7%
Holton Ahlers sacked by Evan Boozer for a loss of 8 yards to the ECaro 35Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+2
1.6%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the ECaro 37Similar
Q3 9:44
3RD & 16
OWN 37
0
1.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Blake ProehlSimilar
Q3 9:44
4TH & 16
OWN 37
+5
1.6%
Jonn Young punt for 57 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 11 , Willie Erdman returns for 5 yds to the Temp 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+11
1.4%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Jose Barbon for 11 yds to the Temp 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
1.4%
Kyle Dobbins run for 2 yds to the Temp 24Similar
Q3 8:12
2ND & 8
OWN 24
0
1.4%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Jose Barbon, broken up by Juan PowellSimilar
Q3 8:12
3RD & 8
OWN 24
+3
1.4%
Kyle Dobbins run for 3 yds to the Temp 27Similar
Q3 8:12
4TH & 5
OWN 27
+7
1.4%
Adam Barry punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the ECaro 13 , Tyler Snead returns for 7 yds to the ECaro 34 EAST CAROLINA Penalty, personal foul (Myles Berry) to the ECaro 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 28PUNT
7 plays · 55 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+15
1.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 15 yds to the ECaro 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+14
0.9%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to C.J. Johnson for 14 yds to the ECaro 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+25
1.1%
Keaton Mitchell run for 25 yds to the Temp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
1.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 34Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 11
OPP 34
+2
1.0%
Keaton Mitchell run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
1.0%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Jsi HatfieldSimilar
Q3 5:58
4TH & 9
OPP 32
0
1.2%
Holton Ahlers punt for 32 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 29PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 5:581% → 1%
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
1.2%
Onasis Neely run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 18Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+14
1.0%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Branden Mack for 14 yds to the Temp 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
1.2%
Onasis Neely run for 7 yds to the Temp 39Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
1.2%
Onasis Neely run for 2 yds to the Temp 41Similar
Q3 5:58
3RD & 1
OWN 41
-12
1.3%
Onasis Neely run for 3 yds to the Temp 44 TEMPLE Penalty, personal foul (C.J. Perez) to the Temp 29Similar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
1.2%
Onasis Neely run for 3 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q3 5:58
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+17
1.2%
Kamal Gray pass complete to Jose Barbon for 17 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-1
1.2%
Onasis Neely run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 48Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 48
0
0.6%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to Branden MackSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 48
0
0.6%
Kamal Gray pass incomplete to De'Von FoxSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 11
OWN 48
0
0.6%
Adam Barry punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Tyler Snead at the ECaro 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 30PUNT
13 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+8
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 8 yds to the ECaro 15Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 15
+1
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 1 yd to the ECaro 16Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 1
OWN 16
+2
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 2 yds to the ECaro 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 8 yds to the ECaro 26Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+10
0.4%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for 10 yds to the ECaro 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+15
0.4%
Rahjai Harris run for 15 yds to the Temp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
0.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 5 yds to the Temp 44Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 5
OPP 44
+2
0.5%
Rahjai Harris run for 2 yds to the Temp 42Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 3
OPP 42
+3
0.5%
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Jsi Hatfield for 3 yds to the Temp 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:43
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for no gain to the Temp 39Similar
Q4 14:43
2ND & 10
OPP 39
-2
0.5%
Darius Pinnix Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the Temp 41Similar
Q4 14:43
3RD & 12
OPP 41
0
0.5%
Holton Ahlers pass incomplete to Tyler SneadSimilar
Q4 14:43
4TH & 12
OPP 41
0
0.6%
Jonn Young punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Temp 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 31INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
0.4%
Edward Saydee run for 3 yds to the Temp 13Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+4
0.4%
Edward Saydee run for 4 yds to the Temp 17Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+10
0.4%
Kamal Gray run for 10 yds to the Temp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
0.4%
Onasis Neely run for 3 yds to the Temp 30Similar
Q4 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+2
0.4%
Onasis Neely run for 2 yds to the Temp 32Similar
Q4 8:29
3RD & 5
OWN 32
0
0.4%
Kamal Gray pass intercepted Bruce Bivens return for no gain to the ECaro 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ECUDrive 32PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
0.2%
Keaton Mitchell run for no gain to the ECaro 35Similar
Q4 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+7
0.2%
Holton Ahlers run for 7 yds to the ECaro 42Similar
Q4 5:27
4TH & 3
OWN 42
0
0.2%
Jonn Young punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Willie Erdman at the Temp 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TEMDrive 33END OF GAME
7 plays · -15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
0.2%
Kyle Dobbins run for a loss of 1 yard to the Temp 19Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+1
0.2%
Kyle Dobbins run for 1 yd to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 3:40
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+5
0.2%
Kyle Dobbins run for 5 yds to the Temp 20Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 10
OWN 20
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 15Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 15
OWN 15
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 10Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 20
OWN 10
-5
0.2%
TEMPLE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Temp 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:48
Holton Ahlers pass complete to Tyler Snead for 46 yds for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)
-12.2
TD · Q3 11:05
Holton Ahlers run for 1 yd for a TD (Jake Verity KICK)
-9.5
TD · Q2 11:22
Will Mobley kickoff for 60 yds , Tyler Snead return for 95 yds for a TD TEMPLE Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined
-7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com